Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 20, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Spurs	43%	113	99	96.1	103	98.7
	9	Warriors	57%	115	121	117.5	103	107.7

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+15

-10

108

GSW

+13

-14

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.92 45.8%

GSW

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 24	29.5	22	65%	6	3	2	0	0	2	1	5	3-3	100%	8-10	80%	1-6	17%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	27.2	12	38%	8	3	0	0	1	1	2	6	8-11	73%	2-9	22%	0-3	0%
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · PG · 6'5" 196 · 22	24.6	3	25%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 31	24.6	15	63%	2	3	1	0	2	3	1	1	9-9	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
LaMarcus Aldridge #12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 36	23.3	4	25%	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%

Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 20	26.9	8	40%	3	2	2	1	0	3	2	1	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	24.7	10	56%	5	0	0	0	2	1	3	2	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 32	23.8	6	27%	1	3	2	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-7	0%
Rudy Gay #22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	18.7	11	61%	9	3	0	0	2	3	1	8	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	11.8	5	42%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	5.0	3	75%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	DNP - Injury/Illness \| " "; Sore Throat
Drew Eubanks #14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 24	INACTIVE
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| " "; Upper Respiratory Infection
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Second Toe; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	46%	43	17	7	2	10	15	12	31	25-31	81%	31-61	51%	4-33	12%

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12 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 24	29.5	22	65%	6	3	2	0	0	2	1	5	3-3	100%	8-10	80%	1-6	17%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	27.2	12	38%	8	3	0	0	1	1	2	6	8-11	73%	2-9	22%	0-3	0%
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · PG · 6'5" 196 · 22	24.6	3	25%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 31	24.6	15	63%	2	3	1	0	2	3	1	1	9-9	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
LaMarcus Aldridge #12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 36	23.3	4	25%	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%

Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 20	26.9	8	40%	3	2	2	1	0	3	2	1	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	24.7	10	56%	5	0	0	0	2	1	3	2	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 32	23.8	6	27%	1	3	2	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-7	0%
Rudy Gay #22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	18.7	11	61%	9	3	0	0	2	3	1	8	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	11.8	5	42%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	5.0	3	75%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	DNP - Injury/Illness \| " "; Sore Throat
Drew Eubanks #14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 24	INACTIVE
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| " "; Upper Respiratory Infection
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Second Toe; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	46%	43	17	7	2	10	15	12	31	25-31	81%	31-61	51%	4-33	12%

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9 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 33	31.5	26	76%	11	7	1	0	4	2	1	10	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	4-8	50%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 26	30.8	18	69%	7	3	0	0	1	3	2	5	1-3	33%	4-7	57%	3-5	60%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #12 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 25	30.6	16	53%	9	0	1	1	0	3	3	6	6-8	75%	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	25.6	9	64%	1	6	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 20	25.3	20	77%	6	4	0	0	0	4	1	5	4-5	80%	8-11	73%	0-0	-

Brad Wanamaker #10 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31	20.7	3	25%	5	4	2	0	3	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Kent Bazemore #26 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 32	19.5	9	64%	2	1	1	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Eric Paschall #7 · PF · 6'7" 254 · 24	16.1	7	39%	3	3	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 25	13.6	2	100%	5	2	1	1	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Damion Lee #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	13.4	2	20%	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 22	8.9	9	75%	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-4	75%
Mychal Mulder #15 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 27	3.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 28	INACTIVE
Nico Mannion #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Marquese Chriss #32 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Syndesmosis; Injury w/ Fibula Fracture
Alen Smailagic #6 · PF · 6'9" 216 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Arthroscopy
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	59%	54	31	6	2	14	22	10	44	14-20	70%	31-53	58%	15-38	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	GSW

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.92 45.8%

GSW

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

67%

GSW

64%

Midrange

SAS

38%

GSW

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

6.0

12%

18%

GSW

22.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

SAS

81%

GSW

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Murray	22	65%	11.0 / 17
D. DeRozan	15	63%	7.5 / 12
K. Johnson	12	38%	6.0 / 16
R. Gay	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Poeltl	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Vassell	8	40%	4.0 / 10
P. Mills	6	27%	3.0 / 11
T. Lyles	5	42%	2.5 / 6
L. Aldridge	4	25%	2.0 / 8
L. Walker IV	3	25%	1.5 / 6
T. Jones	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	26	76%	13.0 / 17
J. Wiseman	20	77%	10.0 / 13
A. Wiggins	18	69%	9.0 / 13
K. Oubre	16	53%	8.0 / 15
D. Green	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Bazemore	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Poole	9	75%	4.5 / 6
E. Paschall	7	39%	3.5 / 9
B. Wanamaker	3	25%	1.5 / 6
K. Looney	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Lee	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 111.1 20 110.9	SAS 96.1 GSW 117.5 +21.4
Pace	16 98.9 3 102.4	SAS 98.7 GSW 107.7 +9.1
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.7 28 13.7	SAS 14.6 GSW 13.4 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 51.7% 7 55.1%	SAS 39.4% GSW 58.8% +19.4%
TO %	2 11.0% 24 14.3%	SAS 8.5% −4.6% GSW 13.1%
ORB %	27 20.1% 30 17.9%	SAS 21.4% GSW 24.4% +3.0%
FTrt	14 24.3 20 23.9	SAS 33.0 +11.0 GSW 22.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 58.4% 3 67.0%	SAS 48.6% GSW 67.4% +18.8%
STL %	22 7.0% 8 8.0%	SAS 6.8% +1.0% GSW 5.8%
BLK %	15 8.9% 17 8.7%	SAS 3.8% +0.5% GSW 3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 54.4% 7 57.3%	SAS 45.8% GSW 59.3% +13.5%
Rim FG%	19 60.1% 7 63.7%	SAS 66.7% +2.4% GSW 64.3%
Mid FG%	14 43.2% 20 40.4%	SAS 38.2% GSW 52.0% +13.8%
3P %	24 35.0% 9 37.6%	SAS 12.1% GSW 39.5% +27.4%
FT %	10 79.2% 13 78.5%	SAS 80.6% +10.6% GSW 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.1% 22 33.0%	SAS 28.7% GSW 30.8% +2.0%
Mid Att. %	30 35.5% 9 23.1%	SAS 36.2% GSW 27.5% −8.7%
3P Att. %	30 31.4% 5 43.9%	SAS 35.1% GSW 41.8% +6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	GSW
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	99	121
Rebounds	43	54
Assists	17	31
Steals	7	6
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	15	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	44 (4)
Field Goals	35-94	46-91
At-the-Rim FG	18-27	18-28
Midrange FG	13-34	13-25
2-Point FG	31-61	31-53
3-Point FG	4-33	15-38
Free Throws	25-31	14-20
Fast Break Pts	13	21
2nd Chance Pts	11	13
Points in Paint	44	56
Pts off Turnovers	14	9
Bench Points	43	32
Biggest Lead	0	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg