FinalWin Prob.pScore
1540%110
81
860%114
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
84.496100.0
TOR logo TOR
105.29692.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.81
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:17.9HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (lost ball) (DeAndre' Bembry steals)81
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:24.9RaptorsJalen Harris turnover (bad pass) (Precious Achiuwa steals)81
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:28.2RaptorsJalen Harris offensive rebound81
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:30.6RaptorsMatt Thomas misses two point jump shot81
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:56.0HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 281
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 280
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0RaptorsJalen Harris shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02RaptorsMalachi Flynn makes three point jump shot (DeAndre' Bembry assists)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point driving dunk79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27RaptorsPaul Watson makes three point jump shot (Malachi Flynn assists)77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41HeatHeat defensive rebound77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43RaptorsMalachi Flynn misses three point jump shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51RaptorsMatt Thomas defensive rebound77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05RaptorsMatt Thomas turnover (out of bounds lost ball)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point cutting layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point driving layup75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43HeatGabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Pascal Siakam steals)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31HeatGabe Vincent makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Stanley Johnson steals)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point running layup73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (lost ball) (Fred VanVleet steals)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point driving reverse layup73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)73
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 4:53HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (Charge) (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 5:10RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point alley-oop dunk (Stanley Johnson assists)73
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 5:26RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound73
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 5:28HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot73
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 5:41HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound73
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 5:44RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot73
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 5:50RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound73
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 5:55HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot73
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 6:08RaptorsTerence Davis turnover (out of bounds lost ball)73
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 6:27RaptorsStanley Johnson defensive rebound73
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 6:30HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot73
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 6:40RaptorsChris Boucher turnover (lost ball) (Andre Iguodala steals)73
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 6:57RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound73
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 6:59HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot73
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 7:13RaptorsTerence Davis makes two point alley-oop dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)73
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 7:21HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point floating jump shot73
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 7:45RaptorsOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Stanley Johnson assists)71
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 8:06HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot71
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q4 - 8:15HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound69
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 8:18HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot69
2.5%
82
97.5%
Q4 - 8:23HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound69
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 8:26RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point cutting layup69
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 8:32RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound69
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 8:36HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot69
2.5%
82
97.5%
Q4 - 8:53RaptorsChris Boucher makes two point cutting dunk (Stanley Johnson assists)69
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 9:09HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (offensive foul)69
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q4 - 9:09HeatKendrick Nunn offensive foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)69
5.5%
80
94.5%
Q4 - 9:18RaptorsTerence Davis makes two point reverse layup (Fred VanVleet assists)69
5.5%
80
94.5%
Q4 - 9:27RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound69
6.7%
78
93.3%
Q4 - 9:29HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot69
7.2%
78
92.8%
Q4 - 9:54RaptorsStanley Johnson makes three point jump shot (Terence Davis assists)69
8.5%
78
91.5%
Q4 - 10:18HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving floating jump shot69
13.8%
75
86.2%
Q4 - 10:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound67
11.5%
75
88.5%
Q4 - 10:33RaptorsTerence Davis misses two point driving floating jump shot67
10.8%
75
89.2%
Q4 - 10:58HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)67
9.2%
75
90.8%
Q4 - 11:21RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point running dunk64
6.8%
75
93.2%
Q4 - 11:24HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (OG Anunoby steals)64
8.3%
73
91.7%
Q4 - 11:42RaptorsTerence Davis turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)64
10.0%
73
90.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.64
8.3%
73
91.7%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound64
11.0%
73
89.0%
Q3 - 0:00.5HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot64
9.7%
73
90.3%
Q3 - 0:02.6HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound64
11.0%
73
89.0%
Q3 - 0:05.7RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point pullup jump shot64
10.4%
73
89.6%
Q3 - 0:27.1RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound64
9.1%
73
90.9%
Q3 - 0:30.3HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot64
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 0:42.6HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound64
10.9%
73
89.1%
Q3 - 0:45.3RaptorsMalachi Flynn misses two point driving floating jump shot64
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q3 - 0:54.6RaptorsStanley Johnson defensive rebound64
9.1%
73
90.9%
Q3 - 0:56.9HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup64
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 1:03HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound64
11.9%
73
88.1%
Q3 - 1:06RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point floating jump shot64
11.2%
73
88.8%
Q3 - 1:29HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)64
9.8%
73
90.2%
Q3 - 1:36RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Andre Iguodala steals)61
7.0%
73
93.0%
Q3 - 1:47RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound61
5.8%
73
94.2%
Q3 - 1:52HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot61
6.1%
73
93.9%
Q3 - 2:03RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point driving floating jump shot61
7.8%
73
92.2%
Q3 - 2:23RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound61
9.0%
71
91.0%
Q3 - 2:26HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot61
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q3 - 2:35HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound61
10.8%
71
89.2%
Q3 - 2:37RaptorsPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 2 of 261
10.5%
71
89.5%
Q3 - 2:37RaptorsPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 261
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q3 - 2:37HeatPrecious Achiuwa shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)61
8.3%
71
91.7%
Q3 - 2:41RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound61
9.0%
71
91.0%
Q3 - 2:44HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot61
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q3 - 3:05RaptorsChris Boucher makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)61
11.5%
71
88.5%
Q3 - 3:12RaptorsNorman Powell defensive rebound61
15.2%
68
84.8%
Q3 - 3:17HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot61
16.0%
68
84.0%
Q3 - 3:40RaptorsOG Anunoby makes three point stepback jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)61
17.9%
68
82.1%
Q3 - 3:54RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound61
23.1%
65
76.9%
Q3 - 3:54RaptorsGabe Vincent blocks Norman Powell's two point driving layup61
25.7%
65
74.3%
Q3 - 4:07RaptorsPascal Siakam personal foul (Double) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)61
23.5%
65
76.5%
Q3 - 4:07HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Double) (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)61
23.5%
65
76.5%
Q3 - 4:07RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound61
23.5%
65
76.5%
Q3 - 4:12HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot61
24.6%
65
75.4%
Q3 - 4:25RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point tip dunk61
27.2%
65
72.8%
Q3 - 4:25RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive rebound61
30.0%
63
70.0%
Q3 - 4:29RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot61
33.0%
63
67.0%
Q3 - 4:50RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound61
30.0%
63
70.0%
Q3 - 4:52HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot61
31.3%
63
68.7%
Q3 - 5:10RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point driving reverse layup61
34.4%
63
65.6%
Q3 - 5:26HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup61
37.8%
61
62.2%
Q3 - 5:40RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)59
34.4%
61
65.6%
Q3 - 5:52RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive rebound59
30.6%
61
69.4%
Q3 - 5:54RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point jump shot59
33.2%
61
66.8%
Q3 - 6:07HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup (Goran Dragic assists)59
30.7%
61
69.3%
Q3 - 6:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound57
27.8%
61
72.2%
Q3 - 6:20RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot57
26.8%
61
73.2%
Q3 - 6:37RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound57
24.6%
61
75.4%
Q3 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot57
25.5%
61
74.5%
Q3 - 6:58RaptorsRaptors turnover (shot clock violation)57
27.8%
61
72.2%
Q3 - 6:58RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound57
24.6%
61
75.4%
Q3 - 6:59RaptorsAron Baynes misses three point jump shot57
26.8%
61
73.2%
Q3 - 7:22HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)57
24.6%
61
75.4%
Q3 - 7:27RaptorsAron Baynes personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)55
22.4%
61
77.6%
Q3 - 7:32RaptorsAron Baynes turnover (offensive foul)55
22.4%
61
77.6%
Q3 - 7:32RaptorsAron Baynes offensive foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)55
19.5%
61
80.5%
Q3 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot55
19.5%
61
80.5%
Q3 - 7:52RaptorsOG Anunoby personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)53
17.6%
61
82.4%
Q3 - 8:06RaptorsOG Anunoby turnover (offensive foul)53
17.9%
61
82.1%
Q3 - 8:06RaptorsOG Anunoby offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)53
15.5%
61
84.5%
Q3 - 8:18HeatGabe Vincent makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)53
15.5%
61
84.5%
Q3 - 8:30RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (double dribble)51
14.0%
61
86.0%
Q3 - 8:31RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound51
12.0%
61
88.0%
Q3 - 8:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup51
12.6%
61
87.4%
Q3 - 8:47HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound51
14.0%
61
86.0%
Q3 - 8:49RaptorsOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot51
13.4%
61
86.6%
Q3 - 8:59HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Aron Baynes steals)51
12.0%
61
88.0%
Q3 - 9:06HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound51
14.3%
61
85.7%
Q3 - 9:10RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot51
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q3 - 9:25HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)51
12.4%
61
87.6%
Q3 - 9:49RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point stepback jump shot48
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 9:58HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)48
10.9%
59
89.1%
Q3 - 9:59RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound48
10.9%
59
89.1%
Q3 - 10:03HeatAron Baynes blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point cutting layup48
11.8%
59
88.2%
Q3 - 10:22HeatHeat defensive rebound48
13.0%
59
87.0%
Q3 - 10:23RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot48
12.5%
59
87.5%
Q3 - 10:35HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup jump shot48
11.3%
59
88.7%
Q3 - 10:49RaptorsOG Anunoby makes three point pullup jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)46
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q3 - 11:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)46
13.1%
56
86.9%
Q3 - 11:15RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)44
11.8%
56
88.2%
Q3 - 11:32HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup44
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q3 - 11:40RaptorsNorman Powell personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)42
9.3%
56
90.7%
Q3 - 11:40HeatHeat offensive rebound42
9.3%
56
90.7%
Q3 - 11:41HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot42
8.4%
56
91.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.42
9.2%
56
90.8%
Q2 - 0:00.1RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound42
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q2 - 0:00.6RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point driving floating jump shot42
9.3%
56
90.7%
Q2 - 0:08.7RaptorsAron Baynes offensive rebound42
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q2 - 0:12.0RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot42
9.3%
56
90.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0HeatMaurice Harkless personal foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)42
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0RaptorsAron Baynes offensive rebound42
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q2 - 0:29.6RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point pullup jump shot42
9.3%
56
90.7%
Q2 - 0:37.6HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 242
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q2 - 0:37.6HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 241
8.5%
56
91.5%
Q2 - 0:37.6RaptorsFred VanVleet personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)40
8.3%
56
91.7%
Q2 - 0:46.8HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound40
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q2 - 0:49.3RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point jump shot40
7.3%
56
92.7%
Q2 - 1:05HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot40
7.4%
56
92.6%
Q2 - 1:21RaptorsNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)38
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q2 - 1:24RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound38
8.3%
53
91.7%
Q2 - 1:26HeatGoran Dragic misses two point turnaround jump shot38
8.5%
53
91.5%
Q2 - 1:31RaptorsMalachi Flynn personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)38
8.9%
53
91.1%
Q2 - 1:46RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point alley-oop dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)38
8.9%
53
91.1%
Q2 - 1:50RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound38
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 1:50HeatAron Baynes blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point jump shot38
10.7%
51
89.3%
Q2 - 1:56HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound38
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q2 - 1:59RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot38
10.9%
51
89.1%
Q2 - 2:04RaptorsFred VanVleet offensive rebound38
10.8%
51
89.2%
Q2 - 2:07RaptorsMaurice Harkless blocks Fred VanVleet's two point jump shot38
11.7%
51
88.3%
Q2 - 2:12RaptorsNorman Powell defensive rebound38
10.8%
51
89.2%
Q2 - 2:14HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot38
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q2 - 2:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound38
12.0%
51
88.0%
Q2 - 2:38RaptorsMalachi Flynn misses three point jump shot38
11.6%
51
88.4%
Q2 - 2:45RaptorsAron Baynes offensive rebound38
10.8%
51
89.2%
Q2 - 2:48RaptorsMalachi Flynn misses three point jump shot38
11.6%
51
88.4%
Q2 - 3:04HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot38
11.4%
51
88.6%
Q2 - 3:29RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point jump shot36
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 4:01HeatGoran Dragic makes three point pullup bank jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)36
12.0%
49
88.0%
Q2 - 4:06HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound33
9.8%
49
90.2%
Q2 - 4:08RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot33
9.5%
49
90.5%
Q2 - 4:14RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound33
8.9%
49
91.1%
Q2 - 4:17HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot33
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q2 - 4:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound33
9.8%
49
90.2%
Q2 - 4:28RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point jump shot33
9.5%
49
90.5%
Q2 - 4:49HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Maurice Harkless assists)33
8.8%
49
91.2%
Q2 - 5:07RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point tip layup30
7.5%
49
92.5%
Q2 - 5:08RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive rebound30
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 5:08RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point tip layup30
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q2 - 5:08RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive rebound30
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 5:14RaptorsTerence Davis misses two point layup30
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q2 - 5:20HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Norman Powell steals)30
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 5:28HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound30
9.2%
47
90.8%
Q2 - 5:29RaptorsAron Baynes misses two point tip layup30
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q2 - 5:30RaptorsAron Baynes offensive rebound30
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 5:30RaptorsAron Baynes misses two point tip layup30
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q2 - 5:30RaptorsAron Baynes offensive rebound30
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 5:35RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot30
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q2 - 5:59HeatPrecious Achiuwa turnover (lost ball) (Fred VanVleet steals)30
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 6:19RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 3 of 330
9.4%
47
90.6%
Q2 - 6:19RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 330
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q2 - 6:19RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 330
9.6%
45
90.4%
Q2 - 6:19HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)30
9.8%
44
90.2%
Q2 - 6:22RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound30
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 6:23RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa blocks OG Anunoby's two point driving layup30
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q2 - 6:43HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)30
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 6:45HeatMax Strus defensive rebound28
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q2 - 6:48RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa blocks Fred VanVleet's two point driving floating jump shot28
9.9%
44
90.1%
Q2 - 6:59RaptorsYuta Watanabe defensive rebound28
9.1%
44
90.9%
Q2 - 7:01HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot28
10.1%
44
89.9%
Q2 - 7:18RaptorsTerence Davis makes two point floating jump shot28
10.7%
44
89.3%
Q2 - 7:26RaptorsTerence Davis defensive rebound28
11.7%
42
88.3%
Q2 - 7:28HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot28
12.0%
42
88.0%
Q2 - 7:38HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound28
12.9%
42
87.1%
Q2 - 7:40RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point driving hook shot28
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 7:52RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound28
11.7%
42
88.3%
Q2 - 7:53HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot28
12.0%
42
88.0%
Q2 - 8:09RaptorsChris Boucher turnover (out of bounds bad pass)28
13.1%
42
86.9%
Q2 - 8:26HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Precious Achiuwa assists)28
11.9%
42
88.1%
Q2 - 8:41RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point cutting layup (Fred VanVleet assists)25
10.0%
42
90.0%
Q2 - 9:03RaptorsYuta Watanabe defensive rebound25
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 9:03HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot25
11.6%
40
88.4%
Q2 - 9:08HeatHeat offensive rebound25
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 9:08HeatChris Boucher blocks Goran Dragic's two point driving layup25
11.5%
40
88.5%
Q2 - 9:17HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound25
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 9:19RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot25
12.0%
40
88.0%
Q2 - 9:30HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)25
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 9:33HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound23
10.3%
40
89.7%
Q2 - 9:36RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point alley-oop dunk23
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q2 - 9:56HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds lost ball)23
9.3%
40
90.7%
Q2 - 10:04RaptorsTerence Davis personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)23
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 10:14RaptorsTerence Davis makes three point pullup jump shot23
10.6%
40
89.4%
Q2 - 10:20RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound23
12.6%
37
87.4%
Q2 - 10:22HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot23
12.9%
37
87.1%
Q2 - 10:40RaptorsTerence Davis turnover (out of bounds bad pass)23
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q2 - 10:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Max Strus assists)23
12.6%
37
87.4%
Q2 - 11:16RaptorsTerence Davis turnover (lost ball) (Kendrick Nunn steals)21
11.8%
37
88.2%
Q2 - 11:27HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 221
10.9%
37
89.1%
Q2 - 11:27HeatKendrick Nunn misses regular free throw 1 of 220
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q2 - 11:27RaptorsYuta Watanabe shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)20
11.7%
37
88.3%
Q2 - 11:30RaptorsOG Anunoby turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)20
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q2 - 11:49HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)20
10.0%
37
90.0%
Q2 - 11:49HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (OG Anunoby draws the foul)20
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound20
11.0%
37
89.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot20
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q1 - 0:25.6HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 220
10.3%
37
89.7%
Q1 - 0:25.6HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 219
10.2%
37
89.8%
Q1 - 0:25.6RaptorsMalachi Flynn personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)18
10.0%
37
90.0%
Q1 - 0:31.9RaptorsTerence Davis makes three point jump shot (Malachi Flynn assists)18
9.3%
37
90.7%
Q1 - 0:56.1HeatMax Strus makes two point running layup18
11.2%
34
88.8%
Q1 - 1:00RaptorsMalachi Flynn turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)16
10.1%
34
89.9%
Q1 - 1:09RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound16
9.7%
34
90.3%
Q1 - 1:11HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot16
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q1 - 1:26RaptorsTerence Davis turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)16
10.3%
34
89.7%
Q1 - 1:39HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 216
9.7%
34
90.3%
Q1 - 1:39HeatKendrick Nunn misses regular free throw 1 of 215
9.6%
34
90.4%
Q1 - 1:39RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)15
10.3%
34
89.7%
Q1 - 1:42RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)15
9.5%
34
90.5%
Q1 - 1:49RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound15
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q1 - 1:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point putback layup15
9.1%
34
90.9%
Q1 - 1:52HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound15
9.5%
34
90.5%
Q1 - 1:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup15
9.1%
34
90.9%
Q1 - 2:06HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound15
10.0%
34
90.0%
Q1 - 2:09RaptorsOG Anunoby misses two point jump shot15
9.7%
34
90.3%
Q1 - 2:39HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving floating jump shot15
9.2%
34
90.8%
Q1 - 2:52RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point driving layup (Malachi Flynn assists)13
8.4%
34
91.6%
Q1 - 2:59HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (OG Anunoby steals)13
9.2%
32
90.8%
Q1 - 3:04RaptorsNorman Powell turnover (lost ball) (Kendrick Nunn steals)13
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q1 - 3:09RaptorsMalachi Flynn defensive rebound13
9.3%
32
90.7%
Q1 - 3:11HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup13
9.6%
32
90.4%
Q1 - 3:26RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 213
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q1 - 3:26RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 213
10.3%
31
89.7%
Q1 - 3:26HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)13
10.5%
30
89.5%
Q1 - 3:33HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul13
10.9%
30
89.1%
Q1 - 3:34RaptorsAron Baynes defensive rebound13
10.9%
30
89.1%
Q1 - 3:37HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point jump shot13
11.2%
30
88.8%
Q1 - 3:55RaptorsPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot13
11.9%
30
88.1%
Q1 - 4:07HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot13
14.3%
27
85.7%
Q1 - 4:19RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point running layup11
13.4%
27
86.6%
Q1 - 4:23HeatPrecious Achiuwa turnover (bad pass) (Norman Powell steals)11
14.2%
25
85.8%
Q1 - 4:37RaptorsAron Baynes turnover (offensive foul)11
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q1 - 4:37RaptorsAron Baynes offensive foul (Max Strus draws the foul)11
14.2%
25
85.8%
Q1 - 4:49RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound11
14.2%
25
85.8%
Q1 - 4:49HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot11
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 5:04RaptorsOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)11
16.1%
25
83.9%
Q1 - 5:15RaptorsNorman Powell defensive rebound11
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 5:17HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot11
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q1 - 5:29RaptorsAron Baynes makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)11
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q1 - 5:45HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)11
22.2%
19
77.8%
Q1 - 5:58RaptorsOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Aron Baynes assists)11
23.8%
19
76.2%
Q1 - 6:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot11
27.0%
16
73.0%
Q1 - 6:12HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound9
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 6:14HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving floating jump shot9
24.4%
16
75.6%
Q1 - 6:29RaptorsOG Anunoby personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)9
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 6:41RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point cutting layup (Fred VanVleet assists)9
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 6:55HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)9
27.0%
14
73.0%
Q1 - 7:02RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)7
25.7%
14
74.3%
Q1 - 7:12HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)7
24.1%
14
75.9%
Q1 - 7:23HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound7
25.6%
14
74.4%
Q1 - 7:26RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot7
25.2%
14
74.8%
Q1 - 7:41HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Aron Baynes steals)7
24.1%
14
75.9%
Q1 - 8:01RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 27
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 8:01RaptorsFred VanVleet misses regular free throw 1 of 27
26.0%
13
74.0%
Q1 - 8:01HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)7
24.8%
13
75.2%
Q1 - 8:17HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point driving dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)7
25.6%
13
74.4%
Q1 - 8:24HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound5
24.4%
13
75.6%
Q1 - 8:25RaptorsOG Anunoby misses two point driving reverse layup5
23.9%
13
76.1%
Q1 - 8:39HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)5
22.8%
13
77.2%
Q1 - 8:54RaptorsNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)2
20.4%
13
79.6%
Q1 - 9:04HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 9:20RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point pullup jump shot2
24.4%
10
75.6%
Q1 - 9:28HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)2
27.0%
7
73.0%
Q1 - 9:34HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)2
27.0%
7
73.0%
Q1 - 9:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)2
27.0%
7
73.0%
Q1 - 9:48RaptorsAron Baynes personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)0
25.8%
7
74.2%
Q1 - 10:11RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point pullup jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)0
25.6%
7
74.4%
Q1 - 10:17RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound0
26.9%
5
73.1%
Q1 - 10:17HeatBam Adebayo misses two point putback layup0
27.4%
5
72.6%
Q1 - 10:17HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound0
28.5%
5
71.5%
Q1 - 10:21HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup0
27.4%
5
72.6%
Q1 - 10:37RaptorsNorman Powell makes three point jump shot0
28.5%
5
71.5%
Q1 - 10:47RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound0
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 10:50HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot0
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 11:05RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point putback layup0
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 11:10RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive rebound0
34.7%
0
65.3%
Q1 - 11:10RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point driving layup0
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 11:25RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound0
34.7%
0
65.3%
Q1 - 11:26HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
35.3%
0
64.7%
Q1 - 11:39HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound0
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 11:43RaptorsAron Baynes misses three point jump shot0
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Aron Baynes (Pascal Siakam gains possession)0
34.7%
0
65.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.2%
TOR
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
21
57%
TOR
16
25
64%
Midrange
MIA
14
25
56%
TOR
6
19
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
31
23%
34%
TOR
17
25.5
40
43%
64%
Free Throws
MIA
8
10
80%
TOR
6
9
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Nunn2258%11.0 / 19
B. Adebayo1450%7.0 / 14
G. Dragic1350%6.5 / 13
D. Robinson1169%5.5 / 8
G. Vincent840%4.0 / 10
A. Iguodala542%2.5 / 6
P. Achiuwa4100%2.0 / 2
K. Olynyk220%1.0 / 5
M. Strus220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Powell2364%11.5 / 18
O. Anunoby2188%10.5 / 12
P. Siakam1554%7.5 / 14
F. VanVleet1341%6.5 / 16
T. Davis1260%6.0 / 10
C. Boucher550%2.5 / 5
A. Baynes330%1.5 / 5
M. Flynn330%1.5 / 5
S. Johnson3150%1.5 / 1
P. Watson3150%1.5 / 1
M. Thomas0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+7
-19
84
TOR
75
+16
-21
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.2%
TOR
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
112.0
MIA 84.4 +20.8
TOR 105.2
Pace
96.7
99.2
MIA 100.0 +7.8
TOR 92.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.3
MIA 14.4 +1.2
TOR 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
53.0%
MIA 47.4%
TOR 56.5% +9.1%
TO %
13.7%
12.5%
MIA 18.9% +1.1%
TOR 20.0%
ORB %
19.4%
20.8%
MIA 10.8%
TOR 30.0% +19.2%
FTrt
25.2
24.1
MIA 13.0 +2.3
TOR 10.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
60.7%
MIA 57.6% +1.2%
TOR 56.4%
STL %
8.2%
8.7%
MIA 13.5% +2.0%
TOR 11.5%
BLK %
8.5%
11.3%
MIA 9.1% +2.6%
TOR 6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
55.5%
MIA 48.2%
TOR 55.5% +7.3%
Rim FG%
64.8%
59.0%
MIA 57.1%
TOR 64.0% +6.9%
Mid FG%
41.8%
38.2%
MIA 56.0% +24.4%
TOR 31.6%
3P %
35.8%
36.8%
MIA 22.6%
TOR 42.5% +19.9%
FT %
79.0%
81.5%
MIA 80.0% +13.3%
TOR 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
34.8%
MIA 27.3%
TOR 29.8% +2.5%
Mid Att. %
23.5%
20.8%
MIA 32.5%
TOR 22.6% +9.8%
3P Att. %
43.2%
44.4%
MIA 40.3%
TOR 47.6% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points81101
Rebounds3245
Assists1922
Steals1311
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)21 (1)
Fouls1416
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)33 (4)
Field Goals33-7739-84
At-the-Rim FG12-2116-25
Midrange FG14-256-19
2-Point FG26-4622-44
3-Point FG7-3117-40
Free Throws8-106-9
Fast Break Pts1215
2nd Chance Pts612
Points in Paint4436
Pts off Turnovers2122
Bench Points3326
Biggest Lead022

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 27
34.3
11
69%
3
1
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
34.0
14
50%
8
4
0
0
4
2
3
5
2-2
100%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
29.7
13
50%
5
4
1
0
2
3
0
5
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
1-2
50%
#2 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25
23.6
8
40%
2
0
1
1
4
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-5
0%
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 30
20.7
2
20%
1
1
2
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
#25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25
38.6
22
58%
4
5
3
0
3
2
0
4
4-6
67%
6-8
75%
2-8
25%
#28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37
21.4
5
42%
5
1
5
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25
15.5
2
20%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-4
0%
#5 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 21
11.5
4
100%
1
1
1
2
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#8 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 28
6.4
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#4 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22
4.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Hip Flexor; Strain
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 29
NWT - Injury/Illness | Left Shoulder Strain
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
INACTIVE
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Neck; Spasms
#11 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
48%
32
19
13
4
19
14
4
28
8-10
80%
26-46
57%
7-31
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.