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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 22, 2021
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Mavericks51%113122
16Spurs49%112117
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 28.9
38
28
21
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
6-6
2-5
100%
49%
2-6
33%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 21.9
36
35
36
9
11
0
1
0
2
0
9
6-6
100%
9-16
7-13
56%
55%
4-12
33%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 25.5
33
30
21
8
1
1
1
2
0
1
7
4-4
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
49%
3-5
60%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 24.4
31
27
16
4
6
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
53%
3-5
60%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.2
17
21
2
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.9
25
24
4
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
56%
0-3
0%
Wes Iwundu
F · 6'7" 195 · 26.1
24
14
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 28.2
21
28
13
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
2-5
40%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
15
22
7
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
57%
0-0
-
Tyrell Terry
G · 6'3" 160 · 20.3
5
0
0-1
50%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 32.4
4
0
1-2
59%
Nate Hinton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.6
2
0
0-0
49%
Tyler Bey
F · 6'7" 215 · 22.9
2
0
0-0
52%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.4
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.7
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.5
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 29.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.5
41
28
29
6
6
1
1
0
1
0
6
13-16
81%
8-19
5-10
42%
52%
0-1
0%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 21.3
35
28
17
14
3
0
1
0
2
3
11
3-4
75%
7-11
3-7
64%
52%
0-3
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 35.5
30
24
26
9
2
0
0
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
7-11
4-8
64%
51%
4-7
57%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.1
29
26
9
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
3-7
43%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 24.3
1
31
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
5-10
-
49%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.4
37
24
13
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.4
26
20
16
4
2
0
1
2
1
2
2
3-4
75%
2-6
3-5
33%
50%
3-5
60%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.4
21
23
5
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 25.3
18
22
2
5
1
0
1
2
1
2
3
0-2
0%
1-3
3-5
33%
61%
0-0
-
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.0
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.2
9
0
1-1
52%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 21.0
1
0
0-0
53%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.0
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.4
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 25.0
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.