Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 29, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Nuggets	57%	114	109	112.4	97	99.8
	16	Spurs	43%	112	119	121.4	98	95.3

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

-15

SAS

+10

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.21 60.6%

SAS

1.24 62.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	38.7	35	67%	10	5	1	1	4	3	1	9	2-4	50%	9-13	69%	5-11	45%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	35.2	20	71%	6	7	2	1	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	7-10	70%	2-4	50%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	33.7	11	61%	3	1	2	0	1	1	0	3	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	30.1	9	50%	1	2	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	22.8	8	67%	5	2	0	1	0	1	1	4	6-8	75%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	23.1	10	45%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	20.0	3	75%	7	1	1	0	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23	18.9	9	75%	4	0	0	2	3	1	1	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	10.2	0	0%	0	3	2	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	5.1	2	33%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	0.6	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Arthroscopy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	61%	37	25	8	5	15	15	7	30	13-20	65%	27-47	57%	14-31	45%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	38.7	35	67%	10	5	1	1	4	3	1	9	2-4	50%	9-13	69%	5-11	45%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	35.2	20	71%	6	7	2	1	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	7-10	70%	2-4	50%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	33.7	11	61%	3	1	2	0	1	1	0	3	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	30.1	9	50%	1	2	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	22.8	8	67%	5	2	0	1	0	1	1	4	6-8	75%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	23.1	10	45%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	20.0	3	75%	7	1	1	0	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23	18.9	9	75%	4	0	0	2	3	1	1	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	10.2	0	0%	0	3	2	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	5.1	2	33%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	0.6	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Arthroscopy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	61%	37	25	8	5	15	15	7	30	13-20	65%	27-47	57%	14-31	45%

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16 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 31	36.2	30	88%	1	10	0	0	1	2	0	1	7-7	100%	10-12	83%	1-2	50%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	32.3	19	68%	9	3	1	1	1	0	4	5	0-0	-	8-12	67%	1-2	50%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	32.2	26	59%	7	3	1	0	2	5	2	5	5-7	71%	9-16	56%	1-3	33%
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	28.6	3	30%	5	3	0	0	4	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
LaMarcus Aldridge #12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 36	22.2	5	63%	3	3	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%

Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 32	27.6	17	77%	2	1	3	0	0	3	0	2	5-5	100%	0-1	0%	4-8	50%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	25.2	4	40%	6	1	1	0	0	2	3	3	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 20	17.6	9	90%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Rudy Gay #22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	16.3	6	33%	6	5	1	0	3	2	0	6	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 24	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	INACTIVE
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| "left second toe"; Injury Recovery - left second toe
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	62%	41	29	8	1	12	18	9	32	21-26	81%	34-58	59%	10-23	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.21 60.6%

SAS

1.24 62.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

52%

SAS

76%

Midrange

DEN

62%

SAS

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

21.0

45%

68%

SAS

15.0

43%

65%

Free Throws

DEN

65%

SAS

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	35	67%	17.5 / 26
J. Murray	20	71%	10.0 / 14
G. Harris	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Morris	10	45%	5.0 / 11
W. Barton	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Porter	9	75%	4.5 / 6
P. Millsap	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Green	3	75%	1.5 / 2
I. Hartenstein	2	33%	1.0 / 3
R. Hampton	2	100%	1.0 / 1
F. Campazzo	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	30	88%	15.0 / 17
D. Murray	26	59%	13.0 / 22
K. Johnson	19	68%	9.5 / 14
P. Mills	17	77%	8.5 / 11
D. Vassell	9	90%	4.5 / 5
R. Gay	6	33%	3.0 / 9
L. Aldridge	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Poeltl	4	40%	2.0 / 5
L. Walker IV	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 116.8 18 111.1	DEN 112.4 SAS 121.4 +9.1
Pace	28 97.4 16 98.9	DEN 99.8 +4.5 SAS 95.3
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.1 16 14.7	DEN 14.4 −0.7 SAS 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.7% 27 51.7%	DEN 61.5% +1.0% SAS 60.5%
TO %	13 13.0% 2 11.0%	DEN 15.6% SAS 12.3% −3.3%
ORB %	2 24.8% 27 20.1%	DEN 17.9% SAS 23.1% +5.2%
FTrt	28 21.9 14 24.3	DEN 25.6 SAS 32.1 +6.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 62.1% 20 58.4%	DEN 61.0% SAS 65.9% +4.9%
STL %	6 8.2% 22 7.0%	DEN 8.2% SAS 8.2%
BLK %	14 9.0% 15 8.9%	DEN 8.6% +6.5% SAS 2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 57.5% 24 54.4%	DEN 60.6% SAS 62.0% +1.4%
Rim FG%	6 63.9% 19 60.1%	DEN 52.4% SAS 75.9% +23.5%
Mid FG%	5 44.9% 14 43.2%	DEN 61.5% +20.1% SAS 41.4%
3P %	8 37.7% 24 35.0%	DEN 45.2% +1.7% SAS 43.5%
FT %	7 80.3% 10 79.2%	DEN 65.0% SAS 80.8% +15.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 33.5% 21 33.1%	DEN 26.9% SAS 35.8% +8.9%
Mid Att. %	22 28.2% 30 35.5%	DEN 33.3% −2.5% SAS 35.8%
3P Att. %	18 38.3% 30 31.4%	DEN 39.7% +11.3% SAS 28.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	SAS
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	109	119
Rebounds	37	41
Assists	25	29
Steals	8	8
Blocks	5	1
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls	15	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (1)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (0)	32 (0)
Field Goals	41-78	44-81
At-the-Rim FG	11-21	22-29
Midrange FG	16-26	12-29
2-Point FG	27-47	34-58
3-Point FG	14-31	10-23
Free Throws	13-20	21-26
Fast Break Pts	9	13
2nd Chance Pts	8	8
Points in Paint	36	54
Pts off Turnovers	19	20
Bench Points	26	36
Biggest Lead	4	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg