FinalWin Prob.pScore
657%114
109
1643%112
119
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
112.49799.8
SAS logo SAS
121.49895.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.109
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:23.3NuggetsR.J. Hampton makes two point driving floating jump shot109
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.4SpursQuinndary Weatherspoon turnover (traveling)107
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.2NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving layup107
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.8SpursDevin Vassell makes two point pullup jump shot (Patty Mills assists)105
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround jump shot105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21SpursDejounte Murray personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)103
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point stepback jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)103
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound103
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 1:50NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point floating jump shot103
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 1:59SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point cutting layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)103
0.6%
115
99.4%
Q4 - 2:14SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound103
0.8%
113
99.2%
Q4 - 2:17NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot103
1.0%
113
99.0%
Q4 - 2:31NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound103
1.7%
113
98.3%
Q4 - 2:34SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot103
1.3%
113
98.7%
Q4 - 2:55SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound103
1.4%
113
98.6%
Q4 - 2:59NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot103
1.6%
113
98.4%
Q4 - 3:08SpursDejounte Murray makes two point putback layup103
2.3%
113
97.7%
Q4 - 3:08SpursDejounte Murray offensive rebound103
3.0%
111
97.0%
Q4 - 3:09SpursDejounte Murray misses two point running layup103
4.3%
111
95.7%
Q4 - 3:13NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (lost ball) (Dejounte Murray steals)103
3.0%
111
97.0%
Q4 - 3:18NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound103
5.1%
111
94.9%
Q4 - 3:21SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot103
4.3%
111
95.7%
Q4 - 3:42NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (traveling)103
5.4%
111
94.6%
Q4 - 3:57NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound103
7.4%
111
92.6%
Q4 - 3:59SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point pullup jump shot103
6.6%
111
93.4%
Q4 - 4:14SpursKeldon Johnson offensive rebound103
5.0%
111
95.0%
Q4 - 4:17SpursJakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 2 of 2103
6.9%
111
93.1%
Q4 - 4:17SpursJakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 1 of 2103
6.0%
111
94.0%
Q4 - 4:17NuggetsWill Barton personal foul (Take) (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)103
5.1%
111
94.9%
Q4 - 4:24NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)103
5.0%
111
95.0%
Q4 - 4:31NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound100
2.5%
111
97.5%
Q4 - 4:34SpursDejounte Murray misses two point running layup100
2.2%
111
97.8%
Q4 - 4:36SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound100
1.7%
111
98.3%
Q4 - 4:40NuggetsKeldon Johnson blocks Monte Morris's two point running finger roll layup100
1.9%
111
98.1%
Q4 - 5:05SpursDejounte Murray makes two point running layup (Lonnie Walker IV assists)100
4.0%
111
96.0%
Q4 - 5:10NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (bad pass) (Jakob Poeltl steals)100
5.3%
109
94.7%
Q4 - 5:20SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point cutting layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)100
7.2%
109
92.8%
Q4 - 5:29NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Take) (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)100
9.4%
107
90.6%
Q4 - 5:29SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound100
9.4%
107
90.6%
Q4 - 5:32NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving layup100
10.3%
107
89.7%
Q4 - 5:50SpursDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)100
12.7%
107
87.3%
Q4 - 6:14NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)100
24.0%
104
76.0%
Q4 - 6:30SpursDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot97
15.6%
104
84.4%
Q4 - 6:52NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)97
19.0%
102
81.0%
Q4 - 7:16SpursDejounte Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 195
18.1%
102
81.9%
Q4 - 7:16NuggetsJaMychal Green technical foul95
19.1%
101
80.9%
Q4 - 7:16SpursDejounte Murray makes two point running dunk (Keldon Johnson assists)95
22.4%
101
77.6%
Q4 - 7:19NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Keldon Johnson steals)95
26.6%
99
73.4%
Q4 - 7:33SpursPatty Mills makes regular free throw 2 of 295
32.9%
99
67.1%
Q4 - 7:33SpursPatty Mills makes regular free throw 1 of 295
33.6%
98
66.4%
Q4 - 7:33NuggetsJaMychal Green shooting foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)95
34.4%
97
65.6%
Q4 - 7:36SpursPatty Mills defensive rebound95
38.2%
97
61.8%
Q4 - 7:38NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point floating jump shot95
40.4%
97
59.6%
Q4 - 7:59SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point putback layup95
45.6%
97
54.4%
Q4 - 7:59SpursKeldon Johnson offensive rebound95
51.4%
95
48.6%
Q4 - 8:04SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point driving floating jump shot95
56.3%
95
43.7%
Q4 - 8:12SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound95
51.9%
95
48.1%
Q4 - 8:14SpursDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot95
56.4%
95
43.6%
Q4 - 8:32NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)95
51.9%
95
48.1%
Q4 - 8:39SpursDejounte Murray personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)92
39.7%
95
60.3%
Q4 - 8:49SpursPatty Mills makes regular free throw 3 of 392
39.7%
95
60.3%
Q4 - 8:49SpursPatty Mills makes regular free throw 2 of 392
40.4%
94
59.6%
Q4 - 8:49SpursPatty Mills makes regular free throw 1 of 392
41.3%
93
58.7%
Q4 - 8:49NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)92
42.1%
92
57.9%
Q4 - 9:09NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)92
52.3%
92
47.7%
Q4 - 9:13NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound92
58.7%
92
41.3%
Q4 - 9:15SpursJakob Poeltl misses two point floating jump shot92
56.7%
92
43.3%
Q4 - 9:31NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jamal Murray assists)92
52.3%
92
47.7%
Q4 - 9:34NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound90
46.9%
92
53.1%
Q4 - 9:37SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot90
44.9%
92
55.1%
Q4 - 9:47SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound90
40.5%
92
59.5%
Q4 - 9:50NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point pullup jump shot90
42.4%
92
57.6%
Q4 - 10:00SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point putback layup90
46.8%
92
53.2%
Q4 - 10:00SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound90
52.3%
90
47.7%
Q4 - 10:01SpursMichael Porter Jr. blocks Rudy Gay's two point driving layup90
56.7%
90
43.3%
Q4 - 10:05SpursDejounte Murray offensive rebound90
52.6%
90
47.4%
Q4 - 10:07SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot90
56.7%
90
43.3%
Q4 - 10:10NuggetsFacundo Campazzo turnover (bad pass) (Patty Mills steals)90
52.6%
90
47.4%
Q4 - 10:14SpursLonnie Walker IV turnover (lost ball) (Facundo Campazzo steals)90
58.5%
90
41.5%
Q4 - 10:29NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 290
52.6%
90
47.4%
Q4 - 10:29NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 289
51.7%
90
48.3%
Q4 - 10:29SpursRudy Gay shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)89
56.1%
90
43.9%
Q4 - 10:32NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound89
53.0%
90
47.0%
Q4 - 10:35SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot89
51.2%
90
48.8%
Q4 - 10:41NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Take) (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)89
47.0%
90
53.0%
Q4 - 10:43NuggetsJaMychal Green turnover (bad pass) (Devin Vassell steals)89
47.0%
90
53.0%
Q4 - 10:55SpursRudy Gay turnover (traveling)89
53.0%
90
47.0%
Q4 - 11:00NuggetsFacundo Campazzo turnover (bad pass) (Patty Mills steals)89
47.0%
90
53.0%
Q4 - 11:12NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound89
52.5%
90
47.5%
Q4 - 11:14SpursJakob Poeltl misses two point floating jump shot89
50.9%
90
49.1%
Q4 - 11:29NuggetsJaMychal Green makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)89
47.3%
90
52.7%
Q4 - 11:42SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)86
36.9%
90
63.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.86
47.2%
87
52.8%
Q3 - 0:04.8NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 286
48.1%
87
51.9%
Q3 - 0:04.8NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 285
47.3%
87
52.7%
Q3 - 0:04.8SpursJakob Poeltl personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)84
46.5%
87
53.5%
Q3 - 0:08.9SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point fadeaway jump shot84
42.9%
87
57.1%
Q3 - 0:26.5SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound84
48.0%
85
52.0%
Q3 - 0:27.5NuggetsJaMychal Green misses two point tip layup84
49.5%
85
50.5%
Q3 - 0:27.5NuggetsJaMychal Green offensive rebound84
52.9%
85
47.1%
Q3 - 0:33.2NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot84
49.5%
85
50.5%
Q3 - 0:44.6SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point running pullup jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)84
52.9%
85
47.1%
Q3 - 0:49.1SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound84
58.0%
83
42.0%
Q3 - 0:51.2NuggetsMonte Morris misses regular free throw 2 of 284
58.6%
83
41.4%
Q3 - 0:51.2NuggetsMonte Morris makes regular free throw 1 of 284
62.0%
83
38.0%
Q3 - 0:51.2SpursDevin Vassell shooting foul (Monte Morris draws the foul)83
61.1%
83
38.9%
Q3 - 1:11SpursDevin Vassell makes two point pullup jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)83
58.3%
83
41.7%
Q3 - 1:27NuggetsGary Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 283
62.4%
81
37.6%
Q3 - 1:27NuggetsGary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 282
61.7%
81
38.3%
Q3 - 1:27SpursPatty Mills personal foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)81
60.7%
81
39.3%
Q3 - 1:27SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (bad pass) (Gary Harris steals)81
65.1%
81
34.9%
Q3 - 1:42SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound81
53.2%
81
46.8%
Q3 - 1:45NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot81
54.7%
81
45.3%
Q3 - 1:49NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound81
58.3%
81
41.7%
Q3 - 1:52SpursMichael Porter Jr. blocks Rudy Gay's two point driving dunk81
56.7%
81
43.3%
Q3 - 2:19NuggetsGary Harris makes three point jump shot (JaMychal Green assists)81
53.3%
81
46.7%
Q3 - 2:29NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound78
44.9%
81
55.1%
Q3 - 2:33SpursRudy Gay misses three point pullup jump shot78
43.3%
81
56.7%
Q3 - 2:49NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)78
39.9%
81
60.1%
Q3 - 3:16SpursRudy Gay makes two point driving finger roll layup78
45.6%
81
54.4%
Q3 - 3:22SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound78
49.3%
79
50.7%
Q3 - 3:24NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot78
50.8%
79
49.2%
Q3 - 3:38SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving layup78
54.2%
79
45.8%
Q3 - 3:46SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound78
57.8%
77
42.2%
Q3 - 3:49NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot78
59.3%
77
40.7%
Q3 - 3:58NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound78
62.6%
77
37.4%
Q3 - 4:00SpursPatty Mills misses two point turnaround bank jump shot78
61.2%
77
38.8%
Q3 - 4:14NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 2 of 278
58.0%
77
42.0%
Q3 - 4:14NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 1 of 277
57.1%
77
42.9%
Q3 - 4:14SpursJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)76
56.1%
77
43.9%
Q3 - 4:18NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound76
54.6%
77
45.4%
Q3 - 4:20SpursDevin Vassell misses three point jump shot76
53.1%
77
46.9%
Q3 - 4:35NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot76
49.7%
77
50.3%
Q3 - 4:55SpursKeldon Johnson turnover (out of bounds step)74
46.3%
77
53.7%
Q3 - 5:09NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)74
42.6%
77
57.4%
Q3 - 5:20SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving finger roll layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)72
39.0%
77
61.0%
Q3 - 5:43NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Will Barton assists)72
42.5%
75
57.5%
Q3 - 5:59SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)70
39.0%
75
61.0%
Q3 - 6:10SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound70
43.2%
73
56.8%
Q3 - 6:13NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 270
43.8%
73
56.2%
Q3 - 6:13NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 270
46.5%
73
53.5%
Q3 - 6:13SpursLaMarcus Aldridge shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)70
49.7%
73
50.3%
Q3 - 6:32SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot70
47.3%
73
52.7%
Q3 - 6:44NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)70
50.9%
71
49.1%
Q3 - 6:56NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound70
55.0%
71
45.0%
Q3 - 6:58SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point stepback jump shot70
53.7%
71
46.3%
Q3 - 7:12NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 2 of 270
50.7%
71
49.3%
Q3 - 7:12NuggetsPaul Millsap misses regular free throw 1 of 269
49.9%
71
50.1%
Q3 - 7:12SpursLonnie Walker IV shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)69
52.8%
71
47.2%
Q3 - 7:12NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound69
51.4%
71
48.6%
Q3 - 7:13NuggetsGary Harris misses three point jump shot69
48.3%
71
51.7%
Q3 - 7:19NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound69
51.4%
71
48.6%
Q3 - 7:21SpursNikola Jokic blocks Lonnie Walker IV's two point driving layup69
50.0%
71
50.0%
Q3 - 7:28SpursKeldon Johnson offensive rebound69
47.0%
71
53.0%
Q3 - 7:29SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point driving finger roll layup69
50.0%
71
50.0%
Q3 - 7:34SpursKeldon Johnson offensive rebound69
47.0%
71
53.0%
Q3 - 7:36SpursDeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot69
50.0%
71
50.0%
Q3 - 7:52SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound69
47.0%
71
53.0%
Q3 - 7:55NuggetsGary Harris misses regular free throw 2 of 269
47.6%
71
52.4%
Q3 - 7:55NuggetsGary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 269
50.1%
71
49.9%
Q3 - 7:55SpursDeMar DeRozan shooting foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)68
49.3%
71
50.7%
Q3 - 7:59NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound68
47.6%
71
52.4%
Q3 - 8:02SpursLonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot68
46.7%
71
53.3%
Q3 - 8:23NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point layup (Will Barton assists)68
43.7%
71
56.3%
Q3 - 8:45SpursDejounte Murray personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)66
40.8%
71
59.2%
Q3 - 8:45NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound66
40.8%
71
59.2%
Q3 - 8:45SpursJamal Murray blocks Dejounte Murray's two point driving layup66
39.5%
71
60.5%
Q3 - 9:08NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)66
37.5%
71
62.5%
Q3 - 9:19SpursDejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)63
31.5%
71
68.5%
Q3 - 9:42NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot63
28.1%
71
71.9%
Q3 - 10:01SpursDejounte Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup (Keldon Johnson assists)61
26.8%
71
73.2%
Q3 - 10:04SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound61
29.1%
69
70.9%
Q3 - 10:08NuggetsWill Barton misses three point running jump shot61
30.1%
69
69.9%
Q3 - 10:13SpursLonnie Walker IV turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)61
32.5%
69
67.5%
Q3 - 10:27NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 2 of 261
29.0%
69
71.0%
Q3 - 10:27NuggetsPaul Millsap misses regular free throw 1 of 260
28.4%
69
71.6%
Q3 - 10:27SpursDejounte Murray shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)60
30.6%
69
69.4%
Q3 - 10:36SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 160
29.5%
69
70.5%
Q3 - 10:36NuggetsWill Barton shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)60
29.8%
68
70.2%
Q3 - 10:45NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)60
35.0%
66
65.0%
Q3 - 11:02SpursDeMar DeRozan makes three point jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)57
30.3%
66
69.7%
Q3 - 11:09SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound57
36.0%
63
64.0%
Q3 - 11:12NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot57
37.0%
63
63.0%
Q3 - 11:25SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point turnaround bank jump shot57
39.4%
63
60.6%
Q3 - 11:44NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot57
42.3%
61
57.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.55
39.3%
61
60.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound55
39.3%
61
60.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot55
36.9%
61
63.1%
Q2 - 0:05.9SpursPatty Mills personal foul (Take) (Jamal Murray draws the foul)55
39.8%
61
60.2%
Q2 - 0:12.4SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point bank jump shot55
39.8%
61
60.2%
Q2 - 0:32.4NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)55
43.7%
59
56.3%
Q2 - 0:40.1SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 2 of 253
39.7%
59
60.3%
Q2 - 0:40.1SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 1 of 253
40.2%
58
59.8%
Q2 - 0:40.1NuggetsJaMychal Green shooting foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)53
40.8%
57
59.2%
Q2 - 0:54.2NuggetsWill Barton turnover (out of bounds step)53
43.7%
57
56.3%
Q2 - 1:14NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound53
46.5%
57
53.5%
Q2 - 1:17SpursPatty Mills misses three point running pullup jump shot53
45.9%
57
54.1%
Q2 - 1:23SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound53
44.6%
57
55.4%
Q2 - 1:27NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving layup53
45.2%
57
54.8%
Q2 - 1:32NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound53
46.5%
57
53.5%
Q2 - 1:34SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point floating jump shot53
45.9%
57
54.1%
Q2 - 1:44SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound53
44.6%
57
55.4%
Q2 - 1:46NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot53
45.2%
57
54.8%
Q2 - 2:04NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound53
47.8%
57
52.2%
Q2 - 2:07SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point turnaround hook shot53
46.8%
57
53.2%
Q2 - 2:16SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound53
44.7%
57
55.3%
Q2 - 2:19NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot53
45.6%
57
54.4%
Q2 - 2:32NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound53
47.7%
57
52.3%
Q2 - 2:34SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point floating jump shot53
46.8%
57
53.2%
Q2 - 2:58NuggetsWill Barton makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)53
44.7%
57
55.3%
Q2 - 3:13NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound51
42.6%
57
57.4%
Q2 - 3:16SpursKeldon Johnson misses three point jump shot51
41.6%
57
58.4%
Q2 - 3:30NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 2 of 251
39.4%
57
60.6%
Q2 - 3:30NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 1 of 250
38.9%
57
61.1%
Q2 - 3:30SpursLonnie Walker IV shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)49
38.2%
57
61.8%
Q2 - 3:40NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound49
37.0%
57
63.0%
Q2 - 3:44SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot49
36.1%
57
63.9%
Q2 - 4:07NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot49
35.3%
57
64.7%
Q2 - 4:19NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound47
32.8%
57
67.2%
Q2 - 4:21SpursDejounte Murray misses three point pullup jump shot47
32.0%
57
68.0%
Q2 - 4:35SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound47
30.3%
57
69.7%
Q2 - 4:39NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot47
31.1%
57
68.9%
Q2 - 4:53SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving floating jump shot47
32.7%
57
67.3%
Q2 - 5:05NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)47
35.6%
55
64.4%
Q2 - 5:15SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 245
33.6%
55
66.4%
Q2 - 5:15SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 245
33.9%
54
66.1%
Q2 - 5:15NuggetsWill Barton shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)45
34.3%
53
65.7%
Q2 - 5:34SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound45
35.6%
53
64.4%
Q2 - 5:40NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot45
36.5%
53
63.5%
Q2 - 5:46SpursDejounte Murray personal foul (Monte Morris draws the foul)45
38.6%
53
61.4%
Q2 - 5:55SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving finger roll layup (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)45
38.6%
53
61.4%
Q2 - 6:16NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)45
41.1%
51
58.9%
Q2 - 6:16NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (Charge) (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)45
44.3%
51
55.7%
Q2 - 6:23SpursDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)45
44.3%
51
55.7%
Q2 - 6:38NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)45
46.4%
49
53.6%
Q2 - 6:52SpursDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 243
44.3%
49
55.7%
Q2 - 6:52SpursDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 243
44.8%
48
55.2%
Q2 - 6:52NuggetsJaMychal Green shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)43
45.4%
47
54.6%
Q2 - 6:53SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound43
46.4%
47
53.6%
Q2 - 6:54NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein misses two point tip layup43
47.4%
47
52.6%
Q2 - 6:54NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound43
49.7%
47
50.3%
Q2 - 6:58NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point running jump shot43
47.4%
47
52.6%
Q2 - 7:03SpursRudy Gay turnover (lost ball) (JaMychal Green steals)43
49.9%
47
50.1%
Q2 - 7:09NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein turnover (bad pass) (Rudy Gay steals)43
47.2%
47
52.8%
Q2 - 7:29SpursDejounte Murray makes two point dunk (Rudy Gay assists)43
49.9%
47
50.1%
Q2 - 7:32SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound43
52.3%
45
47.7%
Q2 - 7:34SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot43
54.2%
45
45.8%
Q2 - 7:58NuggetsMonte Morris makes three point jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)43
52.3%
45
47.7%
Q2 - 8:12SpursLonnie Walker IV turnover (lost ball) (Facundo Campazzo steals)40
47.2%
45
52.8%
Q2 - 8:36NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)40
44.6%
45
55.4%
Q2 - 8:40NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound37
39.7%
45
60.3%
Q2 - 8:44SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot37
38.9%
45
61.1%
Q2 - 8:54NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (traveling)37
37.2%
45
62.8%
Q2 - 9:10SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point reverse layup (Rudy Gay assists)37
40.0%
45
60.0%
Q2 - 9:32NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)37
42.3%
43
57.7%
Q2 - 9:48NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound34
37.6%
43
62.4%
Q2 - 9:51SpursDevin Vassell misses regular free throw 3 of 334
37.3%
43
62.7%
Q2 - 9:51SpursDevin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 334
35.6%
43
64.4%
Q2 - 9:51SpursDevin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 334
36.1%
42
63.9%
Q2 - 9:51NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)34
36.5%
41
63.5%
Q2 - 10:05NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point pullup jump shot34
40.4%
41
59.6%
Q2 - 10:28SpursRudy Gay turnover (offensive foul)32
38.2%
41
61.8%
Q2 - 10:28SpursRudy Gay offensive foul (Facundo Campazzo draws the foul)32
35.7%
41
64.3%
Q2 - 10:29SpursPatty Mills defensive rebound32
35.7%
41
64.3%
Q2 - 10:31NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein misses two point cutting layup32
36.5%
41
63.5%
Q2 - 10:51NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound32
38.2%
41
61.8%
Q2 - 10:54SpursDejounte Murray misses regular free throw 2 of 232
37.8%
41
62.2%
Q2 - 10:54SpursDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 232
36.3%
41
63.7%
Q2 - 10:54NuggetsMonte Morris shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)32
36.8%
40
63.2%
Q2 - 10:55SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound32
38.0%
40
62.0%
Q2 - 10:58NuggetsFacundo Campazzo misses two point floating jump shot32
38.7%
40
61.3%
Q2 - 11:22SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)32
40.9%
40
59.1%
Q2 - 11:43NuggetsIsaiah Hartenstein makes two point floating jump shot (Monte Morris assists)32
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.30
43.2%
37
56.8%
Q1 - 0:01.7SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound30
41.5%
37
58.5%
Q1 - 0:01.7NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot30
42.0%
37
58.0%
Q1 - 0:07.7SpursPatty Mills personal foul (Take) (Monte Morris draws the foul)30
43.2%
37
56.8%
Q1 - 0:13.7SpursRudy Gay makes two point driving layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)30
43.2%
37
56.8%
Q1 - 0:30.7SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound30
46.0%
35
54.0%
Q1 - 0:32.8NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point pullup jump shot30
46.6%
35
53.4%
Q1 - 0:41.6SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)30
47.9%
35
52.1%
Q1 - 0:56.1SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound30
53.0%
32
47.0%
Q1 - 0:58.7NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point turnaround jump shot30
53.6%
32
46.4%
Q1 - 1:13SpursRudy Gay makes two point pullup jump shot30
54.9%
32
45.1%
Q1 - 1:20SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound30
57.7%
30
42.3%
Q1 - 1:23NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot30
58.2%
30
41.8%
Q1 - 1:35NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound30
59.4%
30
40.6%
Q1 - 1:40SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot30
58.9%
30
41.1%
Q1 - 1:49NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Patty Mills steals)30
57.7%
30
42.3%
Q1 - 2:01NuggetsJaMychal Green defensive rebound30
59.8%
30
40.2%
Q1 - 2:06SpursRudy Gay misses two point pullup jump shot30
59.1%
30
40.9%
Q1 - 2:23NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot30
57.7%
30
42.3%
Q1 - 2:50SpursDevin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)28
55.4%
30
44.6%
Q1 - 3:05NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point tip layup28
59.3%
27
40.7%
Q1 - 3:05NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound26
57.5%
27
42.5%
Q1 - 3:11NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot26
55.8%
27
44.2%
Q1 - 3:25SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 226
57.6%
27
42.4%
Q1 - 3:25SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 226
57.8%
26
42.2%
Q1 - 3:25NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)26
58.2%
25
41.8%
Q1 - 3:41NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point tip layup26
59.4%
25
40.6%
Q1 - 3:41NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound24
57.6%
25
42.4%
Q1 - 3:46NuggetsWill Barton misses two point driving layup24
55.8%
25
44.2%
Q1 - 4:00SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)24
57.6%
25
42.4%
Q1 - 4:10NuggetsGary Harris turnover (traveling)24
61.6%
22
38.4%
Q1 - 4:23SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point turnaround jump shot24
63.9%
22
36.1%
Q1 - 4:45NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point running pullup jump shot24
65.5%
20
34.5%
Q1 - 4:48SpursLonnie Walker IV turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)21
61.9%
20
38.1%
Q1 - 4:58SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound21
59.5%
20
40.5%
Q1 - 5:02NuggetsGary Harris misses three point jump shot21
60.4%
20
39.6%
Q1 - 5:09SpursDeMar DeRozan personal foul (Will Barton draws the foul)21
61.8%
20
38.2%
Q1 - 5:16SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes three point jump shot (Lonnie Walker IV assists)21
61.8%
20
38.2%
Q1 - 5:33NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point pullup jump shot21
65.4%
17
34.6%
Q1 - 5:35NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound18
61.8%
17
38.2%
Q1 - 5:40SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot18
61.2%
17
38.8%
Q1 - 5:57NuggetsWill Barton makes three point pullup jump shot18
59.7%
17
40.3%
Q1 - 6:05SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 215
55.8%
17
44.2%
Q1 - 6:05SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 215
56.1%
16
43.9%
Q1 - 6:05NuggetsGary Harris shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)15
56.4%
15
43.6%
Q1 - 6:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point pullup jump shot15
57.9%
15
42.1%
Q1 - 6:38SpursKeldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)13
55.9%
15
44.1%
Q1 - 7:01SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound13
59.8%
12
40.2%
Q1 - 7:03NuggetsGary Harris misses three point jump shot13
60.4%
12
39.6%
Q1 - 7:24SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving layup (Lonnie Walker IV assists)13
61.8%
12
38.2%
Q1 - 7:35SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound13
63.4%
10
36.6%
Q1 - 7:37NuggetsWill Barton misses two point tip layup13
64.0%
10
36.0%
Q1 - 7:37NuggetsWill Barton offensive rebound13
65.3%
10
34.7%
Q1 - 7:38NuggetsGary Harris misses two point running layup13
64.0%
10
36.0%
Q1 - 7:40SpursDejounte Murray turnover (lost ball) (Gary Harris steals)13
65.3%
10
34.7%
Q1 - 8:03NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving dunk13
63.7%
10
36.3%
Q1 - 8:14SpursDejounte Murray makes two point driving layup (Keldon Johnson assists)11
62.2%
10
37.8%
Q1 - 8:37NuggetsGary Harris makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)11
63.7%
8
36.3%
Q1 - 8:50SpursLonnie Walker IV makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)9
62.2%
8
37.8%
Q1 - 9:08NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving layup (Paul Millsap assists)9
65.2%
5
34.8%
Q1 - 9:27SpursDejounte Murray makes two point driving layup7
63.8%
5
36.2%
Q1 - 9:42NuggetsWill Barton makes two point driving reverse layup (Gary Harris assists)7
65.2%
3
34.8%
Q1 - 9:53NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound5
63.9%
3
36.1%
Q1 - 9:56SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point pullup jump shot5
63.2%
3
36.8%
Q1 - 10:15NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Paul Millsap assists)5
61.8%
3
38.2%
Q1 - 10:27SpursSpurs turnover (shot clock violation)3
60.2%
3
39.8%
Q1 - 10:28SpursSpurs offensive rebound3
58.2%
3
41.8%
Q1 - 10:28SpursPaul Millsap blocks Keldon Johnson's two point driving layup3
59.6%
3
40.4%
Q1 - 10:53NuggetsGary Harris makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)3
58.2%
3
41.8%
Q1 - 10:55NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound0
54.7%
3
45.3%
Q1 - 10:58NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot0
53.3%
3
46.7%
Q1 - 11:24SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point cutting layup (Dejounte Murray assists)0
54.8%
3
45.2%
Q1 - 11:30SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound0
56.4%
1
43.6%
Q1 - 11:33NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving layup0
57.0%
1
43.0%
Q1 - 11:47SpursDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 20
58.4%
1
41.6%
Q1 - 11:47SpursDejounte Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 20
58.8%
0
41.2%
Q1 - 11:47NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)0
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jokic vs. LaMarcus Aldridge (Keldon Johnson gains possession)0
58.3%
0
41.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.21 60.6%
SAS
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
11
21
52%
SAS
22
29
76%
Midrange
DEN
16
26
62%
SAS
12
29
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
14
21.0
31
45%
68%
SAS
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
DEN
13
20
65%
SAS
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić3567%17.5 / 26
J. Murray2071%10.0 / 14
G. Harris1161%5.5 / 9
M. Morris1045%5.0 / 11
W. Barton950%4.5 / 9
M. Porter975%4.5 / 6
P. Millsap867%4.0 / 6
J. Green375%1.5 / 2
I. Hartenstein233%1.0 / 3
R. Hampton2100%1.0 / 1
F. Campazzo0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3088%15.0 / 17
D. Murray2659%13.0 / 22
K. Johnson1968%9.5 / 14
P. Mills1777%8.5 / 11
D. Vassell990%4.5 / 5
R. Gay633%3.0 / 9
L. Aldridge563%2.5 / 4
J. Poeltl440%2.0 / 5
L. Walker IV330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
82
+8
-15
90
SAS
86
+10
-12
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.21 60.6%
SAS
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.8
111.1
DEN 112.4
SAS 121.4 +9.1
Pace
97.4
98.9
DEN 99.8 +4.5
SAS 95.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.7
DEN 14.4 +0.7
SAS 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.7%
51.7%
DEN 61.5% +1.0%
SAS 60.5%
TO %
13.0%
11.0%
DEN 15.6%
SAS 12.3% +3.3%
ORB %
24.8%
20.1%
DEN 17.9%
SAS 23.1% +5.2%
FTrt
21.9
24.3
DEN 25.6
SAS 32.1 +6.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
58.4%
DEN 61.0%
SAS 65.9% +4.9%
STL %
8.2%
7.0%
DEN 8.2%
SAS 8.2%
BLK %
9.0%
8.9%
DEN 8.6% +6.5%
SAS 2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
54.4%
DEN 60.6%
SAS 62.0% +1.4%
Rim FG%
63.9%
60.1%
DEN 52.4%
SAS 75.9% +23.5%
Mid FG%
44.9%
43.2%
DEN 61.5% +20.1%
SAS 41.4%
3P %
37.7%
35.0%
DEN 45.2% +1.7%
SAS 43.5%
FT %
80.3%
79.2%
DEN 65.0%
SAS 80.8% +15.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
33.1%
DEN 26.9%
SAS 35.8% +8.9%
Mid Att. %
28.2%
35.5%
DEN 33.3% +2.5%
SAS 35.8%
3P Att. %
38.3%
31.4%
DEN 39.7% +11.3%
SAS 28.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points109119
Rebounds3741
Assists2529
Steals88
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)12 (1)
Fouls1518
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)32 (0)
Field Goals41-7844-81
At-the-Rim FG11-2122-29
Midrange FG16-2612-29
2-Point FG27-4734-58
3-Point FG14-3110-23
Free Throws13-2021-26
Fast Break Pts913
2nd Chance Pts88
Points in Paint3654
Pts off Turnovers1920
Bench Points2636
Biggest Lead414

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26
38.7
35
67%
10
5
1
1
4
3
1
9
2-4
50%
9-13
69%
5-11
45%
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24
35.2
20
71%
6
7
2
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
7-10
70%
2-4
50%
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26
33.7
11
61%
3
1
2
0
1
1
0
3
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30
30.1
9
50%
1
2
0
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36
22.8
8
67%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
6-8
75%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 26
23.1
10
45%
0
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
1-5
20%
#0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31
20.0
3
75%
7
1
1
0
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23
18.9
9
75%
4
0
0
2
3
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
#7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30
10.2
0
0%
0
3
2
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23
5.1
2
33%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20
0.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#22 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 20
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring; Strain
#3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Arthroscopy
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
61%
37
25
8
5
15
15
7
30
13-20
65%
27-47
57%
14-31
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.