FinalWin Prob.pScore
2137%112
104
1963%116
105
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
110.69493.1
MIA logo MIA
112.99394.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.104
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:00.1KingsKings offensive rebound104
2.3%
105
97.7%
Q4 - 0:00.3KingsBam Adebayo blocks Richaun Holmes's two point fadeaway jump shot104
1.2%
105
98.8%
Q4 - 0:04.6HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)104
8.5%
105
91.5%
Q4 - 0:04.6HeatHeat offensive rebound104
3.0%
105
97.0%
Q4 - 0:05.5HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot104
22.1%
105
77.9%
Q4 - 0:20.7KingsDe'Aaron Fox personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)104
15.0%
105
85.0%
Q4 - 0:23.4HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound104
15.4%
105
84.6%
Q4 - 0:25.4KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses two point driving reverse layup104
20.3%
105
79.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0KingsDe'Aaron Fox offensive rebound104
34.2%
105
65.8%
Q4 - 0:30.6KingsDuncan Robinson blocks De'Aaron Fox's two point driving layup104
20.9%
105
79.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround bank jump shot104
36.1%
105
63.9%
Q4 - 0:56.8HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound104
49.7%
103
50.3%
Q4 - 1:00KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot104
54.5%
103
45.5%
Q4 - 1:23KingsBuddy Hield defensive rebound104
62.1%
103
37.9%
Q4 - 1:23HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot104
57.6%
103
42.4%
Q4 - 1:24HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound104
46.8%
103
53.2%
Q4 - 1:28HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot104
57.0%
103
43.0%
Q4 - 1:44KingsBuddy Hield makes three point pullup jump shot104
46.7%
103
53.3%
Q4 - 1:47HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Buddy Hield steals)101
26.8%
103
73.2%
Q4 - 1:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound101
18.0%
103
82.0%
Q4 - 1:52KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot101
20.4%
103
79.6%
Q4 - 1:57KingsDe'Aaron Fox defensive rebound101
26.7%
103
73.3%
Q4 - 2:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot101
23.8%
103
76.2%
Q4 - 2:21KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point bank jump shot101
16.2%
103
83.8%
Q4 - 2:32HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)99
13.2%
103
86.8%
Q4 - 2:52KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point turnaround jump shot99
18.4%
101
81.6%
Q4 - 3:11HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)97
14.4%
101
85.6%
Q4 - 3:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound97
8.5%
101
91.5%
Q4 - 3:22KingsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot97
9.9%
101
90.1%
Q4 - 3:45HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 297
16.4%
101
83.6%
Q4 - 3:45HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 297
17.1%
100
82.9%
Q4 - 3:45KingsHarrison Barnes shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)97
17.8%
99
82.2%
Q4 - 3:54KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point running layup97
21.4%
99
78.6%
Q4 - 3:56HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (De'Aaron Fox steals)95
16.3%
99
83.7%
Q4 - 4:05KingsTyrese Haliburton makes two point driving dunk95
11.6%
99
88.4%
Q4 - 4:17HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 293
8.5%
99
91.5%
Q4 - 4:17HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 293
9.1%
98
90.9%
Q4 - 4:17KingsRichaun Holmes shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)93
9.8%
97
90.2%
Q4 - 4:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound93
11.5%
97
88.5%
Q4 - 4:26KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 293
12.0%
97
88.0%
Q4 - 4:26KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 293
14.6%
97
85.4%
Q4 - 4:26HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)92
13.4%
97
86.6%
Q4 - 4:33KingsTyrese Haliburton offensive rebound92
11.7%
97
88.3%
Q4 - 4:34KingsRichaun Holmes misses two point turnaround hook shot92
9.2%
97
90.8%
Q4 - 4:51HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Richaun Holmes draws the foul)92
11.7%
97
88.3%
Q4 - 4:58HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)92
11.7%
97
88.3%
Q4 - 5:22KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point driving layup92
22.6%
94
77.4%
Q4 - 5:33KingsTyrese Haliburton offensive rebound90
17.7%
94
82.3%
Q4 - 5:37KingsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot90
14.5%
94
85.5%
Q4 - 5:45HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Richaun Holmes draws the foul)90
17.7%
94
82.3%
Q4 - 5:54KingsRichaun Holmes defensive rebound90
17.7%
94
82.3%
Q4 - 5:59HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot90
16.2%
94
83.8%
Q4 - 6:18HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound90
14.6%
94
85.4%
Q4 - 6:23KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot90
15.9%
94
84.1%
Q4 - 6:40HeatMax Strus makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)90
19.3%
94
80.7%
Q4 - 6:56HeatHeat defensive rebound90
23.4%
92
76.6%
Q4 - 6:56KingsBuddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot90
25.3%
92
74.7%
Q4 - 7:15HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 290
30.5%
92
69.5%
Q4 - 7:15HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 290
31.2%
91
68.8%
Q4 - 7:15KingsHarrison Barnes shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)90
26.5%
91
73.5%
Q4 - 7:26KingsBuddy Hield turnover (traveling)90
29.7%
91
70.3%
Q4 - 7:38KingsRichaun Holmes defensive rebound90
36.4%
91
63.6%
Q4 - 7:42HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot90
34.3%
91
65.7%
Q4 - 7:59KingsRichaun Holmes makes two point dunk (De'Aaron Fox assists)90
29.6%
91
70.4%
Q4 - 8:12HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Buddy Hield steals)88
25.4%
91
74.6%
Q4 - 8:31KingsDe'Aaron Fox turnover (out of bounds bad pass)88
20.8%
91
79.2%
Q4 - 8:34KingsDe'Aaron Fox defensive rebound88
25.4%
91
74.6%
Q4 - 8:37HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot88
23.9%
91
76.1%
Q4 - 8:55KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes three point stepback jump shot88
20.8%
91
79.2%
Q4 - 9:11HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)85
14.7%
91
85.3%
Q4 - 9:31KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes three point stepback jump shot85
11.7%
91
88.3%
Q4 - 9:49KingsTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound82
7.8%
91
92.2%
Q4 - 9:53HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot82
7.2%
91
92.8%
Q4 - 9:56HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound82
6.1%
91
93.9%
Q4 - 10:00KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot82
6.6%
91
93.4%
Q4 - 10:05HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (lost ball) (Buddy Hield steals)82
8.7%
91
91.3%
Q4 - 10:12KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point stepback jump shot82
6.9%
91
93.1%
Q4 - 10:33HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)80
5.7%
91
94.3%
Q4 - 10:59KingsHassan Whiteside makes two point dunk (De'Aaron Fox assists)80
8.4%
88
91.6%
Q4 - 11:17HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)78
7.6%
88
92.4%
Q4 - 11:30KingsHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 2 of 278
9.2%
86
90.8%
Q4 - 11:30KingsHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 277
8.6%
86
91.4%
Q4 - 11:30HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)77
9.7%
86
90.3%
Q4 - 11:43HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)77
9.2%
86
90.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.77
11.1%
84
88.9%
Q3 - 0:00.1KingsKings offensive rebound77
14.2%
84
85.8%
Q3 - 0:00.6KingsKyle Guy misses three point jump shot77
12.7%
84
87.3%
Q3 - 0:16.3HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)77
14.2%
84
85.8%
Q3 - 0:28.9KingsCory Joseph turnover (out of bounds bad pass)77
19.9%
81
80.1%
Q3 - 0:44.3KingsTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound77
23.2%
81
76.8%
Q3 - 0:46.7HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot77
22.1%
81
77.9%
Q3 - 1:07HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound77
20.3%
81
79.7%
Q3 - 1:10KingsKyle Guy misses three point stepback jump shot77
21.3%
81
78.7%
Q3 - 1:14KingsCory Joseph offensive rebound77
23.9%
81
76.1%
Q3 - 1:17KingsTyrese Haliburton misses three point jump shot77
21.3%
81
78.7%
Q3 - 1:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 277
23.9%
81
76.1%
Q3 - 1:29HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 277
24.3%
80
75.7%
Q3 - 1:29KingsKyle Guy shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)77
21.4%
80
78.6%
Q3 - 1:41KingsHassan Whiteside makes two point hook shot (Kyle Guy assists)77
23.5%
80
76.5%
Q3 - 1:51HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Kyle Guy draws the foul)75
20.5%
80
79.5%
Q3 - 1:55HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Guy steals)75
20.5%
80
79.5%
Q3 - 1:57HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound75
17.3%
80
82.7%
Q3 - 1:59HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot75
19.5%
80
80.5%
Q3 - 2:19KingsMarvin Bagley III makes two point layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)75
17.9%
80
82.1%
Q3 - 2:24HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Cory Joseph steals)73
15.7%
80
84.3%
Q3 - 2:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound73
13.2%
80
86.8%
Q3 - 2:41KingsTyrese Haliburton misses three point jump shot73
13.9%
80
86.1%
Q3 - 2:45KingsKings offensive rebound73
15.7%
80
84.3%
Q3 - 2:45KingsCory Joseph misses two point driving floating jump shot73
13.9%
80
86.1%
Q3 - 2:59HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Kyle Guy draws the foul)73
15.7%
80
84.3%
Q3 - 3:00KingsKyle Guy offensive rebound73
15.7%
80
84.3%
Q3 - 3:05KingsKyle Guy misses three point jump shot73
14.6%
80
85.4%
Q3 - 3:23HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot73
16.4%
80
83.6%
Q3 - 3:29KingsHassan Whiteside turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)73
21.3%
77
78.7%
Q3 - 3:30KingsHassan Whiteside defensive rebound73
24.8%
77
75.2%
Q3 - 3:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot73
23.6%
77
76.4%
Q3 - 3:55KingsTyrese Haliburton makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kyle Guy assists)73
21.2%
77
78.8%
Q3 - 4:08HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 2 of 271
19.4%
77
80.6%
Q3 - 4:08HeatAndre Iguodala misses regular free throw 1 of 271
20.3%
76
79.7%
Q3 - 4:08KingsKyle Guy shooting foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)71
18.8%
76
81.2%
Q3 - 4:12HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound71
18.9%
76
81.1%
Q3 - 4:15KingsTyrese Haliburton misses three point jump shot71
19.8%
76
80.2%
Q3 - 4:36HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot71
22.1%
76
77.9%
Q3 - 4:49HeatHeat defensive rebound71
24.5%
74
75.5%
Q3 - 4:50KingsTyrese Haliburton misses three point stepback jump shot71
25.6%
74
74.4%
Q3 - 4:56KingsBuddy Hield defensive rebound71
28.3%
74
71.7%
Q3 - 5:00HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot71
27.1%
74
72.9%
Q3 - 5:26KingsMarvin Bagley III makes three point jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)71
25.2%
74
74.8%
Q3 - 5:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)68
19.8%
74
80.2%
Q3 - 5:57KingsBuddy Hield turnover (offensive foul)68
25.1%
71
74.9%
Q3 - 5:57KingsBuddy Hield offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)68
28.5%
71
71.5%
Q3 - 6:11KingsBuddy Hield defensive rebound68
28.5%
71
71.5%
Q3 - 6:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot68
27.5%
71
72.5%
Q3 - 6:28KingsDe'Aaron Fox personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)68
25.3%
71
74.7%
Q3 - 6:29HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound68
25.3%
71
74.7%
Q3 - 6:32KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot68
26.2%
71
73.8%
Q3 - 6:44KingsMarvin Bagley III defensive rebound68
28.5%
71
71.5%
Q3 - 6:46HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot68
27.5%
71
72.5%
Q3 - 6:58KingsRichaun Holmes makes two point floating jump shot68
25.3%
71
74.7%
Q3 - 7:00KingsRichaun Holmes offensive rebound66
22.7%
71
77.3%
Q3 - 7:03KingsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot66
20.8%
71
79.2%
Q3 - 7:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot66
22.9%
71
77.1%
Q3 - 7:21KingsBuddy Hield turnover (out of bounds bad pass)66
25.2%
69
74.8%
Q3 - 7:30HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 166
28.6%
69
71.4%
Q3 - 7:30KingsRichaun Holmes shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)66
29.2%
68
70.8%
Q3 - 7:50KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot66
34.5%
66
65.5%
Q3 - 8:04KingsBuddy Hield defensive rebound64
31.7%
66
68.3%
Q3 - 8:06HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup64
30.6%
66
69.4%
Q3 - 8:15HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound64
28.1%
66
71.9%
Q3 - 8:18KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot64
29.1%
66
70.9%
Q3 - 8:35HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 264
31.7%
66
68.3%
Q3 - 8:35HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 264
32.1%
65
67.9%
Q3 - 8:35KingsBuddy Hield shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)64
32.6%
64
67.4%
Q3 - 8:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound64
34.3%
64
65.7%
Q3 - 8:59KingsBuddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot64
35.5%
64
64.5%
Q3 - 9:13HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup64
37.8%
64
62.2%
Q3 - 9:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound64
40.8%
62
59.2%
Q3 - 9:29KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot64
41.9%
62
58.1%
Q3 - 9:40HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot64
44.7%
62
55.3%
Q3 - 10:01KingsMarvin Bagley III makes three point jump shot (Harrison Barnes assists)64
47.0%
60
53.0%
Q3 - 10:24HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)61
40.8%
60
59.2%
Q3 - 10:26HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound61
47.0%
57
53.0%
Q3 - 10:28HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot61
49.8%
57
50.2%
Q3 - 10:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound61
47.0%
57
53.0%
Q3 - 10:37KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 261
47.6%
57
52.4%
Q3 - 10:37KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 261
49.7%
57
50.3%
Q3 - 10:37HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)61
52.1%
57
47.9%
Q3 - 10:40KingsHarrison Barnes defensive rebound61
51.1%
57
48.9%
Q3 - 10:44HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot61
49.8%
57
50.2%
Q3 - 10:59KingsDe'Aaron Fox turnover (out of bounds bad pass)61
47.1%
57
52.9%
Q3 - 11:20KingsDe'Aaron Fox defensive rebound61
50.2%
57
49.8%
Q3 - 11:23HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot61
49.1%
57
50.9%
Q3 - 11:25HeatHeat offensive rebound61
46.6%
57
53.4%
Q3 - 11:25HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting layup61
49.1%
57
50.9%
Q3 - 11:44KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point stepback jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)61
46.6%
57
53.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.59
43.5%
57
56.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0KingsTyrese Haliburton makes three point pullup jump shot59
40.0%
57
60.0%
Q2 - 0:05.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 256
33.3%
57
66.7%
Q2 - 0:05.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 256
33.7%
56
66.3%
Q2 - 0:05.5KingsKyle Guy shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)56
34.1%
55
65.9%
Q2 - 0:17.4KingsCory Joseph turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)56
37.1%
55
62.9%
Q2 - 0:18.0KingsCory Joseph defensive rebound56
39.4%
55
60.6%
Q2 - 0:26.2HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot56
38.7%
55
61.3%
Q2 - 0:38.9KingsDe'Aaron Fox turnover (offensive foul)56
37.1%
55
62.9%
Q2 - 0:38.9KingsDe'Aaron Fox offensive foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)56
39.4%
55
60.6%
Q2 - 0:46.3KingsHarrison Barnes offensive rebound56
39.4%
55
60.6%
Q2 - 0:48.7KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 256
37.4%
55
62.6%
Q2 - 0:48.7KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 256
39.4%
55
60.6%
Q2 - 0:48.7HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)56
41.6%
55
58.4%
Q2 - 1:07HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)56
39.1%
55
60.9%
Q2 - 1:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
43.4%
53
56.6%
Q2 - 1:13KingsTyler Herro blocks De'Aaron Fox's three point pullup jump shot56
43.9%
53
56.1%
Q2 - 1:25HeatKZ Okpala personal foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)56
45.2%
53
54.8%
Q2 - 1:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot56
45.2%
53
54.8%
Q2 - 1:49KingsBuddy Hield makes three point pullup jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)56
49.6%
51
50.4%
Q2 - 1:59HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot53
42.1%
51
57.9%
Q2 - 2:13KingsHarrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)53
45.2%
49
54.8%
Q2 - 2:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 250
39.4%
49
60.6%
Q2 - 2:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 250
39.7%
48
60.3%
Q2 - 2:29KingsTyrese Haliburton personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)50
40.2%
47
59.8%
Q2 - 2:39KingsBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)50
42.3%
47
57.7%
Q2 - 3:04HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)47
36.3%
47
63.7%
Q2 - 3:09KingsTyrese Haliburton turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)47
38.7%
45
61.3%
Q2 - 3:20HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)47
41.8%
45
58.2%
Q2 - 3:34KingsHassan Whiteside makes two point tip dunk47
44.3%
43
55.7%
Q2 - 3:34KingsHassan Whiteside offensive rebound45
41.8%
43
58.2%
Q2 - 3:40KingsKyle Guy misses three point jump shot45
39.6%
43
60.4%
Q2 - 3:45KingsKyle Guy defensive rebound45
41.8%
43
58.2%
Q2 - 3:49HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot45
40.9%
43
59.1%
Q2 - 4:14KingsKyle Guy makes two point pullup jump shot (Harrison Barnes assists)45
38.4%
43
61.6%
Q2 - 4:37HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point stepback jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)43
35.9%
43
64.1%
Q2 - 4:51KingsHarrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)43
41.1%
40
58.9%
Q2 - 5:03KingsTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound40
35.9%
40
64.1%
Q2 - 5:06HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot40
35.0%
40
65.0%
Q2 - 5:13HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound40
32.9%
40
67.1%
Q2 - 5:16KingsTyler Herro blocks Buddy Hield's two point driving layup40
33.8%
40
66.2%
Q2 - 5:23KingsKyle Guy defensive rebound40
35.9%
40
64.1%
Q2 - 5:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot40
35.0%
40
65.0%
Q2 - 5:29HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound40
32.9%
40
67.1%
Q2 - 5:33HeatHassan Whiteside blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving reverse layup40
35.0%
40
65.0%
Q2 - 5:42KingsMarvin Bagley III personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)40
33.0%
40
67.0%
Q2 - 5:54HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound40
33.0%
40
67.0%
Q2 - 5:58KingsBuddy Hield misses three point running jump shot40
33.8%
40
66.2%
Q2 - 6:02KingsKyle Guy defensive rebound40
35.8%
40
64.2%
Q2 - 6:04HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point pullup jump shot40
34.8%
40
65.2%
Q2 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound40
32.8%
40
67.2%
Q2 - 6:15HeatTyler Herro misses two point running layup40
34.9%
40
65.1%
Q2 - 6:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound40
32.8%
40
67.2%
Q2 - 6:23KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses two point driving floating jump shot40
33.7%
40
66.3%
Q2 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)40
35.8%
40
64.2%
Q2 - 6:59KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 240
37.7%
38
62.3%
Q2 - 6:59KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 239
37.1%
38
62.9%
Q2 - 6:59HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)38
36.4%
38
63.6%
Q2 - 7:21HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 238
35.5%
38
64.5%
Q2 - 7:21HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 238
35.8%
37
64.2%
Q2 - 7:21KingsDe'Aaron Fox shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)38
36.1%
36
63.9%
Q2 - 7:21HeatBam Adebayo makes technical free throw 1 of 138
37.8%
36
62.2%
Q2 - 7:21KingsDe'Aaron Fox technical foul38
38.4%
35
61.6%
Q2 - 7:29KingsDe'Aaron Fox turnover (back court violation)38
40.2%
35
59.8%
Q2 - 7:29KingsDe'Aaron Fox offensive rebound38
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 7:34KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses two point driving layup38
41.0%
35
59.0%
Q2 - 7:39KingsHarrison Barnes offensive rebound38
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 7:42KingsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot38
41.0%
35
59.0%
Q2 - 8:05HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)38
42.7%
35
57.3%
Q2 - 8:05HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)38
40.1%
35
59.9%
Q2 - 8:17HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound38
40.1%
35
59.9%
Q2 - 8:20KingsHarrison Barnes misses two point turnaround hook shot38
40.9%
35
59.1%
Q2 - 8:28KingsHarrison Barnes makes technical free throw 1 of 138
42.7%
35
57.3%
Q2 - 8:28Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)37
42.1%
35
57.9%
Q2 - 8:44HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Marvin Bagley III steals)37
40.2%
35
59.8%
Q2 - 8:54HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound37
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 8:54HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses two point fadeaway jump shot37
39.4%
35
60.6%
Q2 - 8:55HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound37
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 8:59HeatRichaun Holmes blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup37
39.4%
35
60.6%
Q2 - 9:05HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound37
37.3%
35
62.7%
Q2 - 9:07KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses two point driving layup37
38.1%
35
61.9%
Q2 - 9:31HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)37
39.8%
35
60.2%
Q2 - 9:42KingsDe'Aaron Fox personal foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)37
42.1%
33
57.9%
Q2 - 9:51HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound37
42.1%
33
57.9%
Q2 - 9:54KingsHarrison Barnes misses two point driving layup37
42.9%
33
57.1%
Q2 - 10:10HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point running dunk (Andre Iguodala assists)37
44.5%
33
55.5%
Q2 - 10:13KingsDe'Aaron Fox turnover (lost ball) (Andre Iguodala steals)37
46.8%
31
53.2%
Q2 - 10:30HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point running jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)37
49.4%
31
50.6%
Q2 - 10:34HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound37
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q2 - 10:34KingsCory Joseph misses two point fadeaway jump shot37
54.9%
28
45.1%
Q2 - 10:51HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 237
56.7%
28
43.3%
Q2 - 10:51HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 237
57.0%
27
43.0%
Q2 - 10:51KingsCory Joseph shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)37
57.3%
26
42.7%
Q2 - 11:02KingsMarvin Bagley III makes two point driving bank hook shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)37
58.1%
26
41.9%
Q2 - 11:23HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup35
55.6%
26
44.4%
Q2 - 11:38KingsHassan Whiteside turnover (offensive foul)35
58.2%
24
41.8%
Q2 - 11:38KingsHassan Whiteside offensive foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)35
60.3%
24
39.7%
Q2 - 11:44HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)35
60.3%
24
39.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.35
60.4%
24
39.6%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound35
57.4%
24
42.6%
Q1 - 0:00.6HeatJimmy Butler misses three point running jump shot35
58.6%
24
41.4%
Q1 - 0:05.2KingsMarvin Bagley III makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)35
57.4%
24
42.6%
Q1 - 0:16.5KingsHassan Whiteside defensive rebound32
52.3%
24
47.7%
Q1 - 0:19.8HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot32
51.7%
24
48.3%
Q1 - 0:22.1HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound32
50.5%
24
49.5%
Q1 - 0:25.4HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot32
51.7%
24
48.3%
Q1 - 0:28.9HeatHeat offensive rebound32
50.5%
24
49.5%
Q1 - 0:28.9HeatHassan Whiteside blocks Jimmy Butler's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot32
51.7%
24
48.3%
Q1 - 0:44.3KingsMarvin Bagley III makes two point dunk32
50.5%
24
49.5%
Q1 - 0:45.8HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Marvin Bagley III steals)30
47.7%
24
52.3%
Q1 - 0:45.8HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound30
45.8%
24
54.2%
Q1 - 0:51.5KingsCory Joseph misses three point jump shot30
46.4%
24
53.6%
Q1 - 0:53.1KingsTyrese Haliburton offensive rebound30
47.7%
24
52.3%
Q1 - 0:56.8KingsMarvin Bagley III misses three point jump shot30
46.4%
24
53.6%
Q1 - 1:03KingsCory Joseph offensive rebound30
47.6%
24
52.4%
Q1 - 1:05KingsCory Joseph misses two point floating jump shot30
46.4%
24
53.6%
Q1 - 1:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)30
47.6%
24
52.4%
Q1 - 1:48KingsKyle Guy makes three point running jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)30
52.7%
21
47.3%
Q1 - 1:52HeatPrecious Achiuwa turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Guy steals)27
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q1 - 1:56HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound27
45.8%
21
54.2%
Q1 - 2:00HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot27
47.1%
21
52.9%
Q1 - 2:02KingsTyrese Haliburton turnover (out of bounds step)27
45.2%
21
54.8%
Q1 - 2:02HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Tyrese Haliburton steals)27
47.3%
21
52.7%
Q1 - 2:18KingsTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)27
45.2%
21
54.8%
Q1 - 2:33HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)24
40.7%
21
59.3%
Q1 - 2:46KingsHassan Whiteside makes two point jump shot24
45.3%
18
54.7%
Q1 - 3:06HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)22
42.7%
18
57.3%
Q1 - 3:21KingsTyrese Haliburton turnover (out of bounds step)22
46.7%
15
53.3%
Q1 - 3:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)22
49.2%
15
50.8%
Q1 - 3:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound22
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 3:38KingsTyrese Haliburton misses two point running layup22
51.9%
13
48.1%
Q1 - 3:44KingsTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound22
53.7%
13
46.3%
Q1 - 3:45HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot22
52.9%
13
47.1%
Q1 - 4:00KingsHarrison Barnes makes two point driving floating jump shot22
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 4:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)20
48.6%
13
51.4%
Q1 - 4:24KingsHassan Whiteside turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)20
50.4%
11
49.6%
Q1 - 4:41HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Hassan Whiteside steals)20
52.9%
11
47.1%
Q1 - 4:52HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound20
50.5%
11
49.5%
Q1 - 4:56KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot20
51.2%
11
48.8%
Q1 - 5:06HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)20
51.6%
11
48.4%
Q1 - 5:11KingsRichaun Holmes defensive rebound20
51.6%
11
48.4%
Q1 - 5:13HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup20
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 5:20HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound20
49.5%
11
50.5%
Q1 - 5:23KingsTyrese Haliburton misses three point stepback jump shot20
50.1%
11
49.9%
Q1 - 5:41HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 220
51.7%
11
48.3%
Q1 - 5:41HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 220
52.0%
10
48.0%
Q1 - 5:41KingsMarvin Bagley III shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)20
52.3%
9
47.7%
Q1 - 5:51KingsHarrison Barnes makes two point driving layup20
53.6%
9
46.4%
Q1 - 5:59KingsBuddy Hield defensive rebound18
51.7%
9
48.3%
Q1 - 6:02HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot18
50.1%
9
49.9%
Q1 - 6:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound18
48.8%
9
51.2%
Q1 - 6:08KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses two point driving layup18
49.3%
9
50.7%
Q1 - 6:18HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot18
50.7%
9
49.3%
Q1 - 6:26KingsMarvin Bagley III makes two point cutting dunk (Richaun Holmes assists)18
52.7%
7
47.3%
Q1 - 6:47KingsDe'Aaron Fox defensive rebound16
50.7%
7
49.3%
Q1 - 6:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot16
50.1%
7
49.9%
Q1 - 7:06KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point stepback jump shot16
47.9%
7
52.1%
Q1 - 7:24HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)14
46.2%
7
53.8%
Q1 - 7:39KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point driving finger roll layup14
47.9%
5
52.1%
Q1 - 7:44KingsMarvin Bagley III defensive rebound12
46.2%
5
53.8%
Q1 - 7:47HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot12
45.6%
5
54.4%
Q1 - 8:06KingsBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)12
43.9%
5
56.1%
Q1 - 8:23HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Richaun Holmes steals)9
40.5%
5
59.5%
Q1 - 8:33KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes three point stepback jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)9
38.4%
5
61.6%
Q1 - 8:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)6
35.2%
5
64.8%
Q1 - 9:04KingsBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Marvin Bagley III assists)6
36.5%
3
63.5%
Q1 - 9:09HeatKZ Okpala personal foul (Richaun Holmes draws the foul)3
33.4%
3
66.6%
Q1 - 9:24KingsRichaun Holmes defensive rebound3
33.4%
3
66.6%
Q1 - 9:26HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot3
32.8%
3
67.2%
Q1 - 9:32HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound3
31.5%
3
68.5%
Q1 - 9:35KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot3
32.1%
3
67.9%
Q1 - 9:42KingsRichaun Holmes defensive rebound3
33.4%
3
66.6%
Q1 - 9:44HeatKZ Okpala misses two point driving layup3
32.8%
3
67.2%
Q1 - 10:06KingsBuddy Hield turnover (out of bounds bad pass)3
31.3%
3
68.7%
Q1 - 10:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Tyler Herro assists)3
33.1%
3
66.9%
Q1 - 10:40KingsBuddy Hield makes three point pullup jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)3
34.6%
1
65.4%
Q1 - 10:48KingsMarvin Bagley III defensive rebound0
31.5%
1
68.5%
Q1 - 10:51HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 20
31.2%
1
68.8%
Q1 - 10:51HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 20
30.1%
1
69.9%
Q1 - 10:51KingsMarvin Bagley III shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)0
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 11:08HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
31.1%
0
68.9%
Q1 - 11:10KingsBuddy Hield misses two point driving layup0
31.7%
0
68.3%
Q1 - 11:31KingsMarvin Bagley III defensive rebound0
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 11:34HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround bank jump shot0
32.4%
0
67.6%
Q1 - 11:45KingsBuddy Hield personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)0
31.1%
0
68.9%
Q1 - 12:00Richaun Holmes vs. Bam Adebayo (Duncan Robinson gains possession)0
31.1%
0
68.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.13 56.5%
MIA
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
14
19
74%
MIA
14
22
64%
Midrange
SAC
10
21
48%
MIA
11
23
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
17
25.5
45
38%
57%
MIA
11
16.5
32
34%
52%
Free Throws
SAC
5
11
45%
MIA
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Fox3050%15.0 / 30
B. Hield1860%9.0 / 15
M. Bagley17106%8.5 / 8
H. Barnes1169%5.5 / 8
T. Haliburton1050%5.0 / 10
H. Whiteside990%4.5 / 5
K. Guy542%2.5 / 6
R. Holmes450%2.0 / 4
C. Joseph0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3056%15.0 / 27
B. Adebayo1875%9.0 / 12
T. Herro1554%7.5 / 14
D. Robinson1478%7.0 / 9
K. Olynyk1161%5.5 / 9
M. Strus788%3.5 / 4
P. Achiuwa675%3.0 / 4
G. Vincent375%1.5 / 2
A. Iguodala18%0.5 / 6
K. Okpala0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
77
+15
-17
92
MIA
78
+13
-15
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.13 56.5%
MIA
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.2
111.1
SAC 110.6
MIA 112.9 +2.3
Pace
100.4
96.7
SAC 93.1
MIA 94.9 +1.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
14.7
SAC 15.5
MIA 15.2 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.9%
54.6%
SAC 58.2% +4.3%
MIA 53.9%
TO %
12.8%
13.7%
SAC 15.9%
MIA 15.3% +0.6%
ORB %
21.3%
19.4%
SAC 28.6% +4.9%
MIA 23.7%
FTrt
24.8
25.2
SAC 12.9
MIA 33.8 +20.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
67.1%
SAC 53.7%
MIA 69.4% +15.7%
STL %
7.5%
8.2%
SAC 12.8% +7.4%
MIA 5.4%
BLK %
8.8%
8.5%
SAC 6.7%
MIA 10.0% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.6%
56.5%
SAC 56.5%
MIA 57.1% +0.6%
Rim FG%
63.4%
64.8%
SAC 73.7% +10.1%
MIA 63.6%
Mid FG%
44.7%
41.8%
SAC 47.6%
MIA 47.8% +0.2%
3P %
36.4%
35.8%
SAC 37.8% +3.4%
MIA 34.4%
FT %
74.5%
79.0%
SAC 45.5%
MIA 84.6% +39.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.7%
33.3%
SAC 22.4%
MIA 28.6% +6.2%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
23.5%
SAC 24.7% +5.2%
MIA 29.9%
3P Att. %
37.6%
43.2%
SAC 52.9% +11.4%
MIA 41.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes24.223.5
Points104105
Rebounds4139
Assists2225
Steals125
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)15 (1)
Fouls2114
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)30 (2)
Field Goals41-8536-77
At-the-Rim FG14-1914-22
Midrange FG10-2111-23
2-Point FG24-4025-45
3-Point FG17-4511-32
Free Throws5-1122-26
Fast Break Pts712
2nd Chance Pts73
Points in Paint4242
Pts off Turnovers2427
Bench Points2428
Biggest Lead1111

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#40 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 29
36.9
11
69%
3
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
#24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 27
36.6
18
60%
5
3
3
0
4
3
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
6-13
46%
#5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 23
31.6
30
50%
6
6
1
0
5
5
2
4
3-8
38%
9-15
60%
3-11
27%
#22 · C · 6'9" 235 · 27
28.0
4
50%
6
1
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 22
25.8
17
106%
4
1
2
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-4
100%
3-4
75%
#0 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21
31.0
10
50%
7
6
1
0
3
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-7
29%
#20 · C · 7'0" 265 · 32
20.0
9
90%
3
0
1
2
3
1
1
2
1-2
50%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
#7 · SG · 6'1" 167 · 23
15.5
5
42%
4
2
2
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
#9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29
14.5
0
0%
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
#30 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#33 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#25 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#3 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20
INACTIVE
#13 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21
INACTIVE
#19 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
#8 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back; Spasms
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
56%
41
22
12
3
17
21
12
29
5-11
45%
24-40
60%
17-45
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.