Final Win Prob. pScore
952%110
111
1648%109
105
ORTG#PossPace
PHX logo Suns
114.49798.7
DAL logo Mavericks
107.19896.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

MavericksSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHXDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
105
Q4 - 0:03.7SunsChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
105
Q4 - 0:03.7SunsChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
105
Q4 - 0:03.7MavericksJosh Richardson personal foul (Take) (Chris Paul draws the foul)109
105
Q4 - 0:05.7MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)109
105
Q4 - 0:09.3SunsChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
102
Q4 - 0:09.3Suns lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Abdel Nader, Chris Paul, Jae Crowder, Mikal Bridges)108
102
Q4 - 0:09.3SunsChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
102
Q4 - 0:09.3MavericksTrey Burke personal foul (Take) (Chris Paul draws the foul)107
102
Q4 - 0:12.0Suns 60 second timeout107
102
Q4 - 0:12.0MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point running reverse layup107
102
Q4 - 0:17.9SunsChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
100
Q4 - 0:17.9SunsChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
100
Q4 - 0:17.9Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Richardson, Luka Doncic, Dorian Finney-Smith, Trey Burke)105
100
Q4 - 0:17.9MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)105
100
Q4 - 0:19.6MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein makes two point cutting layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)105
100
Q4 - 0:22.5Stoppage (Out of bounds)105
98
Q4 - 0:22.5MavericksMavericks offensive rebound105
98
Q4 - 0:27.4MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot105
98
Q4 - 0:34.9Stoppage (Out of bounds)105
98
Q4 - 0:34.9MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound105
98
Q4 - 0:36.2SunsChris Paul misses two point stepback jump shot105
98
Q4 - 0:49.3Stoppage (Out of bounds)105
98
Q4 - 0:57.9MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point floating jump shot105
98
Q4 - 1:05Mavericks 60 second timeout105
96
Q4 - 1:05SunsJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)105
96
Q4 - 1:23SunsDeandre Ayton defensive rebound102
96
Q4 - 1:27MavericksDorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot102
96
Q4 - 1:44SunsDeandre Ayton makes two point alley-oop dunk (Chris Paul assists)102
96
Q4 - 1:57SunsMikal Bridges defensive rebound100
96
Q4 - 1:59MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point turnaround jump shot100
96
Q4 - 2:17Mavericks 60 second timeout100
96
Q4 - 2:18SunsChris Paul makes two point pullup jump shot100
96
Q4 - 2:27SunsCameron Johnson defensive rebound98
96
Q4 - 2:31MavericksDorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot98
96
Q4 - 2:44MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein defensive rebound98
96
Q4 - 2:49SunsJae Crowder misses three point jump shot98
96
Q4 - 2:51Stoppage (Out of bounds)98
96
Q4 - 2:51SunsSuns offensive rebound98
96
Q4 - 2:52SunsWillie Cauley-Stein blocks Mikal Bridges's two point driving layup98
96
Q4 - 3:04SunsDeandre Ayton defensive rebound98
96
Q4 - 3:07MavericksJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot98
96
Q4 - 3:25SunsDeandre Ayton makes two point dunk98
96
Q4 - 3:41Suns 60 second timeout96
96
Q4 - 3:41MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein makes two point alley-oop dunk (Luka Doncic assists)96
96
Q4 - 3:54SunsChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 296
94
Q4 - 3:54SunsChris Paul misses regular free throw 1 of 295
94
Q4 - 3:54MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)95
94
Q4 - 4:01SunsDeandre Ayton defensive rebound95
94
Q4 - 4:03MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot95
94
Q4 - 4:28SunsChris Paul makes three point pullup jump shot95
94
Q4 - 4:33SunsJae Crowder defensive rebound92
94
Q4 - 4:35MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving floating jump shot92
94
Q4 - 4:43MavericksJosh Richardson makes technical free throw 1 of 192
94
Q4 - 4:43SunsChris Paul technical foul92
93
Q4 - 4:43SunsChris Paul personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)92
93
Q4 - 4:52SunsChris Paul makes two point stepback jump shot92
93
Q4 - 5:14MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point layup (Luka Doncic assists)90
93
Q4 - 5:15MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound90
91
Q4 - 5:21SunsWillie Cauley-Stein blocks Mikal Bridges's two point jump shot90
91
Q4 - 5:32Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Richardson, Luka Doncic, Willie Cauley-Stein, Dorian Finney-Smith)90
91
Q4 - 5:32Suns lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Deandre Ayton, Chris Paul, Jae Crowder, Mikal Bridges)90
91
Q4 - 5:32MavericksDwight Powell personal foul (Deandre Ayton draws the foul)90
91
Q4 - 5:36SunsChris Paul defensive rebound90
91
Q4 - 5:38MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point stepback jump shot90
91
Q4 - 5:53MavericksDorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound90
91
Q4 - 5:55SunsChris Paul misses two point floating jump shot90
91
Q4 - 6:09MavericksDwight Powell turnover (offensive foul)90
91
Q4 - 6:09MavericksDwight Powell offensive foul (Off the ball) (Cameron Johnson draws the foul)90
91
Q4 - 6:24SunsDeandre Ayton personal foul (Loose ball) (James Johnson draws the foul)90
91
Q4 - 6:24MavericksMavericks defensive rebound90
91
Q4 - 6:26SunsChris Paul misses two point stepback jump shot90
91
Q4 - 6:32Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., James Johnson, Luka Doncic, Dwight Powell, Dorian Finney-Smith)90
91
Q4 - 6:32MavericksDwight Powell personal foul (Deandre Ayton draws the foul)90
91
Q4 - 6:48MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Dwight Powell assists)90
91
Q4 - 7:09SunsJae Crowder makes three point pullup jump shot (Chris Paul assists)90
89
Q4 - 7:16SunsCameron Johnson defensive rebound87
89
Q4 - 7:21MavericksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot87
89
Q4 - 7:42MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound87
89
Q4 - 7:44SunsDeandre Ayton misses two point turnaround hook shot87
89
Q4 - 7:59MavericksJames Johnson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)87
89
Q4 - 8:17MavericksJames Johnson defensive rebound87
87
Q4 - 8:18SunsDeandre Ayton misses regular free throw 2 of 287
87
Q4 - 8:18Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Dwight Powell, Jalen Brunson)87
87
Q4 - 8:18SunsDeandre Ayton misses regular free throw 1 of 287
87
Q4 - 8:18MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein shooting foul (Deandre Ayton draws the foul)87
87
Q4 - 8:30SunsDeandre Ayton defensive rebound87
87
Q4 - 8:34MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot87
87
Q4 - 8:35MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein offensive rebound87
87
Q4 - 8:36MavericksJosh Richardson misses two point driving floating jump shot87
87
Q4 - 8:56Suns lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Deandre Ayton, Chris Paul, Jae Crowder, Langston Galloway)87
87
Q4 - 8:56SunsLangston Galloway turnover (offensive foul)87
87
Q4 - 8:56SunsLangston Galloway offensive foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)87
87
Q4 - 9:06SunsDeandre Ayton defensive rebound87
87
Q4 - 9:08MavericksJalen Brunson misses two point driving floating jump shot87
87
Q4 - 9:20SunsLangston Galloway personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)87
87
Q4 - 9:33SunsChris Paul makes two point pullup jump shot87
87
Q4 - 9:49MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)85
87
Q4 - 10:04SunsChris Paul turnover (out of bounds bad pass)85
84
Q4 - 10:11MavericksDorian Finney-Smith personal foul (Loose ball) (Deandre Ayton draws the foul)85
84
Q4 - 10:11SunsSuns offensive rebound85
84
Q4 - 10:11SunsLangston Galloway misses two point jump shot85
84
Q4 - 10:30MavericksJosh Richardson makes two point running pullup jump shot85
84
Q4 - 10:36Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Richardson, Willie Cauley-Stein, Jalen Brunson, Dorian Finney-Smith)85
82
Q4 - 10:36Mavericks 60 second timeout85
82
Q4 - 10:37SunsCameron Johnson makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)85
82
Q4 - 10:42SunsDeandre Ayton defensive rebound82
82
Q4 - 10:45MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot82
82
Q4 - 11:04SunsDeandre Ayton makes two point turnaround hook shot82
82
Q4 - 11:14MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Chris Paul steals)80
82
Q4 - 11:29SunsLangston Galloway makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)80
82
Q4 - 11:44MavericksJames Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Chris Paul steals)77
82
Q4 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Willie Cauley-Stein, Jalen Brunson)77
82
Q4 - 12:00Suns lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Deandre Ayton, Abdel Nader, Chris Paul, Langston Galloway)77
82
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.77
82
Q3 - 0:00.2MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound77
82
Q3 - 0:02.8SunsLangston Galloway misses three point stepback jump shot77
82
Q3 - 0:06.8SunsDeandre Ayton offensive rebound77
82
Q3 - 0:08.5SunsE'Twaun Moore misses two point driving hook shot77
82
Q3 - 0:29.4SunsDeandre Ayton defensive rebound77
82
Q3 - 0:31.1MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot77
82
Q3 - 0:45.9SunsLangston Galloway makes two point driving floating jump shot (Deandre Ayton assists)77
82
Q3 - 0:58.7MavericksDwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 275
82
Q3 - 0:58.7MavericksDwight Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 275
81
Q3 - 0:58.7SunsAbdel Nader personal foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)75
81
Q3 - 1:09SunsAbdel Nader makes regular free throw 2 of 275
81
Q3 - 1:09SunsAbdel Nader makes regular free throw 1 of 274
81
Q3 - 1:09MavericksDwight Powell shooting foul (Abdel Nader draws the foul)73
81
Q3 - 1:09Suns lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Abdel Nader, E'Twaun Moore, Langston Galloway, Mikal Bridges)73
81
Q3 - 1:20SunsAbdel Nader defensive rebound73
81
Q3 - 1:23MavericksLuka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 273
81
Q3 - 1:23MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 273
81
Q3 - 1:23SunsFrank Kaminsky personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)73
80
Q3 - 1:29SunsLangston Galloway makes regular free throw 3 of 373
80
Q3 - 1:29SunsLangston Galloway makes regular free throw 2 of 372
80
Q3 - 1:29SunsLangston Galloway makes regular free throw 1 of 371
80
Q3 - 1:29MavericksJalen Brunson shooting foul (Langston Galloway draws the foul)70
80
Q3 - 1:38MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot70
80
Q3 - 1:47SunsFrank Kaminsky turnover (out of bounds bad pass)70
78
Q3 - 2:02MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point turnaround jump shot70
78
Q3 - 2:15Mavericks 60 second timeout70
76
Q3 - 2:15SunsFrank Kaminsky makes two point tip layup70
76
Q3 - 2:16SunsFrank Kaminsky offensive rebound68
76
Q3 - 2:17SunsAbdel Nader misses two point running layup68
76
Q3 - 2:21MavericksJames Johnson turnover (lost ball) (E'Twaun Moore steals)68
76
Q3 - 2:29Stoppage (Out of bounds)68
76
Q3 - 2:29MavericksMavericks offensive rebound68
76
Q3 - 2:31MavericksJames Johnson misses two point driving finger roll layup68
76
Q3 - 2:47SunsMikal Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 268
76
Q3 - 2:47SunsMikal Bridges misses regular free throw 1 of 267
76
Q3 - 2:47MavericksJames Johnson personal foul (Mikal Bridges draws the foul)67
76
Q3 - 2:59SunsAbdel Nader defensive rebound67
76
Q3 - 3:05MavericksDwight Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 167
76
Q3 - 3:05SunsFrank Kaminsky shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)67
76
Q3 - 3:05MavericksDwight Powell makes two point alley-oop layup (Luka Doncic assists)67
76
Q3 - 3:14MavericksDorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound67
74
Q3 - 3:16SunsMikal Bridges misses two point driving layup67
74
Q3 - 3:24MavericksJames Johnson personal foul (Abdel Nader draws the foul)67
74
Q3 - 3:37Mavericks lineup change (James Johnson, Luka Doncic, Dwight Powell, Jalen Brunson, Dorian Finney-Smith)67
74
Q3 - 3:37MavericksTrey Burke personal foul (Mikal Bridges draws the foul)67
74
Q3 - 3:39MavericksTrey Burke turnover (bad pass) (Frank Kaminsky steals)67
74
Q3 - 3:48SunsE'Twaun Moore makes two point turnaround jump shot (Frank Kaminsky assists)67
74
Q3 - 3:56Suns lineup change (Frank Kaminsky, Abdel Nader, E'Twaun Moore, Langston Galloway, Mikal Bridges)65
74
Q3 - 3:56MavericksDwight Powell personal foul (Deandre Ayton draws the foul)65
74
Q3 - 4:00SunsAbdel Nader defensive rebound65
74
Q3 - 4:03MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point jump shot65
74
Q3 - 4:14SunsDeandre Ayton makes two point tip layup65
74
Q3 - 4:15SunsDeandre Ayton offensive rebound63
74
Q3 - 4:17SunsLangston Galloway misses two point driving floating jump shot63
74
Q3 - 4:30SunsAbdel Nader defensive rebound63
74
Q3 - 4:34MavericksJalen Brunson misses three point jump shot63
74
Q3 - 4:57Mavericks lineup change (James Johnson, Luka Doncic, Dwight Powell, Jalen Brunson, Trey Burke)63
74
Q3 - 4:57Mavericks 60 second timeout63
74
Q3 - 4:57SunsDeandre Ayton makes two point layup (Abdel Nader assists)63
74
Q3 - 5:04SunsMikal Bridges defensive rebound61
74
Q3 - 5:07MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses two point running layup61
74
Q3 - 5:12SunsDeandre Ayton turnover (lost ball) (Dwight Powell steals)61
74
Q3 - 5:22SunsDeandre Ayton defensive rebound61
74
Q3 - 5:26MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot61
74
Q3 - 5:29Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., James Johnson, Luka Doncic, Dwight Powell, Jalen Brunson)61
74
Q3 - 5:29Suns lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Abdel Nader, E'Twaun Moore, Langston Galloway, Mikal Bridges)61
74
Q3 - 5:29SunsChris Paul personal foul (Loose ball) (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)61
74
Q3 - 5:29MavericksMavericks offensive rebound61
74
Q3 - 5:30MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot61
74
Q3 - 5:49SunsMikal Bridges makes two point pullup jump shot (Chris Paul assists)61
74
Q3 - 6:01MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point driving hook shot59
74
Q3 - 6:19MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound59
72
Q3 - 6:23SunsAbdel Nader misses three point jump shot59
72
Q3 - 6:28MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Chris Paul steals)59
72
Q3 - 6:33SunsChris Paul turnover (lost ball) (James Johnson steals)59
72
Q3 - 6:41MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot59
72
Q3 - 6:57SunsChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 259
70
Q3 - 6:57Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., James Johnson, Luka Doncic, Willie Cauley-Stein, Jalen Brunson)58
70
Q3 - 6:57SunsChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 258
70
Q3 - 6:57MavericksDorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)57
70
Q3 - 7:08MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot57
70
Q3 - 7:14Stoppage (Out of bounds)57
67
Q3 - 7:30SunsMikal Bridges makes two point pullup jump shot57
67
Q3 - 7:45MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein turnover (offensive foul)55
67
Q3 - 7:45MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jae Crowder draws the foul)55
67
Q3 - 7:50MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound55
67
Q3 - 7:53SunsJae Crowder misses three point stepback jump shot55
67
Q3 - 8:07MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot55
67
Q3 - 8:15Suns lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Abdel Nader, Chris Paul, Jae Crowder, Mikal Bridges)55
65
Q3 - 8:15SunsJae Crowder personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)55
65
Q3 - 8:27MavericksDorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound55
65
Q3 - 8:30SunsChris Paul misses three point pullup jump shot55
65
Q3 - 8:53MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point finger roll layup55
65
Q3 - 9:06SunsMikal Bridges turnover (offensive foul)55
63
Q3 - 9:06SunsMikal Bridges offensive foul (Off the ball) (Willie Cauley-Stein draws the foul)55
63
Q3 - 9:17Suns 60 second timeout55
63
Q3 - 9:19MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point pullup jump shot55
63
Q3 - 9:24MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound55
60
Q3 - 9:27SunsMikal Bridges misses three point jump shot55
60
Q3 - 9:33SunsMikal Bridges defensive rebound55
60
Q3 - 9:37MavericksJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot55
60
Q3 - 9:52Suns delay of game violation55
60
Q3 - 9:52SunsJae Crowder turnover (out of bounds bad pass)55
60
Q3 - 10:05SunsJae Crowder defensive rebound55
60
Q3 - 10:07MavericksLuka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 255
60
Q3 - 10:07MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 255
60
Q3 - 10:07SunsJae Crowder shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)55
59
Q3 - 10:20MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein defensive rebound55
59
Q3 - 10:24SunsJae Crowder misses three point jump shot55
59
Q3 - 10:42MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes two point alley-oop layup (Luka Doncic assists)55
59
Q3 - 10:50MavericksJosh Richardson defensive rebound55
57
Q3 - 10:52SunsDeandre Ayton misses two point jump shot55
57
Q3 - 11:16MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein makes two point jump shot (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)55
57
Q3 - 11:39MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein defensive rebound55
55
Q3 - 11:40SunsChris Paul misses two point jump shot55
55
Q3 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Richardson, Luka Doncic, Willie Cauley-Stein, Dorian Finney-Smith)55
55
Q3 - 12:00Suns lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Deandre Ayton, Chris Paul, Jae Crowder, Mikal Bridges)55
55
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.55
55
Q2 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)55
55
Q2 - 0:00.0MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein makes two point tip layup55
55
Q2 - 0:01.0MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein offensive rebound55
53
Q2 - 0:02.0MavericksJosh Richardson misses two point pullup jump shot55
53
Q2 - 0:06.3SunsChris Paul makes two point stepback jump shot55
53
Q2 - 0:30.0Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Richardson, Willie Cauley-Stein, Jalen Brunson, Dorian Finney-Smith)53
53
Q2 - 0:30.0Suns lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Chris Paul, Jae Crowder, Langston Galloway, Mikal Bridges)53
53
Q2 - 0:30.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)53
53
Q2 - 0:30.0SunsSuns defensive rebound53
53
Q2 - 0:31.5MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot53
53
Q2 - 0:41.7SunsChris Paul makes two point fadeaway jump shot53
53
Q2 - 0:57.5MavericksDwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 251
53
Q2 - 0:57.5MavericksDwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 251
52
Q2 - 0:57.5SunsDeandre Ayton shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)51
51
Q2 - 1:17SunsMikal Bridges makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Chris Paul assists)51
51
Q2 - 1:23SunsDeandre Ayton defensive rebound49
51
Q2 - 1:25MavericksJalen Brunson misses two point driving layup49
51
Q2 - 1:46MavericksDorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound49
51
Q2 - 1:50SunsChris Paul misses three point pullup jump shot49
51
Q2 - 1:55MavericksJosh Richardson turnover (lost ball) (Jae Crowder steals)49
51
Q2 - 2:09SunsMikal Bridges makes two point running layup (Chris Paul assists)49
51
Q2 - 2:13SunsAbdel Nader defensive rebound47
51
Q2 - 2:19MavericksDwight Powell misses three point jump shot47
51
Q2 - 2:25Suns lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Abdel Nader, Chris Paul, Jae Crowder, Mikal Bridges)47
51
Q2 - 2:25SunsCameron Johnson personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)47
51
Q2 - 2:36MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound47
51
Q2 - 2:38SunsMikal Bridges misses two point pullup jump shot47
51
Q2 - 2:54MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 247
51
Q2 - 2:54MavericksDorian Finney-Smith misses regular free throw 1 of 247
50
Q2 - 2:54Suns 60 second timeout47
50
Q2 - 2:54SunsChris Paul shooting foul (Dorian Finney-Smith draws the foul)47
50
Q2 - 2:56SunsDeandre Ayton turnover (lost ball) (Dwight Powell steals)47
50
Q2 - 3:05SunsDeandre Ayton defensive rebound47
50
Q2 - 3:09MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot47
50
Q2 - 3:23SunsDeandre Ayton makes two point alley-oop dunk (Chris Paul assists)47
50
Q2 - 3:28Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Richardson, Dwight Powell, Jalen Brunson, Dorian Finney-Smith)45
50
Q2 - 3:28MavericksLuka Doncic personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)45
50
Q2 - 3:37SunsChris Paul makes technical free throw 1 of 145
50
Q2 - 3:37MavericksLuka Doncic technical foul44
50
Q2 - 3:42Mavericks delay of game violation44
50
Q2 - 3:42MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (offensive foul)44
50
Q2 - 3:42MavericksLuka Doncic offensive foul (Mikal Bridges draws the foul)44
50
Q2 - 3:44SunsCameron Johnson personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)44
50
Q2 - 3:49MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound44
50
Q2 - 3:51SunsDeandre Ayton misses two point turnaround hook shot44
50
Q2 - 4:15MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point turnaround jump shot44
50
Q2 - 4:30SunsChris Paul makes two point driving floating jump shot (Deandre Ayton assists)44
48
Q2 - 4:36Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic, Dwight Powell, Jalen Brunson, Dorian Finney-Smith)42
48
Q2 - 4:36Suns lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Deandre Ayton, Chris Paul, Jae Crowder, Mikal Bridges)42
48
Q2 - 4:36Luka Doncic kicked ball violation42
48
Q2 - 4:40SunsDeandre Ayton defensive rebound42
48
Q2 - 4:40MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein misses two point cutting layup42
48
Q2 - 4:54SunsMikal Bridges makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Deandre Ayton assists)42
48
Q2 - 5:11MavericksJosh Richardson makes two point pullup jump shot (Willie Cauley-Stein assists)40
48
Q2 - 5:20MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein defensive rebound40
46
Q2 - 5:23SunsJae Crowder misses three point jump shot40
46
Q2 - 5:43MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein makes two point tip layup40
46
Q2 - 5:44MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein offensive rebound40
44
Q2 - 5:46MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point pullup bank jump shot40
44
Q2 - 5:54MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein defensive rebound40
44
Q2 - 5:56SunsDeandre Ayton misses two point turnaround hook shot40
44
Q2 - 6:15MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein makes two point alley-oop layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)40
44
Q2 - 6:26Suns lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Deandre Ayton, E'Twaun Moore, Jae Crowder, Mikal Bridges)40
42
Q2 - 6:26Mavericks 60 second timeout40
42
Q2 - 6:26MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound40
42
Q2 - 6:28SunsDeandre Ayton misses three point jump shot40
42
Q2 - 6:37MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein makes two point alley-oop layup (Luka Doncic assists)40
42
Q2 - 6:52SunsDeandre Ayton makes two point turnaround hook shot (E'Twaun Moore assists)40
40
Q2 - 7:18MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)38
40
Q2 - 7:23MavericksDorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound38
37
Q2 - 7:26SunsCameron Johnson misses two point driving hook shot38
37
Q2 - 7:40MavericksJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup38
37
Q2 - 7:47MavericksJosh Richardson defensive rebound38
35
Q2 - 7:50SunsCameron Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot38
35
Q2 - 7:59SunsAbdel Nader defensive rebound38
35
Q2 - 8:01MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot38
35
Q2 - 8:17SunsLangston Galloway makes regular free throw 2 of 238
35
Q2 - 8:17Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Richardson, Luka Doncic, Willie Cauley-Stein, Dorian Finney-Smith)37
35
Q2 - 8:17Suns lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Deandre Ayton, Abdel Nader, E'Twaun Moore, Langston Galloway)37
35
Q2 - 8:17SunsLangston Galloway makes regular free throw 1 of 237
35
Q2 - 8:17MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein shooting foul (Langston Galloway draws the foul)36
35
Q2 - 8:32SunsAbdel Nader defensive rebound36
35
Q2 - 8:35MavericksTrey Burke misses three point jump shot36
35
Q2 - 8:50MavericksTrey Burke defensive rebound36
35
Q2 - 8:52SunsAbdel Nader misses two point running reverse layup36
35
Q2 - 8:57MavericksTrey Burke turnover (bad pass) (Chris Paul steals)36
35
Q2 - 9:06MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein defensive rebound36
35
Q2 - 9:10SunsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot36
35
Q2 - 9:24MavericksMavericks turnover (shot clock violation)36
35
Q2 - 9:25MavericksJalen Brunson offensive rebound36
35
Q2 - 9:28MavericksJalen Brunson misses two point driving layup36
35
Q2 - 9:48Suns lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Deandre Ayton, Abdel Nader, Chris Paul, Langston Galloway)36
35
Q2 - 9:48SunsFrank Kaminsky turnover (traveling)36
35
Q2 - 10:04MavericksJalen Brunson makes three point pullup jump shot36
35
Q2 - 10:12Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, Willie Cauley-Stein, Jalen Brunson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Trey Burke)36
32
Q2 - 10:12SunsLangston Galloway turnover (out of bounds bad pass)36
32
Q2 - 10:25MavericksJames Johnson makes two point pullup bank jump shot36
32
Q2 - 10:50SunsFrank Kaminsky makes two point driving layup (Abdel Nader assists)36
30
Q2 - 11:02SunsLangston Galloway defensive rebound34
30
Q2 - 11:04MavericksJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot34
30
Q2 - 11:19SunsLangston Galloway makes two point pullup jump shot34
30
Q2 - 11:30MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot (James Johnson assists)32
30
Q2 - 11:47SunsFrank Kaminsky makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)32
28
Q2 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Willie Cauley-Stein, Jalen Brunson, Trey Burke)29
28
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.29
28
Q1 - 0:01.1MavericksTrey Burke makes two point pullup jump shot29
28
Q1 - 0:10.1SunsAbdel Nader personal foul (Trey Burke draws the foul)29
26
Q1 - 0:26.2MavericksJames Johnson defensive rebound29
26
Q1 - 0:29.1SunsChris Paul misses two point fadeaway jump shot29
26
Q1 - 0:35.4MavericksJames Johnson makes two point driving finger roll layup29
26
Q1 - 0:44.7SunsChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 229
24
Q1 - 0:44.7SunsChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 228
24
Q1 - 0:44.7MavericksJalen Brunson personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)27
24
Q1 - 0:47.4Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
24
Q1 - 0:48.4SunsFrank Kaminsky offensive rebound27
24
Q1 - 0:49.0SunsCameron Johnson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot27
24
Q1 - 1:01MavericksTrey Burke makes two point pullup jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)27
24
Q1 - 1:24SunsAbdel Nader makes three point jump shot (Frank Kaminsky assists)27
22
Q1 - 1:43MavericksDwight Powell makes two point driving dunk (Trey Burke assists)24
22
Q1 - 1:58SunsAbdel Nader makes regular free throw 2 of 224
20
Q1 - 1:58Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Dwight Powell, Jalen Brunson, Trey Burke)23
20
Q1 - 1:58Suns lineup change (Frank Kaminsky, Cameron Johnson, Abdel Nader, Chris Paul, Langston Galloway)23
20
Q1 - 1:58SunsAbdel Nader makes regular free throw 1 of 223
20
Q1 - 1:58MavericksLuka Doncic shooting foul (Abdel Nader draws the foul)22
20
Q1 - 2:01MavericksJalen Brunson turnover (bad pass) (Abdel Nader steals)22
20
Q1 - 2:10MavericksJalen Brunson defensive rebound22
20
Q1 - 2:12SunsFrank Kaminsky misses two point turnaround hook shot22
20
Q1 - 2:26MavericksDwight Powell turnover (offensive foul)22
20
Q1 - 2:26MavericksDwight Powell offensive foul (Off the ball) (Abdel Nader draws the foul)22
20
Q1 - 2:37MavericksJames Johnson defensive rebound22
20
Q1 - 2:40SunsLangston Galloway misses two point driving floating bank jump shot22
20
Q1 - 2:43Stoppage (Out of bounds)22
20
Q1 - 3:01SunsJae Crowder defensive rebound22
20
Q1 - 3:04MavericksDwight Powell misses regular free throw 2 of 222
20
Q1 - 3:04Suns lineup change (Frank Kaminsky, Abdel Nader, E'Twaun Moore, Jae Crowder, Langston Galloway)22
20
Q1 - 3:04MavericksDwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 222
20
Q1 - 3:04SunsMikal Bridges shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)22
19
Q1 - 3:16MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound22
19
Q1 - 3:18SunsFrank Kaminsky misses two point turnaround hook shot22
19
Q1 - 3:36MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot22
19
Q1 - 3:48Mavericks lineup change (James Johnson, Luka Doncic, Dwight Powell, Jalen Brunson, Trey Burke)22
17
Q1 - 3:48Suns lineup change (Frank Kaminsky, E'Twaun Moore, Jae Crowder, Langston Galloway, Mikal Bridges)22
17
Q1 - 3:48SunsJae Crowder turnover (out of bounds bad pass)22
17
Q1 - 3:59MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (traveling)22
17
Q1 - 4:05SunsE'Twaun Moore personal foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)22
17
Q1 - 4:09SunsDeandre Ayton makes two point tip dunk22
17
Q1 - 4:11SunsDeandre Ayton offensive rebound20
17
Q1 - 4:13SunsMikal Bridges misses two point driving reverse layup20
17
Q1 - 4:26MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)20
17
Q1 - 4:42SunsDeandre Ayton makes regular free throw 2 of 220
14
Q1 - 4:42SunsDeandre Ayton makes regular free throw 1 of 219
14
Q1 - 4:42MavericksJames Johnson shooting foul (Deandre Ayton draws the foul)18
14
Q1 - 4:47SunsDeandre Ayton offensive rebound18
14
Q1 - 4:48SunsE'Twaun Moore misses two point fadeaway jump shot18
14
Q1 - 5:00SunsE'Twaun Moore defensive rebound18
14
Q1 - 5:02MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot18
14
Q1 - 5:20SunsE'Twaun Moore makes two point driving layup18
14
Q1 - 5:38Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., James Johnson, Luka Doncic, Dwight Powell, Jalen Brunson)16
14
Q1 - 5:38Suns lineup change (Deandre Ayton, E'Twaun Moore, Jae Crowder, Langston Galloway, Mikal Bridges)16
14
Q1 - 5:38Suns 60 second timeout16
14
Q1 - 5:41MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)16
14
Q1 - 5:44MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound16
11
Q1 - 5:46SunsWillie Cauley-Stein blocks Deandre Ayton's two point alley-oop dunk16
11
Q1 - 5:59MavericksJosh Richardson makes two point pullup jump shot16
11
Q1 - 6:18SunsMikal Bridges makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)16
9
Q1 - 6:26SunsMikal Bridges defensive rebound13
9
Q1 - 6:28MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point stepback jump shot13
9
Q1 - 6:37MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound13
9
Q1 - 6:40SunsChris Paul misses two point pullup jump shot13
9
Q1 - 6:48SunsDeandre Ayton offensive rebound13
9
Q1 - 6:49SunsChris Paul misses two point pullup jump shot13
9
Q1 - 7:07MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Willie Cauley-Stein assists)13
9
Q1 - 7:23Mavericks 60 second timeout13
7
Q1 - 7:23SunsJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)13
7
Q1 - 7:27SunsChris Paul offensive rebound10
7
Q1 - 7:27SunsWillie Cauley-Stein blocks Deandre Ayton's two point putback layup10
7
Q1 - 7:28SunsDeandre Ayton offensive rebound10
7
Q1 - 7:31SunsChris Paul misses two point driving floating jump shot10
7
Q1 - 7:51SunsCameron Johnson defensive rebound10
7
Q1 - 7:55MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point running jump shot10
7
Q1 - 7:58SunsChris Paul turnover (bad pass) (Dorian Finney-Smith steals)10
7
Q1 - 8:09SunsChris Paul defensive rebound10
7
Q1 - 8:11MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses two point tip layup10
7
Q1 - 8:11MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound10
7
Q1 - 8:12MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses two point cutting layup10
7
Q1 - 8:23SunsJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Mikal Bridges assists)10
7
Q1 - 8:41SunsCameron Johnson defensive rebound7
7
Q1 - 8:41MavericksJosh Richardson misses two point driving layup7
7
Q1 - 9:06SunsChris Paul makes two point pullup jump shot7
7
Q1 - 9:13MavericksDorian Finney-Smith turnover (out of bounds bad pass)5
7
Q1 - 9:29SunsJae Crowder makes two point pullup jump shot (Deandre Ayton assists)5
7
Q1 - 9:40Stoppage (Out of bounds)3
7
Q1 - 9:40SunsSuns offensive rebound3
7
Q1 - 9:41SunsJae Crowder misses three point stepback jump shot3
7
Q1 - 10:01MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point bank jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)3
7
Q1 - 10:05SunsMikal Bridges turnover (lost ball) (Tim Hardaway Jr. steals)3
5
Q1 - 10:17MavericksWillie Cauley-Stein personal foul (Loose ball) (Mikal Bridges draws the foul)3
5
Q1 - 10:28MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point pullup jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)3
5
Q1 - 10:41SunsMikal Bridges personal foul (Loose ball) (Willie Cauley-Stein draws the foul)3
2
Q1 - 10:41MavericksMavericks offensive rebound3
2
Q1 - 10:42MavericksJosh Richardson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot3
2
Q1 - 10:52SunsCameron Johnson makes regular free throw 3 of 33
2
Q1 - 10:52SunsCameron Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 32
2
Q1 - 10:52SunsCameron Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 31
2
Q1 - 10:52MavericksJosh Richardson shooting foul (Cameron Johnson draws the foul)0
2
Q1 - 11:09MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot0
2
Q1 - 11:28MavericksJosh Richardson defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:31SunsDeandre Ayton misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:45MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Deandre Ayton steals)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Deandre Ayton vs. Willie Cauley-Stein (Luka Doncic gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Richardson, Luka Doncic, Willie Cauley-Stein, Dorian Finney-Smith)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Suns lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Deandre Ayton, Chris Paul, Jae Crowder, Mikal Bridges)0
0
ClockTeamEventPHXDAL
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.14 57.2%
DAL
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHX
13
22
59%
DAL
18
28
64%
Midrange
PHX
14
37
38%
DAL
17
26
65%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHX
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
DAL
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
Free Throws
PHX
27
31
87%
DAL
8
14
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul2960%14.5 / 24
D. Ayton1850%9.0 / 18
M. Bridges1454%7.0 / 13
J. Crowder1470%7.0 / 10
L. Galloway1260%6.0 / 10
A. Nader758%3.5 / 6
F. Kaminsky770%3.5 / 5
C. Johnson660%3.0 / 5
E. Moore450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2960%14.5 / 24
T. Hardaway1950%9.5 / 19
W. Cauley-Stein1488%7.0 / 8
J. Richardson941%4.5 / 11
D. Finney-Smith975%4.5 / 6
D. Powell867%4.0 / 6
J. Brunson744%3.5 / 8
J. Johnson675%3.0 / 4
T. Burke467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHX
84
+12
-13
96
DAL
83
+9
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.14 57.2%
DAL
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.9
115.1
PHX 114.4 +7.3
DAL 107.1
Pace
97.5
97.5
PHX 98.7 +2.4
DAL 96.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.1
PHX 14.6 −0.4
DAL 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.5%
55.0%
PHX 51.9%
DAL 58.4% +6.5%
TO %
12.1%
11.7%
PHX 12.1% −3.1%
DAL 15.2%
ORB %
20.8%
21.1%
PHX 22.0% +8.8%
DAL 13.2%
FTrt
21.2
24.2
PHX 38.3 +21.4
DAL 16.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.2%
55.7%
PHX 59.5% +9.5%
DAL 50.0%
STL %
7.3%
6.4%
PHX 9.3% +4.2%
DAL 5.1%
BLK %
8.0%
8.3%
PHX 0.0%
DAL 6.8% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.4%
56.8%
PHX 57.2% +0.1%
DAL 57.1%
Rim FG%
64.8%
64.7%
PHX 59.1%
DAL 64.3% +5.2%
Mid FG%
49.3%
45.3%
PHX 37.8%
DAL 65.4% +27.6%
3P %
37.8%
36.2%
PHX 45.5% +14.5%
DAL 31.0%
FT %
83.4%
77.8%
PHX 87.1% +30.0%
DAL 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.6%
29.5%
PHX 27.2%
DAL 33.7% +6.6%
Mid Att. %
33.2%
26.9%
PHX 45.7%
DAL 31.3% −14.4%
3P Att. %
39.2%
43.7%
PHX 27.2%
DAL 34.9% +7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.
Game TotalsPHXDAL
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points111105
Rebounds4237
Assists2222
Steals95
Blocks04
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)15 (1)
Fouls1926
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)32 (1)
Field Goals37-8144-83
At-the-Rim FG13-2218-28
Midrange FG14-3717-26
2-Point FG27-5935-54
3-Point FG10-229-29
Free Throws27-318-14
Fast Break Pts1920
2nd Chance Pts159
Points in Paint4052
Pts off Turnovers1515
Bench Points3025
Biggest Lead915

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · C · 7'0" 252 · 23
39.0
18
50%
17
4
1
0
2
2
6
11
2-4
50%
8-15
53%
0-1
0%
#3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 36
35.2
29
60%
3
12
4
0
3
3
1
2
12-13
92%
7-15
47%
1-3
33%
#23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25
33.7
6
60%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
#25 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24
32.9
14
54%
4
1
0
0
2
3
0
4
1-2
50%
5-10
50%
1-2
50%
#99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 31
31.9
14
70%
3
0
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
4-9
44%
#2 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 29
23.6
12
60%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
5-5
100%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 27
22.0
7
58%
7
2
1
0
0
2
0
7
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
#55 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 32
12.8
4
50%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#8 · C · 7'0" 242 · 28
8.8
7
70%
2
2
1
0
2
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
#1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 24
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring; Strain
#4 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#10 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#30 · C · 7'0" 245 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 27
INACTIVE
#0 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23
INACTIVE
#15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
57%
42
22
9
0
13
19
9
33
27-31
87%
27-59
46%
10-22
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.