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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 30, 2021
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Grizzlies
129
16Spurs
112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 25.0
28
25
14
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.5
28
29
19
2
11
0
1
0
5
1
1
2-3
67%
7-9
6-11
78%
52%
1-5
20%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 24.4
26
32
14
5
0
1
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
6-11
57%
60%
2-4
50%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.1
21
25
6
6
3
1
1
2
0
1
5
0-1
0%
3-7
4-7
43%
53%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.4
21
28
16
5
1
3
1
0
2
0
5
2-3
67%
4-6
3-6
67%
54%
2-2
100%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.7
32
10
20
5
2
0
1
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
48%
4-7
57%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 31.0
27
10
15
7
3
1
0
2
3
4
3
5-7
71%
2-4
1-2
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 24.7
22
22
8
1
8
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
0-3
0%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.6
21
20
15
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
49%
3-3
100%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
15
7
2
7
0
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.7
23
0
5-8
59%
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 21.2
2
0
0-0
52%
Sean McDermott
F · 6'6" 195 · 24.2
Killian Tillie
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 22.9
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 21.4
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 25.3
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 24.4
28
31
15
4
7
2
2
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
1-2
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 35.5
26
24
14
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
51%
2-2
100%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.1
25
29
12
1
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
2-5
40%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.5
25
33
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
6-12
25%
52%
1-2
50%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 21.3
21
31
12
5
1
1
1
0
3
1
4
6-9
67%
3-5
5-9
60%
53%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.5
23
18
12
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
2-3
67%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.6
22
24
18
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
3-6
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.5
20
27
10
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
2-6
33%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 25.3
18
22
8
6
4
0
1
3
1
4
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
61%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.2
11
3
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
51%
0-0
-
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.4
10
18
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.0
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.1
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 25.0
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.4
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.