Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Blazers	21%	112	106	100.0	106	101.2
	2	Bucks	79%	124	134	128.8	104	109.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nassir Little #9 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	29.6	30	79%	6	1	1	2	1	2	5	1	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	5-7	71%
Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 22	29.1	8	31%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-8	25%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	27.9	5	28%	8	2	2	0	2	2	2	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31	27.4	19	63%	3	7	1	1	0	0	1	2	5-5	100%	4-6	67%	2-7	29%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	25.0	10	42%	11	0	0	0	4	1	4	7	0-0	-	5-12	42%	0-0	-

Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	30.1	15	47%	3	5	0	2	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	3-8	38%
Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	18.4	4	25%	2	1	1	0	3	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	16.9	5	42%	6	2	0	0	0	1	2	4	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Rodney Hood #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 28	16.8	5	50%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	9.4	5	50%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	9.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Midfoot Fracture
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	47%	45	19	8	6	11	10	14	31	13-13	100%	24-62	39%	15-42	36%

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22 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nassir Little #9 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	29.6	30	79%	6	1	1	2	1	2	5	1	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	5-7	71%
Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 22	29.1	8	31%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-8	25%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	27.9	5	28%	8	2	2	0	2	2	2	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31	27.4	19	63%	3	7	1	1	0	0	1	2	5-5	100%	4-6	67%	2-7	29%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	25.0	10	42%	11	0	0	0	4	1	4	7	0-0	-	5-12	42%	0-0	-

Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	30.1	15	47%	3	5	0	2	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	3-8	38%
Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	18.4	4	25%	2	1	1	0	3	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	16.9	5	42%	6	2	0	0	0	1	2	4	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Rodney Hood #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 28	16.8	5	50%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	9.4	5	50%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	9.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Midfoot Fracture
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	47%	45	19	8	6	11	10	14	31	13-13	100%	24-62	39%	15-42	36%

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2 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 31	30.0	22	79%	7	6	3	0	2	0	2	5	0-0	-	8-11	73%	2-3	67%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 26	25.8	18	75%	4	6	0	1	1	3	1	3	2-3	67%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 29	25.3	17	106%	5	9	2	0	1	2	0	5	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	4-4	100%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 24	18.1	6	27%	4	3	2	0	1	0	2	2	1-2	50%	1-7	14%	1-3	33%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 33	17.3	7	70%	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26	23.7	21	81%	8	2	2	1	1	2	1	7	0-1	0%	6-8	75%	3-5	60%
Bryn Forbes #7 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 28	18.1	13	72%	1	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
D.J. Augustin #12 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 33	17.6	13	81%	5	6	1	0	1	0	0	5	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	4-6	67%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 28	15.8	7	50%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	13.5	0	0%	5	1	0	2	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 22	9.8	3	30%	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Sam Merrill #15 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 25	9.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
D.J. Wilson #5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	9.4	5	63%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 29	5.9	2	100%	6	1	0	1	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jaylen Adams #6 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Mamadi Diakite #25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	66%	53	38	10	7	12	13	9	44	7-12	58%	32-54	59%	21-42	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.94 46.9%

MIL

1.31 65.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

16

33

48%

MIL

23

32

72%

Midrange

POR

8

29

28%

MIL

9

22

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

15

22.5

42

36%

54%

MIL

21

31.5

42

50%

75%

Free Throws

POR

13

100%

MIL

7

12

58%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Little	30	79%	15.0 / 19
D. Lillard	19	63%	9.5 / 15
A. Simons	15	47%	7.5 / 16
E. Kanter	10	42%	5.0 / 12
G. Trent	8	31%	4.0 / 13
R. Covington	5	28%	2.5 / 9
H. Giles	5	42%	2.5 / 6
R. Hood	5	50%	2.5 / 5
C. Elleby	5	50%	2.5 / 5
C. Anthony	4	25%	2.0 / 8
K. Blevins	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Holiday	22	79%	11.0 / 14
B. Portis	21	81%	10.5 / 13
G. Antetokounmpo	18	75%	9.0 / 12
K. Middleton	17	106%	8.5 / 8
B. Forbes	13	72%	6.5 / 9
D. Augustin	13	81%	6.5 / 8
B. Lopez	7	70%	3.5 / 5
P. Connaughton	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. DiVincenzo	6	27%	3.0 / 11
D. Wilson	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Nwora	3	30%	1.5 / 5
T. Antetokounmpo	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Craig	0	-	0.0 / 2
S. Merrill	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 117.6 5 116.9	POR 100.0 MIL 128.8 +28.8
Pace	19 98.6 2 102.5	POR 101.2 MIL 109.1 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.9 29 13.6	POR 14.2 MIL 13.2 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.0% 2 56.6%	POR 44.7% MIL 66.1% +21.4%
TO %	1 10.9% 15 13.0%	POR 9.1% −2.3% MIL 11.4%
ORB %	11 23.1% 9 23.3%	POR 24.1% +1.6% MIL 22.5%
FTrt	22 23.8 24 23.3	POR 12.5 MIL 12.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 51.5% 25 56.9%	POR 48.7% MIL 71.7% +23.0%
STL %	24 7.0% 10 7.9%	POR 7.5% MIL 9.6% +2.1%
BLK %	10 9.4% 20 8.6%	POR 11.1% MIL 11.3% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 56.6% 3 58.2%	POR 46.9% MIL 65.7% +18.8%
Rim FG%	26 58.1% 1 65.0%	POR 48.5% MIL 71.9% +23.4%
Mid FG%	18 41.0% 11 43.5%	POR 27.6% MIL 40.9% +13.3%
3P %	6 38.5% 5 38.9%	POR 35.7% MIL 50.0% +14.3%
FT %	3 82.3% 23 76.0%	POR 100.0% +41.7% MIL 58.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.8% 23 32.9%	POR 31.7% MIL 33.3% +1.6%
Mid Att. %	10 23.4% 18 26.7%	POR 27.9% MIL 22.9% −5.0%
3P Att. %	3 44.8% 12 40.4%	POR 40.4% MIL 43.8% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	MIL
Possessions	106	104
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	106	134
Rebounds	45	53
Assists	19	38
Steals	8	10
Blocks	6	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	10	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (5)	44 (3)
Field Goals	39-104	53-96
At-the-Rim FG	16-33	23-32
Midrange FG	8-29	9-22
2-Point FG	24-62	32-54
3-Point FG	15-42	21-42
Free Throws	13-13	7-12
Fast Break Pts	5	29
2nd Chance Pts	18	17
Points in Paint	40	52
Pts off Turnovers	17	15
Bench Points	34	64
Biggest Lead	5	39

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg