Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 6, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Pistons	14%	101	119	124.0	96	100.4
	4	Nuggets	86%	116	134	139.6	96	92.0

Scoring Opportunities

DET

-13

DEN

+15

-10

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.31 65.4%

DEN

1.33 66.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 27	29.9	29	73%	5	4	0	1	4	1	2	3	4-6	67%	8-13	62%	3-5	60%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	23.8	25	78%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	6-12	50%
Josh Jackson #20 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 24	22.9	7	58%	2	0	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Mason Plumlee #24 · C · 7'0" 254 · 31	20.3	4	67%	2	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Saben Lee #38 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 22	15.3	0	0%	2	7	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Isaiah Stewart #28 · PG · 6'8" 250 · 20	27.7	9	75%	8	2	0	0	0	2	3	5	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Cory Joseph #18 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	19.0	9	56%	3	6	0	1	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Hamidou Diallo #6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 23	17.1	8	100%	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Frank Jackson #5 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 23	16.1	11	69%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Dennis Smith Jr. #0 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 23	13.7	6	60%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Wayne Ellington #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 33	13.4	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	12.0	7	117%	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Sekou Doumbouya #45 · PF · 6'9" 209 · 20	8.8	2	20%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Deividas Sirvydis #91 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Injury Management
Jahlil Okafor #13 · C · 6'11" 260 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Rodney McGruder #17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	65%	30	27	4	2	13	12	7	23	16-20	80%	29-46	63%	15-35	43%

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27 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 27	29.9	29	73%	5	4	0	1	4	1	2	3	4-6	67%	8-13	62%	3-5	60%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	23.8	25	78%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	6-12	50%
Josh Jackson #20 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 24	22.9	7	58%	2	0	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Mason Plumlee #24 · C · 7'0" 254 · 31	20.3	4	67%	2	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Saben Lee #38 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 22	15.3	0	0%	2	7	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Isaiah Stewart #28 · PG · 6'8" 250 · 20	27.7	9	75%	8	2	0	0	0	2	3	5	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Cory Joseph #18 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	19.0	9	56%	3	6	0	1	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Hamidou Diallo #6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 23	17.1	8	100%	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Frank Jackson #5 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 23	16.1	11	69%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Dennis Smith Jr. #0 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 23	13.7	6	60%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Wayne Ellington #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 33	13.4	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	12.0	7	117%	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Sekou Doumbouya #45 · PF · 6'9" 209 · 20	8.8	2	20%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Deividas Sirvydis #91 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Injury Management
Jahlil Okafor #13 · C · 6'11" 260 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Rodney McGruder #17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	65%	30	27	4	2	13	12	7	23	16-20	80%	29-46	63%	15-35	43%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	36.4	24	75%	6	4	2	0	2	3	2	4	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	3-6	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	28.9	25	78%	7	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	8-12	67%	3-4	75%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	26.8	27	79%	8	11	1	1	1	3	2	6	1-2	50%	13-16	81%	0-0	-
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	23.1	10	63%	2	4	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 26	22.8	9	75%	4	3	0	0	1	0	1	3	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%

PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	28.6	8	40%	6	5	3	0	1	5	2	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	22.2	6	50%	0	5	1	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-3	67%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	21.2	8	57%	3	1	0	1	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	18.6	12	67%	5	2	0	1	2	2	2	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-3	67%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	4.0	3	75%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24	3.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Gary Clark #6 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	2.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 22	1.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Whittington #3 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Arthroscopy
Jamal Murray #27 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	66%	44	36	7	5	10	20	13	31	8-9	89%	42-63	67%	14-31	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	DET	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.31 65.4%

DEN

1.33 66.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

64%

DEN

72%

Midrange

DET

61%

DEN

59%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

22.5

43%

64%

DEN

21.0

45%

68%

Free Throws

DET

80%

DEN

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Grant	29	73%	14.5 / 20
S. Bey	25	78%	12.5 / 16
F. Jackson	11	69%	5.5 / 8
I. Stewart	9	75%	4.5 / 6
C. Joseph	9	56%	4.5 / 8
H. Diallo	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Jackson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
T. Cook	7	117%	3.5 / 3
D. Smith	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Plumlee	4	67%	2.0 / 3
W. Ellington	2	25%	1.0 / 4
S. Doumbouya	2	20%	1.0 / 5
S. Lee	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	27	79%	13.5 / 17
M. Porter	25	78%	12.5 / 16
W. Barton	24	75%	12.0 / 16
P. Millsap	12	67%	6.0 / 9
M. Morris	10	63%	5.0 / 8
A. Gordon	9	75%	4.5 / 6
P. Dozier	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Green	8	57%	4.0 / 7
F. Campazzo	6	50%	3.0 / 6
Z. Nnaji	3	75%	1.5 / 2
V. Cancar	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 108.1 7 116.8	DET 124.0 DEN 139.6 +15.6
Pace	23 97.8 28 97.4	DET 100.4 +8.4 DEN 92.0
Avg. Poss. Time	8 14.9 4 15.1	DET 14.3 −1.3 DEN 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 51.9% 6 55.7%	DET 63.6% DEN 67.0% +3.4%
TO %	25 14.3% 13 13.0%	DET 12.6% DEN 10.1% −2.5%
ORB %	16 22.0% 2 24.8%	DET 18.4% DEN 36.1% +17.7%
FTrt	5 27.3 28 21.9	DET 24.7 +15.1 DEN 9.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 62.6% 11 62.1%	DET 61.4% DEN 64.3% +2.9%
STL %	17 7.4% 6 8.2%	DET 4.2% DEN 7.3% +3.1%
BLK %	13 9.3% 14 9.0%	DET 3.2% DEN 10.9% +7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	27 54.3% 6 57.5%	DET 65.4% DEN 66.3% +0.9%
Rim FG%	22 59.7% 6 63.9%	DET 64.3% DEN 72.2% +7.9%
Mid FG%	29 37.4% 5 44.9%	DET 61.1% +1.8% DEN 59.3%
3P %	23 35.1% 8 37.7%	DET 42.9% DEN 45.2% +2.3%
FT %	24 75.9% 7 80.3%	DET 80.0% DEN 88.9% +8.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 38.8% 18 33.5%	DET 34.6% DEN 38.3% +3.7%
Mid Att. %	8 22.7% 22 28.2%	DET 22.2% −6.5% DEN 28.7%
3P Att. %	16 38.5% 18 38.3%	DET 43.2% +10.2% DEN 33.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DET	DEN
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	119	134
Rebounds	30	44
Assists	27	36
Steals	4	7
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	12	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (0)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (0)	31 (0)
Field Goals	44-81	56-94
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	26-36
Midrange FG	11-18	16-27
2-Point FG	29-46	42-63
3-Point FG	15-35	14-31
Free Throws	16-20	8-9
Fast Break Pts	22	24
2nd Chance Pts	7	19
Points in Paint	48	62
Pts off Turnovers	14	23
Bench Points	54	39
Biggest Lead	5	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg