Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Pacers	25%	109	110	101.9	108	110.6
	2	Bucks	75%	119	130	121.5	107	104.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	31.0	33	63%	12	6	0	0	2	2	2	10	2-2	100%	11-20	55%	3-5	60%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	28.8	12	35%	3	3	2	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-11	27%	2-6	33%
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 32	28.8	15	83%	8	1	2	1	0	0	1	7	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	22.9	3	50%	2	1	2	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	17.5	2	17%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%

Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	29.1	13	54%	7	1	0	0	2	1	1	6	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	27.7	6	60%	2	12	1	1	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	25.7	11	39%	0	2	0	0	3	1	0	0	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	1-7	14%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	12.6	6	100%	5	0	0	2	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Edmond Sumner #5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 25	6.2	2	50%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	4.9	3	50%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26	4.9	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Brian Bowen II #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	INACTIVE
Jalen Lecque #0 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	INACTIVE
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	INACTIVE
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress Fracture
Caris LeVert #22 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Not Available; Medical Condition
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	52%	46	28	7	6	14	13	8	38	13-15	87%	32-61	52%	11-34	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

13 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	31.0	33	63%	12	6	0	0	2	2	2	10	2-2	100%	11-20	55%	3-5	60%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	28.8	12	35%	3	3	2	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-11	27%	2-6	33%
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 32	28.8	15	83%	8	1	2	1	0	0	1	7	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	22.9	3	50%	2	1	2	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	17.5	2	17%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%

Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	29.1	13	54%	7	1	0	0	2	1	1	6	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	27.7	6	60%	2	12	1	1	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	25.7	11	39%	0	2	0	0	3	1	0	0	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	1-7	14%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	12.6	6	100%	5	0	0	2	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Edmond Sumner #5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 25	6.2	2	50%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	4.9	3	50%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26	4.9	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Brian Bowen II #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	INACTIVE
Jalen Lecque #0 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	INACTIVE
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	INACTIVE
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress Fracture
Caris LeVert #22 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Not Available; Medical Condition
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	52%	46	28	7	6	14	13	8	38	13-15	87%	32-61	52%	11-34	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 26	30.6	21	105%	14	10	2	1	4	0	2	12	7-8	88%	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 31	26.8	11	61%	7	3	3	1	3	0	2	5	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 29	26.0	12	60%	5	4	0	0	3	1	0	5	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 33	23.3	11	69%	6	1	0	1	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 24	21.8	16	73%	4	3	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-8	50%

Bryn Forbes #7 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 28	22.1	20	67%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	4-7	57%
D.J. Augustin #12 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 33	19.0	6	43%	0	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26	16.7	18	69%	9	3	3	1	0	2	3	6	0-0	-	3-8	38%	4-5	80%
Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	16.5	8	67%	3	0	3	1	0	3	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 28	10.4	3	30%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
D.J. Wilson #5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	9.7	2	17%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 29	8.5	2	50%	0	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jaylen Adams #6 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	8.5	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Sam Merrill #15 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 25	INACTIVE
Jordan Nwora #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 22	INACTIVE
Mamadi Diakite #25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	60%	53	33	13	7	12	11	11	42	13-14	93%	27-54	50%	21-48	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.05 52.4%

MIL

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

18

27

67%

MIL

21

35

60%

Midrange

IND

14

34

41%

MIL

6

19

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

11

16.5

34

32%

49%

MIL

21

31.5

48

44%

66%

Free Throws

IND

13

15

87%

MIL

13

14

93%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Sabonis	33	63%	16.5 / 26
J. Holiday	15	83%	7.5 / 9
D. McDermott	13	54%	6.5 / 12
M. Brogdon	12	35%	6.0 / 17
A. Holiday	11	39%	5.5 / 14
T. McConnell	6	60%	3.0 / 5
G. Bitadze	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Martin	4	100%	2.0 / 2
M. Turner	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Sampson	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Lamb	2	17%	1.0 / 6
E. Sumner	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	21	105%	10.5 / 10
B. Forbes	20	67%	10.0 / 15
B. Portis	18	69%	9.0 / 13
D. DiVincenzo	16	73%	8.0 / 11
K. Middleton	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Holiday	11	61%	5.5 / 9
B. Lopez	11	69%	5.5 / 8
T. Craig	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Augustin	6	43%	3.0 / 7
P. Connaughton	3	30%	1.5 / 5
D. Wilson	2	17%	1.0 / 6
T. Antetokounmpo	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Adams	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 112.3 5 116.9	IND 101.9 MIL 121.5 +19.6
Pace	4 101.6 2 102.5	IND 110.6 +6.1 MIL 104.5
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 29 13.6	IND 13.0 −0.8 MIL 13.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 54.2% 2 56.6%	IND 51.1% MIL 57.4% +6.3%
TO %	9 12.7% 15 13.0%	IND 12.1% MIL 10.7% −1.4%
ORB %	26 20.2% 9 23.3%	IND 16.0% MIL 22.4% +6.4%
FTrt	26 22.7 24 23.3	IND 15.8 +2.1 MIL 13.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 63.3% 25 56.9%	IND 65.1% MIL 68.8% +3.7%
STL %	5 8.3% 10 7.9%	IND 6.5% MIL 12.1% +5.6%
BLK %	3 10.7% 20 8.6%	IND 11.1% MIL 11.5% +0.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.3% 3 58.2%	IND 52.4% MIL 60.2% +7.8%
Rim FG%	20 60.0% 1 65.0%	IND 66.7% +6.7% MIL 60.0%
Mid FG%	12 43.2% 11 43.5%	IND 41.2% +9.6% MIL 31.6%
3P %	17 36.4% 5 38.9%	IND 32.4% MIL 43.8% +11.4%
FT %	9 79.2% 23 76.0%	IND 86.7% MIL 92.9% +6.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.4% 23 32.9%	IND 28.4% MIL 34.3% +5.9%
Mid Att. %	7 22.4% 18 26.7%	IND 35.8% MIL 18.6% −17.2%
3P Att. %	21 37.2% 12 40.4%	IND 35.8% MIL 47.1% +11.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	MIL
Possessions	108	107
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	110	130
Rebounds	46	53
Assists	28	33
Steals	7	13
Blocks	6	7
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	13	11
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (3)	42 (0)
Field Goals	43-95	48-102
At-the-Rim FG	18-27	21-35
Midrange FG	14-34	6-19
2-Point FG	32-61	27-54
3-Point FG	11-34	21-48
Free Throws	13-15	13-14
Fast Break Pts	15	18
2nd Chance Pts	12	16
Points in Paint	56	48
Pts off Turnovers	17	19
Bench Points	45	59
Biggest Lead	0	40

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg