Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 4, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Nuggets	35%	107	93	96.9	96	92.7
	1	Lakers	65%	112	114	117.5	97	100.6

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+20

-15

101

LAL

+11

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.92 46.0%

LAL

1.24 62.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	36.6	20	56%	3	5	1	1	5	2	0	3	4-4	100%	5-12	42%	2-5	40%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	36.0	9	50%	2	4	1	0	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	34.9	13	38%	9	6	1	0	3	4	3	6	1-2	50%	6-16	38%	0-0	-
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	31.6	6	23%	10	1	2	0	1	5	4	6	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-5	0%
JaMychal Green #0 · SF · 6'9" 227 · 31	28.4	14	64%	8	0	1	0	1	4	4	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-6	33%

Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	25.9	16	80%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-3	67%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23	19.7	8	36%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	10.2	3	38%	4	1	1	0	0	3	3	1	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	2.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	2.9	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	2.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	2.9	3	75%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Arthroscopy
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	46%	42	19	9	2	15	23	16	26	13-15	87%	28-64	44%	8-28	29%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	36.6	20	56%	3	5	1	1	5	2	0	3	4-4	100%	5-12	42%	2-5	40%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	36.0	9	50%	2	4	1	0	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	34.9	13	38%	9	6	1	0	3	4	3	6	1-2	50%	6-16	38%	0-0	-
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	31.6	6	23%	10	1	2	0	1	5	4	6	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-5	0%
JaMychal Green #0 · SF · 6'9" 227 · 31	28.4	14	64%	8	0	1	0	1	4	4	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-6	33%

Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	25.9	16	80%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-3	67%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23	19.7	8	36%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	10.2	3	38%	4	1	1	0	0	3	3	1	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	2.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	2.9	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	2.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	2.9	3	75%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Arthroscopy
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	46%	42	19	9	2	15	23	16	26	13-15	87%	28-64	44%	8-28	29%

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1 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	35.5	27	71%	10	10	0	1	2	1	0	10	1-2	50%	10-14	71%	2-5	40%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28	33.2	13	59%	9	2	3	2	3	3	3	6	3-6	50%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 27	29.8	21	95%	2	4	0	0	3	3	0	2	5-5	100%	5-7	71%	2-2	100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 28	27.7	10	71%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Marc Gasol #14 · C · 7'1" 255 · 36	20.4	2	20%	2	1	1	1	0	4	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%

Kyle Kuzma #0 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 26	24.5	11	55%	3	3	2	2	1	0	2	1	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Montrezl Harrell #15 · C · 6'8" 240 · 27	24.3	13	72%	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	4	1-3	33%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	22.4	17	71%	3	2	3	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	7-10	70%	1-2	50%
Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27	16.8	0	0%	3	3	0	0	4	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Quinn Cook #2 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 28	2.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Alfonzo McKinnie #28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	2.6	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Wesley Matthews #9 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	DNP - Coach's Decision
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31	DNP - Coach's Decision
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	INACTIVE
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Patellar tendinitis
Jared Dudley #10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	62%	40	29	10	7	16	19	8	32	14-22	64%	38-57	67%	8-24	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.92 46.0%

LAL

1.24 62.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

53%

LAL

77%

Midrange

DEN

31%

LAL

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

12.0

29%

43%

LAL

12.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

DEN

87%

LAL

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	20	56%	10.0 / 18
M. Morris	16	80%	8.0 / 10
J. Green	14	64%	7.0 / 11
N. Jokić	13	38%	6.5 / 17
W. Barton	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Porter	8	36%	4.0 / 11
P. Millsap	6	23%	3.0 / 13
I. Hartenstein	3	38%	1.5 / 4
Z. Nnaji	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Bol	1	50%	0.5 / 1
R. Hampton	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Howard	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	27	71%	13.5 / 19
D. Schröder	21	95%	10.5 / 11
T. Horton-Tucker	17	71%	8.5 / 12
A. Davis	13	59%	6.5 / 11
M. Harrell	13	72%	6.5 / 9
K. Kuzma	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Gasol	2	20%	1.0 / 5
A. Caruso	0	-	0.0 / 3
Q. Cook	0	-	0.0 / 1
A. McKinnie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 116.8 24 110.4	DEN 96.9 LAL 117.5 +20.7
Pace	28 97.4 22 98.2	DEN 92.7 LAL 100.6 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.1 7 14.9	DEN 15.5 LAL 14.3 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.7% 18 53.7%	DEN 43.5% LAL 61.7% +18.2%
TO %	13 13.0% 29 14.9%	DEN 14.7% −0.3% LAL 15.0%
ORB %	2 24.8% 14 22.5%	DEN 33.3% +9.8% LAL 23.5%
FTrt	28 21.9 6 27.1	DEN 16.3 LAL 27.2 +10.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 62.1% 15 60.7%	DEN 52.8% LAL 63.0% +10.2%
STL %	6 8.2% 12 7.8%	DEN 9.4% LAL 10.3% +0.9%
BLK %	14 9.0% 8 9.9%	DEN 3.5% LAL 10.9% +7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 57.5% 18 55.8%	DEN 46.0% LAL 62.0% +16.0%
Rim FG%	6 63.9% 8 63.6%	DEN 52.6% LAL 76.9% +24.3%
Mid FG%	5 44.9% 23 40.0%	DEN 30.8% LAL 44.4% +13.6%
3P %	8 37.7% 21 35.4%	DEN 28.6% LAL 33.3% +4.7%
FT %	7 80.3% 28 73.9%	DEN 86.7% +23.1% LAL 63.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 33.5% 8 37.6%	DEN 41.3% LAL 48.1% +6.8%
Mid Att. %	22 28.2% 16 26.1%	DEN 28.3% LAL 22.2% −6.0%
3P Att. %	18 38.3% 22 36.3%	DEN 30.4% +0.8% LAL 29.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	96	97
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	93	114
Rebounds	42	40
Assists	19	29
Steals	9	10
Blocks	2	7
Turnovers (Team)	15 (2)	16 (0)
Fouls	23	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (4)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (2)	32 (5)
Field Goals	36-92	46-81
At-the-Rim FG	20-38	30-39
Midrange FG	8-26	8-18
2-Point FG	28-64	38-57
3-Point FG	8-28	8-24
Free Throws	13-15	14-22
Fast Break Pts	12	25
2nd Chance Pts	15	9
Points in Paint	42	66
Pts off Turnovers	15	19
Bench Points	31	41
Biggest Lead	12	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg