Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Raptors	64%	118	137	128.0	107	101.6
	27	Wizards	36%	113	115	108.5	106	111.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 27	34.5	26	65%	5	2	1	1	1	3	1	4	5-7	71%	6-14	43%	3-4	75%
Fred VanVleet #23 · SG · 6'0" 197 · 27	34.5	14	70%	4	7	0	0	4	4	0	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 35	32.8	21	75%	4	5	2	1	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	5-8	63%
Norman Powell #24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 28	31.7	28	70%	7	4	2	0	2	2	2	5	5-5	100%	7-14	50%	3-4	75%
Aron Baynes #46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 34	21.1	8	57%	4	4	0	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%

Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 28	24.5	17	65%	16	1	0	2	1	2	3	13	6-7	86%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
DeAndre' Bembry #95 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	23.8	10	100%	3	3	0	0	1	0	3	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
Terence Davis #0 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24	18.8	13	65%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Stanley Johnson #5 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 25	13.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Paul Watson #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Matt Thomas #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	2.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patrick McCaw #22 · SG · 6'7" 185 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery - rehabilitation
Malachi Flynn #8 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Harris #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SG · 6'9" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	65%	46	28	5	5	12	17	9	37	20-23	87%	30-61	49%	19-32	59%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 27	34.5	26	65%	5	2	1	1	1	3	1	4	5-7	71%	6-14	43%	3-4	75%
Fred VanVleet #23 · SG · 6'0" 197 · 27	34.5	14	70%	4	7	0	0	4	4	0	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 35	32.8	21	75%	4	5	2	1	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	5-8	63%
Norman Powell #24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 28	31.7	28	70%	7	4	2	0	2	2	2	5	5-5	100%	7-14	50%	3-4	75%
Aron Baynes #46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 34	21.1	8	57%	4	4	0	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%

Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 28	24.5	17	65%	16	1	0	2	1	2	3	13	6-7	86%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
DeAndre' Bembry #95 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	23.8	10	100%	3	3	0	0	1	0	3	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
Terence Davis #0 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24	18.8	13	65%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Stanley Johnson #5 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 25	13.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Paul Watson #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Matt Thomas #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	2.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patrick McCaw #22 · SG · 6'7" 185 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery - rehabilitation
Malachi Flynn #8 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Harris #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SG · 6'9" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	65%	46	28	5	5	12	17	9	37	20-23	87%	30-61	49%	19-32	59%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 28	37.5	24	52%	4	5	2	0	2	2	1	3	7-7	100%	7-14	50%	1-6	17%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 32	34.0	23	55%	6	7	1	0	5	4	1	5	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	3-8	38%
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	32.3	15	50%	7	3	1	0	2	3	2	5	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	1-5	20%
Davis Bertans #42 · SF · 6'10" 210 · 28	28.3	9	50%	4	0	1	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-9	33%
Alex Len #27 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	21.2	11	92%	5	1	1	1	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-1	100%

Raul Neto #19 · PG · 6'1" 179 · 29	27.3	6	38%	6	4	1	0	1	2	0	6	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 20	26.7	9	56%	7	3	0	0	2	3	1	6	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Robin Lopez #15 · C · 7'0" 277 · 33	18.6	13	72%	5	1	0	1	0	2	3	2	3-4	75%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 33	4.4	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Troy Brown Jr. #6 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 22	2.5	4	67%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jerome Robinson #12 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 24	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	2.5	1	50%	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaac Bonga #17 · SG · 6'9" 203 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cassius Winston #5 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Thomas Bryant #13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left ACL injury
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	55%	46	26	7	3	14	20	12	34	19-23	83%	30-52	58%	12-41	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.30 65.2%

WAS

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

13

22

59%

WAS

20

28

71%

Midrange

TOR

17

39

44%

WAS

10

24

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

19

28.5

32

59%

89%

WAS

12

18.0

41

29%

44%

Free Throws

TOR

20

23

87%

WAS

19

23

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Powell	28	70%	14.0 / 20
P. Siakam	26	65%	13.0 / 20
K. Lowry	21	75%	10.5 / 14
C. Boucher	17	65%	8.5 / 13
F. VanVleet	14	70%	7.0 / 10
T. Davis	13	65%	6.5 / 10
D. Bembry	10	100%	5.0 / 5
A. Baynes	8	57%	4.0 / 7
S. Johnson	0	-	0.0 / 1
P. Watson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	24	52%	12.0 / 23
R. Westbrook	23	55%	11.5 / 21
R. Hachimura	15	50%	7.5 / 15
R. Lopez	13	72%	6.5 / 9
A. Len	11	92%	5.5 / 6
D. Bertans	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Avdija	9	56%	4.5 / 8
R. Neto	6	38%	3.0 / 8
T. Brown Jr.	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Gill	1	50%	0.5 / 1
G. Mathews	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 112.0 17 111.2	TOR 128.0 +19.5 WAS 108.5
Pace	14 99.2 1 104.1	TOR 101.6 WAS 111.8 +10.2
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 30 13.5	TOR 14.2 WAS 12.9 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.0% 20 53.1%	TOR 62.9% +11.3% WAS 51.6%
TO %	6 12.5% 16 13.3%	TOR 10.4% −1.6% WAS 12.0%
ORB %	24 20.8% 21 21.3%	TOR 20.9% WAS 24.5% +3.6%
FTrt	18 24.1 3 28.8	TOR 24.7 WAS 24.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.7% 19 59.0%	TOR 57.1% WAS 61.9% +4.8%
STL %	3 8.7% 23 7.0%	TOR 4.7% WAS 6.6% +1.9%
BLK %	2 11.3% 30 7.1%	TOR 9.6% +4.7% WAS 4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 55.5% 16 56.0%	TOR 65.2% +10.4% WAS 54.8%
Rim FG%	24 59.0% 5 64.3%	TOR 59.1% WAS 71.4% +12.3%
Mid FG%	27 38.2% 17 41.6%	TOR 43.6% +1.9% WAS 41.7%
3P %	15 36.8% 22 35.1%	TOR 59.4% +30.1% WAS 29.3%
FT %	4 81.5% 19 76.9%	TOR 87.0% +4.4% WAS 82.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 34.8% 11 35.0%	TOR 23.7% WAS 30.1% +6.5%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 27 33.1%	TOR 41.9% WAS 25.8% −16.1%
3P Att. %	4 44.4% 29 31.9%	TOR 34.4% WAS 44.1% +9.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	WAS
Possessions	107	106
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.7
Points	137	115
Rebounds	46	46
Assists	28	26
Steals	5	7
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	17	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (1)	12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	34 (2)
Field Goals	49-93	42-93
At-the-Rim FG	13-22	20-28
Midrange FG	17-39	10-24
2-Point FG	30-61	30-52
3-Point FG	19-32	12-41
Free Throws	20-23	19-23
Fast Break Pts	13	18
2nd Chance Pts	10	9
Points in Paint	40	52
Pts off Turnovers	19	15
Bench Points	40	33
Biggest Lead	24	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg