Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 10, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Cavaliers	23%	106	95	95.0	100	96.9
	6	Nuggets	77%	116	133	133.0	100	103.3

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+22

-17

105

DEN

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

0.90 45.2%

DEN

1.37 68.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 20	29.9	10	42%	1	2	0	0	1	4	1	0	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Collin Sexton #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 22	28.9	4	20%	3	8	1	0	3	2	1	2	2-3	67%	1-7	14%	0-2	0%
Darius Garland #10 · SG · 6'1" 192 · 21	26.4	7	58%	1	5	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Jarrett Allen #31 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 23	25.8	18	69%	10	2	0	1	2	0	4	6	4-5	80%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
Andre Drummond #3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 28	16.2	4	29%	6	1	1	0	4	1	4	2	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-

Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 27	24.4	12	55%	6	1	1	1	0	3	2	4	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	3-5	60%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	21.8	2	20%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Dylan Windler #9 · SG · 6'8" 196 · 24	17.0	11	61%	8	1	0	1	2	3	3	5	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	16.9	3	15%	3	2	2	0	3	0	0	3	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-4	0%
Damyean Dotson #21 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	14.5	8	44%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
JaVale McGee #6 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	10.5	8	67%	4	1	0	3	0	1	2	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24	7.7	8	80%	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Marques Bolden #24 · C · 6'10" 249 · 23	INACTIVE
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
Matthew Dellavedova #18 · PG · 6'4" 198 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Concussion
Kevin Love #0 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	45%	49	25	7	7	17	18	18	31	15-20	75%	28-57	49%	8-37	22%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 20	29.9	10	42%	1	2	0	0	1	4	1	0	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Collin Sexton #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 22	28.9	4	20%	3	8	1	0	3	2	1	2	2-3	67%	1-7	14%	0-2	0%
Darius Garland #10 · SG · 6'1" 192 · 21	26.4	7	58%	1	5	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Jarrett Allen #31 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 23	25.8	18	69%	10	2	0	1	2	0	4	6	4-5	80%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
Andre Drummond #3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 28	16.2	4	29%	6	1	1	0	4	1	4	2	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-

Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 27	24.4	12	55%	6	1	1	1	0	3	2	4	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	3-5	60%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	21.8	2	20%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Dylan Windler #9 · SG · 6'8" 196 · 24	17.0	11	61%	8	1	0	1	2	3	3	5	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	16.9	3	15%	3	2	2	0	3	0	0	3	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-4	0%
Damyean Dotson #21 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	14.5	8	44%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
JaVale McGee #6 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	10.5	8	67%	4	1	0	3	0	1	2	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24	7.7	8	80%	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Marques Bolden #24 · C · 6'10" 249 · 23	INACTIVE
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
Matthew Dellavedova #18 · PG · 6'4" 198 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Concussion
Kevin Love #0 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	45%	49	25	7	7	17	18	18	31	15-20	75%	28-57	49%	8-37	22%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	29.8	12	75%	6	12	2	0	2	3	1	5	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	27.6	19	79%	5	2	2	2	0	1	0	5	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	4-7	57%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	26.8	16	80%	2	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	2-3	67%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	26.7	22	100%	4	3	2	1	1	2	0	4	6-7	86%	5-5	100%	2-3	67%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	25.3	8	50%	4	4	1	0	2	1	0	4	2-4	50%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	20.1	12	60%	1	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	19.1	9	64%	4	3	2	1	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	18.8	14	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-6	67%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	13.7	8	57%	6	0	0	1	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-3	0%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	12.7	5	42%	0	3	2	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	7.7	4	100%	2	0	0	3	2	3	0	2	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	6.2	2	20%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	5.6	2	100%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Arthroscopy
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	69%	39	31	12	9	11	18	4	35	15-21	71%	35-49	71%	16-36	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

0.90 45.2%

DEN

1.37 68.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

52%

DEN

86%

Midrange

CLE

47%

DEN

66%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

12.0

22%

32%

DEN

24.0

44%

67%

Free Throws

CLE

75%

DEN

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Allen	18	69%	9.0 / 13
T. Prince	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Windler	11	61%	5.5 / 9
I. Okoro	10	42%	5.0 / 12
D. Dotson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. McGee	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Wade	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Garland	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. Sexton	4	20%	2.0 / 10
A. Drummond	4	29%	2.0 / 7
L. Stevens	3	15%	1.5 / 10
C. Osman	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Millsap	22	100%	11.0 / 11
M. Porter	19	79%	9.5 / 12
W. Barton	16	80%	8.0 / 10
Z. Nnaji	14	100%	7.0 / 7
N. Jokić	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Morris	12	60%	6.0 / 10
R. Hampton	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Murray	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Green	8	57%	4.0 / 7
F. Campazzo	5	42%	2.5 / 6
I. Hartenstein	4	100%	2.0 / 2
M. Howard	2	20%	1.0 / 5
B. Bol	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 105.7 7 116.8	CLE 95.0 DEN 133.0 +38.0
Pace	26 97.4 28 97.4	CLE 96.9 DEN 103.3 +6.3
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.1 4 15.1	CLE 14.9 DEN 13.9 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 50.8% 6 55.7%	CLE 42.6% DEN 69.4% +26.8%
TO %	28 14.7% 13 13.0%	CLE 14.2% DEN 11.3% −2.9%
ORB %	7 23.7% 2 24.8%	CLE 34.0% +22.6% DEN 11.4%
FTrt	7 26.1 28 21.9	CLE 21.3 DEN 24.7 +3.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 61.8% 11 62.1%	CLE 69.4% +8.6% DEN 60.8%
STL %	11 7.9% 6 8.2%	CLE 7.0% DEN 12.0% +5.0%
BLK %	25 8.3% 14 9.0%	CLE 14.3% DEN 15.8% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 52.7% 6 57.5%	CLE 45.2% DEN 68.6% +23.4%
Rim FG%	25 58.4% 6 63.9%	CLE 52.4% DEN 85.7% +33.3%
Mid FG%	25 39.8% 5 44.9%	CLE 47.2% DEN 65.7% +18.5%
3P %	30 33.6% 8 37.7%	CLE 21.6% DEN 44.4% +22.8%
FT %	26 74.3% 7 80.3%	CLE 75.0% +3.6% DEN 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 39.3% 18 33.5%	CLE 22.3% +5.9% DEN 16.5%
Mid Att. %	15 26.0% 22 28.2%	CLE 38.3% −2.9% DEN 41.2%
3P Att. %	25 34.7% 18 38.3%	CLE 39.4% DEN 42.4% +3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	DEN
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	95	133
Rebounds	49	39
Assists	25	31
Steals	7	12
Blocks	7	9
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (4)	4 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (0)	35 (4)
Field Goals	36-94	51-85
At-the-Rim FG	11-21	12-14
Midrange FG	17-36	23-35
2-Point FG	28-57	35-49
3-Point FG	8-37	16-36
Free Throws	15-20	15-21
Fast Break Pts	13	15
2nd Chance Pts	17	6
Points in Paint	42	62
Pts off Turnovers	19	26
Bench Points	52	56
Biggest Lead	4	42

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg