Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, February 14, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Lakers	49%	109	105	106.1	99	97.7
	4	Nuggets	51%	110	122	123.2	99	100.5

Scoring Opportunities

LAL

+11

-10

100

DEN

+13

-9

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.05 52.5%

DEN

1.17 58.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	30.9	22	52%	10	9	0	1	1	2	1	9	4-7	57%	9-13	69%	0-5	0%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 27	27.6	8	40%	1	4	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-7	14%	2-3	67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 28	18.8	7	50%	1	0	2	1	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Marc Gasol #14 · C · 7'1" 255 · 36	17.9	5	63%	3	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28	14.2	15	58%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	5-5	100%	5-10	50%	0-1	0%

Kyle Kuzma #0 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 26	26.4	19	68%	8	1	0	0	2	0	1	7	2-4	50%	7-8	88%	1-4	25%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	24.8	10	56%	0	5	0	1	2	4	0	0	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Montrezl Harrell #15 · C · 6'8" 240 · 27	24.3	4	67%	6	1	0	0	1	3	0	6	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27	19.6	11	79%	3	2	0	0	0	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Wesley Matthews #9 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	17.0	0	0%	4	1	0	1	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31	9.7	0	0%	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Quinn Cook #2 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 28	4.3	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Alfonzo McKinnie #28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	4.3	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jared Dudley #10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 36	DNP - Coach's Decision
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	INACTIVE
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Patellar tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	46	27	4	4	10	26	8	38	19-29	66%	34-59	58%	6-28	21%

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2 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	30.9	22	52%	10	9	0	1	1	2	1	9	4-7	57%	9-13	69%	0-5	0%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 27	27.6	8	40%	1	4	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-7	14%	2-3	67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 28	18.8	7	50%	1	0	2	1	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Marc Gasol #14 · C · 7'1" 255 · 36	17.9	5	63%	3	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28	14.2	15	58%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	5-5	100%	5-10	50%	0-1	0%

Kyle Kuzma #0 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 26	26.4	19	68%	8	1	0	0	2	0	1	7	2-4	50%	7-8	88%	1-4	25%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	24.8	10	56%	0	5	0	1	2	4	0	0	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Montrezl Harrell #15 · C · 6'8" 240 · 27	24.3	4	67%	6	1	0	0	1	3	0	6	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27	19.6	11	79%	3	2	0	0	0	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Wesley Matthews #9 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	17.0	0	0%	4	1	0	1	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31	9.7	0	0%	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Quinn Cook #2 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 28	4.3	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Alfonzo McKinnie #28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	4.3	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jared Dudley #10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 36	DNP - Coach's Decision
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	INACTIVE
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Patellar tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	46	27	4	4	10	26	8	38	19-29	66%	34-59	58%	6-28	21%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	34.8	23	57%	16	10	0	1	3	2	4	12	6-6	100%	7-12	58%	1-5	20%
Jamal Murray #27 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 24	34.4	25	69%	6	4	0	0	3	3	1	5	7-7	100%	3-5	60%	4-10	40%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	30.3	10	56%	3	3	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-3	0%	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	29.9	8	33%	3	1	0	2	1	4	0	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-7	14%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	15.7	10	100%	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	5	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%

Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	25.8	15	75%	1	4	2	0	0	2	1	0	4-5	80%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	23.8	16	89%	3	0	1	0	0	1	1	2	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	4-5	80%
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	20.4	4	29%	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	14.0	3	75%	2	2	2	0	0	5	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	6.3	6	50%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	3.1	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	1.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Arthroscopy
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	59%	47	28	6	4	9	24	9	38	25-34	74%	20-38	53%	19-47	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.05 52.5%

DEN

1.17 58.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

76%

DEN

53%

Midrange

LAL

27%

DEN

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

9.0

21%

32%

DEN

28.5

40%

61%

Free Throws

LAL

66%

DEN

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	22	52%	11.0 / 21
K. Kuzma	19	68%	9.5 / 14
A. Davis	15	58%	7.5 / 13
A. Caruso	11	79%	5.5 / 7
T. Horton-Tucker	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Schröder	8	40%	4.0 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope	7	50%	3.5 / 7
M. Gasol	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Harrell	4	67%	2.0 / 3
Q. Cook	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. McKinnie	2	50%	1.0 / 2
W. Matthews	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Morris	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	25	69%	12.5 / 18
N. Jokić	23	57%	11.5 / 20
Z. Nnaji	16	89%	8.0 / 9
F. Campazzo	15	75%	7.5 / 10
M. Morris	10	56%	5.0 / 9
P. Millsap	10	100%	5.0 / 5
M. Porter	8	33%	4.0 / 12
V. Cancar	6	50%	3.0 / 6
R. Hampton	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Green	3	75%	1.5 / 2
I. Hartenstein	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 110.4 7 116.8	LAL 106.1 DEN 123.2 +17.2
Pace	22 98.2 28 97.4	LAL 97.7 DEN 100.5 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time	7 14.9 4 15.1	LAL 14.7 DEN 14.3 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 53.7% 6 55.7%	LAL 49.4% DEN 57.1% +7.7%
TO %	29 14.9% 13 13.0%	LAL 9.1% DEN 9.1%
ORB %	14 22.5% 2 24.8%	LAL 17.4% DEN 19.1% +1.7%
FTrt	6 27.1 28 21.9	LAL 33.3 DEN 40.0 +6.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 60.7% 11 62.1%	LAL 67.5% DEN 71.8% +4.3%
STL %	12 7.8% 6 8.2%	LAL 4.0% DEN 6.1% +2.1%
BLK %	8 9.9% 14 9.0%	LAL 10.5% +3.7% DEN 6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 55.8% 6 57.5%	LAL 52.5% DEN 58.7% +6.2%
Rim FG%	8 63.6% 6 63.9%	LAL 75.7% +22.4% DEN 53.3%
Mid FG%	23 40.0% 5 44.9%	LAL 27.3% DEN 52.2% +24.9%
3P %	21 35.4% 8 37.7%	LAL 21.4% DEN 40.4% +19.0%
FT %	28 73.9% 7 80.3%	LAL 65.5% DEN 73.5% +8.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 37.6% 18 33.5%	LAL 42.5% +24.9% DEN 17.6%
Mid Att. %	16 26.1% 22 28.2%	LAL 25.3% −1.8% DEN 27.1%
3P Att. %	22 36.3% 18 38.3%	LAL 32.2% DEN 55.3% +23.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAL	DEN
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.6
Points	105	122
Rebounds	46	47
Assists	27	28
Steals	4	6
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls	26	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (1)	38 (5)
Field Goals	40-87	39-85
At-the-Rim FG	28-37	8-15
Midrange FG	6-22	12-23
2-Point FG	34-59	20-38
3-Point FG	6-28	19-47
Free Throws	19-29	25-34
Fast Break Pts	18	15
2nd Chance Pts	11	15
Points in Paint	62	30
Pts off Turnovers	6	10
Bench Points	48	46
Biggest Lead	7	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg