Final Win Prob. pScore
1263%110
108
2737%105
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
113.79595.9
OKC logo Thunder
100.09493.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.108
94
Q4 - 0:05.8ThunderIsaiah Roby makes two point cutting layup (Darius Bazley assists)108
94
Q4 - 0:18.5ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound108
92
Q4 - 0:22.4HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot108
92
Q4 - 0:33.6ThunderIsaiah Roby makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
92
Q4 - 0:33.6ThunderIsaiah Roby makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
91
Q4 - 0:33.6HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Isaiah Roby draws the foul)108
90
Q4 - 0:38.1ThunderIsaiah Roby offensive rebound108
90
Q4 - 0:41.7ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot108
90
Q4 - 0:48.6Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Precious Achiuwa, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, KZ Okpala)108
90
Q4 - 0:48.6HeatMax Strus personal foul (Take) (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)108
90
Q4 - 0:57.3HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)108
90
Q4 - 1:04HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound105
90
Q4 - 1:09HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot105
90
Q4 - 1:27ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Theo Maledon assists)105
90
Q4 - 1:37HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 1105
87
Q4 - 1:37Thunder lineup change (Darius Bazley, Theo Maledon, Isaiah Roby, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams)104
87
Q4 - 1:37ThunderTheo Maledon shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)104
87
Q4 - 1:37HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup104
87
Q4 - 1:48HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound102
87
Q4 - 1:49ThunderIsaiah Roby misses two point putback layup102
87
Q4 - 1:49ThunderIsaiah Roby offensive rebound102
87
Q4 - 1:53ThunderBam Adebayo blocks Luguentz Dort's two point driving floating jump shot102
87
Q4 - 2:02ThunderIsaiah Roby defensive rebound102
87
Q4 - 2:05HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot102
87
Q4 - 2:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound102
87
Q4 - 2:22ThunderTheo Maledon misses three point jump shot102
87
Q4 - 2:39HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point pullup jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)102
87
Q4 - 3:00ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup100
87
Q4 - 3:10HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)100
85
Q4 - 3:19ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound100
85
Q4 - 3:21HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving floating jump shot100
85
Q4 - 3:28Heat 60 second timeout100
85
Q4 - 3:34HeatMax Strus offensive rebound100
85
Q4 - 3:38HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot100
85
Q4 - 3:50HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound100
85
Q4 - 3:53ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot100
85
Q4 - 4:00ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound100
85
Q4 - 4:03HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point stepback jump shot100
85
Q4 - 4:27ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)100
85
Q4 - 4:53HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)100
82
Q4 - 5:05ThunderLuguentz Dort turnover (offensive foul)97
82
Q4 - 5:05ThunderLuguentz Dort offensive foul (Charge) (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)97
82
Q4 - 5:09ThunderTheo Maledon defensive rebound97
82
Q4 - 5:12HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot97
82
Q4 - 5:19Thunder lineup change (Darius Bazley, Theo Maledon, Isaiah Roby, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)97
82
Q4 - 5:19Heat 60 second timeout97
82
Q4 - 5:19ThunderKenrich Williams personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)97
82
Q4 - 5:40ThunderMike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)97
82
Q4 - 5:59HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)97
79
Q4 - 6:22ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)94
79
Q4 - 6:51HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)94
77
Q4 - 6:59HeatMax Strus defensive rebound91
77
Q4 - 7:01ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point driving floating jump shot91
77
Q4 - 7:18HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving floating jump shot91
77
Q4 - 7:27HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound89
77
Q4 - 7:31ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot89
77
Q4 - 7:39Thunder lineup change (Mike Muscala, Darius Bazley, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams)89
77
Q4 - 7:39Thunder 60 second timeout89
77
Q4 - 7:39HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point turnaround hook shot (Andre Iguodala assists)89
77
Q4 - 7:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
77
Q4 - 8:03ThunderKenrich Williams misses two point pullup jump shot87
77
Q4 - 8:08ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound87
77
Q4 - 8:11HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot87
77
Q4 - 8:14ThunderHamidou Diallo turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)87
77
Q4 - 8:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)87
77
Q4 - 8:37ThunderHamidou Diallo turnover (lost ball) (Kendrick Nunn steals)85
77
Q4 - 8:42ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound85
77
Q4 - 8:45HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot85
77
Q4 - 8:58HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound85
77
Q4 - 9:02ThunderTheo Maledon misses three point jump shot85
77
Q4 - 9:19ThunderTheo Maledon defensive rebound85
77
Q4 - 9:22HeatMax Strus misses two point layup85
77
Q4 - 9:25HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound85
77
Q4 - 9:28ThunderKendrick Nunn blocks Justin Jackson's two point driving layup85
77
Q4 - 9:35HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Theo Maledon draws the foul)85
77
Q4 - 9:45ThunderTheo Maledon offensive rebound85
77
Q4 - 9:48ThunderKenrich Williams misses three point jump shot85
77
Q4 - 9:53Stoppage (Out of bounds)85
77
Q4 - 9:53ThunderThunder offensive rebound85
77
Q4 - 9:53ThunderAndre Iguodala blocks Mike Muscala's two point layup85
77
Q4 - 10:09ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound85
77
Q4 - 10:11HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 285
77
Q4 - 10:11HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 285
77
Q4 - 10:11ThunderTheo Maledon shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)84
77
Q4 - 10:19Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)84
77
Q4 - 10:19Thunder 60 second timeout84
77
Q4 - 10:19ThunderHamidou Diallo personal foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)84
77
Q4 - 10:28HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound84
77
Q4 - 10:31ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot84
77
Q4 - 10:44HeatMax Strus personal foul (Mike Muscala draws the foul)84
77
Q4 - 10:58HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)84
77
Q4 - 11:04HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound81
77
Q4 - 11:05ThunderKenrich Williams misses two point putback layup81
77
Q4 - 11:07ThunderKenrich Williams offensive rebound81
77
Q4 - 11:10ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot81
77
Q4 - 11:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)81
77
Q4 - 11:39ThunderHamidou Diallo turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)79
77
Q4 - 12:00Thunder lineup change (Justin Jackson, Mike Muscala, Theo Maledon, Hamidou Diallo, Kenrich Williams)79
77
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Duncan Robinson, Andre Iguodala, Bam Adebayo, Kendrick Nunn)79
77
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.79
77
Q3 - 0:00.3ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup79
77
Q3 - 0:22.8HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (out of bounds lost ball)79
75
Q3 - 0:31.6ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point stepback jump shot79
75
Q3 - 0:51.3HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 179
72
Q3 - 0:51.3ThunderJustin Jackson shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)78
72
Q3 - 0:51.3HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Precious Achiuwa assists)78
72
Q3 - 0:51.3HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound75
72
Q3 - 0:55.2HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup75
72
Q3 - 1:11ThunderJustin Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 275
72
Q3 - 1:11ThunderJustin Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 275
71
Q3 - 1:11HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Justin Jackson draws the foul)75
70
Q3 - 1:15HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (Hamidou Diallo steals)75
70
Q3 - 1:24HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound75
70
Q3 - 1:28ThunderJustin Jackson misses three point jump shot75
70
Q3 - 1:49HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point alley-oop layup (Jimmy Butler assists)75
70
Q3 - 2:02ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)73
70
Q3 - 2:02ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive foul (Charge) (Max Strus draws the foul)73
70
Q3 - 2:15HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)73
70
Q3 - 2:33Thunder lineup change (Justin Jackson, Mike Muscala, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Hamidou Diallo, Kenrich Williams)70
70
Q3 - 2:33ThunderMike Muscala turnover (traveling)70
70
Q3 - 2:47HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot70
70
Q3 - 2:54HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound68
70
Q3 - 2:58ThunderKenrich Williams misses three point jump shot68
70
Q3 - 3:13HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 168
70
Q3 - 3:13ThunderLuguentz Dort shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)67
70
Q3 - 3:13HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)67
70
Q3 - 3:22Heat 60 second timeout65
70
Q3 - 3:24ThunderMike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)65
70
Q3 - 3:35Thunder lineup change (Mike Muscala, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Hamidou Diallo, Kenrich Williams)65
67
Q3 - 3:35Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Precious Achiuwa, Andre Iguodala, Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler)65
67
Q3 - 3:35HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)65
67
Q3 - 3:35HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)65
67
Q3 - 3:42Thunder lineup change (Mike Muscala, Darius Bazley, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Hamidou Diallo)65
67
Q3 - 3:42ThunderIsaiah Roby turnover (traveling)65
67
Q3 - 3:50Darius Bazley defensive goaltending violation65
67
Q3 - 3:50HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)65
67
Q3 - 3:56HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound63
67
Q3 - 4:02ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point layup63
67
Q3 - 4:17HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)63
67
Q3 - 4:24HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound60
67
Q3 - 4:26ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point floating jump shot60
67
Q3 - 4:44Thunder lineup change (Darius Bazley, Isaiah Roby, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Hamidou Diallo)60
67
Q3 - 4:44Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Precious Achiuwa, Kelly Olynyk, Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler)60
67
Q3 - 4:44HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)60
67
Q3 - 4:44HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)60
67
Q3 - 4:49ThunderThunder turnover (shot clock violation)60
67
Q3 - 4:49ThunderThunder offensive rebound60
67
Q3 - 4:51ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point pullup jump shot60
67
Q3 - 5:06HeatMax Strus personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)60
67
Q3 - 5:19HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 260
67
Q3 - 5:19Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler)59
67
Q3 - 5:19HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 259
67
Q3 - 5:19ThunderIsaiah Roby shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)58
67
Q3 - 5:19HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound58
67
Q3 - 5:19HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point layup58
67
Q3 - 5:33ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point driving layup (Isaiah Roby assists)58
67
Q3 - 5:47HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)58
65
Q3 - 5:47HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound58
65
Q3 - 5:50ThunderJimmy Butler blocks Luguentz Dort's two point driving layup58
65
Q3 - 6:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 258
65
Q3 - 6:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 257
65
Q3 - 6:05ThunderLuguentz Dort personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)56
65
Q3 - 6:13ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup56
65
Q3 - 6:27HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Darius Bazley steals)56
63
Q3 - 6:33ThunderTheo Maledon personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)56
63
Q3 - 6:33HeatHeat offensive rebound56
63
Q3 - 6:34HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot56
63
Q3 - 6:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
63
Q3 - 6:55ThunderTheo Maledon misses three point jump shot56
63
Q3 - 7:12Thunder 60 second timeout56
63
Q3 - 7:12Stoppage (Out of bounds)56
63
Q3 - 7:12ThunderThunder defensive rebound56
63
Q3 - 7:12HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup56
63
Q3 - 7:15ThunderDarius Bazley turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)56
63
Q3 - 7:20ThunderIsaiah Roby defensive rebound56
63
Q3 - 7:24HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot56
63
Q3 - 7:32ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
63
Q3 - 7:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
63
Q3 - 7:39ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point reverse layup56
63
Q3 - 7:53HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Theo Maledon draws the foul)56
63
Q3 - 8:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk56
63
Q3 - 8:05HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound54
63
Q3 - 8:08HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point floating jump shot54
63
Q3 - 8:24ThunderIsaiah Roby makes three point pullup jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)54
63
Q3 - 8:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 254
60
Q3 - 8:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 253
60
Q3 - 8:47ThunderIsaiah Roby shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)52
60
Q3 - 9:02Instant replay (Request: Stands)52
60
Q3 - 9:02ThunderLuguentz Dort personal foul (Take) (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)52
60
Q3 - 9:02HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound52
60
Q3 - 9:04ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point running layup52
60
Q3 - 9:08HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)52
60
Q3 - 9:17HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound52
60
Q3 - 9:20ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point jump shot52
60
Q3 - 9:27ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound52
60
Q3 - 9:30HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot52
60
Q3 - 9:41ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 3 of 352
60
Q3 - 9:41ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 352
59
Q3 - 9:41ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 352
58
Q3 - 9:41HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)52
57
Q3 - 9:56HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)52
57
Q3 - 10:23ThunderIsaiah Roby makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)49
57
Q3 - 10:37HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Luguentz Dort steals)49
54
Q3 - 10:41HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound49
54
Q3 - 10:45HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving layup49
54
Q3 - 10:54HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound49
54
Q3 - 10:58ThunderTheo Maledon misses three point jump shot49
54
Q3 - 11:06HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip layup49
54
Q3 - 11:06HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound47
54
Q3 - 11:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot47
54
Q3 - 11:21ThunderDarius Bazley turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)47
54
Q3 - 11:41HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)47
54
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler)45
54
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.45
54
Q2 - 0:02.2ThunderTheo Maledon makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)45
54
Q2 - 0:17.3HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 245
51
Q2 - 0:17.3Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Andre Iguodala, Bam Adebayo, Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler)44
51
Q2 - 0:17.3HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 244
51
Q2 - 0:17.3ThunderDarius Bazley shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)43
51
Q2 - 0:31.1ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)43
51
Q2 - 0:43.9HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)43
49
Q2 - 1:09ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point pullup jump shot40
49
Q2 - 1:15Stoppage (Out of bounds)40
46
Q2 - 1:15ThunderThunder defensive rebound40
46
Q2 - 1:17HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot40
46
Q2 - 1:30ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point driving floating jump shot40
46
Q2 - 1:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)40
44
Q2 - 2:00HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound38
44
Q2 - 2:04ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point jump shot38
44
Q2 - 2:05HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (lost ball) (Isaiah Roby steals)38
44
Q2 - 2:06HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound38
44
Q2 - 2:09ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point jump shot38
44
Q2 - 2:15ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound38
44
Q2 - 2:17HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup38
44
Q2 - 2:29ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 238
44
Q2 - 2:29ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 238
43
Q2 - 2:29HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)38
42
Q2 - 2:41HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 238
42
Q2 - 2:41HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 237
42
Q2 - 2:41ThunderIsaiah Roby personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)36
42
Q2 - 2:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound36
42
Q2 - 2:53ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 236
42
Q2 - 2:53ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 236
42
Q2 - 2:53HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)36
41
Q2 - 2:58ThunderTheo Maledon defensive rebound36
41
Q2 - 3:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot36
41
Q2 - 3:14Stoppage (Out of bounds)36
41
Q2 - 3:14HeatHeat defensive rebound36
41
Q2 - 3:14ThunderKendrick Nunn blocks Luguentz Dort's two point driving layup36
41
Q2 - 3:22HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 236
41
Q2 - 3:22Thunder lineup change (Darius Bazley, Theo Maledon, Isaiah Roby, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)35
41
Q2 - 3:22HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 235
41
Q2 - 3:22ThunderLuguentz Dort shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)34
41
Q2 - 3:23ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)34
41
Q2 - 3:27ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound34
41
Q2 - 3:33HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot34
41
Q2 - 3:51HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound34
41
Q2 - 3:53ThunderLuguentz Dort misses regular free throw 2 of 234
41
Q2 - 3:53Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler)34
41
Q2 - 3:53ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 234
41
Q2 - 3:53HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)34
40
Q2 - 3:56ThunderIsaiah Roby defensive rebound34
40
Q2 - 3:59HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot34
40
Q2 - 4:13ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 234
40
Q2 - 4:13ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 234
39
Q2 - 4:13HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)34
38
Q2 - 4:15ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound34
38
Q2 - 4:17ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot34
38
Q2 - 4:29ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound34
38
Q2 - 4:33HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot34
38
Q2 - 4:43ThunderKenrich Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 234
38
Q2 - 4:43ThunderKenrich Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 234
37
Q2 - 4:43HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kenrich Williams draws the foul)34
37
Q2 - 5:07HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 234
37
Q2 - 5:07Thunder lineup change (Darius Bazley, Isaiah Roby, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams)33
37
Q2 - 5:07HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 233
37
Q2 - 5:07ThunderJustin Jackson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)32
37
Q2 - 5:18Thunder lineup change (Justin Jackson, Isaiah Roby, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams)32
37
Q2 - 5:18Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kelly Olynyk, Kendrick Nunn, KZ Okpala, Jimmy Butler)32
37
Q2 - 5:18Heat 60 second timeout32
37
Q2 - 5:19ThunderKenrich Williams makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)32
37
Q2 - 5:27HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running layup32
34
Q2 - 5:31HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound30
34
Q2 - 5:35ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot30
34
Q2 - 5:47ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound30
34
Q2 - 5:49HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point hook shot30
34
Q2 - 6:03Thunder lineup change (Justin Jackson, Mike Muscala, Luguentz Dort, Hamidou Diallo, Kenrich Williams)30
34
Q2 - 6:03Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Precious Achiuwa, Kelly Olynyk, Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler)30
34
Q2 - 6:03ThunderHamidou Diallo personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
34
Q2 - 6:10HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound30
34
Q2 - 6:13ThunderJustin Jackson misses three point jump shot30
34
Q2 - 6:22ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound30
34
Q2 - 6:25HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot30
34
Q2 - 6:33HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound30
34
Q2 - 6:37HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot30
34
Q2 - 7:00ThunderKenrich Williams makes two point driving layup (Theo Maledon assists)30
34
Q2 - 7:09HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (Justin Jackson steals)30
32
Q2 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound30
32
Q2 - 7:17ThunderJustin Jackson misses two point driving layup30
32
Q2 - 7:25Thunder 60 second timeout30
32
Q2 - 7:29HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 230
32
Q2 - 7:29Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Andre Iguodala, Bam Adebayo, Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler)29
32
Q2 - 7:29HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 229
32
Q2 - 7:29ThunderHamidou Diallo shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)28
32
Q2 - 7:40ThunderMike Muscala makes regular free throw 2 of 228
32
Q2 - 7:40Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Duncan Robinson, Andre Iguodala, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler)28
31
Q2 - 7:40ThunderMike Muscala makes regular free throw 1 of 228
31
Q2 - 7:40HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Mike Muscala draws the foul)28
30
Q2 - 7:44ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound28
30
Q2 - 7:46HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup28
30
Q2 - 7:54HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
30
Q2 - 7:56ThunderAndre Iguodala blocks Hamidou Diallo's two point driving floating bank jump shot28
30
Q2 - 8:06HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)28
30
Q2 - 8:23ThunderJustin Jackson makes two point cutting layup (Mike Muscala assists)26
30
Q2 - 8:38ThunderJustin Jackson defensive rebound26
28
Q2 - 8:40HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 2 of 226
28
Q2 - 8:40HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 226
28
Q2 - 8:40ThunderMike Muscala shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)25
28
Q2 - 8:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
28
Q2 - 8:48ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot25
28
Q2 - 9:01HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Kenrich Williams draws the foul)25
28
Q2 - 9:05ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound25
28
Q2 - 9:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot25
28
Q2 - 9:22ThunderTheo Maledon makes two point driving floating jump shot25
28
Q2 - 9:43ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound25
26
Q2 - 9:47HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot25
26
Q2 - 9:56ThunderJustin Jackson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)25
26
Q2 - 10:05ThunderJustin Jackson makes two point cutting layup (Kenrich Williams assists)25
26
Q2 - 10:18HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)25
24
Q2 - 10:31ThunderTheo Maledon makes three point jump shot (Hamidou Diallo assists)23
24
Q2 - 10:48HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds step)23
21
Q2 - 10:53HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound23
21
Q2 - 10:56HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot23
21
Q2 - 11:03ThunderTheo Maledon turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)23
21
Q2 - 11:14HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)23
21
Q2 - 11:14HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Justin Jackson draws the foul)23
21
Q2 - 11:15HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound23
21
Q2 - 11:20ThunderJustin Jackson misses three point jump shot23
21
Q2 - 11:40ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound23
21
Q2 - 11:43HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point jump shot23
21
Q2 - 12:00Thunder lineup change (Justin Jackson, Mike Muscala, Theo Maledon, Hamidou Diallo, Kenrich Williams)23
21
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
21
Q1 - 0:01.2ThunderThunder offensive rebound23
21
Q1 - 0:01.2ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot23
21
Q1 - 0:23.9HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Max Strus assists)23
21
Q1 - 0:40.2ThunderMike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Hamidou Diallo assists)21
21
Q1 - 0:43.0ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound21
18
Q1 - 0:47.1HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot21
18
Q1 - 0:51.9HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound21
18
Q1 - 0:54.1ThunderJustin Jackson misses two point pullup jump shot21
18
Q1 - 1:18HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)21
18
Q1 - 1:41Thunder lineup change (Justin Jackson, Mike Muscala, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Hamidou Diallo, Kenrich Williams)21
18
Q1 - 1:41Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Andre Iguodala, Bam Adebayo)21
18
Q1 - 1:41ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (out of bounds bad pass)21
18
Q1 - 1:46ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound21
18
Q1 - 1:49HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot21
18
Q1 - 2:04ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup21
18
Q1 - 2:16ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound21
16
Q1 - 2:20HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 2 of 221
16
Q1 - 2:20Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Precious Achiuwa, Duncan Robinson, Andre Iguodala, Kendrick Nunn)21
16
Q1 - 2:20HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 1 of 221
16
Q1 - 2:20ThunderHamidou Diallo shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)21
16
Q1 - 2:29HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound21
16
Q1 - 2:32ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot21
16
Q1 - 2:53ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound21
16
Q1 - 2:58HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot21
16
Q1 - 3:04Thunder lineup change (Mike Muscala, Darius Bazley, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Hamidou Diallo, Kenrich Williams)21
16
Q1 - 3:04Heat 60 second timeout21
16
Q1 - 3:18ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup21
16
Q1 - 3:24ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound21
14
Q1 - 3:28HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot21
14
Q1 - 3:29HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound21
14
Q1 - 3:32HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup bank jump shot21
14
Q1 - 3:49HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound21
14
Q1 - 3:51ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point driving reverse layup21
14
Q1 - 4:19HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)21
14
Q1 - 4:32Thunder lineup change (Darius Bazley, Isaiah Roby, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Hamidou Diallo)18
14
Q1 - 4:32Stoppage (Out of bounds)18
14
Q1 - 4:32HeatHeat offensive rebound18
14
Q1 - 4:34HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot18
14
Q1 - 4:53Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Precious Achiuwa, Kelly Olynyk, Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler)18
14
Q1 - 4:53ThunderDarius Bazley turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
14
Q1 - 5:01HeatMax Strus personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)18
14
Q1 - 5:23HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)18
14
Q1 - 5:38Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler)16
14
Q1 - 5:38ThunderDarius Bazley turnover (out of bounds lost ball)16
14
Q1 - 5:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)16
14
Q1 - 6:02HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound14
14
Q1 - 6:05ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point jump shot14
14
Q1 - 6:25HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)14
14
Q1 - 6:31ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)12
14
Q1 - 6:47ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving floating bank jump shot12
14
Q1 - 7:05Thunder 60 second timeout12
12
Q1 - 7:05Stoppage (Out of bounds)12
12
Q1 - 7:14HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)12
12
Q1 - 7:25ThunderIsaiah Roby turnover (out of bounds bad pass)9
12
Q1 - 7:45ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound9
12
Q1 - 7:46HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot9
12
Q1 - 8:05HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound9
12
Q1 - 8:07ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot9
12
Q1 - 8:23HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)9
12
Q1 - 8:37ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Theo Maledon assists)6
12
Q1 - 8:48ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound6
9
Q1 - 8:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot6
9
Q1 - 8:55Stoppage (Out of bounds)6
9
Q1 - 8:58Stoppage (Out of bounds)6
9
Q1 - 8:58HeatHeat offensive rebound6
9
Q1 - 8:58HeatShai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point driving layup6
9
Q1 - 9:17ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point layup6
9
Q1 - 9:30ThunderTheo Maledon defensive rebound6
7
Q1 - 9:32HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot6
7
Q1 - 9:42ThunderTheo Maledon turnover (out of bounds step)6
7
Q1 - 10:01HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)6
7
Q1 - 10:11ThunderLuguentz Dort turnover (out of bounds bad pass)3
7
Q1 - 10:21ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound3
7
Q1 - 10:24HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot3
7
Q1 - 10:36ThunderIsaiah Roby makes two point cutting layup (Theo Maledon assists)3
7
Q1 - 10:54ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound3
5
Q1 - 10:57HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot3
5
Q1 - 11:04ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup3
5
Q1 - 11:17HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)3
3
Q1 - 11:43ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Theo Maledon assists)0
3
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Isaiah Roby (Theo Maledon gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Thunder lineup change (Darius Bazley, Theo Maledon, Isaiah Roby, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo, Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIAOKC
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.14 56.8%
OKC
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
26
69%
OKC
16
27
59%
Midrange
MIA
3
15
20%
OKC
2
8
25%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
40
38%
56%
OKC
14
21.0
39
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIA
21
25
84%
OKC
16
19
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Robinson2273%11.0 / 15
K. Nunn2053%10.0 / 19
B. Adebayo1973%9.5 / 13
J. Butler1550%7.5 / 15
K. Olynyk1155%5.5 / 10
M. Strus1146%5.5 / 12
A. Iguodala675%3.0 / 4
P. Achiuwa250%1.0 / 2
G. Vincent250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander2775%13.5 / 18
D. Bazley1372%6.5 / 9
I. Roby12100%6.0 / 6
L. Dort1132%5.5 / 17
M. Muscala1161%5.5 / 9
T. Maledon857%4.0 / 7
K. Williams643%3.0 / 7
J. Jackson633%3.0 / 9
H. Diallo0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+13
-13
95
OKC
77
+8
-17
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.14 56.8%
OKC
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
103.2
MIA 113.7 +13.7
OKC 100.0
Pace
96.7
101.3
MIA 95.9 +2.9
OKC 93.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.3
MIA 15.0 −0.5
OKC 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
50.9%
MIA 53.7% +1.0%
OKC 52.7%
TO %
13.7%
15.1%
MIA 12.4% −5.5%
OKC 17.9%
ORB %
19.4%
21.3%
MIA 23.3% +10.8%
OKC 12.5%
FTrt
25.2
24.2
MIA 30.9 +5.2
OKC 25.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
56.8%
MIA 83.3% +20.8%
OKC 62.5%
STL %
8.2%
6.9%
MIA 7.4% +1.0%
OKC 6.4%
BLK %
8.5%
8.0%
MIA 17.1% +14.7%
OKC 2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
52.4%
MIA 56.8% +1.5%
OKC 55.3%
Rim FG%
64.8%
57.6%
MIA 69.2% +9.9%
OKC 59.3%
Mid FG%
41.8%
39.4%
MIA 20.0%
OKC 25.0% +5.0%
3P %
35.8%
33.9%
MIA 37.5% +1.6%
OKC 35.9%
FT %
79.0%
72.4%
MIA 84.0%
OKC 84.2% +0.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
37.9%
MIA 32.1%
OKC 36.5% +4.4%
Mid Att. %
23.5%
22.2%
MIA 18.5%
OKC 10.8% −7.7%
3P Att. %
43.2%
39.9%
MIA 49.4%
OKC 52.7% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAOKC
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points10894
Rebounds4538
Assists3020
Steals76
Blocks61
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)17 (1)
Fouls2024
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)33 (2)
Field Goals36-8132-74
At-the-Rim FG18-2616-27
Midrange FG3-152-8
2-Point FG21-4118-35
3-Point FG15-4014-39
Free Throws21-2516-19
Fast Break Pts40
2nd Chance Pts164
Points in Paint4036
Pts off Turnovers2719
Bench Points2123
Biggest Lead189

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26
41.0
20
53%
5
9
3
2
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
4-9
44%
3-9
33%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
37.1
19
73%
13
5
0
1
4
3
3
10
5-6
83%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27
36.9
22
73%
7
0
2
0
0
4
0
7
0-0
-
2-2
100%
6-13
46%
#22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 31
29.3
15
50%
4
9
1
1
1
0
2
2
9-9
100%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 30
23.8
11
55%
6
1
0
0
4
4
2
4
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25
29.6
11
46%
2
2
1
0
0
5
1
1
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
3-10
30%
#28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37
23.3
6
75%
5
2
0
2
3
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
#5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 21
9.5
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
7.1
2
50%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 22
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Hip; Contusion
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
DNP - Coach's Decision
#11 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Shoulder; Surgery
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hip Flexor; Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
57%
45
30
7
6
13
20
10
35
21-25
84%
21-41
51%
15-40
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.