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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 24, 2021
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Lakers29%10389
1Jazz71%111114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Talen Horton-Tucker
G · 6'4" 235 · 20.2
30
17
8
5
5
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
50%
2-5
40%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 36.2
28
36
19
4
4
1
1
0
4
0
4
4-5
80%
6-8
7-13
75%
57%
1-5
20%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 31.5
28
16
12
9
1
0
0
0
1
5
4
2-4
50%
5-9
1-2
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.0
24
32
5
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-4
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 36.1
19
23
8
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.6
25
32
5
7
1
2
0
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
52%
1-3
33%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 27.1
22
20
16
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
2-3
67%
7-12
4-7
58%
60%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 34.4
17
24
3
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
1-4
25%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 27.0
16
24
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
48%
0-3
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 35.6
14
1
3
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
1-2
50%
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.4
7
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
57%
0-1
0%
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 23.3
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Devontae Cacok
F-C · 6'7" 240 · 24.4
5
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 27.4
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 28.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Royce O'Neale
F · 6'6" 226 · 27.7
31
31
6
4
3
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
2-4
50%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.5
31
33
13
10
8
2
1
0
1
2
8
3-4
75%
2-9
5-11
22%
49%
2-7
29%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.7
27
30
18
9
0
0
1
1
3
1
8
2-3
67%
8-12
5-8
67%
65%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 33.4
27
26
14
8
8
2
1
0
3
3
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
4-6
67%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.9
26
27
15
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
50%
5-8
63%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 28.7
24
26
18
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
54%
4-10
40%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 33.4
22
28
3
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
1-3
33%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 27.7
17
15
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
2-6
33%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 29.6
17
16
12
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
2-4
50%
5-5
2-4
100%
60%
0-0
-
Miye Oni
G · 6'6" 206 · 23.6
5
5
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
2-3
67%
Trent Forrest
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.7
5
1
0
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jarrell Brantley
F · 6'5" 250 · 24.7
4
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Juwan Morgan
F · 6'8" 232 · 23.9
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Udoka Azubuike
C-F · 7'0" 280 · 21.4
Elijah Hughes
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.