Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Blazers	42%	109	93	98.9	94	96.4
	15	Lakers	58%	111	102	107.4	95	92.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31	42.3	35	65%	3	7	0	1	4	2	0	3	8-8	100%	6-11	55%	5-13	38%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	39.7	4	22%	10	0	1	0	2	3	0	10	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-5	0%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	35.1	11	46%	17	3	0	0	1	4	5	12	5-7	71%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	34.1	11	79%	6	2	1	2	3	4	3	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 22	33.6	19	48%	1	2	2	0	3	1	0	1	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	2-11	18%

Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	19.8	4	29%	2	3	1	2	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Rodney Hood #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 28	18.1	6	50%	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	11.7	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	5.7	3	75%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Midfoot Fracture
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 27	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	50%	45	19	5	7	15	21	10	35	18-20	90%	21-46	46%	11-37	30%

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17 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31	42.3	35	65%	3	7	0	1	4	2	0	3	8-8	100%	6-11	55%	5-13	38%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	39.7	4	22%	10	0	1	0	2	3	0	10	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-5	0%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	35.1	11	46%	17	3	0	0	1	4	5	12	5-7	71%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	34.1	11	79%	6	2	1	2	3	4	3	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 22	33.6	19	48%	1	2	2	0	3	1	0	1	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	2-11	18%

Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	19.8	4	29%	2	3	1	2	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Rodney Hood #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 28	18.1	6	50%	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	11.7	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	5.7	3	75%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Midfoot Fracture
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 27	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	50%	45	19	5	7	15	21	10	35	18-20	90%	21-46	46%	11-37	30%

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15 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	35.6	28	56%	11	7	4	3	2	1	1	10	4-8	50%	9-16	56%	2-5	40%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 27	31.6	22	61%	3	2	1	0	2	4	1	2	9-9	100%	5-12	42%	1-2	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 28	24.6	5	50%	1	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31	22.0	4	25%	4	1	1	0	1	3	1	3	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Marc Gasol #14 · C · 7'1" 255 · 36	17.3	8	44%	2	2	0	1	0	3	1	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%

Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27	30.5	10	50%	6	2	2	0	0	4	0	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Montrezl Harrell #15 · C · 6'8" 240 · 27	30.0	17	65%	9	2	0	1	0	1	5	4	3-4	75%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Kyle Kuzma #0 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 26	23.5	4	33%	11	2	0	0	2	3	5	6	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	16.5	4	40%	5	4	0	2	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Wesley Matthews #9 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	8.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jared Dudley #10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 36	DNP - Coach's Decision
Damian Jones #30 · C · 7'0" 245 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Alfonzo McKinnie #28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	49%	52	25	9	5	9	23	15	37	21-28	75%	30-61	49%	7-27	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	POR	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.00 50.0%

LAL

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

13

25

52%

LAL

22

29

76%

Midrange

POR

8

21

38%

LAL

8

32

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

11

16.5

37

30%

45%

LAL

7

10.5

27

26%

39%

Free Throws

POR

18

20

90%

LAL

21

28

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	35	65%	17.5 / 27
G. Trent	19	48%	9.5 / 20
E. Kanter	11	46%	5.5 / 12
D. Jones	11	79%	5.5 / 7
R. Hood	6	50%	3.0 / 6
R. Covington	4	22%	2.0 / 9
C. Anthony	4	29%	2.0 / 7
A. Simons	3	75%	1.5 / 2
N. Little	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	28	56%	14.0 / 25
D. Schröder	22	61%	11.0 / 18
M. Harrell	17	65%	8.5 / 13
A. Caruso	10	50%	5.0 / 10
M. Gasol	8	44%	4.0 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	5	50%	2.5 / 5
M. Morris	4	25%	2.0 / 8
K. Kuzma	4	33%	2.0 / 6
T. Horton-Tucker	4	40%	2.0 / 5
W. Matthews	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 117.3 24 109.9	POR 98.9 LAL 107.4 +8.4
Pace	19 98.9 21 98.8	POR 96.4 +3.7 LAL 92.7
Avg. Poss. Time	8 14.8 9 14.8	POR 14.9 −0.6 LAL 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.0% 18 53.6%	POR 45.2% LAL 46.0% +0.8%
TO %	1 10.9% 29 14.8%	POR 14.8% LAL 9.1% −5.7%
ORB %	11 23.0% 14 22.5%	POR 21.3% LAL 30.0% +8.7%
FTrt	22 23.8 6 27.1	POR 24.1 LAL 31.8 +7.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 51.5% 15 60.7%	POR 59.4% LAL 67.6% +8.2%
STL %	24 7.0% 12 7.8%	POR 5.3% LAL 9.5% +4.2%
BLK %	20 8.9% 10 9.5%	POR 11.5% +0.6% LAL 10.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 56.6% 18 55.8%	POR 50.0% +1.0% LAL 49.0%
Rim FG%	26 58.7% 8 64.5%	POR 52.0% LAL 75.9% +23.9%
Mid FG%	18 41.0% 24 39.8%	POR 38.1% +13.1% LAL 25.0%
3P %	6 38.5% 21 35.4%	POR 29.7% +3.8% LAL 25.9%
FT %	3 82.3% 28 73.9%	POR 90.0% +15.0% LAL 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 30.8% 7 36.4%	POR 30.1% LAL 33.0% +2.8%
Mid Att. %	9 24.4% 15 27.3%	POR 25.3% −11.1% LAL 36.4%
3P Att. %	3 44.8% 22 36.3%	POR 44.6% +13.9% LAL 30.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	LAL
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	93	102
Rebounds	45	52
Assists	19	25
Steals	5	9
Blocks	7	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	9 (1)
Fouls	21	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	37 (1)
Field Goals	32-83	37-88
At-the-Rim FG	13-25	22-29
Midrange FG	8-21	8-32
2-Point FG	21-46	30-61
3-Point FG	11-37	7-27
Free Throws	18-20	21-28
Fast Break Pts	13	23
2nd Chance Pts	17	12
Points in Paint	30	52
Pts off Turnovers	8	22
Bench Points	13	35
Biggest Lead	11	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg