Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, February 27, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Nuggets	68%	114	126	124.8	101	100.4
	27	Thunder	32%	107	96	95.0	101	104.3

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+10

-12

OKC

+10

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.26 63.0%

OKC

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 24	30.8	26	76%	2	5	0	0	2	1	1	1	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	4-6	67%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	30.1	19	86%	11	13	2	0	0	3	1	10	2-2	100%	7-8	88%	1-2	50%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	28.2	13	72%	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23	27.9	20	83%	10	0	0	0	2	1	0	10	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	5-8	63%
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	27.6	15	54%	6	5	1	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	6-12	50%	1-2	50%

Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	24.2	9	90%	2	1	3	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	15.5	3	38%	5	0	0	0	0	3	0	5	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	14.5	9	56%	6	1	0	1	1	0	1	5	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	12.0	2	25%	1	1	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	9.2	6	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	5.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	5.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	4.6	3	50%	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	3.5	1	25%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	63%	49	30	6	3	12	16	6	43	13-16	81%	34-58	59%	15-31	48%

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7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 24	30.8	26	76%	2	5	0	0	2	1	1	1	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	4-6	67%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	30.1	19	86%	11	13	2	0	0	3	1	10	2-2	100%	7-8	88%	1-2	50%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	28.2	13	72%	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23	27.9	20	83%	10	0	0	0	2	1	0	10	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	5-8	63%
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	27.6	15	54%	6	5	1	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	6-12	50%	1-2	50%

Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	24.2	9	90%	2	1	3	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	15.5	3	38%	5	0	0	0	0	3	0	5	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	14.5	9	56%	6	1	0	1	1	0	1	5	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	12.0	2	25%	1	1	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	9.2	6	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	5.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	5.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	4.6	3	50%	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	3.5	1	25%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	63%	49	30	6	3	12	16	6	43	13-16	81%	34-58	59%	15-31	48%

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27 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Darius Bazley #7 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 21	32.5	22	61%	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	3-8	38%
Theo Maledon #11 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 20	32.3	1	7%	3	6	1	0	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-5	0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 23	26.1	13	54%	5	6	1	2	4	0	0	5	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-6	17%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 35	24.9	6	27%	5	2	1	2	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-5	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 22	20.6	2	17%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%

Ty Jerome #16 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 24	29.8	15	63%	1	2	0	0	0	4	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-8	38%
Isaiah Roby #22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	27.7	15	63%	9	7	2	0	6	2	0	9	4-5	80%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 26	17.7	12	86%	5	1	0	0	2	4	2	3	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 30	14.6	8	80%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Justin Jackson #44 · PF · 6'8" 220 · 26	13.8	2	20%	3	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
George Hill #3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Procedure
Hamidou Diallo #6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Soreness
Moses Brown #9 · C · 7'2" 258 · 21	INACTIVE
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · C · 7'0" 190 · 19	INACTIVE
Josh Hall #15 · SF · 6'9" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Trevor Ariza #8 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 36	INACTIVE
Darius Miller #12 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Stomach Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	50%	37	24	7	6	14	16	7	30	11-15	73%	26-41	63%	11-47	23%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.26 63.0%

OKC

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

62%

OKC

76%

Midrange

DEN

54%

OKC

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

22.5

48%

73%

OKC

16.5

23%

35%

Free Throws

DEN

81%

OKC

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	26	76%	13.0 / 17
M. Porter	20	83%	10.0 / 12
N. Jokić	19	86%	9.5 / 11
W. Barton	15	54%	7.5 / 14
M. Morris	13	72%	6.5 / 9
F. Campazzo	9	90%	4.5 / 5
P. Dozier	9	56%	4.5 / 8
R. Hampton	6	50%	3.0 / 6
Z. Nnaji	3	38%	1.5 / 4
B. Bol	3	50%	1.5 / 3
I. Hartenstein	2	25%	1.0 / 4
M. Howard	1	25%	0.5 / 2
G. Whittington	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Bazley	22	61%	11.0 / 18
T. Jerome	15	63%	7.5 / 12
I. Roby	15	63%	7.5 / 12
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	13	54%	6.5 / 12
K. Williams	12	86%	6.0 / 7
M. Muscala	8	80%	4.0 / 5
A. Horford	6	27%	3.0 / 11
L. Dort	2	17%	1.0 / 6
J. Jackson	2	20%	1.0 / 5
T. Maledon	1	7%	0.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 116.8 30 103.2	DEN 124.8 +29.7 OKC 95.0
Pace	28 97.4 6 101.3	DEN 100.4 OKC 104.3 +3.8
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.1 19 14.3	DEN 14.3 OKC 13.8 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.7% 28 50.9%	DEN 63.5% +15.2% OKC 48.3%
TO %	13 13.0% 30 15.1%	DEN 11.9% −1.0% OKC 12.9%
ORB %	2 24.8% 22 21.3%	DEN 16.7% +2.7% OKC 14.0%
FTrt	28 21.9 16 24.2	DEN 18.0 +1.0 OKC 17.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 62.1% 26 56.8%	DEN 61.2% OKC 64.9% +3.7%
STL %	6 8.2% 26 6.9%	DEN 5.9% OKC 6.9% +1.0%
BLK %	14 9.0% 26 8.0%	DEN 7.3% OKC 10.3% +3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 57.5% 29 52.4%	DEN 63.0% +13.5% OKC 49.5%
Rim FG%	6 63.9% 28 57.6%	DEN 61.8% OKC 75.9% +14.1%
Mid FG%	5 44.9% 26 39.4%	DEN 54.2% +20.9% OKC 33.3%
3P %	8 37.7% 29 33.9%	DEN 48.4% +25.0% OKC 23.4%
FT %	7 80.3% 30 72.4%	DEN 81.3% +8.0% OKC 73.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 33.5% 6 37.9%	DEN 38.2% +5.2% OKC 33.0%
Mid Att. %	22 28.2% 6 22.2%	DEN 27.0% OKC 13.6% −13.3%
3P Att. %	18 38.3% 14 39.9%	DEN 34.8% OKC 53.4% +18.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	OKC
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.3
Points	126	96
Rebounds	49	37
Assists	30	24
Steals	6	7
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls	16	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	43 (1)	30 (2)
Field Goals	49-89	37-88
At-the-Rim FG	21-34	22-29
Midrange FG	13-24	4-12
2-Point FG	34-58	26-41
3-Point FG	15-31	11-47
Free Throws	13-16	11-15
Fast Break Pts	9	8
2nd Chance Pts	9	6
Points in Paint	50	44
Pts off Turnovers	22	11
Bench Points	33	52
Biggest Lead	37	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg