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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 28, 2021
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Grizzlies54%110133
24Rockets46%10884
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.7
28
21
15
7
1
3
1
1
2
2
5
2-2
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.6
26
31
6
1
7
3
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
6-12
29%
52%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.4
23
26
13
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
5-6
83%
4-7
3-6
57%
55%
0-7
0%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 25.1
22
29
8
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.8
13
28
6
6
0
0
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
3-6
7-11
50%
59%
0-0
-
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.8
22
16
14
3
5
4
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.9
21
21
20
3
2
0
1
2
3
0
3
3-4
75%
7-9
3-6
78%
45%
1-3
33%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 24.4
21
21
16
12
1
1
1
0
0
1
11
2-4
50%
7-7
4-6
100%
59%
0-2
0%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.1
19
19
5
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 24.8
16
16
13
5
2
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
3-3
100%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
12
6
2
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
52%
0-0
-
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 31.1
9
5
12
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Killian Tillie
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.0
9
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
1-2
50%
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 21.3
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 21.5
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 25.4
Sean McDermott
F · 6'6" 195 · 24.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.5
27
32
14
0
0
0
1
0
5
0
0
6-8
75%
4-11
6-11
36%
49%
0-5
0%
Justin Patton
C · 7'0" 236 · 23.7
26
11
10
5
0
0
0
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
56%
2-4
50%
Danuel House Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
24
31
5
5
0
0
1
0
2
3
2
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
55%
0-6
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.2
23
31
5
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
54%
0-5
0%
P.J. Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 35.8
22
29
1
5
1
1
1
2
2
3
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Sterling Brown
G · 6'6" 230 · 26.1
28
21
5
6
3
2
1
0
4
1
5
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-8
13%
Jae'Sean Tate
F · 6'4" 230 · 25.3
24
26
14
4
0
1
1
1
2
0
4
6-7
86%
4-5
3-6
80%
57%
0-1
0%
David Nwaba
F · 6'4" 209 · 28.1
23
18
11
4
0
1
1
0
0
3
1
3-5
60%
4-6
2-4
67%
55%
0-2
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 28.0
20
5
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-3
0-0
67%
52%
0-7
0%
Mason Jones
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.6
16
4
12
5
2
0
0
0
2
1
4
9-10
90%
0-0
0-1
-
51%
1-5
20%
Rodions Kurucs
F · 6'8" 200 · 23.1
9
2
0
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.8
28
1
4-9
49%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.6
Kenyon Martin Jr.
F · 6'6" 215 · 20.1
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 25.4
Kevin Porter Jr.
G · 6'6" 216 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.