Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Nuggets	28%	110	128	133.3	96	84.7
	3	Bucks	72%	119	97	100.0	97	111.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	38.0	24	67%	3	6	2	0	1	2	1	2	3-3	100%	9-12	75%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	36.4	37	74%	10	11	2	0	2	1	4	6	5-5	100%	13-20	65%	2-3	67%
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	34.5	14	64%	8	5	1	1	2	1	0	8	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-6	33%
Monté Morris #11 · SG · 6'2" 183 · 26	29.5	10	50%	2	3	1	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23	24.8	11	61%	7	0	1	1	0	4	1	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%

PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	22.6	19	56%	2	1	0	0	0	4	0	2	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	2-5	40%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	22.4	4	50%	7	1	2	0	2	2	1	6	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	15.7	6	75%	4	0	1	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	11.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	2.3	3	150%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	INACTIVE
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	INACTIVE
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	INACTIVE
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	65%	45	28	10	3	10	19	9	36	11-12	92%	42-65	65%	11-30	37%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	38.0	24	67%	3	6	2	0	1	2	1	2	3-3	100%	9-12	75%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	36.4	37	74%	10	11	2	0	2	1	4	6	5-5	100%	13-20	65%	2-3	67%
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	34.5	14	64%	8	5	1	1	2	1	0	8	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-6	33%
Monté Morris #11 · SG · 6'2" 183 · 26	29.5	10	50%	2	3	1	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23	24.8	11	61%	7	0	1	1	0	4	1	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%

PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	22.6	19	56%	2	1	0	0	0	4	0	2	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	2-5	40%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	22.4	4	50%	7	1	2	0	2	2	1	6	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	15.7	6	75%	4	0	1	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	11.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	2.3	3	150%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	INACTIVE
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	INACTIVE
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	INACTIVE
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	65%	45	28	10	3	10	19	9	36	11-12	92%	42-65	65%	11-30	37%

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3 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 26	33.0	27	68%	8	3	1	2	3	4	0	8	7-10	70%	10-12	83%	0-3	0%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 30	29.1	20	63%	4	6	1	0	1	1	1	3	5-8	63%	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
D.J. Augustin #12 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 33	26.9	7	70%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 33	24.8	12	60%	5	0	0	0	2	2	2	3	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 24	21.3	3	21%	3	3	1	0	1	2	1	2	3-4	75%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%

Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 28	26.6	8	44%	8	2	0	0	0	1	3	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Jrue Holiday #21 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31	18.3	4	29%	1	3	1	0	3	1	1	0	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Bryn Forbes #7 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 28	17.2	9	56%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26	16.9	4	50%	4	0	0	0	3	4	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	11.2	0	0%	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 29	4.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sam Merrill #15 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 25	4.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
D.J. Wilson #5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	4.9	3	38%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jaylen Adams #6 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	INACTIVE
Mamadi Diakite #25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24	INACTIVE
Jordan Nwora #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	50%	40	22	4	4	13	18	11	29	22-31	71%	21-39	54%	11-40	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.29 64.6%

MIL

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

22

29

76%

MIL

15

21

71%

Midrange

DEN

20

36

56%

MIL

6

18

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

11

16.5

30

37%

55%

MIL

11

16.5

40

28%

41%

Free Throws

DEN

11

12

92%

MIL

22

31

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	37	74%	18.5 / 25
J. Murray	24	67%	12.0 / 18
P. Dozier	19	56%	9.5 / 17
W. Barton	14	64%	7.0 / 11
M. Porter	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Morris	10	50%	5.0 / 10
Z. Nnaji	6	75%	3.0 / 4
V. Cancar	4	50%	2.0 / 4
B. Bol	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	27	68%	13.5 / 20
K. Middleton	20	63%	10.0 / 16
B. Lopez	12	60%	6.0 / 10
B. Forbes	9	56%	4.5 / 8
P. Connaughton	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. Augustin	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Holiday	4	29%	2.0 / 7
B. Portis	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. DiVincenzo	3	21%	1.5 / 7
D. Wilson	3	38%	1.5 / 4
T. Craig	0	-	0.0 / 3
S. Merrill	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 116.8 5 116.9	DEN 133.3 +33.3 MIL 100.0
Pace	28 97.4 2 102.5	DEN 84.7 MIL 111.9 +27.2
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.1 29 13.6	DEN 17.0 MIL 12.9 −4.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.7% 2 56.6%	DEN 61.6% +14.1% MIL 47.5%
TO %	13 13.0% 15 13.0%	DEN 9.1% −3.2% MIL 12.3%
ORB %	2 24.8% 9 23.3%	DEN 23.7% +0.3% MIL 23.4%
FTrt	28 21.9 24 23.3	DEN 12.6 MIL 39.2 +26.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 62.1% 25 56.9%	DEN 52.8% MIL 68.8% +16.0%
STL %	6 8.2% 10 7.9%	DEN 10.4% +6.3% MIL 4.1%
BLK %	14 9.0% 20 8.6%	DEN 7.7% +1.5% MIL 6.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 57.5% 3 58.2%	DEN 64.6% +15.1% MIL 49.5%
Rim FG%	6 63.9% 1 65.0%	DEN 75.9% +4.5% MIL 71.4%
Mid FG%	5 44.9% 11 43.5%	DEN 55.6% +22.3% MIL 33.3%
3P %	8 37.7% 5 38.9%	DEN 36.7% +9.2% MIL 27.5%
FT %	7 80.3% 23 76.0%	DEN 91.7% +20.7% MIL 71.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 33.5% 23 32.9%	DEN 30.5% +3.9% MIL 26.6%
Mid Att. %	22 28.2% 18 26.7%	DEN 37.9% MIL 22.8% −15.1%
3P Att. %	18 38.3% 12 40.4%	DEN 31.6% MIL 50.6% +19.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	MIL
Possessions	96	97
Possession Minutes	27.2	20.8
Points	128	97
Rebounds	45	40
Assists	28	22
Steals	10	4
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	19	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (0)	29 (1)
Field Goals	53-95	32-79
At-the-Rim FG	22-29	15-21
Midrange FG	20-36	6-18
2-Point FG	42-65	21-39
3-Point FG	11-30	11-40
Free Throws	11-12	22-31
Fast Break Pts	14	15
2nd Chance Pts	20	7
Points in Paint	56	32
Pts off Turnovers	22	10
Bench Points	32	28
Biggest Lead	31	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg