Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Nuggets	59%	113	113	116.5	97	93.1
	14	Pacers	41%	110	103	107.3	96	100.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	38.9	23	64%	2	4	2	0	3	1	0	2	6-6	100%	7-10	70%	1-5	20%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23	37.7	24	80%	11	0	2	1	2	2	0	11	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	5-9	56%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	37.0	20	53%	12	8	0	0	7	2	2	10	1-2	50%	8-16	50%	1-2	50%
Monté Morris #11 · SG · 6'2" 183 · 26	30.6	8	57%	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	30.1	16	89%	6	1	0	1	4	1	0	6	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-2	100%

PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	22.8	5	42%	3	8	2	1	1	1	1	2	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	16.5	3	50%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	15.4	7	88%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	11.0	7	88%	3	2	0	0	1	3	3	0	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	INACTIVE
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	INACTIVE
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	INACTIVE
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	64%	41	27	6	5	19	13	6	35	11-16	69%	33-49	67%	12-28	43%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	38.9	23	64%	2	4	2	0	3	1	0	2	6-6	100%	7-10	70%	1-5	20%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23	37.7	24	80%	11	0	2	1	2	2	0	11	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	5-9	56%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	37.0	20	53%	12	8	0	0	7	2	2	10	1-2	50%	8-16	50%	1-2	50%
Monté Morris #11 · SG · 6'2" 183 · 26	30.6	8	57%	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	30.1	16	89%	6	1	0	1	4	1	0	6	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-2	100%

PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	22.8	5	42%	3	8	2	1	1	1	1	2	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	16.5	3	50%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	15.4	7	88%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	11.0	7	88%	3	2	0	0	1	3	3	0	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	INACTIVE
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	INACTIVE
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	INACTIVE
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	64%	41	27	6	5	19	13	6	35	11-16	69%	33-49	67%	12-28	43%

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14 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	38.2	22	69%	12	0	1	3	3	3	7	5	1-5	20%	6-8	75%	3-6	50%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	37.9	10	33%	10	10	4	0	3	1	4	6	0-0	-	5-12	42%	0-3	0%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	33.6	10	33%	1	6	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	0-5	0%
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	29.6	20	77%	4	1	3	0	0	4	0	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	4-7	57%
Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 32	26.9	16	80%	1	2	2	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-8	50%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	29.2	10	56%	5	4	1	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Edmond Sumner #5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 25	19.4	8	100%	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	16.0	4	20%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-3	0%
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	9.2	3	50%	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Brian Bowen II #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	INACTIVE
Jalen Lecque #0 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	INACTIVE
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	INACTIVE
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress Fracture
Caris LeVert #22 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Not Available; Medical Condition
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	53%	34	27	12	3	14	17	11	23	7-12	58%	27-51	53%	14-39	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	IND
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	IND

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.28 64.2%

IND

1.06 53.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

19

24

79%

IND

19

35

54%

Midrange

DEN

14

25

56%

IND

8

16

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

12

18.0

28

43%

64%

IND

14

21.0

39

36%

54%

Free Throws

DEN

11

16

69%

IND

7

12

58%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	24	80%	12.0 / 15
J. Murray	23	64%	11.5 / 18
N. Jokić	20	53%	10.0 / 19
W. Barton	16	89%	8.0 / 9
M. Morris	8	57%	4.0 / 7
V. Cancar	7	88%	3.5 / 4
I. Hartenstein	7	88%	3.5 / 4
P. Dozier	5	42%	2.5 / 6
Z. Nnaji	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Turner	22	69%	11.0 / 16
D. McDermott	20	77%	10.0 / 13
J. Holiday	16	80%	8.0 / 10
D. Sabonis	10	33%	5.0 / 15
M. Brogdon	10	33%	5.0 / 15
T. McConnell	10	56%	5.0 / 9
E. Sumner	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Lamb	4	20%	2.0 / 10
A. Holiday	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 116.8 14 112.3	DEN 116.5 +9.2 IND 107.3
Pace	28 97.4 4 101.6	DEN 93.1 IND 100.2 +7.1
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.1 27 13.8	DEN 15.5 IND 14.4 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.7% 13 54.2%	DEN 66.2% +12.9% IND 53.3%
TO %	13 13.0% 9 12.7%	DEN 18.4% IND 13.6% −4.8%
ORB %	2 24.8% 26 20.2%	DEN 20.7% IND 23.9% +3.2%
FTrt	28 21.9 26 22.7	DEN 20.8 +7.5 IND 13.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 62.1% 5 63.3%	DEN 60.0% IND 65.9% +5.9%
STL %	6 8.2% 5 8.3%	DEN 6.2% IND 12.5% +6.3%
BLK %	14 9.0% 3 10.7%	DEN 9.8% +3.7% IND 6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 57.5% 14 56.3%	DEN 64.2% +11.1% IND 53.1%
Rim FG%	6 63.9% 20 60.0%	DEN 79.2% +24.9% IND 54.3%
Mid FG%	5 44.9% 12 43.2%	DEN 56.0% +6.0% IND 50.0%
3P %	8 37.7% 17 36.4%	DEN 42.9% +7.0% IND 35.9%
FT %	7 80.3% 9 79.2%	DEN 68.8% +10.5% IND 58.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 33.5% 2 40.4%	DEN 31.2% IND 38.9% +7.7%
Mid Att. %	22 28.2% 7 22.4%	DEN 32.5% IND 17.8% −14.7%
3P Att. %	18 38.3% 21 37.2%	DEN 36.4% IND 43.3% +7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	IND
Possessions	97	96
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	113	103
Rebounds	41	34
Assists	27	27
Steals	6	12
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	13	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (3)	23 (2)
Field Goals	45-77	41-90
At-the-Rim FG	19-24	19-35
Midrange FG	14-25	8-16
2-Point FG	33-49	27-51
3-Point FG	12-28	14-39
Free Throws	11-16	7-12
Fast Break Pts	22	20
2nd Chance Pts	10	19
Points in Paint	50	46
Pts off Turnovers	26	18
Bench Points	22	25
Biggest Lead	18	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg