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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
March 4, 2021
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Thunder32%106107
16Spurs68%113102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 22.6
36.9
32.6
33
71%
3
8
0
1
1
2
0
3
9-10
90%
9-15
5-10
60%
53%
2-4
50%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 21.9
36.5
26.0
15
43%
3
1
4
1
1
1
2
1
2-3
67%
2-7
2-5
29%
48%
3-9
33%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 20.7
30.4
28.7
11
42%
10
0
1
1
1
3
0
10
4-7
57%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 19.7
29.4
30.7
7
51%
7
5
0
1
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.1
28.0
23.1
12
68%
6
2
2
1
0
2
3
3
4-4
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
54%
0-2
0%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.3
25.4
20.7
9
75%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
55%
1-3
33%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
22.6
15.4
18
69%
7
0
0
0
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
55%
4-7
57%
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.7
19.3
25.1
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-4
0%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.9
11.5
10.5
2
25%
3
0
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-3
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.8
24.3
1
3-7
52%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.8
7.2
0
1-1
54%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 31.0
2.6
0
0-0
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 35.7
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 22.6
Moses Brown
C · 7'1" 245 · 21.4
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 19.2
Josh Hall
F · 6'9" 190 · 20.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.6
36.5
31.3
20
44%
6
4
0
1
0
4
1
5
4-4
100%
8-19
6-11
42%
54%
0-2
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 24.5
34.6
31.8
14
54%
4
9
2
2
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
7-11
6-12
64%
51%
0-2
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.3
26.8
26.9
15
83%
10
1
1
1
0
0
0
10
0-0
-
6-7
2-4
86%
54%
1-2
50%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.2
23.6
29.8
11
80%
0
0
1
1
2
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
3-4
75%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 25.4
22.7
29.4
2
33%
5
2
1
1
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
4-6
33%
64%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.6
26.8
25.2
13
50%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
3-10
30%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 21.4
22.0
13.7
9
65%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
1-4
25%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 21.1
19.1
15.5
9
57%
7
0
2
0
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
54%
1-5
20%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 25.1
15.6
14.3
7
58%
5
2
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.1
12.3
9.4
2
50%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 35.6
13.5
0
2-4
53%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.2
2.5
0
0-1
49%
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.5
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.5
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.5
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.