Final Win Prob. pScore
1048%113
103
1152%114
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
113.29195.1
NOP logo Pelicans
103.39088.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

PelicansHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PelicansHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOP
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.103
93
Q4 - 0:15.5HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound103
93
Q4 - 0:19.9PelicansBrandon Ingram misses three point jump shot103
93
Q4 - 0:25.5HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
93
Q4 - 0:25.5Pelicans lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Brandon Ingram, Eric Bledsoe, Lonzo Ball, Jaxson Hayes)102
93
Q4 - 0:25.5HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
93
Q4 - 0:25.5PelicansBrandon Ingram personal foul (Take) (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)101
93
Q4 - 0:29.4HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound101
93
Q4 - 0:33.9PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point running jump shot101
93
Q4 - 0:39.0Pelicans lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Brandon Ingram, Eric Bledsoe, Lonzo Ball, Nicolo Melli)101
93
Q4 - 0:39.0Pelicans 60 second timeout101
93
Q4 - 0:39.0HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point driving dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)101
93
Q4 - 1:00PelicansBrandon Ingram makes regular free throw 2 of 299
93
Q4 - 1:00PelicansBrandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 299
92
Q4 - 1:00HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)99
91
Q4 - 1:07Pelicans lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Brandon Ingram, Eric Bledsoe, Lonzo Ball, Josh Hart)99
91
Q4 - 1:07HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Nicolo Melli draws the foul)99
91
Q4 - 1:12PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound99
91
Q4 - 1:16HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot99
91
Q4 - 1:37PelicansBrandon Ingram makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)99
91
Q4 - 1:38PelicansJosh Hart offensive rebound99
88
Q4 - 1:43PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot99
88
Q4 - 1:51PelicansJosh Hart defensive rebound99
88
Q4 - 1:54HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot99
88
Q4 - 2:10PelicansLonzo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)99
88
Q4 - 2:24HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 2 of 299
88
Q4 - 2:24Pelicans lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Eric Bledsoe, Lonzo Ball, Nicolo Melli, Josh Hart)98
88
Q4 - 2:24HeatAndre Iguodala misses regular free throw 1 of 298
88
Q4 - 2:24PelicansSteven Adams personal foul (Take) (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)98
88
Q4 - 2:26Stoppage (Out of bounds)98
88
Q4 - 2:26HeatHeat defensive rebound98
88
Q4 - 2:26PelicansSteven Adams misses regular free throw 2 of 298
88
Q4 - 2:26PelicansSteven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 298
88
Q4 - 2:26HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)98
87
Q4 - 2:26PelicansSteven Adams offensive rebound98
87
Q4 - 2:26PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point floating jump shot98
87
Q4 - 2:50HeatJimmy Butler makes three point stepback jump shot98
87
Q4 - 3:03Stoppage (Out of bounds)95
87
Q4 - 3:11PelicansEric Bledsoe turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)95
87
Q4 - 3:25HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 195
87
Q4 - 3:25PelicansJosh Hart shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)94
87
Q4 - 3:25HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)94
87
Q4 - 3:43Heat 60 second timeout92
87
Q4 - 3:43PelicansJosh Hart turnover (offensive foul)92
87
Q4 - 3:43PelicansJosh Hart offensive foul (Charge) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)92
87
Q4 - 3:54HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)92
87
Q4 - 4:12HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 2 of 292
87
Q4 - 4:12HeatAndre Iguodala misses regular free throw 1 of 291
87
Q4 - 4:12PelicansJosh Hart shooting foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)91
87
Q4 - 4:20Jump ball. Kelly Olynyk vs. Josh Hart (Tyler Herro gains possession)91
87
Q4 - 4:20HeatHeat offensive rebound91
87
Q4 - 4:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup91
87
Q4 - 4:48PelicansJosh Hart makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)91
87
Q4 - 5:04HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)91
85
Q4 - 5:18Pelicans lineup change (Steven Adams, Brandon Ingram, Eric Bledsoe, Lonzo Ball, Josh Hart)91
85
Q4 - 5:18Pelicans 60 second timeout91
85
Q4 - 5:18HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot91
85
Q4 - 5:32HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound89
85
Q4 - 5:37PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot89
85
Q4 - 5:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)89
85
Q4 - 6:26PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point jump shot87
85
Q4 - 6:42HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Nickeil Alexander-Walker steals)87
83
Q4 - 6:47HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound87
83
Q4 - 6:49PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point running layup87
83
Q4 - 6:53HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (Kira Lewis Jr. steals)87
83
Q4 - 7:11Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Goran Dragic, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Kelly Olynyk)87
83
Q4 - 7:11Heat 60 second timeout87
83
Q4 - 7:16PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Nicolo Melli assists)87
83
Q4 - 7:20PelicansNicolo Melli offensive rebound87
80
Q4 - 7:23PelicansKira Lewis Jr. misses three point jump shot87
80
Q4 - 7:24PelicansSteven Adams offensive rebound87
80
Q4 - 7:26PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point layup87
80
Q4 - 7:44PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound87
80
Q4 - 7:47HeatGoran Dragic misses two point floating jump shot87
80
Q4 - 8:02HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound87
80
Q4 - 8:05PelicansJosh Hart misses three point jump shot87
80
Q4 - 8:20HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 287
80
Q4 - 8:20HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 286
80
Q4 - 8:20PelicansKira Lewis Jr. shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)85
80
Q4 - 8:25Pelicans lineup change (Steven Adams, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Nicolo Melli, Josh Hart, Kira Lewis Jr.)85
80
Q4 - 8:25PelicansJaxson Hayes personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)85
80
Q4 - 8:39PelicansKira Lewis Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nicolo Melli assists)85
80
Q4 - 9:02HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup jump shot85
78
Q4 - 9:23PelicansJaxson Hayes makes two point alley-oop layup (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)83
78
Q4 - 9:39HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)83
76
Q4 - 9:59HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound80
76
Q4 - 10:03PelicansKira Lewis Jr. misses three point jump shot80
76
Q4 - 10:15PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound80
76
Q4 - 10:18HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot80
76
Q4 - 10:34PelicansKira Lewis Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot (Nicolo Melli assists)80
76
Q4 - 10:52HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)80
73
Q4 - 11:04HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound77
73
Q4 - 11:06PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point driving layup77
73
Q4 - 11:21Stoppage (Out of bounds)77
73
Q4 - 11:21PelicansPelicans defensive rebound77
73
Q4 - 11:22HeatNickeil Alexander-Walker blocks Precious Achiuwa's two point layup77
73
Q4 - 11:43PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Nicolo Melli assists)77
73
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.77
70
Q3 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)77
70
Q3 - 0:00.3PelicansJosh Hart makes three point pullup jump shot (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)77
70
Q3 - 0:03.1HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup jump shot77
67
Q3 - 0:07.5Nicolo Melli kicked ball violation75
67
Q3 - 0:20.9PelicansJosh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 275
67
Q3 - 0:20.9PelicansJosh Hart makes regular free throw 1 of 275
66
Q3 - 0:20.9HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Loose ball) (Josh Hart draws the foul)75
65
Q3 - 0:37.1PelicansJaxson Hayes defensive rebound75
65
Q3 - 0:40.0HeatAndre Iguodala misses regular free throw 2 of 275
65
Q3 - 0:40.0Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Goran Dragic, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Precious Achiuwa)75
65
Q3 - 0:40.0HeatAndre Iguodala makes regular free throw 1 of 275
65
Q3 - 0:40.0PelicansKira Lewis Jr. personal foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)74
65
Q3 - 0:53.2Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Goran Dragic, Tyler Herro, Kelly Olynyk, Precious Achiuwa)74
65
Q3 - 0:53.2Stoppage (Out of bounds)74
65
Q3 - 1:01HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound74
65
Q3 - 1:05PelicansNicolo Melli misses three point jump shot74
65
Q3 - 1:14PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound74
65
Q3 - 1:14HeatJaxson Hayes blocks Precious Achiuwa's two point turnaround jump shot74
65
Q3 - 1:16HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound74
65
Q3 - 1:21HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot74
65
Q3 - 1:27HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound74
65
Q3 - 1:32PelicansJosh Hart misses three point jump shot74
65
Q3 - 1:51HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 274
65
Q3 - 1:51Pelicans lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Nicolo Melli, Josh Hart, Kira Lewis Jr., Jaxson Hayes)73
65
Q3 - 1:51Heat lineup change (Goran Dragic, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Kelly Olynyk, Precious Achiuwa)73
65
Q3 - 1:51HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 273
65
Q3 - 1:51PelicansBrandon Ingram personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
65
Q3 - 1:56HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound72
65
Q3 - 1:57PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point pullup jump shot72
65
Q3 - 2:07PelicansBrandon Ingram defensive rebound72
65
Q3 - 2:08HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot72
65
Q3 - 2:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound72
65
Q3 - 2:22PelicansLonzo Ball misses two point layup72
65
Q3 - 2:39PelicansJaxson Hayes defensive rebound72
65
Q3 - 2:42HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot72
65
Q3 - 2:45HeatKZ Okpala offensive rebound72
65
Q3 - 2:48HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot72
65
Q3 - 3:02HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound72
65
Q3 - 3:06PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot72
65
Q3 - 3:17PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound72
65
Q3 - 3:18HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot72
65
Q3 - 3:39Pelicans lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Brandon Ingram, Lonzo Ball, Nicolo Melli, Jaxson Hayes)72
65
Q3 - 3:39Heat lineup change (Goran Dragic, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Kelly Olynyk, KZ Okpala)72
65
Q3 - 3:39Heat 60 second timeout72
65
Q3 - 3:39PelicansSteven Adams makes two point dunk (Brandon Ingram assists)72
65
Q3 - 3:59PelicansSteven Adams defensive rebound72
63
Q3 - 4:00HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot72
63
Q3 - 4:13PelicansSteven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 172
63
Q3 - 4:13HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)72
62
Q3 - 4:13PelicansSteven Adams makes two point cutting layup (Brandon Ingram assists)72
62
Q3 - 4:20HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup72
60
Q3 - 4:39PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 270
60
Q3 - 4:39PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 270
59
Q3 - 4:39HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Nickeil Alexander-Walker draws the foul)70
58
Q3 - 4:56HeatGoran Dragic turnover (offensive foul)70
58
Q3 - 4:56HeatGoran Dragic offensive foul (Off the ball) (Nickeil Alexander-Walker draws the foul)70
58
Q3 - 4:59PelicansNicolo Melli personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)70
58
Q3 - 4:59HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound70
58
Q3 - 5:01PelicansLonzo Ball misses two point driving layup70
58
Q3 - 5:10PelicansBrandon Ingram offensive rebound70
58
Q3 - 5:12PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot70
58
Q3 - 5:27HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 270
58
Q3 - 5:27Pelicans lineup change (Steven Adams, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Brandon Ingram, Lonzo Ball, Nicolo Melli)69
58
Q3 - 5:27Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Goran Dragic, Jimmy Butler, Kelly Olynyk, KZ Okpala)69
58
Q3 - 5:27HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 269
58
Q3 - 5:27PelicansEric Bledsoe shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)68
58
Q3 - 5:42HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound68
58
Q3 - 5:46PelicansBrandon Ingram misses three point pullup bank jump shot68
58
Q3 - 5:52PelicansJosh Hart defensive rebound68
58
Q3 - 5:54HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot68
58
Q3 - 5:58HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound68
58
Q3 - 6:00PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot68
58
Q3 - 6:15HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Duncan Robinson assists)68
58
Q3 - 6:27PelicansBrandon Ingram personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)66
58
Q3 - 6:39PelicansBrandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 166
58
Q3 - 6:39HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)66
57
Q3 - 6:39PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point driving layup66
57
Q3 - 6:56HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)66
55
Q3 - 6:56HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)66
55
Q3 - 7:00HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound66
55
Q3 - 7:05PelicansJosh Hart misses three point jump shot66
55
Q3 - 7:15Pelicans 60 second timeout66
55
Q3 - 7:22HeatKZ Okpala makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)66
55
Q3 - 7:35PelicansPelicans turnover (shot clock violation)64
55
Q3 - 7:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 264
55
Q3 - 7:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 263
55
Q3 - 7:59PelicansEric Bledsoe shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)62
55
Q3 - 8:03PelicansJosh Hart turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)62
55
Q3 - 8:16PelicansBrandon Ingram defensive rebound62
55
Q3 - 8:19HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving layup62
55
Q3 - 8:25HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound62
55
Q3 - 8:29PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot62
55
Q3 - 8:40HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)62
55
Q3 - 8:56HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)62
55
Q3 - 9:06HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound60
55
Q3 - 9:10PelicansEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot60
55
Q3 - 9:16Stoppage (Out of bounds)60
55
Q3 - 9:16PelicansPelicans offensive rebound60
55
Q3 - 9:16PelicansKZ Okpala blocks Steven Adams's two point layup60
55
Q3 - 9:20HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Brandon Ingram steals)60
55
Q3 - 9:36PelicansLonzo Ball makes three point jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)60
55
Q3 - 9:46HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)60
52
Q3 - 9:46HeatHeat offensive rebound60
52
Q3 - 9:47HeatKZ Okpala misses two point jump shot60
52
Q3 - 10:10PelicansEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 3 of 360
52
Q3 - 10:10PelicansEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 2 of 360
51
Q3 - 10:10PelicansEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 1 of 360
50
Q3 - 10:10HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Eric Bledsoe draws the foul)60
49
Q3 - 10:26HeatKZ Okpala makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)60
49
Q3 - 10:30HeatKendrick Nunn offensive rebound57
49
Q3 - 10:34HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot57
49
Q3 - 10:45HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound57
49
Q3 - 10:48PelicansSteven Adams misses regular free throw 2 of 257
49
Q3 - 10:48PelicansSteven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 257
49
Q3 - 10:48HeatKZ Okpala shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)57
48
Q3 - 10:56PelicansJosh Hart defensive rebound57
48
Q3 - 11:01HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot57
48
Q3 - 11:06HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound57
48
Q3 - 11:09HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot57
48
Q3 - 11:18PelicansEric Bledsoe makes three point jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)57
48
Q3 - 11:36HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)57
45
Q3 - 12:00Pelicans lineup change (Steven Adams, Brandon Ingram, Eric Bledsoe, Lonzo Ball, Josh Hart)55
45
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Kelly Olynyk, KZ Okpala)55
45
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.55
45
Q2 - 0:00.1PelicansPelicans offensive rebound55
45
Q2 - 0:00.6PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point running jump shot55
45
Q2 - 0:03.1HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 255
45
Q2 - 0:03.1Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Kendrick Nunn, Goran Dragic, Jimmy Butler, KZ Okpala)54
45
Q2 - 0:03.1HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 254
45
Q2 - 0:03.1PelicansEric Bledsoe shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)53
45
Q2 - 0:14.9Pelicans lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Brandon Ingram, Eric Bledsoe, Lonzo Ball, Jaxson Hayes)53
45
Q2 - 0:14.9Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Goran Dragic, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Kelly Olynyk)53
45
Q2 - 0:14.9PelicansJosh Hart personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)53
45
Q2 - 0:33.9PelicansLonzo Ball makes three point stepback jump shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)53
45
Q2 - 0:48.9HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)53
42
Q2 - 0:55.8PelicansLonzo Ball makes two point putback layup50
42
Q2 - 0:56.3PelicansLonzo Ball offensive rebound50
40
Q2 - 0:58.3PelicansLonzo Ball misses two point running pullup jump shot50
40
Q2 - 1:05HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)50
40
Q2 - 1:14HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound48
40
Q2 - 1:18PelicansEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot48
40
Q2 - 1:43HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (offensive foul)48
40
Q2 - 1:43HeatKendrick Nunn offensive foul (Charge) (Eric Bledsoe draws the foul)48
40
Q2 - 1:51HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound48
40
Q2 - 1:54PelicansEric Bledsoe misses two point floating jump shot48
40
Q2 - 2:10PelicansEric Bledsoe defensive rebound48
40
Q2 - 2:13HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot48
40
Q2 - 2:28PelicansJosh Hart makes regular free throw 3 of 348
40
Q2 - 2:28Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Kendrick Nunn, Goran Dragic, Jimmy Butler, Kelly Olynyk)48
39
Q2 - 2:28PelicansJosh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 348
39
Q2 - 2:28PelicansJosh Hart makes regular free throw 1 of 348
38
Q2 - 2:28Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)48
37
Q2 - 2:28HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)48
37
Q2 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)48
37
Q2 - 2:58HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound46
37
Q2 - 2:59PelicansGoran Dragic blocks Josh Hart's two point driving layup46
37
Q2 - 3:02PelicansJosh Hart defensive rebound46
37
Q2 - 3:04HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point jump shot46
37
Q2 - 3:19PelicansEric Bledsoe makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)46
37
Q2 - 3:38HeatGoran Dragic turnover (traveling)46
34
Q2 - 3:43HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound46
34
Q2 - 3:45PelicansBrandon Ingram misses three point jump shot46
34
Q2 - 3:48PelicansLonzo Ball offensive rebound46
34
Q2 - 3:52PelicansJosh Hart misses three point jump shot46
34
Q2 - 4:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 246
34
Q2 - 4:05Pelicans lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Eric Bledsoe, Lonzo Ball, Josh Hart, Jaxson Hayes)45
34
Q2 - 4:05Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Goran Dragic, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Kelly Olynyk)45
34
Q2 - 4:05HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 245
34
Q2 - 4:05PelicansSteven Adams shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)45
34
Q2 - 4:20PelicansJosh Hart makes two point running dunk (Brandon Ingram assists)45
34
Q2 - 4:23PelicansBrandon Ingram defensive rebound45
32
Q2 - 4:27HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving layup45
32
Q2 - 4:45PelicansKira Lewis Jr. makes two point floating jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)45
32
Q2 - 5:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)45
30
Q2 - 5:24PelicansSteven Adams makes two point cutting dunk (Brandon Ingram assists)43
30
Q2 - 5:37HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)43
28
Q2 - 5:44PelicansJosh Hart personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)41
28
Q2 - 6:03PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point pullup jump shot (Kira Lewis Jr. assists)41
28
Q2 - 6:20HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)41
26
Q2 - 6:31PelicansSteven Adams turnover (offensive foul)39
26
Q2 - 6:31PelicansSteven Adams offensive foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)39
26
Q2 - 6:37PelicansEric Bledsoe defensive rebound39
26
Q2 - 6:41HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot39
26
Q2 - 6:58Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Kelly Olynyk)39
26
Q2 - 6:58Heat 60 second timeout39
26
Q2 - 6:59PelicansKira Lewis Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup39
26
Q2 - 7:04PelicansKira Lewis Jr. defensive rebound39
24
Q2 - 7:07HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot39
24
Q2 - 7:18PelicansKira Lewis Jr. makes two point floating jump shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)39
24
Q2 - 7:29HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point reverse layup (Andre Iguodala assists)39
22
Q2 - 7:51PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point cutting layup (Eric Bledsoe assists)37
22
Q2 - 8:03Pelicans lineup change (Steven Adams, Brandon Ingram, Eric Bledsoe, Josh Hart, Kira Lewis Jr.)37
20
Q2 - 8:03Pelicans 60 second timeout37
20
Q2 - 8:12HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot37
20
Q2 - 8:27Pelicans lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Brandon Ingram, Josh Hart, Kira Lewis Jr., Jaxson Hayes)35
20
Q2 - 8:27Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Kendrick Nunn, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Precious Achiuwa)35
20
Q2 - 8:27PelicansJosh Hart turnover (out of bounds lost ball)35
20
Q2 - 8:28PelicansJosh Hart defensive rebound35
20
Q2 - 8:30HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving bank jump shot35
20
Q2 - 8:38HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound35
20
Q2 - 8:42PelicansNicolo Melli misses three point jump shot35
20
Q2 - 8:56HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup35
20
Q2 - 9:09HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound33
20
Q2 - 9:11PelicansKira Lewis Jr. misses two point layup33
20
Q2 - 9:15HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jaxson Hayes draws the foul)33
20
Q2 - 9:25PelicansJaxson Hayes offensive rebound33
20
Q2 - 9:25PelicansKira Lewis Jr. misses three point jump shot33
20
Q2 - 9:42HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)33
20
Q2 - 10:05PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)31
20
Q2 - 10:19PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound31
17
Q2 - 10:23HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot31
17
Q2 - 10:32PelicansKira Lewis Jr. personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)31
17
Q2 - 10:47PelicansJaxson Hayes makes two point cutting dunk (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)31
17
Q2 - 11:01PelicansNicolo Melli defensive rebound31
15
Q2 - 11:06HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot31
15
Q2 - 11:12HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound31
15
Q2 - 11:15PelicansNicolo Melli misses three point jump shot31
15
Q2 - 11:25PelicansJaxson Hayes defensive rebound31
15
Q2 - 11:29HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot31
15
Q2 - 11:31HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound31
15
Q2 - 11:34PelicansNicolo Melli misses three point jump shot31
15
Q2 - 11:41PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound31
15
Q2 - 11:45HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot31
15
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
15
Q1 - 0:00.6HeatHeat offensive rebound31
15
Q1 - 0:00.6HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses two point pullup jump shot31
15
Q1 - 0:04.0PelicansPelicans turnover (shot clock violation)31
15
Q1 - 0:04.4PelicansJaxson Hayes offensive rebound31
15
Q1 - 0:06.1PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point floating jump shot31
15
Q1 - 0:26.8PelicansJaxson Hayes defensive rebound31
15
Q1 - 0:29.1HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses two point alley-oop dunk31
15
Q1 - 0:41.4Pelicans lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Nicolo Melli, Josh Hart, Kira Lewis Jr., Jaxson Hayes)31
15
Q1 - 0:41.4Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Goran Dragic, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Precious Achiuwa)31
15
Q1 - 0:41.4Stoppage (Out of bounds)31
15
Q1 - 0:47.0HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound31
15
Q1 - 0:49.3PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point floating jump shot31
15
Q1 - 1:06HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)31
15
Q1 - 1:11PelicansNicolo Melli turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)29
15
Q1 - 1:18PelicansLonzo Ball defensive rebound29
15
Q1 - 1:22HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot29
15
Q1 - 1:39HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound29
15
Q1 - 1:41PelicansJaxson Hayes misses two point alley-oop layup29
15
Q1 - 1:54HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)29
15
Q1 - 2:06HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound26
15
Q1 - 2:11PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot26
15
Q1 - 2:18PelicansJosh Hart offensive rebound26
15
Q1 - 2:18PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot26
15
Q1 - 2:39HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point tip layup26
15
Q1 - 2:39HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound24
15
Q1 - 2:40HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot24
15
Q1 - 2:46HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound24
15
Q1 - 2:48PelicansJaxson Hayes misses two point layup24
15
Q1 - 2:54PelicansJaxson Hayes offensive rebound24
15
Q1 - 2:59PelicansJosh Hart misses three point jump shot24
15
Q1 - 3:13Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Goran Dragic, Tyler Herro, Kelly Olynyk, Precious Achiuwa)24
15
Q1 - 3:13HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds lost ball)24
15
Q1 - 3:29Pelicans lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Lonzo Ball, Nicolo Melli, Josh Hart, Jaxson Hayes)24
15
Q1 - 3:29Heat lineup change (Goran Dragic, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Kelly Olynyk, Precious Achiuwa)24
15
Q1 - 3:29Heat 60 second timeout24
15
Q1 - 3:33PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point running finger roll layup (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)24
15
Q1 - 3:38HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Jaxson Hayes steals)24
13
Q1 - 3:50PelicansBrandon Ingram turnover (bad pass) (Precious Achiuwa steals)24
13
Q1 - 4:14HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)24
13
Q1 - 4:22HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound22
13
Q1 - 4:22PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point driving layup22
13
Q1 - 4:29PelicansNickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound22
13
Q1 - 4:32HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot22
13
Q1 - 4:36PelicansJaxson Hayes makes two point tip layup22
13
Q1 - 4:36PelicansJaxson Hayes offensive rebound22
11
Q1 - 4:38PelicansNicolo Melli misses two point driving layup22
11
Q1 - 4:46Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Goran Dragic, Jimmy Butler, Kelly Olynyk, Precious Achiuwa)22
11
Q1 - 4:46HeatKZ Okpala personal foul (Nicolo Melli draws the foul)22
11
Q1 - 4:54Stoppage (Out of bounds)22
11
Q1 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 222
11
Q1 - 5:05Pelicans lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Brandon Ingram, Lonzo Ball, Nicolo Melli, Jaxson Hayes)21
11
Q1 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 221
11
Q1 - 5:05PelicansNicolo Melli shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)20
11
Q1 - 5:19HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound20
11
Q1 - 5:21PelicansSteven Adams misses regular free throw 2 of 220
11
Q1 - 5:21PelicansSteven Adams misses regular free throw 1 of 220
11
Q1 - 5:21HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)20
11
Q1 - 5:25PelicansLonzo Ball defensive rebound20
11
Q1 - 5:28HeatBrandon Ingram blocks KZ Okpala's two point cutting layup20
11
Q1 - 5:52PelicansBrandon Ingram turnover (out of bounds bad pass)20
11
Q1 - 5:59Pelicans lineup change (Steven Adams, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Brandon Ingram, Lonzo Ball, Nicolo Melli)20
11
Q1 - 5:59Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Goran Dragic, Jimmy Butler, Kelly Olynyk, KZ Okpala)20
11
Q1 - 5:59Pelicans 60 second timeout20
11
Q1 - 6:07HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)20
11
Q1 - 6:18PelicansSteven Adams makes two point turnaround jump shot (Lonzo Ball assists)17
11
Q1 - 6:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup17
9
Q1 - 6:48PelicansLonzo Ball turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)15
9
Q1 - 6:50PelicansJosh Hart offensive rebound15
9
Q1 - 6:54PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot15
9
Q1 - 6:56PelicansSteven Adams offensive rebound15
9
Q1 - 7:01PelicansJosh Hart misses three point jump shot15
9
Q1 - 7:09HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Brandon Ingram steals)15
9
Q1 - 7:24PelicansSteven Adams makes two point cutting layup (Brandon Ingram assists)15
9
Q1 - 7:33HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 215
7
Q1 - 7:33HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 214
7
Q1 - 7:33PelicansSteven Adams shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)13
7
Q1 - 7:52HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound13
7
Q1 - 7:56PelicansEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot13
7
Q1 - 8:07PelicansEric Bledsoe defensive rebound13
7
Q1 - 8:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot13
7
Q1 - 8:30HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound13
7
Q1 - 8:34PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot13
7
Q1 - 8:41HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)13
7
Q1 - 8:55PelicansBrandon Ingram makes three point jump shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)11
7
Q1 - 9:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)11
4
Q1 - 9:17PelicansBrandon Ingram turnover (out of bounds bad pass)8
4
Q1 - 9:34HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)8
4
Q1 - 9:57PelicansLonzo Ball turnover (out of bounds bad pass)6
4
Q1 - 10:10HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)6
4
Q1 - 10:21PelicansSteven Adams makes two point hook shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)3
4
Q1 - 10:31HeatKZ Okpala personal foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)3
2
Q1 - 10:42HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)3
2
Q1 - 10:57PelicansLonzo Ball makes two point driving layup (Steven Adams assists)0
2
Q1 - 11:13PelicansSteven Adams defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:15HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup0
0
Q1 - 11:36HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:39PelicansLonzo Ball misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:44PelicansBrandon Ingram offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:47PelicansKZ Okpala blocks Brandon Ingram's two point turnaround jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Kelly Olynyk vs. Steven Adams (Brandon Ingram gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Pelicans lineup change (Steven Adams, Brandon Ingram, Eric Bledsoe, Lonzo Ball, Josh Hart)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Kelly Olynyk, KZ Okpala)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIANOP
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 57.9%
NOP
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
28
71%
NOP
18
31
58%
Midrange
MIA
6
15
40%
NOP
4
10
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
NOP
11
16.5
43
26%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
21
25
84%
NOP
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2981%14.5 / 18
K. Olynyk18113%9.0 / 8
K. Nunn1343%6.5 / 15
G. Dragic1372%6.5 / 9
A. Iguodala1056%5.0 / 9
P. Achiuwa850%4.0 / 8
D. Robinson563%2.5 / 4
K. Okpala536%2.5 / 7
T. Herro217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Ingram1765%8.5 / 13
S. Adams1575%7.5 / 10
N. Alexander-Walker1343%6.5 / 15
J. Hart1250%6.0 / 12
K. Lewis Jr.1161%5.5 / 9
L. Ball1031%5.0 / 16
E. Bledsoe964%4.5 / 7
J. Hayes660%3.0 / 5
N. Melli0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+8
-10
89
NOP
78
+17
-12
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 57.9%
NOP
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
113.5
MIA 113.2 +9.9
NOP 103.3
Pace
96.7
100.1
MIA 95.1 +6.9
NOP 88.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.1
MIA 15.1 −1.2
NOP 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
53.7%
MIA 56.2% +10.4%
NOP 45.8%
TO %
13.7%
13.8%
MIA 11.6% −1.5%
NOP 13.1%
ORB %
19.4%
26.3%
MIA 14.7%
NOP 29.4% +14.7%
FTrt
25.2
29.3
MIA 34.2 +10.4
NOP 23.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
61.2%
MIA 75.0%
NOP 84.8% +9.8%
STL %
8.2%
7.5%
MIA 6.6% +1.0%
NOP 5.6%
BLK %
8.5%
8.5%
MIA 7.3% +0.3%
NOP 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.22 and 2.22.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
55.8%
MIA 57.9% +9.0%
NOP 48.9%
Rim FG%
64.8%
60.9%
MIA 71.4% +13.3%
NOP 58.1%
Mid FG%
41.8%
42.9%
MIA 40.0%
NOP 40.0%
3P %
35.8%
34.8%
MIA 33.3% +7.7%
NOP 25.6%
FT %
79.0%
72.9%
MIA 84.0% +4.0%
NOP 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
42.1%
MIA 38.4% +1.5%
NOP 36.9%
Mid Att. %
23.5%
23.7%
MIA 20.5%
NOP 11.9% −8.6%
3P Att. %
43.2%
34.2%
MIA 41.1%
NOP 51.2% +10.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.
Game TotalsMIANOP
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes23.024.5
Points10393
Rebounds4144
Assists2728
Steals65
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)12 (2)
Fouls2021
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)29 (1)
Field Goals36-7333-84
At-the-Rim FG20-2818-31
Midrange FG6-154-10
2-Point FG26-4322-41
3-Point FG10-3011-43
Free Throws21-2516-20
Fast Break Pts86
2nd Chance Pts611
Points in Paint4440
Pts off Turnovers2315
Bench Points3330
Biggest Lead172

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 30
36.7
18
113%
10
7
1
0
3
4
1
9
0-0
-
3-3
100%
4-5
80%
#22 · PG · 6'6" 230 · 31
34.0
29
81%
3
9
3
0
3
3
0
3
8-9
89%
9-12
75%
1-2
50%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 27
28.4
5
63%
5
4
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 26
25.3
13
43%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
1-7
14%
#4 · C · 6'9" 210 · 22
17.4
5
36%
5
0
0
2
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
31.1
13
72%
4
3
0
1
2
3
0
4
4-4
100%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
27.1
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
#28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37
23.4
10
56%
3
2
1
0
1
2
0
3
5-8
63%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
#5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 21
16.5
8
50%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
#13 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 24
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Tendinitis
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Shoulder; Surgery
#11 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
58%
41
27
6
3
10
20
5
36
21-25
84%
26-43
60%
10-30
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.