Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, February 14, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Celtics	64%	118	91	85.8	106	106.6
	28	Wizards	36%	113	104	98.1	106	105.4

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+16

-17

105

WAS

+13

-16

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

0.87 43.3%

WAS

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Semi Ojeleye #37 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 26	30.5	3	25%	2	0	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Kemba Walker #8 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 31	29.1	25	63%	7	2	2	0	5	1	0	7	3-4	75%	5-11	45%	4-7	57%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 24	28.6	25	57%	7	0	1	1	5	2	3	4	1-3	33%	9-16	56%	2-5	40%
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 23	23.4	6	21%	8	4	1	0	2	4	2	6	0-1	0%	3-12	25%	0-2	0%
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 29	20.4	4	33%	2	2	0	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%

Aaron Nesmith #26 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	28.6	5	50%	5	0	0	0	1	3	0	5	2-3	67%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Tristan Thompson #13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 30	18.1	2	25%	8	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	17.4	4	29%	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Grant Williams #12 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 22	12.1	0	0%	2	1	0	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Robert Williams III #44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 23	10.5	5	50%	2	1	1	1	1	3	2	0	3-5	60%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Javonte Green #43 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	5.3	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Carsen Edwards #4 · SG · 6'0" 199 · 23	5.3	4	40%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Tremont Waters #51 · PG · 5'11" 172 · 23	5.3	2	33%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Tacko Fall #99 · C · 7'6" 289 · 25	5.3	3	75%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jeff Teague #55 · SF · 6'2" 189 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Marcus Smart #36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Tear
Romeo Langford #45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery Rehabilitation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	43%	50	14	5	2	17	27	14	36	18-30	60%	23-55	42%	9-35	26%

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9 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Semi Ojeleye #37 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 26	30.5	3	25%	2	0	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Kemba Walker #8 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 31	29.1	25	63%	7	2	2	0	5	1	0	7	3-4	75%	5-11	45%	4-7	57%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 24	28.6	25	57%	7	0	1	1	5	2	3	4	1-3	33%	9-16	56%	2-5	40%
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 23	23.4	6	21%	8	4	1	0	2	4	2	6	0-1	0%	3-12	25%	0-2	0%
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 29	20.4	4	33%	2	2	0	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%

Aaron Nesmith #26 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	28.6	5	50%	5	0	0	0	1	3	0	5	2-3	67%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Tristan Thompson #13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 30	18.1	2	25%	8	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	17.4	4	29%	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Grant Williams #12 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 22	12.1	0	0%	2	1	0	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Robert Williams III #44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 23	10.5	5	50%	2	1	1	1	1	3	2	0	3-5	60%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Javonte Green #43 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	5.3	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Carsen Edwards #4 · SG · 6'0" 199 · 23	5.3	4	40%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Tremont Waters #51 · PG · 5'11" 172 · 23	5.3	2	33%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Tacko Fall #99 · C · 7'6" 289 · 25	5.3	3	75%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jeff Teague #55 · SF · 6'2" 189 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Marcus Smart #36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Tear
Romeo Langford #45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery Rehabilitation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	43%	50	14	5	2	17	27	14	36	18-30	60%	23-55	42%	9-35	26%

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28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 28	33.1	35	76%	7	5	2	0	6	2	0	7	11-11	100%	6-9	67%	4-9	44%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 32	29.1	13	33%	9	11	1	0	3	3	2	7	1-3	33%	6-17	35%	0-2	0%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 24	22.3	11	61%	4	2	2	1	1	3	0	4	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	22.3	15	68%	4	1	1	0	1	2	1	3	5-5	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	19.6	0	0%	3	0	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%

Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 20	28.0	8	36%	10	0	0	0	2	4	1	9	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Robin Lopez #15 · C · 7'0" 277 · 33	25.5	10	63%	4	3	0	1	2	1	3	1	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Raul Neto #19 · PG · 6'1" 179 · 29	24.5	4	50%	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Davis Bertans #42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 28	24.3	8	50%	8	1	0	1	0	3	1	7	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Troy Brown Jr. #6 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 22	5.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Isaac Bonga #17 · SG · 6'9" 203 · 21	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jerome Robinson #12 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 24	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alex Len #27 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Cassius Winston #5 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 23	INACTIVE
Thomas Bryant #13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left ACL Injury
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Strained right quadriceps
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Stomach; Gastroenteritis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	51%	54	24	9	3	16	25	9	45	31-36	86%	26-53	49%	7-30	23%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

0.87 43.3%

WAS

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

39%

WAS

75%

Midrange

BOS

43%

WAS

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

13.5

26%

39%

WAS

10.5

23%

35%

Free Throws

BOS

60%

WAS

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Walker	25	63%	12.5 / 20
J. Brown	25	57%	12.5 / 22
J. Tatum	6	21%	3.0 / 14
A. Nesmith	5	50%	2.5 / 5
R. Williams	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Theis	4	33%	2.0 / 6
P. Pritchard	4	29%	2.0 / 7
C. Edwards	4	40%	2.0 / 5
S. Ojeleye	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Green	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Fall	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Thompson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. Waters	2	33%	1.0 / 3
G. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	35	76%	17.5 / 23
R. Hachimura	15	68%	7.5 / 11
R. Westbrook	13	33%	6.5 / 20
M. Wagner	11	61%	5.5 / 9
R. Lopez	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Avdija	8	36%	4.0 / 11
D. Bertans	8	50%	4.0 / 8
R. Neto	4	50%	2.0 / 4
G. Mathews	0	-	0.0 / 2
T. Brown Jr.	0	-	0.0 / 2
I. Bonga	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 113.5 17 111.2	BOS 85.8 WAS 98.1 +12.3
Pace	17 98.7 1 104.1	BOS 106.6 +1.3 WAS 105.4
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 30 13.5	BOS 13.5 −0.2 WAS 13.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 54.3% 20 53.1%	BOS 40.6% WAS 44.0% +3.4%
TO %	18 13.5% 16 13.3%	BOS 14.1% −1.3% WAS 15.4%
ORB %	5 24.4% 21 21.3%	BOS 23.7% +3.7% WAS 20.0%
FTrt	23 23.4 3 28.8	BOS 33.3 WAS 43.4 +10.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 56.6% 19 59.0%	BOS 43.8% WAS 72.7% +28.9%
STL %	13 7.8% 23 7.0%	BOS 4.7% WAS 8.5% +3.8%
BLK %	4 10.3% 30 7.1%	BOS 3.8% WAS 5.5% +1.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.0% 16 56.0%	BOS 43.3% WAS 50.5% +7.2%
Rim FG%	10 63.1% 5 64.3%	BOS 38.9% WAS 75.0% +36.1%
Mid FG%	21 40.4% 17 41.6%	BOS 43.2% +9.9% WAS 33.3%
3P %	10 37.4% 22 35.1%	BOS 25.7% +2.4% WAS 23.3%
FT %	16 77.5% 19 76.9%	BOS 60.0% WAS 86.1% +26.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 32.8% 11 35.0%	BOS 20.0% WAS 24.1% +4.1%
Mid Att. %	17 26.3% 27 33.1%	BOS 41.1% WAS 39.8% −1.4%
3P Att. %	11 40.9% 29 31.9%	BOS 38.9% +2.7% WAS 36.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	BOS	WAS
Possessions	106	106
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	91	104
Rebounds	50	54
Assists	14	24
Steals	5	9
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	16 (2)
Fouls	27	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	45 (2)
Field Goals	32-90	33-83
At-the-Rim FG	7-18	15-20
Midrange FG	16-37	11-33
2-Point FG	23-55	26-53
3-Point FG	9-35	7-30
Free Throws	18-30	31-36
Fast Break Pts	6	9
2nd Chance Pts	11	17
Points in Paint	32	40
Pts off Turnovers	21	20
Bench Points	28	30
Biggest Lead	2	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg