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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
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February 14, 2021
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FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pelicans51%112112
20Pistons49%111123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 23.5
38.3
33.3
26
56%
4
7
1
1
0
0
1
3
9-10
90%
4-9
6-11
44%
52%
3-10
30%
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 20.6
35.7
32.1
26
57%
8
3
0
1
2
1
3
5
6-6
100%
10-20
8-14
50%
60%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.2
31.4
26.2
6
27%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
3-5
60%
0-0
2-5
-
53%
1-9
11%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.3
31.3
30.7
13
59%
4
3
0
1
0
5
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.6
29.9
22.2
13
71%
12
2
0
1
0
1
9
3
3-5
60%
5-7
3-5
71%
60%
0-0
-
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.9
23.4
29.2
8
57%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
57%
0-2
0%
Kira Lewis Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 19.9
16.7
16.9
10
56%
0
2
4
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.7
16.6
18.9
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
56%
0-0
-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 22.5
8.8
10.3
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 36.6
7.8
13.7
4
41%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.7
3.2
0
0-1
64%
Nicolo Melli
F · 6'9" 236 · 30.1
2.9
0
0-0
57%
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 23.9
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Sindarius Thornwell
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.3
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Will Magnay
C · 6'10" 234 · 22.7
Naji Marshall
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Saddiq Bey
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.9
38.3
21.3
16
73%
4
6
3
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
4-8
50%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
38.0
34.4
15
45%
2
4
0
1
2
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-8
5-10
13%
53%
3-7
43%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 28.8
36.2
32.3
17
97%
7
6
0
2
0
1
2
5
4-4
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
51%
1-1
100%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.9
30.5
32.4
17
66%
10
10
0
1
0
1
4
6
1-2
50%
8-12
5-8
67%
61%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.2
21.0
20.6
6
50%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
2-5
40%
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 23.7
25.4
14.5
18
82%
2
3
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
49%
4-8
50%
Josh Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.0
21.3
26.8
21
65%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-5
60%
6-11
3-6
55%
50%
2-3
67%
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 19.7
17.5
20.9
4
69%
6
0
0
1
3
2
1
5
2-2
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.2
11.8
10.4
9
61%
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
2-3
67%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.2
4.3
0
1-1
57%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29.5
3.6
0
0-0
51%
Deividas Sirvydis
G · 6'8" 190 · 20.7
0.4
0
0-0
50%
Killian Hayes
G · 6'5" 195 · 19.6
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
Sekou Doumbouya
F · 6'9" 209 · 20.1
Saben Lee
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.6
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.