Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Pacers	39%	104	100	100.0	100	99.6
	9	Lakers	61%	108	105	104.0	101	102.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	35.5	29	69%	7	6	1	0	5	5	0	7	1-1	100%	8-13	62%	4-7	57%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	33.8	20	56%	14	8	0	1	3	4	2	12	6-8	75%	7-12	58%	0-3	0%
Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 32	33.5	5	23%	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-10	10%
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	29.9	13	50%	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	2	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	28.0	8	50%	5	2	1	2	1	4	2	3	6-6	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	24.6	8	57%	7	2	2	1	3	4	1	6	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	15.2	2	25%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	15.0	10	63%	1	0	2	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Edmond Sumner #5 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 25	14.6	2	33%	0	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	10.1	3	38%	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Brian Bowen II #10 · SF · 6'7" 190 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jalen Lecque #0 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Caris LeVert #22 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Medical Condition
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left foot; Stress fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	51%	44	22	7	4	16	27	10	34	18-21	86%	29-52	56%	8-36	22%

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15 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	35.5	29	69%	7	6	1	0	5	5	0	7	1-1	100%	8-13	62%	4-7	57%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	33.8	20	56%	14	8	0	1	3	4	2	12	6-8	75%	7-12	58%	0-3	0%
Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 32	33.5	5	23%	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-10	10%
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	29.9	13	50%	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	2	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	28.0	8	50%	5	2	1	2	1	4	2	3	6-6	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	24.6	8	57%	7	2	2	1	3	4	1	6	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	15.2	2	25%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	15.0	10	63%	1	0	2	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Edmond Sumner #5 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 25	14.6	2	33%	0	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	10.1	3	38%	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Brian Bowen II #10 · SF · 6'7" 190 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jalen Lecque #0 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Caris LeVert #22 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Medical Condition
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left foot; Stress fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	51%	44	22	7	4	16	27	10	34	18-21	86%	29-52	56%	8-36	22%

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9 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 27	34.5	11	39%	5	4	4	1	5	3	0	5	4-6	67%	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	34.4	18	50%	3	10	1	0	3	4	0	3	7-11	64%	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 28	27.9	7	50%	5	1	1	0	1	1	1	4	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32	18.6	8	100%	7	2	0	1	1	0	0	7	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Damian Jones #30 · C · 7'0" 245 · 26	15.7	7	70%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Montrezl Harrell #15 · C · 6'8" 240 · 27	32.1	17	77%	6	1	1	3	0	3	1	5	1-2	50%	8-10	80%	0-1	0%
Kyle Kuzma #0 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 26	30.5	24	57%	13	1	1	0	2	1	3	10	5-6	83%	5-12	42%	3-6	50%
Wesley Matthews #9 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	21.8	3	50%	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	17.2	6	38%	2	0	1	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27	7.3	4	100%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Alfonzo McKinnie #28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Marc Gasol #14 · C · 7'1" 255 · 36	INACTIVE
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	INACTIVE
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Jared Dudley #10 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	55%	44	20	10	5	15	20	6	38	30-39	77%	27-54	50%	7-22	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	IND	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.02 51.0%

LAL

1.09 54.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

20

32

63%

LAL

23

36

64%

Midrange

IND

9

20

45%

LAL

4

18

22%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

8

12.0

36

22%

33%

LAL

7

10.5

22

32%

48%

Free Throws

IND

18

21

86%

LAL

30

39

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Brogdon	29	69%	14.5 / 21
D. Sabonis	20	56%	10.0 / 18
D. McDermott	13	50%	6.5 / 13
A. Holiday	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Turner	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. McConnell	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Holiday	5	23%	2.5 / 11
G. Bitadze	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Lamb	2	25%	1.0 / 4
E. Sumner	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	24	57%	12.0 / 21
L. James	18	50%	9.0 / 18
M. Harrell	17	77%	8.5 / 11
D. Schröder	11	39%	5.5 / 14
M. Morris	8	100%	4.0 / 4
K. Caldwell-Pope	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. Jones	7	70%	3.5 / 5
T. Horton-Tucker	6	38%	3.0 / 8
A. Caruso	4	100%	2.0 / 2
W. Matthews	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 112.3 24 110.4	IND 100.0 LAL 104.0 +4.0
Pace	4 101.6 22 98.2	IND 99.6 LAL 102.3 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 7 14.9	IND 14.5 LAL 14.1 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 54.2% 18 53.7%	IND 46.6% LAL 49.3% +2.7%
TO %	9 12.7% 29 14.9%	IND 14.1% LAL 13.9% −0.2%
ORB %	26 20.2% 14 22.5%	IND 20.8% +5.8% LAL 15.0%
FTrt	26 22.7 6 27.1	IND 23.9 LAL 51.3 +27.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 63.3% 15 60.7%	IND 59.5% +0.7% LAL 58.8%
STL %	5 8.3% 12 7.8%	IND 7.0% LAL 9.9% +2.9%
BLK %	3 10.7% 8 9.9%	IND 7.4% LAL 9.6% +2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.3% 18 55.8%	IND 51.0% LAL 54.7% +3.7%
Rim FG%	20 60.0% 8 63.6%	IND 62.5% LAL 63.9% +1.4%
Mid FG%	12 43.2% 23 40.0%	IND 45.0% +22.8% LAL 22.2%
3P %	17 36.4% 21 35.4%	IND 22.2% LAL 31.8% +9.6%
FT %	9 79.2% 28 73.9%	IND 85.7% +8.8% LAL 76.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.4% 8 37.6%	IND 36.4% LAL 47.4% +11.0%
Mid Att. %	7 22.4% 16 26.1%	IND 22.7% −1.0% LAL 23.7%
3P Att. %	21 37.2% 22 36.3%	IND 40.9% +12.0% LAL 28.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	LAL
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.7
Points	100	105
Rebounds	44	44
Assists	22	20
Steals	7	10
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	27	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	38 (2)
Field Goals	37-88	34-76
At-the-Rim FG	20-32	23-36
Midrange FG	9-20	4-18
2-Point FG	29-52	27-54
3-Point FG	8-36	7-22
Free Throws	18-21	30-39
Fast Break Pts	14	14
2nd Chance Pts	9	8
Points in Paint	50	54
Pts off Turnovers	21	20
Bench Points	25	54
Biggest Lead	12	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg