Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 15, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Pacers	34%	109	106	112.8	94	101.3
	4	Nuggets	66%	114	121	126.0	96	89.6

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+13

-11

DEN

+23

-10

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.09 54.6%

DEN

1.11 55.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	33.0	24	71%	6	4	0	0	1	1	1	5	3-3	100%	6-10	60%	3-6	50%
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 32	32.3	19	59%	3	2	1	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	5-11	45%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	30.9	10	45%	9	10	0	0	2	3	3	6	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	30.4	8	36%	9	1	0	5	3	3	2	7	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Caris LeVert #22 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 27	29.4	17	71%	2	2	3	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-6	50%

Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	19.8	12	67%	3	1	0	0	3	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-7	57%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	19.1	2	25%	3	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	18.1	6	50%	0	5	1	1	0	2	0	0	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Edmond Sumner #5 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 25	13.5	3	38%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	9.0	3	50%	2	0	2	3	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Brian Bowen II #10 · SF · 6'7" 190 · 22	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	1.5	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jalen Lecque #0 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left knee; Sore
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	55%	39	28	8	9	11	13	10	29	11-13	85%	22-48	46%	17-42	40%

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12 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	33.0	24	71%	6	4	0	0	1	1	1	5	3-3	100%	6-10	60%	3-6	50%
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 32	32.3	19	59%	3	2	1	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	5-11	45%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	30.9	10	45%	9	10	0	0	2	3	3	6	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	30.4	8	36%	9	1	0	5	3	3	2	7	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Caris LeVert #22 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 27	29.4	17	71%	2	2	3	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-6	50%

Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	19.8	12	67%	3	1	0	0	3	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-7	57%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	19.1	2	25%	3	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	18.1	6	50%	0	5	1	1	0	2	0	0	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Edmond Sumner #5 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 25	13.5	3	38%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	9.0	3	50%	2	0	2	3	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Brian Bowen II #10 · SF · 6'7" 190 · 22	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	1.5	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jalen Lecque #0 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left knee; Sore
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	55%	39	28	8	9	11	13	10	29	11-13	85%	22-48	46%	17-42	40%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	38.9	20	59%	6	5	1	2	1	1	1	5	3-4	75%	1-9	11%	5-7	71%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	36.2	16	62%	6	8	0	0	3	0	3	3	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	3-5	60%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	34.2	32	53%	14	5	4	1	1	2	6	8	8-10	80%	9-21	43%	2-4	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	30.5	20	63%	8	1	0	1	0	2	3	5	2-2	100%	9-11	82%	0-4	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	24.7	6	43%	7	2	0	1	1	5	1	6	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%

PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	24.6	9	75%	4	3	0	1	3	0	0	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	21.5	0	0%	3	6	2	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	17.7	16	80%	3	1	0	1	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	4.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	1.5	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 21	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 22	1.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Greg Whittington #3 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 28	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	INACTIVE
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadriceps; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	56%	54	32	7	7	10	15	17	37	16-19	84%	30-69	43%	15-28	54%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.09 54.6%

DEN

1.11 55.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

64%

DEN

51%

Midrange

IND

20%

DEN

34%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

25.5

40%

61%

DEN

22.5

54%

80%

Free Throws

IND

85%

DEN

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Brogdon	24	71%	12.0 / 17
J. Holiday	19	59%	9.5 / 16
C. LeVert	17	71%	8.5 / 12
D. McDermott	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Sabonis	10	45%	5.0 / 11
M. Turner	8	36%	4.0 / 11
A. Holiday	6	50%	3.0 / 6
E. Sumner	3	38%	1.5 / 4
G. Bitadze	3	50%	1.5 / 3
T. McConnell	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Stanley	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Martin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	32	53%	16.0 / 30
W. Barton	20	59%	10.0 / 17
M. Porter	20	63%	10.0 / 16
J. Murray	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Green	16	80%	8.0 / 10
P. Dozier	9	75%	4.5 / 6
P. Millsap	6	43%	3.0 / 7
Z. Nnaji	2	100%	1.0 / 1
F. Campazzo	0	-	0.0 / 3
I. Hartenstein	0	-	0.0 / 1
B. Bol	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 112.3 7 116.8	IND 112.8 DEN 126.0 +13.3
Pace	4 101.6 28 97.4	IND 101.3 +11.7 DEN 89.6
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 4 15.1	IND 14.2 −1.9 DEN 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 54.2% 6 55.7%	IND 52.8% DEN 54.1% +1.3%
TO %	9 12.7% 13 13.0%	IND 11.1% DEN 8.7% −2.4%
ORB %	26 20.2% 2 24.8%	IND 21.3% DEN 37.0% +15.7%
FTrt	26 22.7 28 21.9	IND 14.4 DEN 19.6 +5.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 63.3% 11 62.1%	IND 71.8% +0.7% DEN 71.1%
STL %	5 8.3% 6 8.2%	IND 8.5% +1.2% DEN 7.3%
BLK %	3 10.7% 14 9.0%	IND 13.0% DEN 14.6% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.3% 6 57.5%	IND 54.6% DEN 55.5% +0.9%
Rim FG%	20 60.0% 6 63.9%	IND 64.3% +12.9% DEN 51.4%
Mid FG%	12 43.2% 5 44.9%	IND 20.0% DEN 34.4% +14.4%
3P %	17 36.4% 8 37.7%	IND 40.5% DEN 53.6% +13.1%
FT %	9 79.2% 7 80.3%	IND 84.6% +0.4% DEN 84.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.4% 18 33.5%	IND 31.1% DEN 38.1% +7.0%
Mid Att. %	7 22.4% 22 28.2%	IND 22.2% −10.8% DEN 33.0%
3P Att. %	21 37.2% 18 38.3%	IND 46.7% +17.8% DEN 28.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	DEN
Possessions	94	96
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	106	121
Rebounds	39	54
Assists	28	32
Steals	8	7
Blocks	9	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls	13	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	17 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	37 (2)
Field Goals	39-90	45-97
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	19-37
Midrange FG	4-20	11-32
2-Point FG	22-48	30-69
3-Point FG	17-42	15-28
Free Throws	11-13	16-19
Fast Break Pts	31	7
2nd Chance Pts	8	13
Points in Paint	38	46
Pts off Turnovers	14	21
Bench Points	28	27
Biggest Lead	5	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg