Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 15, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Lakers	53%	109	128	124.3	103	97.1
	13	Warriors	47%	108	97	96.0	101	107.5

Scoring Opportunities

LAL

-19

GSW

+10

-22

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.38 68.8%

GSW

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	30.5	22	69%	10	11	0	0	6	3	1	9	4-6	67%	6-9	67%	2-4	50%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 27	27.9	6	50%	2	7	1	0	4	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Damian Jones #30 · C · 7'0" 245 · 26	21.2	8	100%	4	1	0	1	2	4	1	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 28	20.9	14	88%	4	1	1	1	0	0	0	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32	15.8	7	58%	5	0	1	0	1	3	2	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	2-4	50%

Kyle Kuzma #0 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 26	28.2	17	77%	5	4	2	0	1	2	1	4	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	3-5	60%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	28.0	18	75%	4	10	1	0	2	2	0	4	4-5	80%	7-9	78%	0-1	0%
Montrezl Harrell #15 · C · 6'8" 240 · 27	25.1	27	79%	5	1	3	0	2	4	0	5	5-6	83%	11-13	85%	0-1	0%
Wesley Matthews #9 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	23.8	3	30%	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Alfonzo McKinnie #28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	12.9	2	50%	4	0	0	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	5.8	4	100%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27	DNP - Injury/Illness \| head; Concussion protocols
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	INACTIVE
Marc Gasol #14 · C · 7'1" 255 · 36	INACTIVE
Jared Dudley #10 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right MCL; MCL tear
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Calf strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	69%	46	36	9	3	19	25	7	39	19-25	76%	38-51	75%	11-27	41%

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9 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	30.5	22	69%	10	11	0	0	6	3	1	9	4-6	67%	6-9	67%	2-4	50%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 27	27.9	6	50%	2	7	1	0	4	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Damian Jones #30 · C · 7'0" 245 · 26	21.2	8	100%	4	1	0	1	2	4	1	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 28	20.9	14	88%	4	1	1	1	0	0	0	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32	15.8	7	58%	5	0	1	0	1	3	2	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	2-4	50%

Kyle Kuzma #0 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 26	28.2	17	77%	5	4	2	0	1	2	1	4	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	3-5	60%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	28.0	18	75%	4	10	1	0	2	2	0	4	4-5	80%	7-9	78%	0-1	0%
Montrezl Harrell #15 · C · 6'8" 240 · 27	25.1	27	79%	5	1	3	0	2	4	0	5	5-6	83%	11-13	85%	0-1	0%
Wesley Matthews #9 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	23.8	3	30%	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Alfonzo McKinnie #28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	12.9	2	50%	4	0	0	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	5.8	4	100%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27	DNP - Injury/Illness \| head; Concussion protocols
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	INACTIVE
Marc Gasol #14 · C · 7'1" 255 · 36	INACTIVE
Jared Dudley #10 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right MCL; MCL tear
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Calf strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	69%	46	36	9	3	19	25	7	39	19-25	76%	38-51	75%	11-27	41%

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13 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 33	29.2	27	71%	3	2	3	0	2	1	0	3	5-5	100%	5-10	50%	4-7	57%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	29.2	2	25%	6	6	1	1	4	1	0	6	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #12 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 25	28.4	12	60%	2	1	2	0	5	3	1	1	1-3	33%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 26	27.2	15	68%	3	1	1	1	2	0	2	1	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 25	11.5	0	0%	1	3	1	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 20	28.0	7	44%	8	1	0	0	3	6	5	3	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 22	20.6	14	64%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Nico Mannion #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20	18.8	10	63%	1	4	0	0	0	3	1	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Eric Paschall #7 · PF · 6'7" 254 · 24	18.6	5	50%	1	3	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Kent Bazemore #26 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 32	14.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Damion Lee #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	7.3	3	50%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 28	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Alen Smailagic #6 · PF · 6'9" 216 · 21	3.3	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Brad Wanamaker #10 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Mychal Mulder #15 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Marquese Chriss #32 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Syndesmosis; Injury w/ Fibula Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	55%	30	24	9	2	22	23	9	21	16-24	67%	21-42	50%	13-37	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.38 68.8%

GSW

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

97%

GSW

70%

Midrange

LAL

43%

GSW

26%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

16.5

41%

61%

GSW

19.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

LAL

76%

GSW

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Harrell	27	79%	13.5 / 17
L. James	22	69%	11.0 / 16
T. Horton-Tucker	18	75%	9.0 / 12
K. Kuzma	17	77%	8.5 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope	14	88%	7.0 / 8
D. Jones	8	100%	4.0 / 4
M. Morris	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Schröder	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Cacok	4	100%	2.0 / 2
W. Matthews	3	30%	1.5 / 5
A. McKinnie	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	27	71%	13.5 / 19
A. Wiggins	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Poole	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. Oubre	12	60%	6.0 / 10
N. Mannion	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Wiseman	7	44%	3.5 / 8
E. Paschall	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Lee	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Green	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Smailagic	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Looney	0	-	0.0 / 2
K. Bazemore	0	-	0.0 / 5
J. Toscano-Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 110.4 20 110.9	LAL 124.3 +28.2 GSW 96.0
Pace	22 98.2 3 102.4	LAL 97.1 GSW 107.5 +10.4
Avg. Poss. Time	7 14.9 28 13.7	LAL 14.8 GSW 13.4 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 53.7% 7 55.1%	LAL 69.9% +18.6% GSW 51.3%
TO %	29 14.9% 24 14.3%	LAL 17.6% −2.1% GSW 19.7%
ORB %	14 22.5% 30 17.9%	LAL 25.0% +6.2% GSW 18.8%
FTrt	6 27.1 20 23.9	LAL 32.1 +1.7 GSW 30.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 60.7% 3 67.0%	LAL 73.5% +2.9% GSW 70.6%
STL %	12 7.8% 8 8.0%	LAL 8.7% GSW 8.9% +0.2%
BLK %	8 9.9% 17 8.7%	LAL 7.1% +3.2% GSW 3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 55.8% 7 57.3%	LAL 68.8% +14.3% GSW 54.5%
Rim FG%	8 63.6% 7 63.7%	LAL 96.7% +27.1% GSW 69.6%
Mid FG%	23 40.0% 20 40.4%	LAL 42.9% +16.6% GSW 26.3%
3P %	21 35.4% 9 37.6%	LAL 40.7% +5.6% GSW 35.1%
FT %	28 73.9% 13 78.5%	LAL 76.0% +9.3% GSW 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 37.6% 22 33.0%	LAL 38.5% +9.3% GSW 29.1%
Mid Att. %	16 26.1% 9 23.1%	LAL 26.9% GSW 24.1% −2.9%
3P Att. %	22 36.3% 5 43.9%	LAL 34.6% GSW 46.8% +12.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAL	GSW
Possessions	103	101
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	128	97
Rebounds	46	30
Assists	36	24
Steals	9	9
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	22 (0)
Fouls	25	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (2)	21 (1)
Field Goals	49-78	34-79
At-the-Rim FG	29-30	16-23
Midrange FG	9-21	5-19
2-Point FG	38-51	21-42
3-Point FG	11-27	13-37
Free Throws	19-25	16-24
Fast Break Pts	18	20
2nd Chance Pts	13	8
Points in Paint	68	40
Pts off Turnovers	29	24
Bench Points	71	41
Biggest Lead	36	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg