Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Pacers	42%	106	137	137.0	100	100.4
	10	Heat	58%	109	110	108.9	101	101.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Caris LeVert #22 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 27	32.8	8	36%	4	7	1	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	31.8	27	113%	3	4	0	0	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	7-9	78%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	28.1	13	54%	15	4	1	0	4	2	5	10	3-6	50%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 32	27.5	17	94%	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-8	63%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	21.6	12	67%	5	2	0	5	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-3	67%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	29.1	16	89%	6	15	3	1	3	3	2	4	0-0	-	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	17.8	6	50%	4	0	0	2	0	2	1	3	2-5	40%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	17.6	12	75%	2	1	1	1	0	2	0	2	3-3	100%	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	16.8	17	65%	2	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Edmond Sumner #5 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 25	11.3	6	100%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	3.3	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	2.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Brian Bowen II #10 · SF · 6'7" 190 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jalen Lecque #0 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sore
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	70%	47	38	7	9	16	17	9	38	13-19	68%	32-53	60%	20-36	56%

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16 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Caris LeVert #22 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 27	32.8	8	36%	4	7	1	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	31.8	27	113%	3	4	0	0	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	7-9	78%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	28.1	13	54%	15	4	1	0	4	2	5	10	3-6	50%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 32	27.5	17	94%	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-8	63%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	21.6	12	67%	5	2	0	5	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-3	67%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	29.1	16	89%	6	15	3	1	3	3	2	4	0-0	-	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	17.8	6	50%	4	0	0	2	0	2	1	3	2-5	40%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	17.6	12	75%	2	1	1	1	0	2	0	2	3-3	100%	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	16.8	17	65%	2	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Edmond Sumner #5 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 25	11.3	6	100%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	3.3	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	2.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Brian Bowen II #10 · SF · 6'7" 190 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jalen Lecque #0 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sore
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	70%	47	38	7	9	16	17	9	38	13-19	68%	32-53	60%	20-36	56%

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10 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kelly Olynyk #9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 30	31.8	7	29%	6	0	2	1	1	3	2	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-7	14%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 32	31.7	17	71%	8	4	2	0	3	0	2	6	5-5	100%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	30.6	6	33%	1	2	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-8	25%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	26.3	20	77%	8	5	1	1	0	2	3	5	4-5	80%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26	18.7	7	44%	0	2	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	28.1	15	42%	5	1	2	0	2	1	0	5	6-6	100%	3-10	30%	1-5	20%
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	23.7	16	73%	2	3	1	1	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
KZ Okpala #4 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	19.2	7	88%	4	1	0	0	0	4	3	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	9.9	9	64%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Trevor Ariza #0 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 36	6.2	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	5.0	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 21	4.4	4	100%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	4.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Maurice Harkless #8 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Andre Iguodala #28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Soreness
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	INACTIVE
Avery Bradley #11 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	53%	36	22	10	4	11	17	10	26	19-20	95%	32-58	55%	9-34	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.40 69.9%

MIA

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

23

35

66%

MIA

22

38

58%

Midrange

IND

9

18

50%

MIA

10

20

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

20

30.0

36

56%

83%

MIA

9

13.5

34

26%

40%

Free Throws

IND

13

19

68%

MIA

19

20

95%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Brogdon	27	113%	13.5 / 12
J. Holiday	17	94%	8.5 / 9
D. McDermott	17	65%	8.5 / 13
T. McConnell	16	89%	8.0 / 9
D. Sabonis	13	54%	6.5 / 12
M. Turner	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Lamb	12	75%	6.0 / 8
C. LeVert	8	36%	4.0 / 11
G. Bitadze	6	50%	3.0 / 6
E. Sumner	6	100%	3.0 / 3
A. Holiday	3	150%	1.5 / 1
C. Stanley	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	20	77%	10.0 / 13
J. Butler	17	71%	8.5 / 12
G. Dragic	16	73%	8.0 / 11
T. Herro	15	42%	7.5 / 18
G. Vincent	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Olynyk	7	29%	3.5 / 12
K. Nunn	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Okpala	7	88%	3.5 / 4
D. Robinson	6	33%	3.0 / 9
P. Achiuwa	4	100%	2.0 / 2
C. Silva	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Ariza	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Strus	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 112.3 19 111.1	IND 137.0 +28.1 MIA 108.9
Pace	4 101.6 29 96.7	IND 100.4 MIA 101.5 +1.0
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 12 14.7	IND 14.3 MIA 14.2 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 54.2% 11 54.6%	IND 69.7% +20.2% MIA 49.5%
TO %	9 12.7% 21 13.7%	IND 14.9% MIA 9.8% −5.1%
ORB %	26 20.2% 29 19.4%	IND 25.7% +4.9% MIA 20.8%
FTrt	26 22.7 11 25.2	IND 21.3 MIA 21.7 +0.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 63.3% 2 67.1%	IND 73.1% +19.4% MIA 53.7%
STL %	5 8.3% 7 8.2%	IND 7.0% MIA 9.9% +2.9%
BLK %	3 10.7% 22 8.5%	IND 15.5% +8.0% MIA 7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.3% 13 56.5%	IND 69.9% +17.0% MIA 52.9%
Rim FG%	20 60.0% 2 64.8%	IND 65.7% +7.8% MIA 57.9%
Mid FG%	12 43.2% 16 41.8%	IND 50.0% MIA 50.0%
3P %	17 36.4% 19 35.8%	IND 55.6% +29.1% MIA 26.5%
FT %	9 79.2% 12 79.0%	IND 68.4% MIA 95.0% +26.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.4% 20 33.3%	IND 39.3% MIA 41.3% +2.0%
Mid Att. %	7 22.4% 11 23.5%	IND 20.2% −1.5% MIA 21.7%
3P Att. %	21 37.2% 7 43.2%	IND 40.4% +3.5% MIA 37.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	MIA
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	23.9	23.9
Points	137	110
Rebounds	47	36
Assists	38	22
Steals	7	10
Blocks	9	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	17	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (5)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (0)	26 (0)
Field Goals	52-89	41-92
At-the-Rim FG	23-35	22-38
Midrange FG	9-18	10-20
2-Point FG	32-53	32-58
3-Point FG	20-36	9-34
Free Throws	13-19	19-20
Fast Break Pts	21	7
2nd Chance Pts	13	13
Points in Paint	60	64
Pts off Turnovers	23	18
Bench Points	60	53
Biggest Lead	32	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg