Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 19, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Warriors	48%	110	116	110.5	105	100.8
	15	Grizzlies	52%	111	103	100.0	103	107.5

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+11

-13

103

MEM

+11

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.13 56.3%

MEM

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	34.4	2	14%	11	13	1	2	4	3	3	8	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	0-2	0%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 26	34.4	40	71%	8	4	4	0	2	0	2	6	6-9	67%	8-13	62%	6-11	55%
Jordan Poole #3 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 22	34.2	25	78%	2	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	3-6	50%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	28.9	4	29%	4	1	1	2	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 25	20.6	11	92%	4	3	3	1	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-2	50%

Damion Lee #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	27.9	21	70%	5	2	1	1	1	1	1	4	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	4-8	50%
Brad Wanamaker #10 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 32	15.2	7	50%	1	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Nico Mannion #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20	13.8	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Kent Bazemore #26 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 32	12.6	3	38%	3	2	0	0	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Mychal Mulder #15 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 27	8.5	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 28	8.2	0	0%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Alen Smailagic #6 · PF · 6'9" 216 · 21	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 33	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Tailbone; Contusion
Eric Paschall #7 · PF · 6'7" 254 · 24	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 20	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Marquese Chriss #32 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Syndesmosis; Injury w/ Fibula Fracture
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	56%	43	31	13	6	13	16	8	35	13-18	72%	29-50	58%	15-41	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	34.4	2	14%	11	13	1	2	4	3	3	8	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	0-2	0%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 26	34.4	40	71%	8	4	4	0	2	0	2	6	6-9	67%	8-13	62%	6-11	55%
Jordan Poole #3 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 22	34.2	25	78%	2	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	3-6	50%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	28.9	4	29%	4	1	1	2	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 25	20.6	11	92%	4	3	3	1	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-2	50%

Damion Lee #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	27.9	21	70%	5	2	1	1	1	1	1	4	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	4-8	50%
Brad Wanamaker #10 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 32	15.2	7	50%	1	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Nico Mannion #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20	13.8	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Kent Bazemore #26 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 32	12.6	3	38%	3	2	0	0	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Mychal Mulder #15 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 27	8.5	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 28	8.2	0	0%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Alen Smailagic #6 · PF · 6'9" 216 · 21	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 33	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Tailbone; Contusion
Eric Paschall #7 · PF · 6'7" 254 · 24	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 20	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Marquese Chriss #32 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Syndesmosis; Injury w/ Fibula Fracture
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	56%	43	31	13	6	13	16	8	35	13-18	72%	29-50	58%	15-41	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 22	29.8	14	50%	2	2	0	1	6	1	2	0	2-4	50%	6-10	60%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29	25.1	10	56%	16	4	0	1	2	1	2	14	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	24.6	8	33%	1	0	3	0	0	5	0	1	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	0-2	0%
Grayson Allen #3 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 25	24.4	14	88%	3	3	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 27	21.5	7	70%	3	3	2	0	4	1	0	3	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

De'Anthony Melton #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	23.2	9	50%	7	1	1	0	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	22.3	13	65%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 25	19.9	3	25%	1	7	0	0	1	1	0	1	3-3	100%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	15.9	8	67%	3	3	1	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Justise Winslow #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	15.7	5	42%	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	5.9	6	100%	2	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	5.9	3	150%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Killian Tillie #35 · C · 6'10" 220 · 23	5.9	3	38%	3	1	0	3	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Gorgui Dieng #14 · C · 6'11" 251 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jontay Porter #4 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sean McDermott #30 · SF · 6'6" 195 · 24	INACTIVE
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	55%	46	24	10	6	20	17	9	37	17-21	81%	31-58	53%	8-26	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.13 56.3%

MEM

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

63%

MEM

73%

Midrange

GSW

54%

MEM

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

22.5

37%

55%

MEM

12.0

31%

46%

Free Throws

GSW

72%

MEM

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Wiggins	40	71%	20.0 / 28
J. Poole	25	78%	12.5 / 16
D. Lee	21	70%	10.5 / 15
K. Looney	11	92%	5.5 / 6
B. Wanamaker	7	50%	3.5 / 7
K. Oubre	4	29%	2.0 / 7
K. Bazemore	3	38%	1.5 / 4
M. Mulder	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Green	2	14%	1.0 / 7
N. Mannion	0	-	0.0 / 4
J. Toscano-Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 1
A. Smailagic	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	14	50%	7.0 / 14
G. Allen	14	88%	7.0 / 8
B. Clarke	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Valančiūnas	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Melton	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Brooks	8	33%	4.0 / 12
D. Bane	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Anderson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
X. Tillman	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Winslow	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Jones	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Konchar	3	150%	1.5 / 1
K. Tillie	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 110.9 15 112.1	GSW 110.5 +10.5 MEM 100.0
Pace	3 102.4 9 100.3	GSW 100.8 MEM 107.5 +6.7
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.7 26 14.1	GSW 14.3 MEM 13.4 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.1% 22 52.8%	GSW 56.6% +5.4% MEM 51.2%
TO %	24 14.3% 8 12.6%	GSW 11.6% −6.8% MEM 18.4%
ORB %	30 17.9% 6 24.2%	GSW 17.8% MEM 20.5% +2.7%
FTrt	20 23.9 25 23.3	GSW 19.8 MEM 25.0 +5.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 67.0% 7 62.8%	GSW 70.5% +9.0% MEM 61.5%
STL %	8 8.0% 2 9.0%	GSW 12.4% +2.7% MEM 9.7%
BLK %	17 8.7% 11 9.4%	GSW 10.3% MEM 12.0% +1.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 57.3% 22 54.7%	GSW 56.3% +1.5% MEM 54.8%
Rim FG%	7 63.7% 17 60.7%	GSW 62.5% MEM 73.3% +10.8%
Mid FG%	20 40.4% 8 44.0%	GSW 53.8% +21.7% MEM 32.1%
3P %	9 37.6% 20 35.6%	GSW 36.6% +5.8% MEM 30.8%
FT %	13 78.5% 18 77.1%	GSW 72.2% MEM 81.0% +8.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 33.0% 17 33.5%	GSW 26.4% MEM 35.7% +9.3%
Mid Att. %	9 23.1% 26 32.3%	GSW 28.6% −4.8% MEM 33.3%
3P Att. %	5 43.9% 27 34.2%	GSW 45.1% +14.1% MEM 31.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	MEM
Possessions	105	103
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	116	103
Rebounds	43	46
Assists	31	24
Steals	13	10
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	20 (1)
Fouls	16	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (3)	37 (1)
Field Goals	44-91	39-84
At-the-Rim FG	15-24	22-30
Midrange FG	14-26	9-28
2-Point FG	29-50	31-58
3-Point FG	15-41	8-26
Free Throws	13-18	17-21
Fast Break Pts	21	11
2nd Chance Pts	10	16
Points in Paint	46	60
Pts off Turnovers	30	14
Bench Points	34	50
Biggest Lead	25	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg