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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 19, 2021
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bulls30%110127
8Nuggets70%117131
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.0
38
34
32
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
9-9
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
52%
3-9
33%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.4
31
28
8
3
5
0
1
0
4
1
2
3-4
75%
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 23.8
29
31
10
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
2-5
3-5
40%
53%
2-6
33%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.7
28
25
11
10
6
1
1
0
2
3
7
0-1
0%
4-6
5-9
67%
56%
1-1
100%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 19.6
21
27
6
6
1
1
1
1
0
1
5
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
1-2
50%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 27.8
29
17
22
4
3
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
51%
4-7
57%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 21.1
28
26
17
4
2
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
47%
3-3
100%
Wendell Carter Jr.
F · 6'10" 251 · 21.9
23
19
6
6
5
0
0
0
0
2
4
1-4
25%
1-4
3-6
25%
53%
1-1
100%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 27.3
20
12
8
4
3
1
0
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.0
17
10
7
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 22.5
3
0
0-1
61%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 25.7
3
0
0-0
55%
Chandler Hutchison
F · 6'7" 197 · 24.9
2
0
0-1
48%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 28.7
2
0
0-0
58%
Adam Mokoka
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
1
0
0-0
50%
Devon Dotson
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.6
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 34.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 24.1
42
32
34
2
5
4
1
0
7
0
2
4-4
100%
6-13
4-8
46%
54%
6-7
86%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.1
42
32
34
15
9
2
1
1
1
5
10
4-6
67%
12-19
8-14
63%
60%
2-4
50%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 22.7
42
29
19
6
2
1
1
0
1
1
5
4-5
80%
6-9
4-6
67%
61%
1-5
20%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 30.2
41
34
16
6
3
0
1
0
0
2
4
3-6
50%
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
1-8
13%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 36.1
18
22
4
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-2
0%
Facundo Campazzo
G · 5'11" 195 · 30.0
34
23
2
4
8
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.4
18
22
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-2
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 30.7
17
14
10
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 20.2
11
11
8
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
60%
2-2
100%
R.J. Hampton
G · 6'4" 175 · 20.1
8
0
1-2
52%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.9
6
0
0-1
57%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
5
0
1-1
60%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 21.3
4
0
0-1
58%
Markus Howard
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.0
3
0
0-0
49%
Greg Whittington
F · 6'9" 210 · 28.1
1
0
0-0
53%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.