Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Spurs	21%	106	113	108.7	104	99.0
	1	Bucks	79%	118	120	115.4	104	109.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32	38.3	22	52%	3	13	1	2	1	0	0	3	5-6	83%	7-15	47%	1-3	33%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	33.9	17	57%	8	4	0	0	0	2	2	6	1-1	100%	5-11	45%	2-4	50%
Derrick White #4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 27	33.3	6	21%	4	6	0	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-8	0%
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	32.8	31	74%	6	1	2	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	8-12	67%	5-9	56%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	25.5	8	57%	6	1	1	1	3	4	1	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	26.2	15	63%	6	0	1	0	0	0	0	6	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 21	24.1	7	58%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24	17.4	7	117%	3	2	0	1	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	7.6	0	0%	3	2	1	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	DNP - Rest
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	DNP - Rest
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
LaMarcus Aldridge #12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 36	INACTIVE
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	55%	41	29	6	4	9	11	5	36	9-10	90%	34-63	54%	12-33	36%

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18 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32	38.3	22	52%	3	13	1	2	1	0	0	3	5-6	83%	7-15	47%	1-3	33%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	33.9	17	57%	8	4	0	0	0	2	2	6	1-1	100%	5-11	45%	2-4	50%
Derrick White #4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 27	33.3	6	21%	4	6	0	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-8	0%
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	32.8	31	74%	6	1	2	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	8-12	67%	5-9	56%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	25.5	8	57%	6	1	1	1	3	4	1	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	26.2	15	63%	6	0	1	0	0	0	0	6	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 21	24.1	7	58%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24	17.4	7	117%	3	2	0	1	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	7.6	0	0%	3	2	1	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	DNP - Rest
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	DNP - Rest
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
LaMarcus Aldridge #12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 36	INACTIVE
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	55%	41	29	6	4	9	11	5	36	9-10	90%	34-63	54%	12-33	36%

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1 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 30	36.1	23	68%	5	3	1	0	3	2	0	5	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	3-4	75%
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 31	34.4	21	62%	5	3	0	1	1	1	0	5	3-3	100%	6-12	50%	2-4	50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 26	33.6	26	65%	9	15	0	0	3	2	1	8	6-7	86%	7-13	54%	2-5	40%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 24	30.6	12	43%	13	3	3	0	1	1	2	11	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	1-7	14%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 33	27.2	11	55%	4	0	1	0	1	1	0	4	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%

Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 28	28.8	11	79%	6	0	0	0	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Bryn Forbes #7 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 28	19.3	10	83%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26	15.5	6	43%	4	0	0	1	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 36	12.7	0	0%	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 23	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sam Merrill #15 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Mamadi Diakite #25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Axel Toupane #66 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Rodions Kurucs #00 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	49	24	5	3	11	11	6	43	16-18	89%	31-54	57%	14-38	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.11 55.4%

MIL

1.18 58.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

17

23

74%

MIL

13

23

57%

Midrange

SAS

17

40

43%

MIL

18

31

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

12

18.0

33

36%

55%

MIL

14

21.0

38

37%

55%

Free Throws

SAS

9

10

90%

MIL

16

18

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Walker IV	31	74%	15.5 / 21
D. DeRozan	22	52%	11.0 / 21
K. Johnson	17	57%	8.5 / 15
R. Gay	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Poeltl	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Vassell	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Eubanks	7	117%	3.5 / 3
D. White	6	21%	3.0 / 14
T. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	26	65%	13.0 / 20
K. Middleton	23	68%	11.5 / 17
J. Holiday	21	62%	10.5 / 17
D. DiVincenzo	12	43%	6.0 / 14
B. Lopez	11	55%	5.5 / 10
P. Connaughton	11	79%	5.5 / 7
B. Forbes	10	83%	5.0 / 6
B. Portis	6	43%	3.0 / 7
P. Tucker	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 111.1 5 116.9	SAS 108.7 MIL 115.4 +6.7
Pace	16 98.9 2 102.5	SAS 99.0 MIL 109.5 +10.5
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.7 29 13.6	SAS 14.5 MIL 13.1 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 51.7% 2 56.6%	SAS 54.2% MIL 56.5% +2.3%
TO %	2 11.0% 15 13.0%	SAS 8.2% −1.7% MIL 9.9%
ORB %	27 20.1% 9 23.3%	SAS 10.4% MIL 14.3% +3.9%
FTrt	14 24.3 24 23.3	SAS 10.4 MIL 19.6 +9.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 58.4% 25 56.9%	SAS 63.0% +9.7% MIL 53.3%
STL %	22 7.0% 10 7.9%	SAS 5.8% +1.0% MIL 4.8%
BLK %	15 8.9% 20 8.6%	SAS 7.4% +2.6% MIL 4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 54.4% 3 58.2%	SAS 55.4% MIL 58.8% +3.4%
Rim FG%	19 60.1% 1 65.0%	SAS 73.9% +17.4% MIL 56.5%
Mid FG%	14 43.2% 11 43.5%	SAS 42.5% MIL 58.1% +15.6%
3P %	24 35.0% 5 38.9%	SAS 36.4% MIL 36.8% +0.4%
FT %	10 79.2% 23 76.0%	SAS 90.0% +1.1% MIL 88.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.1% 23 32.9%	SAS 24.0% MIL 25.0% +1.0%
Mid Att. %	30 35.5% 18 26.7%	SAS 41.7% MIL 33.7% −8.0%
3P Att. %	30 31.4% 12 40.4%	SAS 34.4% MIL 41.3% +6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	MIL
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	113	120
Rebounds	41	49
Assists	29	24
Steals	6	5
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	11	11
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (2)	6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	43 (0)
Field Goals	46-96	45-92
At-the-Rim FG	17-23	13-23
Midrange FG	17-40	18-31
2-Point FG	34-63	31-54
3-Point FG	12-33	14-38
Free Throws	9-10	16-18
Fast Break Pts	5	6
2nd Chance Pts	6	6
Points in Paint	48	50
Pts off Turnovers	15	11
Bench Points	29	27
Biggest Lead	14	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg