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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 20, 2021
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Spurs21%106113
4Bucks79%118120
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.6
38
35
22
3
13
1
1
2
1
0
3
5-6
83%
7-15
7-13
47%
50%
1-3
33%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 21.4
34
32
17
8
4
0
1
0
0
2
6
1-1
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
52%
2-4
50%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.7
33
30
6
4
6
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-8
0%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
33
15
31
6
1
2
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
8-12
2-3
67%
45%
5-9
56%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 25.4
26
27
8
6
1
1
1
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
60%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.6
26
18
15
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
6
3-3
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.6
24
16
7
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.1
17
15
7
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.2
8
4
0
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.5
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 24.5
34
2
6-13
48%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.6
25
1
1-3
50%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.4
6
0
0-1
51%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 21.2
4
0
0-1
51%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 25.2
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 35.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 29.6
36
34
23
5
3
1
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
6-12
6-10
50%
54%
3-4
75%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.8
34
32
21
5
3
0
2
1
1
0
5
3-3
100%
6-12
5-8
50%
55%
2-4
50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 26.3
34
36
26
8
15
0
1
0
3
0
8
6-7
86%
7-13
10-15
54%
63%
2-5
40%
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
31
30
12
13
3
3
1
0
1
2
11
1-2
50%
4-6
3-5
67%
55%
1-7
14%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 33.0
27
30
11
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
59%
1-5
20%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
29
28
11
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
60%
3-6
50%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.7
19
15
10
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
2-4
50%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 26.1
16
15
6
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
55%
0-2
0%
P.J. Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 35.9
13
11
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-1
0%
Jordan Nwora
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Sam Merrill
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.8
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.7
4
0
0-1
58%
Mamadi Diakite
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.2
2
0
0-0
55%
Axel Toupane
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.7
Rodions Kurucs
F · 6'8" 200 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.