Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Pacers	43%	107	109	106.9	102	93.5
	11	Heat	57%	110	106	102.9	103	92.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 32	41.8	15	68%	5	2	2	2	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	5-11	45%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	40.6	12	33%	6	10	1	0	2	1	3	3	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	3-11	27%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	35.1	17	53%	11	1	3	0	5	6	2	9	7-7	100%	5-11	45%	0-2	0%
Caris LeVert #22 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 27	34.7	13	36%	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	3	1-1	100%	3-12	25%	2-6	33%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	30.0	16	73%	6	1	0	5	2	3	1	5	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	3-5	60%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	31.4	12	75%	5	7	1	0	1	1	2	3	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	19.0	15	75%	7	2	0	0	1	4	2	5	0-0	-	6-7	86%	1-3	33%
Edmond Sumner #5 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 25	11.9	3	38%	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	11.3	4	25%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	9.3	2	33%	3	0	0	2	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Brian Bowen II #10 · SF · 6'7" 190 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jalen Lecque #0 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 21	Inactive - Coach's Decision
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	109	50%	50	27	8	10	14	22	13	37	18-20	90%	23-53	43%	15-45	33%

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13 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 32	41.8	15	68%	5	2	2	2	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	5-11	45%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	40.6	12	33%	6	10	1	0	2	1	3	3	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	3-11	27%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	35.1	17	53%	11	1	3	0	5	6	2	9	7-7	100%	5-11	45%	0-2	0%
Caris LeVert #22 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 27	34.7	13	36%	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	3	1-1	100%	3-12	25%	2-6	33%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	30.0	16	73%	6	1	0	5	2	3	1	5	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	3-5	60%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	31.4	12	75%	5	7	1	0	1	1	2	3	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	19.0	15	75%	7	2	0	0	1	4	2	5	0-0	-	6-7	86%	1-3	33%
Edmond Sumner #5 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 25	11.9	3	38%	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	11.3	4	25%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	9.3	2	33%	3	0	0	2	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Brian Bowen II #10 · SF · 6'7" 190 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jalen Lecque #0 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 21	Inactive - Coach's Decision
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	109	50%	50	27	8	10	14	22	13	37	18-20	90%	23-53	43%	15-45	33%

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11 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 32	41.7	21	53%	15	7	0	0	2	3	6	9	7-8	88%	7-15	47%	0-1	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	39.6	13	46%	5	5	0	1	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-11	27%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	36.3	29	63%	10	2	2	3	4	1	2	8	7-8	88%	11-20	55%	0-1	0%
Kelly Olynyk #9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 30	28.4	7	32%	6	0	0	0	2	4	1	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-7	14%
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26	23.3	9	64%	1	3	1	0	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	36.2	11	32%	5	4	0	1	1	1	1	4	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	0-7	0%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37	19.5	2	100%	2	3	2	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza #0 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 36	19.2	5	42%	4	0	1	2	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	17.5	9	113%	2	3	1	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 22	3.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
KZ Okpala #4 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Maurice Harkless #8 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Spasms
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	INACTIVE
Avery Bradley #11 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	106	48%	51	27	7	7	14	19	13	38	19-23	83%	30-60	50%	9-37	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.99 49.5%

MIA

0.95 47.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

16

39

41%

MIA

21

36

58%

Midrange

IND

7

14

50%

MIA

9

24

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

15

22.5

45

33%

50%

MIA

9

13.5

37

24%

36%

Free Throws

IND

18

20

90%

MIA

19

23

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Sabonis	17	53%	8.5 / 16
M. Turner	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Holiday	15	68%	7.5 / 11
D. McDermott	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. LeVert	13	36%	6.5 / 18
M. Brogdon	12	33%	6.0 / 18
T. McConnell	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Lamb	4	25%	2.0 / 8
E. Sumner	3	38%	1.5 / 4
G. Bitadze	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	29	63%	14.5 / 23
J. Butler	21	53%	10.5 / 20
D. Robinson	13	46%	6.5 / 14
T. Herro	11	32%	5.5 / 17
K. Nunn	9	64%	4.5 / 7
G. Vincent	9	113%	4.5 / 4
K. Olynyk	7	32%	3.5 / 11
T. Ariza	5	42%	2.5 / 6
A. Iguodala	2	100%	1.0 / 1
P. Achiuwa	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 112.3 19 111.1	IND 106.9 +4.0 MIA 102.9
Pace	4 101.6 29 96.7	IND 93.5 +0.8 MIA 92.6
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 12 14.7	IND 15.4 −0.1 MIA 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 54.2% 11 54.6%	IND 46.4% +1.6% MIA 44.8%
TO %	9 12.7% 21 13.7%	IND 12.3% −0.7% MIA 13.0%
ORB %	26 20.2% 29 19.4%	IND 25.5% MIA 26.0% +0.5%
FTrt	26 22.7 11 25.2	IND 20.4 MIA 23.7 +3.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 63.3% 2 67.1%	IND 71.1% +1.9% MIA 69.2%
STL %	5 8.3% 7 8.2%	IND 7.8% +1.0% MIA 6.8%
BLK %	3 10.7% 22 8.5%	IND 16.7% +3.5% MIA 13.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.3% 13 56.5%	IND 49.5% +1.8% MIA 47.7%
Rim FG%	20 60.0% 2 64.8%	IND 41.0% MIA 58.3% +17.3%
Mid FG%	12 43.2% 16 41.8%	IND 50.0% +12.5% MIA 37.5%
3P %	17 36.4% 19 35.8%	IND 33.3% +9.0% MIA 24.3%
FT %	9 79.2% 12 79.0%	IND 90.0% +7.4% MIA 82.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.4% 20 33.3%	IND 39.8% +2.7% MIA 37.1%
Mid Att. %	7 22.4% 11 23.5%	IND 14.3% −10.5% MIA 24.7%
3P Att. %	21 37.2% 7 43.2%	IND 45.9% +7.8% MIA 38.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	MIA
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	26.2	26.7
Points	109	106
Rebounds	50	51
Assists	27	27
Steals	8	7
Blocks	10	7
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	14 (2)
Fouls	22	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (9)	13 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (2)	38 (1)
Field Goals	38-98	39-97
At-the-Rim FG	16-39	21-36
Midrange FG	7-14	9-24
2-Point FG	23-53	30-60
3-Point FG	15-45	9-37
Free Throws	18-20	19-23
Fast Break Pts	15	9
2nd Chance Pts	19	10
Points in Paint	38	54
Pts off Turnovers	19	12
Bench Points	36	27
Biggest Lead	11	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg