Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Pacers	30%	107	113	105.6	107	107.9
	5	Bucks	70%	115	140	132.1	106	105.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	32.9	22	58%	9	6	2	0	1	3	0	9	4-5	80%	9-14	64%	0-3	0%
Caris LeVert #22 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27	31.4	19	53%	5	5	2	0	0	2	2	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	3-10	30%
Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	29.8	20	71%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	7-8	88%	2-6	33%
Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 32	23.7	3	15%	3	1	0	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-10	10%
Edmond Sumner #5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 25	15.3	3	30%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	31.6	13	72%	2	7	1	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	27.4	21	70%	6	5	1	1	1	3	1	5	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	18.8	10	50%	5	0	0	1	0	3	3	2	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	16.6	0	0%	2	0	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-4	0%
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	4.5	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26	4.5	0	0%	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Lecque #0 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 21	3.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-0	-
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Brian Bowen II #10 · SF · 6'7" 190 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| back; Sore lower
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress Fracture
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	48%	40	27	8	3	6	16	11	29	11-12	92%	33-61	54%	12-50	24%

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17 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	32.9	22	58%	9	6	2	0	1	3	0	9	4-5	80%	9-14	64%	0-3	0%
Caris LeVert #22 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27	31.4	19	53%	5	5	2	0	0	2	2	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	3-10	30%
Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	29.8	20	71%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	7-8	88%	2-6	33%
Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 32	23.7	3	15%	3	1	0	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-10	10%
Edmond Sumner #5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 25	15.3	3	30%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	31.6	13	72%	2	7	1	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	27.4	21	70%	6	5	1	1	1	3	1	5	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	18.8	10	50%	5	0	0	1	0	3	3	2	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	16.6	0	0%	2	0	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-4	0%
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	4.5	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26	4.5	0	0%	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Lecque #0 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 21	3.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-0	-
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Brian Bowen II #10 · SF · 6'7" 190 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| back; Sore lower
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress Fracture
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	48%	40	27	8	3	6	16	11	29	11-12	92%	33-61	54%	12-50	24%

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5 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pat Connaughton #24 · PF · 6'5" 209 · 28	33.0	20	111%	9	2	0	0	1	0	1	8	0-0	-	1-2	50%	6-7	86%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 30	31.4	25	57%	8	6	0	0	2	0	1	7	1-2	50%	6-15	40%	4-6	67%
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 31	29.7	28	88%	5	14	2	1	2	1	2	3	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	5-6	83%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 24	28.2	8	67%	13	4	0	0	4	1	2	11	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 33	19.2	18	56%	2	1	0	0	1	4	0	2	6-7	86%	6-11	55%	0-2	0%

Bryn Forbes #7 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 28	29.9	12	67%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-8	50%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26	25.5	18	64%	10	4	0	0	2	1	1	9	0-0	-	6-10	60%	2-4	50%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 29	14.1	3	50%	3	2	1	0	0	2	1	2	1-3	33%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 36	12.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sam Merrill #15 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	5.4	5	125%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 23	4.5	3	75%	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Mamadi Diakite #25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24	3.9	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Axel Toupane #66 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	3.4	0	0%	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Rodions Kurucs #00 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	140	69%	55	35	3	5	15	16	8	47	10-15	67%	29-55	53%	24-39	62%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.95 47.5%

MIL

1.37 68.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

18

27

67%

MIL

17

29

59%

Midrange

IND

15

34

44%

MIL

12

26

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

12

18.0

50

24%

36%

MIL

24

36.0

39

62%

92%

Free Throws

IND

11

12

92%

MIL

10

15

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Sabonis	22	58%	11.0 / 19
J. Lamb	21	70%	10.5 / 15
D. McDermott	20	71%	10.0 / 14
C. LeVert	19	53%	9.5 / 18
T. McConnell	13	72%	6.5 / 9
G. Bitadze	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Holiday	3	15%	1.5 / 10
E. Sumner	3	30%	1.5 / 5
C. Stanley	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 7
J. Lecque	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Holiday	28	88%	14.0 / 16
K. Middleton	25	57%	12.5 / 22
P. Connaughton	20	111%	10.0 / 9
B. Lopez	18	56%	9.0 / 16
B. Portis	18	64%	9.0 / 14
B. Forbes	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. DiVincenzo	8	67%	4.0 / 6
S. Merrill	5	125%	2.5 / 2
T. Antetokounmpo	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Nwora	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Toupane	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 112.3 5 116.9	IND 105.6 MIL 132.1 +26.5
Pace	4 101.6 2 102.5	IND 107.9 +2.1 MIL 105.8
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 29 13.6	IND 13.3 −0.3 MIL 13.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 54.2% 2 56.6%	IND 45.9% MIL 69.1% +23.2%
TO %	9 12.7% 15 13.0%	IND 4.9% −8.8% MIL 13.7%
ORB %	26 20.2% 9 23.3%	IND 19.0% MIL 21.6% +2.6%
FTrt	26 22.7 24 23.3	IND 10.8 MIL 16.0 +5.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 63.3% 25 56.9%	IND 60.0% MIL 66.0% +6.0%
STL %	5 8.3% 10 7.9%	IND 7.5% +4.7% MIL 2.8%
BLK %	3 10.7% 20 8.6%	IND 5.5% MIL 8.2% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.3% 3 58.2%	IND 47.5% MIL 68.6% +21.1%
Rim FG%	20 60.0% 1 65.0%	IND 66.7% +8.1% MIL 58.6%
Mid FG%	12 43.2% 11 43.5%	IND 44.1% MIL 46.2% +2.1%
3P %	17 36.4% 5 38.9%	IND 24.0% MIL 61.5% +37.5%
FT %	9 79.2% 23 76.0%	IND 91.7% +25.0% MIL 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.4% 23 32.9%	IND 24.3% MIL 30.9% +6.5%
Mid Att. %	7 22.4% 18 26.7%	IND 30.6% MIL 27.7% −3.0%
3P Att. %	21 37.2% 12 40.4%	IND 45.0% +3.6% MIL 41.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	MIL
Possessions	107	106
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.0
Points	113	140
Rebounds	40	55
Assists	27	35
Steals	8	3
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls	16	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (7)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (3)	47 (1)
Field Goals	45-111	53-94
At-the-Rim FG	18-27	17-29
Midrange FG	15-34	12-26
2-Point FG	33-61	29-55
3-Point FG	12-50	24-39
Free Throws	11-12	10-15
Fast Break Pts	11	12
2nd Chance Pts	19	20
Points in Paint	58	50
Pts off Turnovers	19	8
Bench Points	46	41
Biggest Lead	3	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg