Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 24, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Nuggets	48%	112	111	114.4	97	97.0
	11	Raptors	52%	113	135	137.8	98	98.0

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+21

-11

107

TOR

+13

-9

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.04 51.9%

TOR

1.32 66.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	34.6	20	59%	2	7	1	0	1	2	1	1	1-1	100%	5-12	42%	3-5	60%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	29.6	20	63%	10	5	1	0	4	1	4	6	4-4	100%	8-12	67%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	29.0	19	73%	8	0	0	0	1	2	4	4	0-0	-	2-7	29%	5-6	83%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	23.2	0	0%	3	0	1	1	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-3	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	22.2	11	55%	6	6	1	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-4	25%

PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	20.1	6	43%	2	1	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	19.0	7	39%	7	0	0	0	1	0	1	6	5-6	83%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	17.7	6	50%	1	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	13.3	4	67%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	9.3	6	38%	2	0	0	0	1	6	2	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-5	0%
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 21	8.6	7	70%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	3-5	60%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24	6.7	3	150%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Markus Howard #00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 22	6.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Whittington #3 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; soreness
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; strain
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadriceps; strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	52%	46	25	5	2	11	19	17	29	15-18	83%	27-55	49%	14-43	33%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	34.6	20	59%	2	7	1	0	1	2	1	1	1-1	100%	5-12	42%	3-5	60%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	29.6	20	63%	10	5	1	0	4	1	4	6	4-4	100%	8-12	67%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	29.0	19	73%	8	0	0	0	1	2	4	4	0-0	-	2-7	29%	5-6	83%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	23.2	0	0%	3	0	1	1	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-3	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	22.2	11	55%	6	6	1	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-4	25%

PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	20.1	6	43%	2	1	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	19.0	7	39%	7	0	0	0	1	0	1	6	5-6	83%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	17.7	6	50%	1	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	13.3	4	67%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	9.3	6	38%	2	0	0	0	1	6	2	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-5	0%
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 21	8.6	7	70%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	3-5	60%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24	6.7	3	150%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Markus Howard #00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 22	6.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Whittington #3 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; soreness
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; strain
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadriceps; strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	52%	46	25	5	2	11	19	17	29	15-18	83%	27-55	49%	14-43	33%

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11 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	34.6	27	68%	8	6	1	1	1	4	1	7	8-9	89%	5-9	56%	3-7	43%
Kyle Lowry #7 · SG · 6'0" 196 · 35	33.4	8	80%	5	9	0	1	3	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Fred VanVleet #23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 27	30.4	19	68%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	4-4	100%	0-3	0%	5-9	56%
OG Anunoby #3 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	28.2	23	68%	6	3	1	1	1	2	2	4	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	5-9	56%
Norman Powell #24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 28	24.9	22	85%	2	3	1	1	1	0	1	1	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	3-4	75%

Paul Watson #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	20.9	12	86%	6	2	0	0	0	3	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-7	57%
DeAndre' Bembry #95 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	20.9	9	90%	7	4	0	0	0	1	1	6	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 28	16.6	7	58%	6	0	0	1	0	2	3	3	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Malachi Flynn #8 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 23	5.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	5.7	0	0%	3	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Terence Davis #0 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24	5.6	2	50%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Stanley Johnson #5 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 25	4.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Matt Thomas #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	4.9	6	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Aron Baynes #46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 34	3.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Harris #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Patrick McCaw #22 · SG · 6'7" 185 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Swelling
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	66%	45	31	3	6	9	21	9	36	21-23	91%	21-41	51%	24-48	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.04 51.9%

TOR

1.32 66.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

56%

TOR

62%

Midrange

DEN

38%

TOR

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

21.0

33%

49%

TOR

36.0

50%

75%

Free Throws

DEN

83%

TOR

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	20	59%	10.0 / 17
N. Jokić	20	63%	10.0 / 16
M. Porter	19	73%	9.5 / 13
P. Millsap	11	55%	5.5 / 10
Z. Nnaji	7	39%	3.5 / 9
B. Bol	7	70%	3.5 / 5
P. Dozier	6	43%	3.0 / 7
F. Campazzo	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Green	6	38%	3.0 / 8
R. Hampton	4	67%	2.0 / 3
V. Cancar	3	150%	1.5 / 1
M. Howard	2	50%	1.0 / 2
W. Barton	0	-	0.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	27	68%	13.5 / 20
O. Anunoby	23	68%	11.5 / 17
N. Powell	22	85%	11.0 / 13
F. VanVleet	19	68%	9.5 / 14
P. Watson	12	86%	6.0 / 7
D. Bembry	9	90%	4.5 / 5
K. Lowry	8	80%	4.0 / 5
C. Boucher	7	58%	3.5 / 6
M. Thomas	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Davis	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Flynn	0	-	0.0 / 4
S. Johnson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 116.8 16 112.0	DEN 114.4 TOR 137.8 +23.3
Pace	28 97.4 14 99.2	DEN 97.0 TOR 98.0 +1.0
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.1 20 14.3	DEN 14.8 TOR 14.7 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.7% 21 53.0%	DEN 49.0% TOR 64.0% +15.0%
TO %	13 13.0% 6 12.5%	DEN 10.2% TOR 9.2% −1.0%
ORB %	2 24.8% 24 20.8%	DEN 32.1% +8.4% TOR 23.7%
FTrt	28 21.9 18 24.1	DEN 18.4 TOR 25.8 +7.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 62.1% 14 60.7%	DEN 61.0% TOR 68.9% +7.9%
STL %	6 8.2% 3 8.7%	DEN 5.2% +2.1% TOR 3.1%
BLK %	14 9.0% 2 11.3%	DEN 4.9% TOR 10.9% +6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 57.5% 20 55.5%	DEN 51.9% TOR 66.2% +14.3%
Rim FG%	6 63.9% 24 59.0%	DEN 55.9% TOR 62.1% +6.2%
Mid FG%	5 44.9% 27 38.2%	DEN 38.1% +13.1% TOR 25.0%
3P %	8 37.7% 15 36.8%	DEN 32.6% TOR 50.0% +17.4%
FT %	7 80.3% 4 81.5%	DEN 83.3% TOR 91.3% +8.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 33.5% 13 34.8%	DEN 34.7% +2.1% TOR 32.6%
Mid Att. %	22 28.2% 3 20.8%	DEN 21.4% TOR 13.5% −7.9%
3P Att. %	18 38.3% 4 44.4%	DEN 43.9% TOR 53.9% +10.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	TOR
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	111	135
Rebounds	46	45
Assists	25	31
Steals	5	3
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	9 (1)
Fouls	19	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (4)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (3)	36 (2)
Field Goals	41-98	45-89
At-the-Rim FG	19-34	18-29
Midrange FG	8-21	3-12
2-Point FG	27-55	21-41
3-Point FG	14-43	24-48
Free Throws	15-18	21-23
Fast Break Pts	2	16
2nd Chance Pts	27	14
Points in Paint	48	38
Pts off Turnovers	15	20
Bench Points	41	36
Biggest Lead	2	35

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg