Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Suns	68%	112	111	112.1	99	102.0
	25	Magic	32%	105	112	114.3	98	95.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deandre Ayton #22 · C · 7'0" 252 · 23	33.8	21	75%	9	0	1	0	1	3	4	5	5-5	100%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Devin Booker #1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 24	32.5	25	52%	7	7	3	0	2	3	1	6	6-6	100%	8-16	50%	1-5	20%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 36	32.4	23	64%	6	7	1	0	1	4	0	6	6-6	100%	7-12	58%	1-3	33%
Mikal Bridges #25 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 25	30.9	5	28%	2	2	0	1	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 31	29.2	17	94%	3	1	2	0	0	1	0	3	3-5	60%	1-1	100%	4-6	67%

Torrey Craig #12 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	19.3	10	71%	8	2	1	1	1	2	4	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-2	100%
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	18.6	3	38%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 27	17.9	0	0%	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 27	14.2	4	33%	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Langston Galloway #2 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 29	11.2	3	30%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Frank Kaminsky #8 · C · 7'0" 242 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jevon Carter #4 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jalen Smith #10 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
E'Twaun Moore #55 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Ty-Shon Alexander #0 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Abdel Nader #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	54%	47	22	9	3	8	15	10	37	20-22	91%	29-57	51%	11-33	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deandre Ayton #22 · C · 7'0" 252 · 23	33.8	21	75%	9	0	1	0	1	3	4	5	5-5	100%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Devin Booker #1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 24	32.5	25	52%	7	7	3	0	2	3	1	6	6-6	100%	8-16	50%	1-5	20%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 36	32.4	23	64%	6	7	1	0	1	4	0	6	6-6	100%	7-12	58%	1-3	33%
Mikal Bridges #25 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 25	30.9	5	28%	2	2	0	1	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 31	29.2	17	94%	3	1	2	0	0	1	0	3	3-5	60%	1-1	100%	4-6	67%

Torrey Craig #12 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	19.3	10	71%	8	2	1	1	1	2	4	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-2	100%
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	18.6	3	38%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 27	17.9	0	0%	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 27	14.2	4	33%	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Langston Galloway #2 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 29	11.2	3	30%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Frank Kaminsky #8 · C · 7'0" 242 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jevon Carter #4 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jalen Smith #10 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
E'Twaun Moore #55 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Ty-Shon Alexander #0 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Abdel Nader #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	54%	47	22	9	3	8	15	10	37	20-22	91%	29-57	51%	11-33	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

25 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #00 · SF · 6'8" 235 · 26	33.9	13	41%	7	3	0	2	2	2	1	6	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	0-5	0%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 30	33.9	27	68%	14	4	1	1	1	2	3	11	2-3	67%	8-14	57%	3-5	60%
Evan Fournier #10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 28	32.8	21	66%	0	2	0	1	2	4	0	0	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	4-9	44%
Al-Farouq Aminu #2 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 31	27.6	6	38%	10	1	0	1	3	0	1	9	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Michael Carter-Williams #7 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 29	23.2	8	40%	3	3	2	0	1	5	1	2	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%

James Ennis III #11 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 31	27.5	5	36%	7	2	0	0	1	2	2	5	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Dwayne Bacon #8 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 26	23.7	11	61%	3	2	0	0	1	2	0	3	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	20.4	17	121%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	4-4	100%
Khem Birch #24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 28	14.1	2	50%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Chasson Randle #25 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28	2.9	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Mo Bamba #5 · C · 7'0" 231 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Gary Clark #12 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Karim Mane #4 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Non-displaced fracture
Markelle Fultz #20 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Terrence Ross #31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sore
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	49	18	3	5	11	18	9	40	15-19	79%	29-53	55%	13-37	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX

1.08 53.9%

ORL

1.13 56.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHX

12

20

60%

ORL

12

22

55%

Midrange

PHX

17

37

46%

ORL

17

31

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHX

11

16.5

33

33%

50%

ORL

13

19.5

37

35%

53%

Free Throws

PHX

20

22

91%

ORL

15

19

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Booker	25	52%	12.5 / 24
C. Paul	23	64%	11.5 / 18
D. Ayton	21	75%	10.5 / 14
J. Crowder	17	94%	8.5 / 9
T. Craig	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Bridges	5	28%	2.5 / 9
D. Šarić	4	33%	2.0 / 6
C. Johnson	3	38%	1.5 / 4
L. Galloway	3	30%	1.5 / 5
C. Payne	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Vučević	27	68%	13.5 / 20
E. Fournier	21	66%	10.5 / 16
C. Okeke	17	121%	8.5 / 7
A. Gordon	13	41%	6.5 / 16
D. Bacon	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Carter-Williams	8	40%	4.0 / 10
A. Aminu	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Ennis III	5	36%	2.5 / 7
K. Birch	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Randle	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 116.9 29 105.1	PHX 112.1 ORL 114.3 +2.2
Pace	24 97.5 18 98.7	PHX 102.0 +6.8 ORL 95.2
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 9 14.8	PHX 14.1 −1.0 ORL 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.5% 30 49.0%	PHX 50.6% ORL 53.9% +3.3%
TO %	4 12.1% 5 12.4%	PHX 8.3% −1.8% ORL 10.1%
ORB %	25 20.8% 18 21.7%	PHX 20.0% +0.4% ORL 19.6%
FTrt	29 21.2 19 24.0	PHX 24.4 +3.3 ORL 21.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 62.2% 24 57.0%	PHX 55.0% +12.1% ORL 42.9%
STL %	18 7.3% 25 6.9%	PHX 9.1% +6.0% ORL 3.1%
BLK %	27 8.0% 23 8.4%	PHX 5.7% ORL 8.8% +3.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.4% 30 51.6%	PHX 53.9% ORL 56.6% +2.7%
Rim FG%	3 64.8% 30 56.3%	PHX 60.0% +5.5% ORL 54.5%
Mid FG%	1 49.3% 24 40.0%	PHX 45.9% ORL 54.8% +8.9%
3P %	7 37.8% 27 34.3%	PHX 33.3% ORL 35.1% +1.8%
FT %	2 83.4% 17 77.5%	PHX 90.9% +12.0% ORL 78.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 27.6% 26 30.2%	PHX 22.2% ORL 24.4% +2.2%
Mid Att. %	28 33.2% 29 34.2%	PHX 41.1% ORL 34.4% −6.7%
3P Att. %	15 39.2% 23 35.6%	PHX 36.7% ORL 41.1% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.

Game Totals	PHX	ORL
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	111	112
Rebounds	47	49
Assists	22	18
Steals	9	3
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	15	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	40 (0)
Field Goals	40-90	42-90
At-the-Rim FG	12-20	12-22
Midrange FG	17-37	17-31
2-Point FG	29-57	29-53
3-Point FG	11-33	13-37
Free Throws	20-22	15-19
Fast Break Pts	14	9
2nd Chance Pts	8	15
Points in Paint	34	40
Pts off Turnovers	12	6
Bench Points	20	37
Biggest Lead	13	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg