Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Blazers	44%	112	125	131.6	95	88.8
	10	Heat	56%	114	122	125.8	97	104.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31	38.9	22	50%	3	9	0	1	2	3	0	3	8-8	100%	4-11	36%	2-8	25%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 30	37.7	35	70%	1	8	0	1	4	0	0	1	1-2	50%	8-11	73%	6-14	43%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	34.3	10	83%	6	0	1	0	0	2	0	6	1-2	50%	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	33.0	18	82%	16	1	1	1	2	2	9	7	2-2	100%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	23.2	6	38%	3	1	0	2	0	3	1	2	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%

Carmelo Anthony #00 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 37	32.8	20	63%	6	2	1	0	1	2	0	6	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	4-7	57%
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	20.1	5	63%	3	1	0	2	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	20.1	9	75%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Harry Giles III #4 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 27	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 28	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	63%	40	24	3	7	10	14	10	30	17-19	89%	24-46	52%	20-46	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31	38.9	22	50%	3	9	0	1	2	3	0	3	8-8	100%	4-11	36%	2-8	25%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 30	37.7	35	70%	1	8	0	1	4	0	0	1	1-2	50%	8-11	73%	6-14	43%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	34.3	10	83%	6	0	1	0	0	2	0	6	1-2	50%	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	33.0	18	82%	16	1	1	1	2	2	9	7	2-2	100%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	23.2	6	38%	3	1	0	2	0	3	1	2	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%

Carmelo Anthony #00 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 37	32.8	20	63%	6	2	1	0	1	2	0	6	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	4-7	57%
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	20.1	5	63%	3	1	0	2	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	20.1	9	75%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Harry Giles III #4 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 27	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 28	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	63%	40	24	3	7	10	14	10	30	17-19	89%	24-46	52%	20-46	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

10 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26	33.9	22	79%	5	5	1	0	0	2	0	5	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	3-5	60%
Trevor Ariza #0 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36	33.2	9	56%	5	1	0	1	1	2	1	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	31.9	29	85%	9	7	0	5	2	1	2	7	3-3	100%	13-16	81%	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #2 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	26.8	8	40%	2	9	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 27	26.5	12	100%	5	2	0	0	0	6	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-6	67%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	35.3	29	69%	4	8	1	0	2	1	1	3	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	5-9	56%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	21.5	8	50%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-4	0%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37	16.9	3	150%	5	1	1	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 22	13.9	2	25%	1	0	0	1	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Spasms
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 32	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Stomach; Illness
Maurice Harkless #8 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 28	NWT - Trade Pending
Kelly Olynyk #9 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	NWT - Trade Pending
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	NWT - Trade Pending
Avery Bradley #11 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30	NWT - Trade Pending
KZ Okpala #4 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	66%	39	34	3	7	11	18	5	34	12-13	92%	31-50	62%	16-34	47%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.25 62.5%

MIA

1.33 66.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

14

18

78%

MIA

15

21

71%

Midrange

POR

10

28

36%

MIA

16

29

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

20

30.0

46

43%

65%

MIA

16

24.0

34

47%

71%

Free Throws

POR

17

19

89%

MIA

12

13

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	35	70%	17.5 / 25
D. Lillard	22	50%	11.0 / 22
C. Anthony	20	63%	10.0 / 16
E. Kanter	18	82%	9.0 / 11
R. Covington	10	83%	5.0 / 6
A. Simons	9	75%	4.5 / 6
D. Jones	6	38%	3.0 / 8
N. Little	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	29	85%	14.5 / 17
T. Herro	29	69%	14.5 / 21
K. Nunn	22	79%	11.0 / 14
D. Robinson	12	100%	6.0 / 6
T. Ariza	9	56%	4.5 / 8
G. Vincent	8	40%	4.0 / 10
M. Strus	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Iguodala	3	150%	1.5 / 1
P. Achiuwa	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 117.6 19 111.1	POR 131.6 +5.8 MIA 125.8
Pace	19 98.6 29 96.7	POR 88.8 MIA 104.2 +15.4
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.9 12 14.7	POR 16.2 MIA 13.8 −2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.0% 11 54.6%	POR 58.7% MIA 65.5% +6.8%
TO %	1 10.9% 21 13.7%	POR 9.9% −1.0% MIA 10.9%
ORB %	11 23.1% 29 19.4%	POR 22.7% +8.4% MIA 14.3%
FTrt	22 23.8 11 25.2	POR 20.7 +5.2 MIA 15.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 51.5% 2 67.1%	POR 54.5% MIA 72.3% +17.8%
STL %	24 7.0% 7 8.2%	POR 3.2% +0.1% MIA 3.1%
BLK %	10 9.4% 22 8.5%	POR 14.0% MIA 15.2% +1.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 56.6% 13 56.5%	POR 62.5% MIA 66.3% +3.8%
Rim FG%	26 58.1% 2 64.8%	POR 77.8% +6.4% MIA 71.4%
Mid FG%	18 41.0% 16 41.8%	POR 35.7% MIA 55.2% +19.5%
3P %	6 38.5% 19 35.8%	POR 43.5% MIA 47.1% +3.6%
FT %	3 82.3% 12 79.0%	POR 89.5% MIA 92.3% +2.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.8% 20 33.3%	POR 19.6% MIA 25.0% +5.4%
Mid Att. %	10 23.4% 11 23.5%	POR 30.4% −4.1% MIA 34.5%
3P Att. %	3 44.8% 7 43.2%	POR 50.0% +9.5% MIA 40.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	MIA
Possessions	95	97
Possession Minutes	25.7	22.3
Points	125	122
Rebounds	40	39
Assists	24	34
Steals	3	3
Blocks	7	7
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	14	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	34 (1)
Field Goals	44-92	47-84
At-the-Rim FG	14-18	15-21
Midrange FG	10-28	16-29
2-Point FG	24-46	31-50
3-Point FG	20-46	16-34
Free Throws	17-19	12-13
Fast Break Pts	5	5
2nd Chance Pts	24	10
Points in Paint	36	52
Pts off Turnovers	8	8
Bench Points	34	42
Biggest Lead	8	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg