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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 29, 2021
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat
98
23Knicks
88
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 23.7
37
32
20
17
4
1
1
2
1
7
10
2-3
67%
9-17
7-12
53%
57%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 31.5
34
26
27
5
6
0
1
1
1
1
4
7-8
88%
10-12
5-10
83%
51%
0-3
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
32
29
14
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
63%
4-9
44%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 34.9
24
9
4
5
2
0
0
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 35.7
24
26
2
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
50%
0-3
0%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 21.2
34
31
18
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
4-9
44%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 37.2
25
17
6
4
3
2
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
57%
1-6
17%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.8
14
18
5
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Precious Achiuwa
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.5
11
10
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
0-0
-
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.9
5
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.7
24
1
3-5
52%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.9
22
1
3-6
46%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.0
11
0
1-1
60%
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.9
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 40.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
36
36
22
8
3
0
1
0
5
1
7
5-8
63%
4-8
7-13
50%
53%
3-9
33%
RJ Barrett
F-G · 6'7" 202 · 20.7
32
37
8
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
4-8
6-13
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 27.0
30
22
8
11
0
2
1
4
4
2
9
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
62%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 30.0
22
33
3
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
0-4
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 27.1
19
18
5
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-2
3-7
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 29.7
27
33
6
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
4-8
-
46%
2-4
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.5
26
29
16
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-8
5-10
38%
50%
3-5
60%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.8
18
24
5
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
58%
0-0
-
Immanuel Quickley
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.8
17
23
12
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
46%
2-6
33%
Obi Toppin
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.1
12
8
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
0-2
0%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.7
10
0
1-1
41%
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 21.6
7
0
0-1
42%
Jared Harper
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.5
1
0
0-0
45%
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 25.4
0
0
0-0
40%
Mitchell Robinson
C · 7'1" 225 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.