Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 29, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Kings	40%	112	132	133.3	99	101.1
	15	Spurs	60%	116	115	117.3	98	96.0

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

-6

SAS

+13

-11

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.33 66.7%

SAS

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 23	33.8	24	60%	3	5	2	2	0	2	0	3	4-5	80%	7-12	58%	2-6	33%
Buddy Hield #24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 28	33.7	20	77%	4	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	5-9	56%
Richaun Holmes #22 · C · 6'9" 235 · 27	33.4	23	72%	12	3	1	3	0	3	3	9	7-10	70%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	32.6	14	78%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	31.7	15	50%	4	10	2	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-6	17%

Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 29	22.9	2	33%	4	5	1	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Terence Davis #9 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24	18.3	14	88%	3	2	2	0	2	0	0	3	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Maurice Harkless #8 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 28	14.2	13	81%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
Chimezie Metu #25 · C · 6'10" 219 · 24	13.4	5	125%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
DaQuan Jeffries #19 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 24	1.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin James #10 · SF · 6'7" 190 · 24	1.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kyle Guy #7 · SG · 6'1" 167 · 24	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	1.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Robert Woodard II #13 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 22	1.2	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left 4th Metacarpal; Fracture
Jahmi'us Ramsey #3 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Hassan Whiteside #20 · C · 7'0" 265 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	67%	37	29	9	6	6	15	4	33	20-25	80%	29-48	60%	18-36	50%

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18 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 23	33.8	24	60%	3	5	2	2	0	2	0	3	4-5	80%	7-12	58%	2-6	33%
Buddy Hield #24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 28	33.7	20	77%	4	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	5-9	56%
Richaun Holmes #22 · C · 6'9" 235 · 27	33.4	23	72%	12	3	1	3	0	3	3	9	7-10	70%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	32.6	14	78%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	31.7	15	50%	4	10	2	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-6	17%

Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 29	22.9	2	33%	4	5	1	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Terence Davis #9 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24	18.3	14	88%	3	2	2	0	2	0	0	3	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Maurice Harkless #8 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 28	14.2	13	81%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
Chimezie Metu #25 · C · 6'10" 219 · 24	13.4	5	125%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
DaQuan Jeffries #19 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 24	1.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin James #10 · SF · 6'7" 190 · 24	1.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kyle Guy #7 · SG · 6'1" 167 · 24	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	1.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Robert Woodard II #13 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 22	1.2	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left 4th Metacarpal; Fracture
Jahmi'us Ramsey #3 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Hassan Whiteside #20 · C · 7'0" 265 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	67%	37	29	9	6	6	15	4	33	20-25	80%	29-48	60%	18-36	50%

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15 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	33.3	23	64%	8	7	0	0	1	2	1	7	0-0	-	10-15	67%	1-3	33%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32	32.4	17	50%	3	8	0	0	2	2	0	3	5-5	100%	6-14	43%	0-1	0%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	31.9	17	71%	11	2	0	3	2	2	7	4	1-2	50%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	31.9	19	79%	3	1	1	0	2	5	1	2	2-3	67%	4-4	100%	3-7	43%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	25.5	7	35%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	3-4	75%	2-8	25%	0-0	-

Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	25.9	9	50%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-8	38%
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	19.7	10	56%	4	2	2	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 21	15.3	3	38%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24	14.8	8	100%	5	1	1	1	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	2.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	2.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Cameron Reynolds #23 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 26	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Gorgui Dieng #7 · C · 6'11" 251 · 31	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Soreness
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	57%	41	24	5	4	11	18	12	29	11-14	79%	37-66	56%	10-27	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.33 66.7%

SAS

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

63%

SAS

65%

Midrange

SAC

58%

SAS

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

27.0

50%

75%

SAS

15.0

37%

56%

Free Throws

SAC

80%

SAS

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	24	60%	12.0 / 20
R. Holmes	23	72%	11.5 / 16
B. Hield	20	77%	10.0 / 13
T. Haliburton	15	50%	7.5 / 15
H. Barnes	14	78%	7.0 / 9
T. Davis	14	88%	7.0 / 8
M. Harkless	13	81%	6.5 / 8
C. Metu	5	125%	2.5 / 2
D. Wright	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Silva	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Murray	23	64%	11.5 / 18
D. White	19	79%	9.5 / 12
D. DeRozan	17	50%	8.5 / 17
J. Poeltl	17	71%	8.5 / 12
R. Gay	10	56%	5.0 / 9
P. Mills	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Eubanks	8	100%	4.0 / 4
K. Johnson	7	35%	3.5 / 10
D. Vassell	3	38%	1.5 / 4
L. Samanic	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1
Q. Weatherspoon	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 113.2 18 111.1	SAC 133.3 +16.0 SAS 117.3
Pace	8 100.4 16 98.9	SAC 101.1 +5.1 SAS 96.0
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.1 16 14.7	SAC 14.2 −0.8 SAS 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 54.9% 27 51.7%	SAC 66.7% +10.8% SAS 55.9%
TO %	11 12.8% 2 11.0%	SAC 6.9% −3.1% SAS 10.0%
ORB %	20 21.3% 27 20.1%	SAC 12.1% SAS 26.7% +14.6%
FTrt	12 24.8 14 24.3	SAC 29.8 +14.7 SAS 15.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 59.9% 20 58.4%	SAC 61.7% +10.6% SAS 51.1%
STL %	14 7.5% 22 7.0%	SAC 9.1% +4.0% SAS 5.1%
BLK %	16 8.8% 15 8.9%	SAC 9.1% +0.8% SAS 8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 56.6% 24 54.4%	SAC 66.7% +9.2% SAS 57.5%
Rim FG%	9 63.4% 19 60.1%	SAC 62.5% SAS 64.7% +2.2%
Mid FG%	6 44.7% 14 43.2%	SAC 58.3% +11.4% SAS 46.9%
3P %	16 36.4% 24 35.0%	SAC 50.0% +13.0% SAS 37.0%
FT %	25 74.5% 10 79.2%	SAC 80.0% +1.4% SAS 78.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 34.7% 21 33.1%	SAC 28.6% SAS 36.6% +8.0%
Mid Att. %	20 27.7% 30 35.5%	SAC 28.6% −5.8% SAS 34.4%
3P Att. %	20 37.6% 30 31.4%	SAC 42.9% +13.8% SAS 29.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	SAS
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	132	115
Rebounds	37	41
Assists	29	24
Steals	9	5
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	6 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	15	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (2)	12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	29 (3)
Field Goals	47-84	47-93
At-the-Rim FG	15-24	22-34
Midrange FG	14-24	15-32
2-Point FG	29-48	37-66
3-Point FG	18-36	10-27
Free Throws	20-25	11-14
Fast Break Pts	21	11
2nd Chance Pts	6	22
Points in Paint	52	56
Pts off Turnovers	23	6
Bench Points	36	32
Biggest Lead	19	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg