Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Heat	46%	107	92	97.9	94	92.0
	12	Pacers	54%	108	87	92.6	94	97.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	37.3	18	53%	4	4	2	1	2	1	1	3	6-7	86%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	34.9	16	50%	8	7	1	2	2	2	3	5	8-12	67%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	33.4	20	83%	8	4	0	0	3	3	0	8	0-0	-	1-1	100%	6-11	55%
Trevor Ariza #8 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 36	25.6	2	13%	3	1	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	23.6	12	60%	3	2	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-5	40%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	32.2	17	57%	4	2	0	1	0	0	0	4	3-5	60%	4-7	57%	2-6	33%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37	22.9	2	25%	7	2	1	0	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	16.9	3	21%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 22	7.6	2	50%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Nemanja Bjelica #70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	5.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
KZ Okpala #11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	INACTIVE
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	49%	42	22	5	4	11	14	8	34	18-28	64%	22-46	48%	10-32	31%

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10 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	37.3	18	53%	4	4	2	1	2	1	1	3	6-7	86%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	34.9	16	50%	8	7	1	2	2	2	3	5	8-12	67%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	33.4	20	83%	8	4	0	0	3	3	0	8	0-0	-	1-1	100%	6-11	55%
Trevor Ariza #8 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 36	25.6	2	13%	3	1	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	23.6	12	60%	3	2	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-5	40%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	32.2	17	57%	4	2	0	1	0	0	0	4	3-5	60%	4-7	57%	2-6	33%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37	22.9	2	25%	7	2	1	0	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	16.9	3	21%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 22	7.6	2	50%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Nemanja Bjelica #70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	5.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
KZ Okpala #11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	INACTIVE
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	49%	42	22	5	4	11	14	8	34	18-28	64%	22-46	48%	10-32	31%

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12 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	35.0	9	50%	14	3	1	1	3	4	5	9	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Caris LeVert #22 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 27	32.8	14	47%	1	6	4	0	3	1	0	1	4-6	67%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	31.3	7	27%	7	2	0	0	1	3	2	5	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-8	13%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	27.9	15	83%	6	0	0	3	2	5	0	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-6	50%
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 32	26.0	5	23%	1	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-8	13%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	25.1	11	42%	7	5	0	0	1	1	2	5	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	22.5	14	117%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-5	80%
Edmond Sumner #5 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 25	15.0	3	30%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	13.6	2	25%	3	2	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	10.7	7	58%	3	1	0	0	0	5	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Brian Bowen II #10 · SF · 6'7" 190 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress Fracture
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	87	46%	48	23	7	4	13	23	11	37	8-12	67%	23-48	48%	11-37	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.98 48.9%

IND

0.92 45.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

17

27

63%

IND

17

33

52%

Midrange

MIA

5

19

26%

IND

6

15

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

10

15.0

32

31%

47%

IND

11

16.5

37

30%

45%

Free Throws

MIA

18

28

64%

IND

8

12

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Robinson	20	83%	10.0 / 12
J. Butler	18	53%	9.0 / 17
T. Herro	17	57%	8.5 / 15
B. Adebayo	16	50%	8.0 / 16
G. Dragic	12	60%	6.0 / 10
G. Vincent	3	21%	1.5 / 7
T. Ariza	2	13%	1.0 / 8
A. Iguodala	2	25%	1.0 / 4
P. Achiuwa	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Turner	15	83%	7.5 / 9
C. LeVert	14	47%	7.0 / 15
D. McDermott	14	117%	7.0 / 6
T. McConnell	11	42%	5.5 / 13
D. Sabonis	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Brogdon	7	27%	3.5 / 13
G. Bitadze	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Holiday	5	23%	2.5 / 11
E. Sumner	3	30%	1.5 / 5
A. Holiday	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 111.1 14 112.3	MIA 97.9 +5.3 IND 92.6
Pace	29 96.7 4 101.6	MIA 92.0 IND 97.5 +5.5
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 27 13.8	MIA 15.7 IND 14.8 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 54.6% 13 54.2%	MIA 47.4% +0.9% IND 46.5%
TO %	21 13.7% 9 12.7%	MIA 11.7% −2.5% IND 14.2%
ORB %	29 19.4% 26 20.2%	MIA 17.8% IND 24.4% +6.6%
FTrt	11 25.2 26 22.7	MIA 35.9 +21.8 IND 14.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 67.1% 5 63.3%	MIA 68.8% +1.2% IND 67.6%
STL %	7 8.2% 5 8.3%	MIA 5.3% IND 7.4% +2.1%
BLK %	22 8.5% 3 10.7%	MIA 8.3% IND 8.7% +0.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 56.5% 14 56.3%	MIA 48.9% +3.1% IND 45.8%
Rim FG%	2 64.8% 20 60.0%	MIA 63.0% +11.5% IND 51.5%
Mid FG%	16 41.8% 12 43.2%	MIA 26.3% IND 40.0% +13.7%
3P %	19 35.8% 17 36.4%	MIA 31.3% +1.6% IND 29.7%
FT %	12 79.0% 9 79.2%	MIA 64.3% IND 66.7% +2.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 33.3% 2 40.4%	MIA 34.6% IND 38.8% +4.2%
Mid Att. %	11 23.5% 7 22.4%	MIA 24.4% IND 17.6% −6.7%
3P Att. %	7 43.2% 21 37.2%	MIA 41.0% IND 43.5% +2.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	IND
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.1
Points	92	87
Rebounds	42	48
Assists	22	23
Steals	5	7
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	13 (2)
Fouls	14	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (4)	37 (3)
Field Goals	32-78	34-85
At-the-Rim FG	17-27	17-33
Midrange FG	5-19	6-15
2-Point FG	22-46	23-48
3-Point FG	10-32	11-37
Free Throws	18-28	8-12
Fast Break Pts	21	16
2nd Chance Pts	7	9
Points in Paint	42	40
Pts off Turnovers	16	14
Bench Points	24	37
Biggest Lead	7	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg