Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, April 3, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Magic	15%	100	91	91.0	100	95.7
	1	Jazz	85%	115	137	138.4	99	103.6

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+13

-10

103

UTA

+10

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

0.88 44.2%

UTA

1.38 69.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwayne Bacon #8 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 26	36.6	13	38%	3	0	0	0	1	3	1	2	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	0-5	0%
James Ennis III #11 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 31	36.1	12	55%	5	1	1	0	0	3	3	2	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	34.2	19	63%	12	1	0	2	1	0	4	8	7-8	88%	6-9	67%	0-3	0%
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	32.9	16	50%	5	3	1	1	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	0-3	0%
Chasson Randle #25 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28	32.3	5	42%	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	30.8	12	38%	8	2	1	1	2	1	0	8	2-5	40%	5-12	42%	0-2	0%
Terrence Ross #31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 30	26.1	12	43%	3	3	1	0	1	4	0	3	8-8	100%	2-8	25%	0-3	0%
Mo Bamba #5 · C · 7'0" 231 · 23	11.0	2	20%	2	1	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Karim Mane #4 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Sore Right Hamstring
Khem Birch #24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness (non-Covid)
Otto Porter Jr. #22 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot Pain
Michael Carter-Williams #7 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness (non-Covid)
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Non-displaced fracture
Markelle Fultz #20 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	44%	39	11	5	4	10	14	9	30	25-31	81%	30-64	47%	2-23	9%

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28 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwayne Bacon #8 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 26	36.6	13	38%	3	0	0	0	1	3	1	2	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	0-5	0%
James Ennis III #11 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 31	36.1	12	55%	5	1	1	0	0	3	3	2	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	34.2	19	63%	12	1	0	2	1	0	4	8	7-8	88%	6-9	67%	0-3	0%
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	32.9	16	50%	5	3	1	1	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	0-3	0%
Chasson Randle #25 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28	32.3	5	42%	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	30.8	12	38%	8	2	1	1	2	1	0	8	2-5	40%	5-12	42%	0-2	0%
Terrence Ross #31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 30	26.1	12	43%	3	3	1	0	1	4	0	3	8-8	100%	2-8	25%	0-3	0%
Mo Bamba #5 · C · 7'0" 231 · 23	11.0	2	20%	2	1	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Karim Mane #4 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Sore Right Hamstring
Khem Birch #24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness (non-Covid)
Otto Porter Jr. #22 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot Pain
Michael Carter-Williams #7 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness (non-Covid)
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Non-displaced fracture
Markelle Fultz #20 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	44%	39	11	5	4	10	14	9	30	25-31	81%	30-64	47%	2-23	9%

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1 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	23.5	17	71%	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	4	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	4-6	67%
Joe Ingles #2 · SG · 6'8" 220 · 34	21.1	17	94%	6	2	2	0	2	3	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-7	71%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'2" 215 · 25	20.8	22	100%	2	4	3	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	6-7	86%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 29	20.0	11	69%	6	1	0	4	1	2	2	4	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Royce O'Neale #23 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 28	19.7	3	30%	5	4	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%

Miye Oni #81 · SG · 6'6" 206 · 24	25.9	5	50%	4	0	0	0	3	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 29	20.8	15	75%	2	9	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Trent Forrest #3 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 23	20.1	8	67%	1	6	2	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 28	15.8	10	71%	4	1	0	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Matt Thomas #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	14.0	7	50%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Ersan Ilyasova #77 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 34	13.2	9	64%	5	1	1	0	0	3	2	3	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Derrick Favors #15 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 30	13.1	8	80%	6	0	0	1	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Jarrell Brantley #5 · PF · 6'5" 250 · 25	12.0	5	50%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Udoka Azubuike #20 · C · 7'0" 280 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Severe Sprain
Juwan Morgan #16 · PF · 6'8" 232 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Tightness
Elijah Hughes #33 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Non-COVID illness
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	69%	50	34	10	6	11	25	7	43	9-12	75%	25-37	68%	26-55	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

0.88 44.2%

UTA

1.38 69.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

63%

UTA

71%

Midrange

ORL

35%

UTA

63%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

3.0

13%

UTA

39.0

47%

71%

Free Throws

ORL

81%

UTA

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Carter	19	63%	9.5 / 15
C. Okeke	16	50%	8.0 / 16
D. Bacon	13	38%	6.5 / 17
J. Ennis III	12	55%	6.0 / 11
R. Hampton	12	38%	6.0 / 16
T. Ross	12	43%	6.0 / 14
C. Randle	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. Bamba	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	22	100%	11.0 / 11
B. Bogdanovic	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Ingles	17	94%	8.5 / 9
J. Clarkson	15	75%	7.5 / 10
R. Gobert	11	69%	5.5 / 8
G. Niang	10	71%	5.0 / 7
E. Ilyasova	9	64%	4.5 / 7
T. Forrest	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Favors	8	80%	4.0 / 5
M. Thomas	7	50%	3.5 / 7
M. Oni	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Brantley	5	50%	2.5 / 5
R. O'Neale	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 105.1 4 116.9	ORL 91.0 UTA 138.4 +47.4
Pace	18 98.7 15 99.1	ORL 95.7 UTA 103.6 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.8 11 14.8	ORL 15.0 UTA 13.9 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 49.0% 5 56.3%	ORL 37.9% UTA 69.6% +31.7%
TO %	5 12.4% 19 13.6%	ORL 9.9% −0.3% UTA 10.2%
ORB %	18 21.7% 3 24.5%	ORL 17.3% UTA 18.9% +1.6%
FTrt	19 24.0 13 24.4	ORL 35.6 +22.6 UTA 13.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 57.0% 22 57.3%	ORL 34.4% UTA 66.7% +32.3%
STL %	25 6.9% 29 6.7%	ORL 5.0% UTA 10.1% +5.1%
BLK %	23 8.4% 18 8.6%	ORL 10.8% +1.4% UTA 9.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 51.6% 5 58.0%	ORL 44.2% UTA 69.2% +25.0%
Rim FG%	30 56.3% 13 61.9%	ORL 63.0% UTA 71.4% +8.4%
Mid FG%	24 40.0% 10 43.7%	ORL 35.1% UTA 62.5% +27.4%
3P %	27 34.3% 4 38.9%	ORL 8.7% UTA 47.3% +38.6%
FT %	17 77.5% 8 79.9%	ORL 80.6% +5.6% UTA 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 30.2% 27 30.2%	ORL 31.0% +8.2% UTA 22.8%
Mid Att. %	29 34.2% 4 21.0%	ORL 42.5% UTA 17.4% −25.1%
3P Att. %	23 35.6% 1 48.8%	ORL 26.4% UTA 59.8% +33.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.

Game Totals	ORL	UTA
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	91	137
Rebounds	39	50
Assists	11	34
Steals	5	10
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	14	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	43 (2)
Field Goals	32-87	51-92
At-the-Rim FG	17-27	15-21
Midrange FG	13-37	10-16
2-Point FG	30-64	25-37
3-Point FG	2-23	26-55
Free Throws	25-31	9-12
Fast Break Pts	4	18
2nd Chance Pts	15	18
Points in Paint	50	42
Pts off Turnovers	14	16
Bench Points	26	67
Biggest Lead	2	46

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg