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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 4, 2021
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Grizzlies45%108116
1176ers55%110100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.7
28.6
30.3
8
45%
5
10
1
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
2-6
5-11
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 25.5
26.6
19.9
15
52%
5
2
2
1
2
2
1
4
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
4-13
31%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 25.2
25.9
26.7
17
79%
5
3
0
1
1
2
0
5
3-4
75%
4-7
4-9
57%
46%
2-2
100%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.9
25.8
25.7
16
73%
12
1
0
0
0
1
5
7
0-0
-
8-10
6-11
80%
58%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.5
25.4
23.8
10
46%
6
2
2
1
3
1
0
6
3-4
75%
2-6
3-5
33%
55%
1-3
33%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.8
24.0
22.4
14
61%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
3-6
50%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 24.5
21.1
23.4
15
66%
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
3-3
100%
6-10
4-7
60%
59%
0-0
-
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.2
20.7
15.3
2
33%
3
1
1
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 24.9
17.9
17.3
5
42%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-3
33%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.9
15.0
21.7
14
88%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
4-6
67%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
4.5
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Killian Tillie
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.1
1.4
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Sean McDermott
F · 6'6" 195 · 24.4
1.4
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 21.4
1.4
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 21.6
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
26.7
27.2
21
63%
8
3
0
1
1
2
2
6
5-6
83%
8-11
6-11
73%
54%
0-3
0%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 24.7
26.0
29.4
7
41%
7
4
1
1
1
1
1
6
3-6
50%
2-6
6-10
33%
57%
0-0
-
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
23.6
27.9
3
22%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-1
3-5
0%
52%
1-5
20%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.8
23.4
25.8
6
43%
3
1
0
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
2-6
33%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 32.7
20.1
18.3
9
45%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
50%
3-7
43%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.3
24.3
19.9
9
65%
12
3
0
0
1
2
6
6
1-2
50%
4-6
3-5
67%
62%
0-0
-
Shake Milton
G · 6'6" 207 · 24.5
16.7
22.5
14
55%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
52%
0-2
0%
Matisse Thybulle
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
14.8
21.1
2
33%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.7
14.3
16.6
5
34%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Paul Reed
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.8
13.0
3.4
10
67%
6
2
1
0
1
1
2
4
0-1
0%
5-6
1-1
83%
53%
0-1
0%
Rayjon Tucker
G · 6'3" 209 · 23.5
9.8
2.7
2
26%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 21.8
9.8
2.6
6
63%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-0
0-0
-
45%
1-3
33%
Mason Jones
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
9.5
11.5
6
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Ignas Brazdeikis
F · 6'7" 221 · 22.2
7.9
1.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Tyrese Maxey
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.4
9.8
0
2-3
51%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.9
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.