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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 5, 2021
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Jazz53%113103
8Mavericks47%112111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.6
35.0
27.5
16
31%
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-6
67%
6-15
5-9
40%
49%
0-8
0%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.8
34.3
27.5
14
96%
15
2
0
1
2
1
2
13
2-3
67%
6-6
5-7
100%
66%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.0
34.3
26.9
16
56%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-3
33%
6-10
2-5
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Royce O'Neale
F · 6'6" 226 · 27.8
31.7
26.1
2
11%
7
2
1
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-8
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 33.5
31.4
29.8
28
90%
3
7
1
1
0
0
2
1
6-6
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
6-10
60%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 33.5
25.0
23.8
3
38%
2
3
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
57%
1-2
50%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 28.8
21.8
22.6
16
58%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
4-4
3-6
100%
53%
2-9
22%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 29.7
13.7
13.9
2
25%
7
1
0
0
1
0
5
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
61%
0-0
-
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 27.8
12.8
14.9
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
2-4
50%
Miye Oni
G · 6'6" 206 · 23.7
13.9
0
0-1
50%
Trent Forrest
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.8
9.3
0
1-2
51%
Matt Thomas
G · 6'5" 190 · 26.7
7.6
0
0-1
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.9
6.1
0
0-1
51%
Jarrell Brantley
F · 6'5" 250 · 24.8
5.7
0
0-1
51%
Udoka Azubuike
C-F · 7'0" 280 · 21.5
Juwan Morgan
F · 6'8" 232 · 24.0
Elijah Hughes
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 22.1
35.9
31.4
31
57%
9
8
0
1
0
4
2
7
3-3
100%
5-15
6-11
33%
55%
6-11
55%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.9
34.4
33.7
23
64%
6
4
1
1
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
56%
5-12
42%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 29.2
34.3
20.9
0
0%
5
2
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-2
0%
Nicolo Melli
F · 6'9" 236 · 30.2
32.1
14.7
0
0%
7
1
1
0
2
1
1
6
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-5
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.6
29.8
21.2
17
94%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
5-5
100%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 24.6
30.1
27.4
20
63%
4
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
4-8
4-7
50%
55%
4-7
57%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 29.1
29.8
24.9
16
60%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
3-7
43%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
13.7
15.8
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
63%
0-0
-
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 25.7
21.5
0
3-7
49%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 32.6
11.6
0
3-5
56%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.4
10.0
0
1-2
51%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 28.4
8.5
0
1-2
49%
Tyler Bey
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.1
1.9
0
0-0
50%
Nate Hinton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.8
1.9
0
0-0
48%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 36.8
Tyrell Terry
G · 6'3" 160 · 20.5
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.