Final Win Prob. pScore
1339%107
124
961%111
112
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo Grizzlies
130.59596.2
MIA logo Heat
116.79694.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.124
112
Q4 - 0:10.2GrizzliesGrizzlies turnover (shot clock violation)124
112
Q4 - 0:34.4HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)124
112
Q4 - 0:42.5HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound124
109
Q4 - 0:45.6GrizzliesJohn Konchar misses three point jump shot124
109
Q4 - 0:58.3HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)124
109
Q4 - 1:08HeatNemanja Bjelica defensive rebound124
107
Q4 - 1:10GrizzliesKillian Tillie misses three point jump shot124
107
Q4 - 1:36Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Nemanja Bjelica, Tyler Herro, Precious Achiuwa, Gabe Vincent)124
107
Q4 - 1:36HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Take) (Tyus Jones draws the foul)124
107
Q4 - 1:37HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2124
107
Q4 - 1:37HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2124
106
Q4 - 1:37Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Tyler Herro, Precious Achiuwa, Jimmy Butler, Gabe Vincent)124
105
Q4 - 1:37Grizzlies lineup change (Killian Tillie, Tyus Jones, John Konchar, Sean McDermott, Xavier Tillman)124
105
Q4 - 1:37Grizzlies 60 second timeout124
105
Q4 - 1:37Stoppage (Injury)124
105
Q4 - 1:37GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)124
105
Q4 - 1:42HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound124
105
Q4 - 1:45HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot124
105
Q4 - 2:00Grizzlies delay of game violation124
105
Q4 - 2:01GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point running layup (Dillon Brooks assists)124
105
Q4 - 2:05HeatTrevor Ariza turnover (lost ball) (Dillon Brooks steals)122
105
Q4 - 2:20GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)122
105
Q4 - 2:34Trevor Ariza kicked ball violation122
105
Q4 - 2:50HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)122
105
Q4 - 3:06GrizzliesGrayson Allen makes two point pullup jump shot122
103
Q4 - 3:24HeatJimmy Butler makes two point bank jump shot120
103
Q4 - 3:39GrizzliesGrayson Allen makes two point running dunk (Kyle Anderson assists)120
101
Q4 - 3:44GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound118
101
Q4 - 3:45HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup118
101
Q4 - 3:55GrizzliesJa Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2118
101
Q4 - 3:55GrizzliesJa Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2117
101
Q4 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)116
101
Q4 - 4:08GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound116
101
Q4 - 4:11HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot116
101
Q4 - 4:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound116
101
Q4 - 4:26GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point jump shot116
101
Q4 - 4:31GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound116
101
Q4 - 4:35GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses two point turnaround jump shot116
101
Q4 - 4:45HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)116
101
Q4 - 4:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot116
101
Q4 - 5:15GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (offensive foul)116
99
Q4 - 5:15GrizzliesJa Morant offensive foul (Charge) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)116
99
Q4 - 5:23HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)116
99
Q4 - 5:23HeatHeat offensive rebound116
99
Q4 - 5:23HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot116
99
Q4 - 5:44GrizzliesGrayson Allen makes technical free throw 1 of 1116
99
Q4 - 5:44Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Trevor Ariza, Victor Oladipo, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)115
99
Q4 - 5:44Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, Ja Morant, Jonas Valanciunas)115
99
Q4 - 5:44HeatErik Spoelstra technical foul115
99
Q4 - 5:44Heat 60 second timeout115
99
Q4 - 5:49GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point putback layup115
99
Q4 - 5:50GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound113
99
Q4 - 5:53GrizzliesDuncan Robinson blocks Grayson Allen's two point driving layup113
99
Q4 - 6:14Stoppage (Out of bounds)113
99
Q4 - 6:14HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)113
99
Q4 - 6:26GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point driving finger roll layup113
99
Q4 - 6:39HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)111
99
Q4 - 6:49GrizzliesGrayson Allen defensive rebound111
99
Q4 - 6:53HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 1 of 1111
99
Q4 - 6:53Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Trevor Ariza, Victor Oladipo, Jimmy Butler, Andre Iguodala)111
99
Q4 - 6:53Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Grayson Allen, Desmond Bane, Ja Morant, Jonas Valanciunas)111
99
Q4 - 6:53GrizzliesXavier Tillman shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)111
99
Q4 - 6:53HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)111
99
Q4 - 7:18GrizzliesJohn Konchar makes two point cutting layup (Tyus Jones assists)111
97
Q4 - 7:41HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)109
97
Q4 - 7:44Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Victor Oladipo, Jimmy Butler, Andre Iguodala, Bam Adebayo)109
94
Q4 - 7:44Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Tyus Jones, Desmond Bane, John Konchar, Xavier Tillman)109
94
Q4 - 7:44Stoppage (Out of bounds)109
94
Q4 - 8:01Bam Adebayo defensive goaltending violation109
94
Q4 - 8:01GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tyus Jones assists)109
94
Q4 - 8:15GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound107
94
Q4 - 8:18HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot107
94
Q4 - 8:36GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes two point turnaround jump shot (John Konchar assists)107
94
Q4 - 8:54HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (John Konchar steals)105
94
Q4 - 9:07GrizzliesKillian Tillie makes two point hook shot105
94
Q4 - 9:08GrizzliesKillian Tillie offensive rebound103
94
Q4 - 9:13GrizzliesAndre Iguodala blocks Killian Tillie's two point hook shot103
94
Q4 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Andre Iguodala assists)103
94
Q4 - 9:53Heat 60 second timeout103
92
Q4 - 9:54GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes two point putback layup103
92
Q4 - 9:56GrizzliesXavier Tillman offensive rebound101
92
Q4 - 9:56GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point driving finger roll layup101
92
Q4 - 10:09GrizzliesJohn Konchar defensive rebound101
92
Q4 - 10:14HeatKillian Tillie blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup101
92
Q4 - 10:32GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes two point driving layup (Tyus Jones assists)101
92
Q4 - 10:45GrizzliesXavier Tillman defensive rebound99
92
Q4 - 10:48HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot99
92
Q4 - 11:07GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes three point jump shot (John Konchar assists)99
92
Q4 - 11:26HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)96
92
Q4 - 11:30GrizzliesJohn Konchar turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)96
89
Q4 - 11:40GrizzliesXavier Tillman defensive rebound96
89
Q4 - 11:41HeatGoran Dragic misses two point tip layup96
89
Q4 - 11:41HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound96
89
Q4 - 11:46HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop layup96
89
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Goran Dragic, Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo, Andre Iguodala, Bam Adebayo)96
89
Q4 - 12:00Grizzlies lineup change (Killian Tillie, Tyus Jones, Desmond Bane, John Konchar, Xavier Tillman)96
89
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.96
89
Q3 - 0:01.3GrizzliesTyus Jones makes three point jump shot (Dillon Brooks assists)96
89
Q3 - 0:22.5HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Desmond Bane steals)93
89
Q3 - 0:42.3GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point driving layup (Tyus Jones assists)93
89
Q3 - 0:53.8HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Nemanja Bjelica assists)91
89
Q3 - 1:04GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point finger roll layup91
86
Q3 - 1:19HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Goran Dragic assists)89
86
Q3 - 1:30GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point running layup89
84
Q3 - 1:33GrizzliesDillon Brooks defensive rebound87
84
Q3 - 1:37HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup87
84
Q3 - 1:58Heat lineup change (Goran Dragic, Nemanja Bjelica, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Andre Iguodala)87
84
Q3 - 1:58Stoppage (Out of bounds)87
84
Q3 - 2:00HeatHeat defensive rebound87
84
Q3 - 2:00GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot87
84
Q3 - 2:01GrizzliesTyus Jones offensive rebound87
84
Q3 - 2:05GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point turnaround jump shot87
84
Q3 - 2:30HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 187
84
Q3 - 2:30Grizzlies lineup change (Tyus Jones, Desmond Bane, Dillon Brooks, John Konchar, Xavier Tillman)87
83
Q3 - 2:30GrizzliesJohn Konchar shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)87
83
Q3 - 2:30HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Goran Dragic assists)87
83
Q3 - 2:44GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (John Konchar assists)87
81
Q3 - 2:51Grizzlies 60 second timeout84
81
Q3 - 2:58HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)84
81
Q3 - 3:10HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound84
78
Q3 - 3:13GrizzliesJa Morant misses two point driving finger roll layup84
78
Q3 - 3:24GrizzliesXavier Tillman offensive rebound84
78
Q3 - 3:27GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point jump shot84
78
Q3 - 3:35Heat lineup change (Goran Dragic, Nemanja Bjelica, Trevor Ariza, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler)84
78
Q3 - 3:35Grizzlies lineup change (Desmond Bane, Dillon Brooks, Ja Morant, John Konchar, Xavier Tillman)84
78
Q3 - 3:35HeatNemanja Bjelica personal foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)84
78
Q3 - 3:37GrizzliesXavier Tillman defensive rebound84
78
Q3 - 3:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot84
78
Q3 - 3:49GrizzliesDesmond Bane turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)84
78
Q3 - 4:04GrizzliesXavier Tillman defensive rebound84
78
Q3 - 4:07HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot84
78
Q3 - 4:12HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound84
78
Q3 - 4:16GrizzliesXavier Tillman misses two point cutting layup84
78
Q3 - 4:32HeatNemanja Bjelica makes two point tip layup84
78
Q3 - 4:32HeatNemanja Bjelica offensive rebound84
76
Q3 - 4:36HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point floating jump shot84
76
Q3 - 4:54Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Goran Dragic, Nemanja Bjelica, Trevor Ariza, Jimmy Butler)84
76
Q3 - 4:54Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Desmond Bane, Dillon Brooks, Ja Morant, Xavier Tillman)84
76
Q3 - 4:54Stoppage (Out of bounds)84
76
Q3 - 5:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound84
76
Q3 - 5:04GrizzliesGrayson Allen misses two point driving floating jump shot84
76
Q3 - 5:19HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)84
76
Q3 - 5:33Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Goran Dragic, Trevor Ariza, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)84
74
Q3 - 5:33Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, Ja Morant, Xavier Tillman)84
74
Q3 - 5:33Heat 60 second timeout84
74
Q3 - 5:33GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point tip layup84
74
Q3 - 5:33GrizzliesKyle Anderson offensive rebound82
74
Q3 - 5:36GrizzliesGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot82
74
Q3 - 5:48GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound82
74
Q3 - 5:52HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot82
74
Q3 - 5:57HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound82
74
Q3 - 6:02GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point fadeaway jump shot82
74
Q3 - 6:09GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound82
74
Q3 - 6:12HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point driving layup82
74
Q3 - 6:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound82
74
Q3 - 6:22GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point jump shot82
74
Q3 - 6:32GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound82
74
Q3 - 6:36HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot82
74
Q3 - 6:54GrizzliesGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)82
74
Q3 - 6:59HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Dillon Brooks steals)79
74
Q3 - 7:15GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point pullup jump shot79
74
Q3 - 7:32HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)77
74
Q3 - 7:34HeatVictor Oladipo offensive rebound77
71
Q3 - 7:37HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot77
71
Q3 - 7:47GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)77
71
Q3 - 7:56HeatTrevor Ariza makes regular free throw 2 of 277
71
Q3 - 7:56Grizzlies 60 second timeout77
70
Q3 - 7:56HeatTrevor Ariza makes regular free throw 1 of 277
70
Q3 - 7:56GrizzliesDillon Brooks shooting foul (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)77
69
Q3 - 8:01GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)77
69
Q3 - 8:20HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)77
69
Q3 - 8:34GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot77
67
Q3 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point bank jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)74
67
Q3 - 9:10GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)74
65
Q3 - 9:21HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 271
65
Q3 - 9:21HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 271
64
Q3 - 9:21GrizzliesGrayson Allen shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)71
63
Q3 - 9:24HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound71
63
Q3 - 9:27GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point pullup jump shot71
63
Q3 - 9:38Stoppage (Out of bounds)71
63
Q3 - 9:41HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Ja Morant steals)71
63
Q3 - 9:52GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point running layup71
63
Q3 - 9:55GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound69
63
Q3 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 269
63
Q3 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 269
63
Q3 - 10:00GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
63
Q3 - 10:02HeatTrevor Ariza offensive rebound69
63
Q3 - 10:03HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point running finger roll layup69
63
Q3 - 10:08HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound69
63
Q3 - 10:09GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point driving layup69
63
Q3 - 10:15HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)69
63
Q3 - 10:32GrizzliesGrayson Allen personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
61
Q3 - 10:32GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass)69
61
Q3 - 10:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot (Trevor Ariza assists)69
61
Q3 - 10:56GrizzliesDillon Brooks personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
59
Q3 - 11:12GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)69
59
Q3 - 11:26HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point pullup jump shot66
59
Q3 - 11:35HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound66
57
Q3 - 11:39GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses three point jump shot66
57
Q3 - 11:46GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes flagrant free throw 3 of 366
57
Q3 - 11:46GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes flagrant free throw 2 of 365
57
Q3 - 11:46GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes flagrant free throw 1 of 364
57
Q3 - 11:46Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)63
57
Q3 - 11:46HeatVictor Oladipo flagrant 1 (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)63
57
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Trevor Ariza, Victor Oladipo, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)63
57
Q3 - 12:00Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, Ja Morant, Jonas Valanciunas)63
57
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.63
57
Q2 - 0:01.0HeatHeat offensive rebound63
57
Q2 - 0:01.0HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot63
57
Q2 - 0:05.5HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound63
57
Q2 - 0:08.7GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot63
57
Q2 - 0:11.0HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot63
57
Q2 - 0:31.7GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes three point jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)63
55
Q2 - 0:48.7HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)60
55
Q2 - 1:06GrizzliesKyle Anderson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)60
52
Q2 - 1:06GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound60
52
Q2 - 1:10HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot60
52
Q2 - 1:28HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound60
52
Q2 - 1:31GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point jump shot60
52
Q2 - 1:38HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jonas Valanciunas steals)60
52
Q2 - 1:45HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 160
52
Q2 - 1:45GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas technical foul60
51
Q2 - 1:45HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound60
51
Q2 - 1:48GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas misses two point layup60
51
Q2 - 1:56GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound60
51
Q2 - 1:58HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot60
51
Q2 - 2:16HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound60
51
Q2 - 2:19GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses regular free throw 2 of 260
51
Q2 - 2:19Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)60
51
Q2 - 2:19Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Desmond Bane, Dillon Brooks, Ja Morant, Jonas Valanciunas)60
51
Q2 - 2:19GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses regular free throw 1 of 260
51
Q2 - 2:19HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)60
51
Q2 - 2:21GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound60
51
Q2 - 2:23HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup60
51
Q2 - 2:24HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound60
51
Q2 - 2:26HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot60
51
Q2 - 2:36GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point pullup jump shot60
51
Q2 - 2:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot57
51
Q2 - 3:06GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)57
49
Q2 - 3:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)54
49
Q2 - 3:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
46
Q2 - 3:50GrizzliesJa Morant misses regular free throw 2 of 254
46
Q2 - 3:50Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Trevor Ariza, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)54
46
Q2 - 3:50GrizzliesJa Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 254
46
Q2 - 3:50HeatTrevor Ariza shooting foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)53
46
Q2 - 3:54GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound53
46
Q2 - 3:57HeatNemanja Bjelica misses three point jump shot53
46
Q2 - 4:17GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas turnover (3-second violation)53
46
Q2 - 4:24GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound53
46
Q2 - 4:26HeatNemanja Bjelica misses three point stepback jump shot53
46
Q2 - 4:47GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point pullup jump shot53
46
Q2 - 5:11Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Nemanja Bjelica, Trevor Ariza, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler)51
46
Q2 - 5:11Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, Ja Morant, Jonas Valanciunas)51
46
Q2 - 5:11Grizzlies 60 second timeout51
46
Q2 - 5:12HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)51
46
Q2 - 5:16GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)51
44
Q2 - 5:24GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound51
44
Q2 - 5:27HeatNemanja Bjelica misses three point jump shot51
44
Q2 - 5:33HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound51
44
Q2 - 5:39GrizzliesGrayson Allen misses three point pullup jump shot51
44
Q2 - 5:43HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Tyus Jones steals)51
44
Q2 - 5:58GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)51
44
Q2 - 6:12HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot48
44
Q2 - 6:29HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound48
42
Q2 - 6:33GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses three point jump shot48
42
Q2 - 6:41HeatNemanja Bjelica personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)48
42
Q2 - 6:46HeatNemanja Bjelica personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)48
42
Q2 - 6:54GrizzliesJohn Konchar defensive rebound48
42
Q2 - 6:58HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 248
42
Q2 - 6:58Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Goran Dragic, Nemanja Bjelica, Jimmy Butler, Andre Iguodala)48
42
Q2 - 6:58HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 248
42
Q2 - 6:58GrizzliesKyle Anderson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)48
41
Q2 - 7:12Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Goran Dragic, Jimmy Butler, Andre Iguodala, Bam Adebayo)48
41
Q2 - 7:12Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Grayson Allen, Tyus Jones, John Konchar, Jonas Valanciunas)48
41
Q2 - 7:12Heat 60 second timeout48
41
Q2 - 7:13GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes two point bank jump shot (John Konchar assists)48
41
Q2 - 7:38HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point running layup (Andre Iguodala assists)46
41
Q2 - 7:44HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound46
39
Q2 - 7:44GrizzliesAndre Iguodala blocks Xavier Tillman's two point fadeaway jump shot46
39
Q2 - 8:05GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound46
39
Q2 - 8:11HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot46
39
Q2 - 8:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)46
39
Q2 - 8:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
39
Q2 - 8:36GrizzliesJohn Konchar misses three point jump shot46
39
Q2 - 8:42Stoppage (Out of bounds)46
39
Q2 - 8:53GrizzliesKillian Tillie defensive rebound46
39
Q2 - 8:56HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot46
39
Q2 - 9:15GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes three point jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)46
39
Q2 - 9:24HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Desmond Bane steals)43
39
Q2 - 9:28HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound43
39
Q2 - 9:32GrizzliesKillian Tillie misses three point jump shot43
39
Q2 - 9:41Heat delay of game violation43
39
Q2 - 9:41HeatTyler Herro makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)43
39
Q2 - 9:42HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound43
37
Q2 - 9:48HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot43
37
Q2 - 10:05GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes three point jump shot (Killian Tillie assists)43
37
Q2 - 10:22HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)40
37
Q2 - 10:28Stoppage (Out of bounds)40
34
Q2 - 10:44GrizzliesKillian Tillie makes three point jump shot (John Konchar assists)40
34
Q2 - 11:00HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)37
34
Q2 - 11:01HeatHeat offensive rebound37
34
Q2 - 11:02HeatDesmond Bane blocks Victor Oladipo's two point jump shot37
34
Q2 - 11:24Stoppage (Out of bounds)37
34
Q2 - 11:24HeatHeat defensive rebound37
34
Q2 - 11:25GrizzliesTyus Jones misses three point jump shot37
34
Q2 - 11:33GrizzliesTyus Jones offensive rebound37
34
Q2 - 11:37GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point jump shot37
34
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Goran Dragic, Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo, Andre Iguodala, Bam Adebayo)37
34
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.37
34
Q1 - 0:00.3GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound37
34
Q1 - 0:01.6HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot37
34
Q1 - 0:06.2GrizzliesJohn Konchar makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)37
34
Q1 - 0:27.8HeatGoran Dragic turnover (lost ball) (John Konchar steals)34
34
Q1 - 0:44.3GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes two point finger roll layup34
34
Q1 - 0:57.1HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 232
34
Q1 - 0:57.1HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 1 of 232
33
Q1 - 0:57.1GrizzliesJohn Konchar shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)32
33
Q1 - 1:04GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes three point jump shot (John Konchar assists)32
33
Q1 - 1:23HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)29
33
Q1 - 1:45GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes two point floating jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)29
30
Q1 - 1:53GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound27
30
Q1 - 1:56HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot27
30
Q1 - 2:05Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
30
Q1 - 2:14HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound27
30
Q1 - 2:18GrizzliesKillian Tillie misses three point jump shot27
30
Q1 - 2:26Grizzlies lineup change (Killian Tillie, Tyus Jones, Desmond Bane, John Konchar, Xavier Tillman)27
30
Q1 - 2:26Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
30
Q1 - 2:38GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound27
30
Q1 - 2:41HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 227
30
Q1 - 2:41Heat lineup change (Goran Dragic, Nemanja Bjelica, Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo, Andre Iguodala)27
30
Q1 - 2:41HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 227
30
Q1 - 2:41GrizzliesDesmond Bane shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)27
29
Q1 - 2:42Grizzlies lineup change (Tyus Jones, Desmond Bane, Dillon Brooks, John Konchar, Xavier Tillman)27
29
Q1 - 2:42Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
29
Q1 - 2:50HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound27
29
Q1 - 2:54GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point driving layup27
29
Q1 - 3:15Jump ball. Xavier Tillman vs. Goran Dragic (Desmond Bane gains possession)27
29
Q1 - 3:18HeatGoran Dragic turnover (lost ball) (Xavier Tillman steals)27
29
Q1 - 3:24GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass) (Nemanja Bjelica steals)27
29
Q1 - 3:37Grizzlies lineup change (Desmond Bane, Dillon Brooks, Ja Morant, John Konchar, Xavier Tillman)27
29
Q1 - 3:37Grizzlies 60 second timeout27
29
Q1 - 3:37HeatNemanja Bjelica makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)27
29
Q1 - 3:52GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 127
27
Q1 - 3:52Heat lineup change (Goran Dragic, Nemanja Bjelica, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Andre Iguodala)26
27
Q1 - 3:52Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Desmond Bane, Dillon Brooks, Ja Morant, Jonas Valanciunas)26
27
Q1 - 3:52HeatTrevor Ariza shooting foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)26
27
Q1 - 3:52GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point layup (Kyle Anderson assists)26
27
Q1 - 3:59GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound24
27
Q1 - 4:02HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot24
27
Q1 - 4:15GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point alley-oop layup (Kyle Anderson assists)24
27
Q1 - 4:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)22
27
Q1 - 4:43HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound22
25
Q1 - 4:43GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point pullup jump shot22
25
Q1 - 4:45GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound22
25
Q1 - 4:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point bank jump shot22
25
Q1 - 4:58GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point driving floating jump shot22
25
Q1 - 5:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving bank jump shot20
25
Q1 - 5:27GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 220
23
Q1 - 5:27Heat lineup change (Goran Dragic, Trevor Ariza, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)19
23
Q1 - 5:27GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 219
23
Q1 - 5:27HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)18
23
Q1 - 5:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot18
23
Q1 - 5:56GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)18
21
Q1 - 6:15HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)15
21
Q1 - 6:28HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound15
18
Q1 - 6:34GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas misses two point floating jump shot15
18
Q1 - 6:37Stoppage (Out of bounds)15
18
Q1 - 6:37GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound15
18
Q1 - 6:37GrizzliesTyler Herro blocks Grayson Allen's three point jump shot15
18
Q1 - 6:40Stoppage (Out of bounds)15
18
Q1 - 6:40GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound15
18
Q1 - 6:41GrizzliesJa Morant misses regular free throw 2 of 215
18
Q1 - 6:41GrizzliesJa Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 215
18
Q1 - 6:41Heat 60 second timeout14
18
Q1 - 6:41HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)14
18
Q1 - 6:58HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)14
18
Q1 - 7:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
15
Q1 - 7:06GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses three point jump shot14
15
Q1 - 7:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)14
15
Q1 - 7:30GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 214
13
Q1 - 7:30GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 213
13
Q1 - 7:30HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)12
13
Q1 - 7:37GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound12
13
Q1 - 7:40HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point jump shot12
13
Q1 - 7:49GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 2 of 212
13
Q1 - 7:49Heat lineup change (Trevor Ariza, Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)11
13
Q1 - 7:49GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses regular free throw 1 of 211
13
Q1 - 7:49HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)11
13
Q1 - 8:02GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound11
13
Q1 - 8:05HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 111
13
Q1 - 8:05GrizzliesDillon Brooks shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)11
13
Q1 - 8:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running finger roll layup11
13
Q1 - 8:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
11
Q1 - 8:11GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point jump shot11
11
Q1 - 8:21GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound11
11
Q1 - 8:24HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point layup11
11
Q1 - 8:38GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 1 of 111
11
Q1 - 8:38HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)10
11
Q1 - 8:38GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point putback layup10
11
Q1 - 8:38GrizzliesKyle Anderson offensive rebound8
11
Q1 - 8:39GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot8
11
Q1 - 8:46HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Anderson steals)8
11
Q1 - 8:50GrizzliesKyle Anderson turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)8
11
Q1 - 9:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Trevor Ariza assists)8
11
Q1 - 9:16GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)8
9
Q1 - 9:32HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving layup (Trevor Ariza assists)8
9
Q1 - 9:43GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point cutting layup (Grayson Allen assists)8
7
Q1 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)6
7
Q1 - 10:12GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)6
5
Q1 - 10:19GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound4
5
Q1 - 10:22HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot4
5
Q1 - 10:33GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point hook shot (Ja Morant assists)4
5
Q1 - 10:50HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)2
5
Q1 - 11:00GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point pullup jump shot (Ja Morant assists)2
2
Q1 - 11:09GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:12HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot0
2
Q1 - 11:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:26GrizzliesGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot0
2
Q1 - 11:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Trevor Ariza assists)0
2
Q1 - 12:00Jonas Valanciunas vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Trevor Ariza, Victor Oladipo, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, Ja Morant, Jonas Valanciunas)0
0
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.33 66.7%
MIA
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
17
21
81%
MIA
18
25
72%
Midrange
MEM
12
22
55%
MIA
13
24
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
17
25.5
41
41%
62%
MIA
13
19.5
33
39%
59%
Free Throws
MEM
15
20
75%
MIA
11
18
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Brooks2882%14.0 / 17
J. Valančiūnas2091%10.0 / 11
K. Anderson1979%9.5 / 12
D. Bane1563%7.5 / 12
X. Tillman1179%5.5 / 7
J. Morant1045%5.0 / 11
G. Allen844%4.0 / 9
J. Konchar563%2.5 / 4
K. Tillie542%2.5 / 6
T. Jones375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2882%14.0 / 17
T. Herro1986%9.5 / 11
B. Adebayo1860%9.0 / 15
V. Oladipo1650%8.0 / 16
D. Robinson1488%7.0 / 8
G. Dragic956%4.5 / 8
N. Bjelica440%2.0 / 5
T. Ariza217%1.0 / 6
P. Achiuwa2100%1.0 / 1
A. Iguodala0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
82
+11
-13
93
MIA
84
+10
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.33 66.7%
MIA
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
15
112.1
19
111.1
MEM 130.5 +13.9
MIA 116.7
Pace
9
100.3
29
96.7
MEM 96.2 +1.4
MIA 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time
26
14.1
12
14.7
MEM 15.0 −0.2
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
22
52.8%
11
54.6%
MEM 64.9% +3.3%
MIA 61.6%
TO %
8
12.6%
21
13.7%
MEM 13.1% −0.4%
MIA 13.5%
ORB %
6
24.2%
29
19.4%
MEM 24.3% +6.8%
MIA 17.5%
FTrt
25
23.3
11
25.2
MEM 23.8 +1.8
MIA 22.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
7
62.8%
2
67.1%
MEM 65.2%
MIA 77.3% +12.1%
STL %
2
9.0%
7
8.2%
MEM 11.6% +2.2%
MIA 9.4%
BLK %
11
9.4%
22
8.5%
MEM 4.1%
MIA 9.3% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
22
54.7%
13
56.5%
MEM 66.7% +7.1%
MIA 59.6%
Rim FG%
17
60.7%
2
64.8%
MEM 81.0% +9.0%
MIA 72.0%
Mid FG%
8
44.0%
16
41.8%
MEM 54.5% +0.3%
MIA 54.2%
3P %
20
35.6%
19
35.8%
MEM 41.5% +2.1%
MIA 39.4%
FT %
18
77.1%
12
79.0%
MEM 75.0% +13.9%
MIA 61.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
17
33.5%
20
33.3%
MEM 25.0%
MIA 30.5% +5.5%
Mid Att. %
26
32.3%
11
23.5%
MEM 26.2% −3.1%
MIA 29.3%
3P Att. %
27
34.2%
7
43.2%
MEM 48.8% +8.6%
MIA 40.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points124112
Rebounds4235
Assists3034
Steals119
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)12 (2)
Fouls1316
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)28 (2)
Field Goals46-8444-82
At-the-Rim FG17-2118-25
Midrange FG12-2213-24
2-Point FG29-4331-49
3-Point FG17-4113-33
Free Throws15-2011-18
Fast Break Pts1116
2nd Chance Pts119
Points in Paint5050
Pts off Turnovers2419
Bench Points3934
Biggest Lead196

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25
30.9
28
82%
1
2
2
0
0
3
0
1
3-5
60%
5-7
71%
5-9
56%
#1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28
30.1
19
79%
8
6
1
0
2
1
2
6
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
3-6
50%
#12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 22
29.3
10
45%
4
4
1
0
7
1
0
4
4-6
67%
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29
27.3
20
91%
10
0
1
0
2
2
2
8
5-5
100%
6-8
75%
1-1
100%
#3 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 25
25.4
8
44%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
#22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23
22.1
15
63%
3
3
2
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
3-6
50%
#46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25
20.8
5
63%
2
6
2
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22
20.7
11
79%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
#21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 25
18.8
3
75%
5
5
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#35 · C · 6'10" 220 · 23
13.1
5
42%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
#30 · SF · 6'6" 195 · 24
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#4 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Calf; Soreness
#0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Leg; Soreness
#13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery Recovery
#7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Thigh; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
124
67%
42
30
11
2
13
13
9
33
15-20
75%
29-43
67%
17-41
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.