Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Grizzlies	39%	107	124	130.5	95	96.2
	9	Heat	61%	111	112	116.7	96	94.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	30.9	28	82%	1	2	2	0	0	3	0	1	3-5	60%	5-7	71%	5-9	56%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	30.1	19	79%	8	6	1	0	2	1	2	6	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 22	29.3	10	45%	4	4	1	0	7	1	0	4	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29	27.3	20	91%	10	0	1	0	2	2	2	8	5-5	100%	6-8	75%	1-1	100%
Grayson Allen #3 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 25	25.4	8	44%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%

Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	22.1	15	63%	3	3	2	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	20.8	5	63%	2	6	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	20.7	11	79%	6	0	1	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 25	18.8	3	75%	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Killian Tillie #35 · C · 6'10" 220 · 23	13.1	5	42%	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Sean McDermott #30 · SF · 6'6" 195 · 24	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jontay Porter #4 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Soreness
De'Anthony Melton #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Leg; Soreness
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery Recovery
Justise Winslow #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thigh; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	67%	42	30	11	2	13	13	9	33	15-20	75%	29-43	67%	17-41	41%

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13 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	30.9	28	82%	1	2	2	0	0	3	0	1	3-5	60%	5-7	71%	5-9	56%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	30.1	19	79%	8	6	1	0	2	1	2	6	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 22	29.3	10	45%	4	4	1	0	7	1	0	4	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29	27.3	20	91%	10	0	1	0	2	2	2	8	5-5	100%	6-8	75%	1-1	100%
Grayson Allen #3 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 25	25.4	8	44%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%

Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	22.1	15	63%	3	3	2	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	20.8	5	63%	2	6	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	20.7	11	79%	6	0	1	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 25	18.8	3	75%	5	5	1	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Killian Tillie #35 · C · 6'10" 220 · 23	13.1	5	42%	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Sean McDermott #30 · SF · 6'6" 195 · 24	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jontay Porter #4 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Soreness
De'Anthony Melton #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Leg; Soreness
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery Recovery
Justise Winslow #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thigh; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	67%	42	30	11	2	13	13	9	33	15-20	75%	29-43	67%	17-41	41%

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9 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 32	34.6	28	82%	3	5	2	0	1	1	1	2	5-6	83%	10-14	71%	1-2	50%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	33.3	18	60%	10	10	3	0	0	2	2	8	0-3	0%	9-14	64%	0-0	-
Victor Oladipo #4 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 29	33.2	16	50%	6	2	0	0	3	2	1	5	3-5	60%	5-10	50%	1-4	25%
Trevor Ariza #8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36	26.3	2	17%	3	4	1	0	1	4	1	2	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	25.9	14	88%	4	0	0	1	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-7	57%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	27.3	19	86%	2	4	0	1	4	1	0	2	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	4-7	57%
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	22.1	9	56%	3	3	1	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37	18.9	0	0%	1	3	1	2	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Nemanja Bjelica #70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	13.5	4	40%	2	1	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	1.6	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 22	1.6	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	DNP - Coach's Decision
KZ Okpala #11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	60%	35	34	9	4	12	16	7	28	11-18	61%	31-49	63%	13-33	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.33 66.7%

MIA

1.19 59.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

17

21

81%

MIA

18

25

72%

Midrange

MEM

12

22

55%

MIA

13

24

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

17

25.5

41

41%

62%

MIA

13

19.5

33

39%

59%

Free Throws

MEM

15

20

75%

MIA

11

18

61%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Brooks	28	82%	14.0 / 17
J. Valančiūnas	20	91%	10.0 / 11
K. Anderson	19	79%	9.5 / 12
D. Bane	15	63%	7.5 / 12
X. Tillman	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Morant	10	45%	5.0 / 11
G. Allen	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Konchar	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. Tillie	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Jones	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	28	82%	14.0 / 17
T. Herro	19	86%	9.5 / 11
B. Adebayo	18	60%	9.0 / 15
V. Oladipo	16	50%	8.0 / 16
D. Robinson	14	88%	7.0 / 8
G. Dragic	9	56%	4.5 / 8
N. Bjelica	4	40%	2.0 / 5
T. Ariza	2	17%	1.0 / 6
P. Achiuwa	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Iguodala	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 112.1 19 111.1	MEM 130.5 +13.9 MIA 116.7
Pace	9 100.3 29 96.7	MEM 96.2 +1.4 MIA 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 12 14.7	MEM 15.0 −0.2 MIA 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 52.8% 11 54.6%	MEM 64.9% +3.3% MIA 61.6%
TO %	8 12.6% 21 13.7%	MEM 13.1% −0.4% MIA 13.5%
ORB %	6 24.2% 29 19.4%	MEM 24.3% +6.8% MIA 17.5%
FTrt	25 23.3 11 25.2	MEM 23.8 +1.8 MIA 22.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 62.8% 2 67.1%	MEM 65.2% MIA 77.3% +12.1%
STL %	2 9.0% 7 8.2%	MEM 11.6% +2.2% MIA 9.4%
BLK %	11 9.4% 22 8.5%	MEM 4.1% MIA 9.3% +5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 54.7% 13 56.5%	MEM 66.7% +7.1% MIA 59.6%
Rim FG%	17 60.7% 2 64.8%	MEM 81.0% +9.0% MIA 72.0%
Mid FG%	8 44.0% 16 41.8%	MEM 54.5% +0.3% MIA 54.2%
3P %	20 35.6% 19 35.8%	MEM 41.5% +2.1% MIA 39.4%
FT %	18 77.1% 12 79.0%	MEM 75.0% +13.9% MIA 61.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 33.5% 20 33.3%	MEM 25.0% MIA 30.5% +5.5%
Mid Att. %	26 32.3% 11 23.5%	MEM 26.2% −3.1% MIA 29.3%
3P Att. %	27 34.2% 7 43.2%	MEM 48.8% +8.6% MIA 40.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	MIA
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	124	112
Rebounds	42	35
Assists	30	34
Steals	11	9
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	12 (2)
Fouls	13	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (0)	28 (2)
Field Goals	46-84	44-82
At-the-Rim FG	17-21	18-25
Midrange FG	12-22	13-24
2-Point FG	29-43	31-49
3-Point FG	17-41	13-33
Free Throws	15-20	11-18
Fast Break Pts	11	16
2nd Chance Pts	11	9
Points in Paint	50	50
Pts off Turnovers	24	19
Bench Points	39	34
Biggest Lead	19	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg