Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, April 7, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Grizzlies	48%	113	131	129.7	101	104.5
	19	Hawks	52%	114	113	111.9	101	97.8

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+11

-14

ATL

+13

-7

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.34 66.8%

ATL

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 22	31.3	19	73%	7	7	0	0	5	1	2	5	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	2-3	67%
Grayson Allen #3 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 25	30.5	30	75%	4	3	0	0	0	2	1	3	7-8	88%	7-9	78%	3-9	33%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	28.9	16	73%	9	6	2	1	0	0	1	8	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	28.9	17	85%	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29	26.5	19	73%	11	4	0	1	0	2	4	7	0-0	-	8-11	73%	1-2	50%

Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	19.2	5	28%	4	2	0	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	18.0	7	88%	4	1	1	1	2	1	1	3	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	17.4	4	100%	6	2	0	1	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 25	16.7	10	83%	1	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Killian Tillie #35 · C · 6'10" 220 · 23	14.5	4	50%	4	0	1	0	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Sean McDermott #30 · SF · 6'6" 195 · 24	4.1	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Jontay Porter #4 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 21	4.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Soreness
De'Anthony Melton #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Leg; Soreness
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery Recovery
Justise Winslow #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thigh; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	67%	54	30	5	5	14	17	11	43	18-21	86%	31-49	63%	17-40	43%

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12 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 22	31.3	19	73%	7	7	0	0	5	1	2	5	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	2-3	67%
Grayson Allen #3 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 25	30.5	30	75%	4	3	0	0	0	2	1	3	7-8	88%	7-9	78%	3-9	33%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	28.9	16	73%	9	6	2	1	0	0	1	8	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	28.9	17	85%	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29	26.5	19	73%	11	4	0	1	0	2	4	7	0-0	-	8-11	73%	1-2	50%

Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	19.2	5	28%	4	2	0	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	18.0	7	88%	4	1	1	1	2	1	1	3	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	17.4	4	100%	6	2	0	1	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 25	16.7	10	83%	1	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Killian Tillie #35 · C · 6'10" 220 · 23	14.5	4	50%	4	0	1	0	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Sean McDermott #30 · SF · 6'6" 195 · 24	4.1	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Jontay Porter #4 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 21	4.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Soreness
De'Anthony Melton #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Leg; Soreness
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery Recovery
Justise Winslow #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thigh; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	67%	54	30	5	5	14	17	11	43	18-21	86%	31-49	63%	17-40	43%

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19 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 29	36.3	24	60%	6	3	2	0	2	3	3	3	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	4-8	50%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 23	33.5	14	41%	5	11	0	0	2	3	0	5	2-2	100%	6-13	46%	0-4	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	32.3	13	50%	11	1	0	2	0	3	6	5	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Kevin Huerter #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 23	30.6	13	46%	5	4	0	1	0	2	0	5	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Solomon Hill #18 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 30	28.7	10	56%	6	1	2	0	0	2	1	5	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%

Lou Williams #6 · SG · 6'1" 175 · 34	23.1	13	54%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Nathan Knight #1 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 24	19.2	9	50%	4	1	1	0	0	2	0	4	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Tony Snell #19 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 29	18.7	9	150%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Brandon Goodwin #0 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 26	9.4	3	30%	3	4	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-1	100%
Skylar Mays #4 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	4.1	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 23	4.1	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari #8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 33	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Kris Dunn #32 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Surgery
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Soreness
Cam Reddish #22 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Soreness
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	53%	42	26	5	3	7	19	11	31	13-15	87%	35-73	48%	10-28	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.34 66.8%

ATL

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

71%

ATL

58%

Midrange

MEM

43%

ATL

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

25.5

43%

64%

ATL

15.0

36%

54%

Free Throws

MEM

86%

ATL

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Allen	30	75%	15.0 / 20
J. Morant	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Valančiūnas	19	73%	9.5 / 13
D. Brooks	17	85%	8.5 / 10
K. Anderson	16	73%	8.0 / 11
T. Jones	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Konchar	7	88%	3.5 / 4
D. Bane	5	28%	2.5 / 9
X. Tillman	4	100%	2.0 / 2
K. Tillie	4	50%	2.0 / 4
S. McDermott	0	-	0.0 / 3
J. Porter	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanović	24	60%	12.0 / 20
T. Young	14	41%	7.0 / 17
O. Okongwu	13	50%	6.5 / 13
K. Huerter	13	46%	6.5 / 14
L. Williams	13	54%	6.5 / 12
S. Hill	10	56%	5.0 / 9
N. Knight	9	50%	4.5 / 9
T. Snell	9	150%	4.5 / 3
B. Goodwin	3	30%	1.5 / 5
S. Mays	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Fernando	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 112.1 9 114.8	MEM 129.7 +17.8 ATL 111.9
Pace	9 100.3 21 98.3	MEM 104.5 +6.7 ATL 97.8
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 15 14.7	MEM 13.8 −0.9 ATL 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 52.8% 16 53.9%	MEM 63.5% +14.0% ATL 49.5%
TO %	8 12.6% 12 12.8%	MEM 12.5% ATL 6.1% −6.4%
ORB %	6 24.2% 4 24.5%	MEM 26.2% +5.8% ATL 20.4%
FTrt	25 23.3 4 27.8	MEM 23.6 +8.7 ATL 14.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 62.8% 18 59.1%	MEM 62.5% +4.7% ATL 57.8%
STL %	2 9.0% 21 7.1%	MEM 5.0% ATL 5.0%
BLK %	11 9.4% 19 8.6%	MEM 6.8% +0.7% ATL 6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 54.7% 11 56.5%	MEM 66.8% +14.0% ATL 52.8%
Rim FG%	17 60.7% 21 59.7%	MEM 71.4% +13.1% ATL 58.3%
Mid FG%	8 44.0% 7 44.1%	MEM 42.9% +5.1% ATL 37.8%
3P %	20 35.6% 12 37.3%	MEM 42.5% +6.8% ATL 35.7%
FT %	18 77.1% 5 81.2%	MEM 85.7% ATL 86.7% +1.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 33.5% 16 33.7%	MEM 39.3% +3.7% ATL 35.6%
Mid Att. %	26 32.3% 21 28.0%	MEM 15.7% −20.9% ATL 36.6%
3P Att. %	27 34.2% 19 38.2%	MEM 44.9% +17.2% ATL 27.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	ATL
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	131	113
Rebounds	54	42
Assists	30	26
Steals	5	5
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	7 (0)
Fouls	17	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (0)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	43 (0)	31 (2)
Field Goals	48-89	45-101
At-the-Rim FG	25-35	21-36
Midrange FG	6-14	14-37
2-Point FG	31-49	35-73
3-Point FG	17-40	10-28
Free Throws	18-21	13-15
Fast Break Pts	17	4
2nd Chance Pts	13	6
Points in Paint	60	56
Pts off Turnovers	14	16
Bench Points	30	39
Biggest Lead	26	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg