Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Spurs	35%	109	96	95.0	101	105.0
	5	Nuggets	65%	114	106	102.9	103	99.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32	30.2	14	47%	4	4	2	0	4	1	1	3	4-6	67%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Derrick White #4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 27	29.1	18	56%	4	2	0	2	4	4	0	4	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	1-7	14%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 25	28.7	18	50%	5	6	2	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	6-14	43%	2-4	50%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	27.7	4	50%	5	5	2	0	2	3	4	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	26.4	8	57%	4	2	2	0	1	1	1	3	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%

Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	25.1	12	67%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	21.5	4	20%	8	1	1	0	2	4	1	7	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-3	0%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 21	15.9	3	50%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24	10.7	3	50%	4	0	0	1	0	0	1	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gorgui Dieng #7 · C · 6'11" 251 · 31	9.6	3	30%	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	5.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	5.4	7	70%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	4.3	2	50%	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Soreness
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	47%	42	23	11	4	14	19	11	31	14-21	67%	32-67	48%	6-24	25%

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14 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32	30.2	14	47%	4	4	2	0	4	1	1	3	4-6	67%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Derrick White #4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 27	29.1	18	56%	4	2	0	2	4	4	0	4	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	1-7	14%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 25	28.7	18	50%	5	6	2	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	6-14	43%	2-4	50%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	27.7	4	50%	5	5	2	0	2	3	4	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	26.4	8	57%	4	2	2	0	1	1	1	3	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%

Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	25.1	12	67%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	21.5	4	20%	8	1	1	0	2	4	1	7	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-3	0%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 21	15.9	3	50%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24	10.7	3	50%	4	0	0	1	0	0	1	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gorgui Dieng #7 · C · 6'11" 251 · 31	9.6	3	30%	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	5.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	5.4	7	70%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	4.3	2	50%	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Soreness
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	47%	42	23	11	4	14	19	11	31	14-21	67%	32-67	48%	6-24	25%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	31.1	18	60%	10	1	1	1	1	3	3	7	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	1-3	33%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	30.5	14	44%	4	5	2	0	1	1	1	3	6-6	100%	1-6	17%	2-7	29%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	30.4	25	66%	9	10	1	0	6	0	1	8	3-4	75%	11-16	69%	0-2	0%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	27.7	6	43%	5	2	0	0	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 26	24.1	9	56%	2	3	2	1	2	3	0	2	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%

PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	28.0	8	44%	7	1	2	0	0	0	2	5	3-6	50%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	19.0	9	64%	5	0	1	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	18.9	7	50%	1	4	1	1	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	13.8	7	50%	8	0	0	1	1	3	3	5	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	3.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 22	3.8	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 21	3.8	1	17%	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Gary Clark #6 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Greg Whittington #3 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	50%	53	26	10	6	17	18	12	41	18-24	75%	32-65	49%	8-26	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.94 47.1%

DEN

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

18

29

62%

DEN

19

29

66%

Midrange

SAS

14

38

37%

DEN

13

36

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

6

9.0

24

25%

38%

DEN

8

12.0

26

31%

46%

Free Throws

SAS

14

21

67%

DEN

18

24

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. White	18	56%	9.0 / 16
D. Murray	18	50%	9.0 / 18
D. DeRozan	14	47%	7.0 / 15
P. Mills	12	67%	6.0 / 9
K. Johnson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
Q. Weatherspoon	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Poeltl	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. Gay	4	20%	2.0 / 10
D. Vassell	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Eubanks	3	50%	1.5 / 3
G. Dieng	3	30%	1.5 / 5
L. Samanic	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	25	66%	12.5 / 19
M. Porter	18	60%	9.0 / 15
W. Barton	14	44%	7.0 / 16
A. Gordon	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Green	9	64%	4.5 / 7
P. Dozier	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Morris	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. McGee	7	50%	3.5 / 7
F. Campazzo	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Howard	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Bol	1	17%	0.5 / 3
V. Cancar	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 111.1 7 116.8	SAS 95.0 DEN 102.9 +7.9
Pace	16 98.9 28 97.4	SAS 105.0 +5.1 DEN 99.9
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.7 4 15.1	SAS 13.7 −0.7 DEN 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 51.7% 6 55.7%	SAS 45.1% DEN 48.4% +3.3%
TO %	2 11.0% 13 13.0%	SAS 13.0% −2.8% DEN 15.8%
ORB %	27 20.1% 2 24.8%	SAS 21.2% DEN 27.9% +6.7%
FTrt	14 24.3 28 21.9	SAS 23.1 DEN 26.4 +3.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 58.4% 11 62.1%	SAS 60.5% DEN 65.0% +4.5%
STL %	22 7.0% 6 8.2%	SAS 10.9% +1.2% DEN 9.7%
BLK %	15 8.9% 14 9.0%	SAS 6.2% DEN 9.0% +2.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 54.4% 6 57.5%	SAS 47.1% DEN 50.0% +2.9%
Rim FG%	19 60.1% 6 63.9%	SAS 62.1% DEN 65.5% +3.4%
Mid FG%	14 43.2% 5 44.9%	SAS 36.8% +0.7% DEN 36.1%
3P %	24 35.0% 8 37.7%	SAS 25.0% DEN 30.8% +5.8%
FT %	10 79.2% 7 80.3%	SAS 66.7% DEN 75.0% +8.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.1% 18 33.5%	SAS 31.9% DEN 31.9%
Mid Att. %	30 35.5% 22 28.2%	SAS 41.8% DEN 39.6% −2.2%
3P Att. %	30 31.4% 18 38.3%	SAS 26.4% DEN 28.6% +2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	DEN
Possessions	101	103
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.7
Points	96	106
Rebounds	42	53
Assists	23	26
Steals	11	10
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	17 (2)
Fouls	19	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	12 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (4)	41 (1)
Field Goals	38-91	40-91
At-the-Rim FG	18-29	19-29
Midrange FG	14-38	13-36
2-Point FG	32-67	32-65
3-Point FG	6-24	8-26
Free Throws	14-21	18-24
Fast Break Pts	4	18
2nd Chance Pts	18	17
Points in Paint	56	52
Pts off Turnovers	13	17
Bench Points	34	34
Biggest Lead	10	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg