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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 9, 2021
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Grizzlies52%107129
22Knicks48%106133
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 25.2
40
28
23
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
6-9
4-8
67%
46%
3-9
33%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.7
39
29
26
4
6
0
1
1
4
0
4
4-8
50%
5-13
5-9
38%
51%
4-5
80%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.9
36
26
20
14
2
1
0
3
2
3
11
3-4
75%
7-10
6-10
70%
58%
1-1
100%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.6
34
27
15
6
5
2
1
1
2
0
6
5-6
83%
2-5
3-5
40%
55%
2-5
40%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 25.5
32
25
10
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
50%
1-4
25%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.8
23
21
16
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-3
33%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
3-4
75%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 24.6
19
22
5
4
2
1
1
0
0
3
1
1-2
50%
2-5
4-6
40%
59%
0-0
-
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.2
17
18
6
5
4
0
1
1
1
4
1
0-3
0%
3-6
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 24.9
15
17
8
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-1
0%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
11
13
0
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Killian Tillie
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.1
10
0
1-2
50%
Sean McDermott
F · 6'6" 195 · 24.4
4
0
0-0
50%
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 21.4
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.9
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 21.6
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
38
35
15
10
11
1
1
0
3
1
9
6-9
67%
3-10
7-12
30%
52%
1-2
50%
RJ Barrett
F-G · 6'7" 202 · 20.7
34
32
20
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
4-5
80%
5-9
5-10
56%
49%
2-4
50%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 27.0
25
24
6
5
1
1
1
4
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
61%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 30.1
20
27
8
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
2-4
50%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 27.1
15
20
12
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
50%
2-2
100%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 29.7
33
22
19
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
6-6
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
45%
3-8
38%
Immanuel Quickley
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.8
31
16
20
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
4-6
67%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.8
28
21
6
8
1
1
1
1
2
5
3
4-4
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
59%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.5
26
24
19
4
3
1
1
2
2
2
2
3-3
100%
8-13
4-9
62%
50%
0-4
0%
Obi Toppin
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.1
15
11
8
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
56%
0-2
0%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.7
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 21.7
3
0
0-0
41%
Norvel Pelle
C · 6'11" 216 · 28.2
2
0
0-0
53%
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 25.4
1
0
0-0
50%
Jared Harper
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.6
1
0
0-0
50%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 30.3
Mitchell Robinson
C · 7'1" 225 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.