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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 9, 2021
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Spurs31%107119
3Nuggets69%114121
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.7
37
30
24
3
12
1
1
0
3
1
2
8-8
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
51%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 25.5
36
29
13
10
5
1
1
1
1
6
4
1-3
33%
6-9
4-7
67%
62%
0-0
-
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.8
34
30
25
1
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
4-5
80%
6-9
3-6
67%
51%
3-7
43%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 24.6
32
25
12
7
4
3
1
0
2
1
6
1-1
100%
4-12
5-9
33%
49%
1-5
20%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 21.5
27
26
15
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
53%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.7
22
25
2
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-3
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.6
19
22
15
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
3-7
43%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
17
8
8
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.2
12
11
5
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
1-2
1-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.6
4
16
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 21.2
9
0
1-2
55%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.3
6
0
1-2
46%
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
5
0
0-1
46%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.4
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 25.2
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 31.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 22.8
40
31
22
10
2
1
1
1
2
1
9
4-5
80%
6-8
5-8
75%
61%
2-7
29%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.1
38
31
26
13
14
1
1
0
6
5
8
6-6
100%
7-15
8-13
47%
60%
2-2
100%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 30.3
36
32
17
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
50%
2-4
50%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.6
31
26
11
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
1-4
25%
Facundo Campazzo
G · 5'11" 195 · 30.0
23
21
9
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
6-6
100%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-2
50%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.8
25
22
21
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
55%
5-5
100%
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.5
19
23
9
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-1
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 36.2
17
15
2
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 33.2
10
9
4
8
1
0
0
1
3
2
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
60%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 30.8
17
0
2-3
55%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 20.2
4
0
0-0
60%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 24.0
4
0
0-0
58%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 21.4
3
0
0-1
59%
Markus Howard
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.1
3
0
0-0
49%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 24.1
Shaquille Harrison
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.