Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, April 12, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Spurs	67%	111	120	123.7	97	95.6
	29	Magic	33%	105	97	100.0	97	100.1

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+14

-9

102

ORL

+13

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.18 58.8%

ORL

1.02 51.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	28.2	15	54%	2	4	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	1-6	17%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	27.9	17	50%	5	6	1	0	1	2	0	5	3-3	100%	4-11	36%	2-5	40%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32	25.9	19	73%	2	6	0	0	1	3	0	2	5-5	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 22	24.1	4	29%	11	5	0	1	1	3	2	9	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	23.7	6	75%	6	2	1	1	0	3	4	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	20.7	12	67%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24	19.6	10	56%	10	1	1	2	0	2	5	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	17.8	12	60%	6	1	0	0	0	2	0	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	15.3	6	100%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 21	10.4	4	40%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	7.8	7	88%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	7.8	2	100%	1	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	6.2	2	100%	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	4.7	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Gorgui Dieng #7 · C · 6'11" 251 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	47	30	6	5	9	26	12	35	14-18	78%	38-68	56%	10-25	40%

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13 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	28.2	15	54%	2	4	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	1-6	17%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	27.9	17	50%	5	6	1	0	1	2	0	5	3-3	100%	4-11	36%	2-5	40%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32	25.9	19	73%	2	6	0	0	1	3	0	2	5-5	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 22	24.1	4	29%	11	5	0	1	1	3	2	9	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	23.7	6	75%	6	2	1	1	0	3	4	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	20.7	12	67%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24	19.6	10	56%	10	1	1	2	0	2	5	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	17.8	12	60%	6	1	0	0	0	2	0	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	15.3	6	100%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 21	10.4	4	40%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	7.8	7	88%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	7.8	2	100%	1	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	6.2	2	100%	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	4.7	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Gorgui Dieng #7 · C · 6'11" 251 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	47	30	6	5	9	26	12	35	14-18	78%	38-68	56%	10-25	40%

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29 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	29.9	15	58%	8	4	1	0	3	5	3	5	3-4	75%	6-10	60%	0-1	0%
Dwayne Bacon #8 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 26	28.9	14	47%	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	0-3	0%
James Ennis III #11 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	27.9	8	36%	7	1	0	0	1	2	2	5	3-4	75%	1-6	17%	1-3	33%
Chuma Okeke #3 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 23	26.6	7	29%	5	2	0	1	0	1	1	4	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-3	0%
Michael Carter-Williams #7 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 30	22.9	3	21%	3	2	3	0	2	1	1	2	1-5	20%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%

R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	26.5	16	73%	8	0	0	0	2	2	1	7	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	1-2	50%
Terrence Ross #31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 30	25.4	8	67%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	21.2	12	75%	3	3	1	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Robert Franks #0 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 24	14.8	4	100%	4	1	0	0	2	2	2	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Devin Cannady #30 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	4.7	8	100%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Chasson Randle #25 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28	3.9	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Karim Mane #4 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 21	3.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mo Bamba #5 · C · 7'0" 231 · 23	3.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Markelle Fultz #20 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Otto Porter Jr. #22 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Pain
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Injury maintenance
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	51%	44	15	6	2	15	17	11	33	20-32	63%	31-60	52%	5-20	25%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.18 58.8%

ORL

1.02 51.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

71%

ORL

66%

Midrange

SAS

41%

ORL

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

15.0

40%

60%

ORL

7.5

25%

38%

Free Throws

SAS

78%

ORL

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	19	73%	9.5 / 13
D. Murray	17	50%	8.5 / 17
D. White	15	54%	7.5 / 14
L. Walker IV	12	67%	6.0 / 9
R. Gay	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Eubanks	10	56%	5.0 / 9
L. Samanic	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Poeltl	6	75%	3.0 / 4
P. Mills	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Johnson	4	29%	2.0 / 7
D. Vassell	4	40%	2.0 / 5
K. Bates-Diop	4	67%	2.0 / 3
T. Jones	2	100%	1.0 / 1
Q. Weatherspoon	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Hampton	16	73%	8.0 / 11
W. Carter	15	58%	7.5 / 13
D. Bacon	14	47%	7.0 / 15
C. Anthony	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Ennis III	8	36%	4.0 / 11
T. Ross	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Cannady	8	100%	4.0 / 4
C. Okeke	7	29%	3.5 / 12
R. Franks	4	100%	2.0 / 2
M. Carter-Williams	3	21%	1.5 / 7
K. Mane	2	100%	1.0 / 1
C. Randle	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Bamba	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 111.1 29 105.1	SAS 123.7 +23.7 ORL 100.0
Pace	16 98.9 18 98.7	SAS 95.6 ORL 100.1 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.7 9 14.8	SAS 15.1 ORL 14.4 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 51.7% 30 49.0%	SAS 57.0% +8.9% ORL 48.1%
TO %	2 11.0% 5 12.4%	SAS 8.2% −5.6% ORL 13.8%
ORB %	27 20.1% 18 21.7%	SAS 26.7% +2.8% ORL 23.9%
FTrt	14 24.3 19 24.0	SAS 19.4 ORL 40.0 +20.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 58.4% 24 57.0%	SAS 62.5% +20.8% ORL 41.7%
STL %	22 7.0% 25 6.9%	SAS 6.2% ORL 6.2%
BLK %	15 8.9% 23 8.4%	SAS 8.3% +5.4% ORL 2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 54.4% 30 51.6%	SAS 58.8% +7.7% ORL 51.1%
Rim FG%	19 60.1% 30 56.3%	SAS 70.6% +5.1% ORL 65.5%
Mid FG%	14 43.2% 24 40.0%	SAS 41.2% +2.5% ORL 38.7%
3P %	24 35.0% 27 34.3%	SAS 40.0% +15.0% ORL 25.0%
FT %	10 79.2% 17 77.5%	SAS 77.8% +15.3% ORL 62.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.1% 26 30.2%	SAS 36.6% +0.3% ORL 36.3%
Mid Att. %	30 35.5% 29 34.2%	SAS 36.6% −2.2% ORL 38.8%
3P Att. %	30 31.4% 23 35.6%	SAS 26.9% +1.9% ORL 25.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.

Game Totals	SAS	ORL
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.3
Points	120	97
Rebounds	47	44
Assists	30	15
Steals	6	6
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	26	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	33 (1)
Field Goals	48-93	36-80
At-the-Rim FG	24-34	19-29
Midrange FG	14-34	12-31
2-Point FG	38-68	31-60
3-Point FG	10-25	5-20
Free Throws	14-18	20-32
Fast Break Pts	17	13
2nd Chance Pts	16	11
Points in Paint	60	52
Pts off Turnovers	18	8
Bench Points	59	50
Biggest Lead	30	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg