Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Heat	30%	104	106	116.5	91	101.8
	5	Nuggets	70%	112	123	136.7	90	82.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	30.3	21	53%	6	2	2	2	6	1	1	5	7-8	88%	7-16	44%	0-0	-
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26	28.6	16	73%	4	0	1	1	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	5-5	100%	2-6	33%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 32	27.6	13	72%	3	9	3	0	1	1	1	2	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza #8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36	24.8	13	81%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	3-3	100%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	24.2	9	75%	1	3	0	1	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	26.6	5	25%	4	6	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-5	20%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	19.6	8	80%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	17.4	8	80%	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37	16.9	4	50%	1	2	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 22	11.4	6	75%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
KZ Okpala #11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	6.2	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32	6.2	3	30%	5	1	0	2	0	1	1	4	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Nemanja Bjelica #70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	DNP - Coach's Decision
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| lower back spasms; & R Knee - Injury Recovery
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	60%	30	29	7	8	8	13	4	26	15-18	83%	26-47	55%	13-32	41%

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10 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	30.3	21	53%	6	2	2	2	6	1	1	5	7-8	88%	7-16	44%	0-0	-
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26	28.6	16	73%	4	0	1	1	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	5-5	100%	2-6	33%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 32	27.6	13	72%	3	9	3	0	1	1	1	2	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza #8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36	24.8	13	81%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	3-3	100%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	24.2	9	75%	1	3	0	1	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	26.6	5	25%	4	6	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-5	20%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	19.6	8	80%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	17.4	8	80%	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37	16.9	4	50%	1	2	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 22	11.4	6	75%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
KZ Okpala #11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	6.2	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32	6.2	3	30%	5	1	0	2	0	1	1	4	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Nemanja Bjelica #70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	DNP - Coach's Decision
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| lower back spasms; & R Knee - Injury Recovery
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	60%	30	29	7	8	8	13	4	26	15-18	83%	26-47	55%	13-32	41%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	32.9	25	83%	10	0	0	3	1	2	0	10	2-2	100%	7-8	88%	3-6	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	32.0	17	53%	10	11	1	2	2	3	4	6	4-5	80%	5-12	42%	1-2	50%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 26	26.6	16	67%	9	3	0	0	1	2	5	4	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	1-3	33%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	26.5	11	55%	3	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	25.2	6	38%	1	3	0	0	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-5	40%

PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	28.0	15	75%	2	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	26.2	8	80%	2	5	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	18.9	17	106%	0	0	1	1	2	4	0	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	4-5	80%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	13.3	2	20%	5	3	0	1	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 21	2.6	6	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 22	2.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Shaquille Harrison #3 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28	INACTIVE
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Injury
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	63%	43	32	5	7	10	19	11	32	10-13	77%	31-53	58%	17-36	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.19 59.6%

DEN

1.27 63.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

19

31

61%

DEN

17

28

61%

Midrange

MIA

7

16

44%

DEN

14

25

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

13

19.5

32

41%

61%

DEN

17

25.5

36

47%

71%

Free Throws

MIA

15

18

83%

DEN

10

13

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	21	53%	10.5 / 20
K. Nunn	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Butler	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Ariza	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Robinson	9	75%	4.5 / 6
G. Vincent	8	80%	4.0 / 5
M. Strus	8	80%	4.0 / 5
P. Achiuwa	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Herro	5	25%	2.5 / 10
A. Iguodala	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Dedmon	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	25	83%	12.5 / 15
N. Jokić	17	53%	8.5 / 16
J. Green	17	106%	8.5 / 8
A. Gordon	16	67%	8.0 / 12
P. Dozier	15	75%	7.5 / 10
M. Morris	11	55%	5.5 / 10
F. Campazzo	8	80%	4.0 / 5
W. Barton	6	38%	3.0 / 8
B. Bol	6	100%	3.0 / 3
P. Millsap	2	20%	1.0 / 5
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Howard	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 111.1 7 116.8	MIA 116.5 DEN 136.7 +20.2
Pace	29 96.7 28 97.4	MIA 101.8 +19.3 DEN 82.5
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 4 15.1	MIA 14.1 −3.3 DEN 17.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 54.6% 6 55.7%	MIA 57.6% DEN 63.5% +5.9%
TO %	21 13.7% 13 13.0%	MIA 8.4% −2.0% DEN 10.4%
ORB %	29 19.4% 2 24.8%	MIA 11.1% DEN 29.7% +18.6%
FTrt	11 25.2 28 21.9	MIA 22.8 +8.2 DEN 14.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 67.1% 11 62.1%	MIA 74.4% +7.7% DEN 66.7%
STL %	7 8.2% 6 8.2%	MIA 7.7% +2.1% DEN 5.6%
BLK %	22 8.5% 14 9.0%	MIA 15.1% +0.2% DEN 14.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 56.5% 6 57.5%	MIA 59.6% DEN 63.4% +3.8%
Rim FG%	2 64.8% 6 63.9%	MIA 61.3% +0.6% DEN 60.7%
Mid FG%	16 41.8% 5 44.9%	MIA 43.8% DEN 56.0% +12.2%
3P %	19 35.8% 8 37.7%	MIA 40.6% DEN 47.2% +6.6%
FT %	12 79.0% 7 80.3%	MIA 83.3% +6.4% DEN 76.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 33.3% 18 33.5%	MIA 39.2% +7.8% DEN 31.5%
Mid Att. %	11 23.5% 22 28.2%	MIA 20.3% −7.8% DEN 28.1%
3P Att. %	7 43.2% 18 38.3%	MIA 40.5% +0.1% DEN 40.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	DEN
Possessions	91	90
Possession Minutes	21.5	26.2
Points	106	123
Rebounds	30	43
Assists	29	32
Steals	7	5
Blocks	8	7
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	13	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (2)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (0)	32 (4)
Field Goals	39-79	48-89
At-the-Rim FG	19-31	17-28
Midrange FG	7-16	14-25
2-Point FG	26-47	31-53
3-Point FG	13-32	17-36
Free Throws	15-18	10-13
Fast Break Pts	17	7
2nd Chance Pts	8	14
Points in Paint	48	46
Pts off Turnovers	12	7
Bench Points	34	48
Biggest Lead	6	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg